SLIDE 35 Risk Type Sensiti vity Primary Risk Bearer
Comments
OPERATIONS RISK
Power Procurement risk
High Shared MSEDCL is obligated to supply the agreed quantum of power in absolute terms and at the agreed input rate payable by distribution franchisee. The distribution franchisee may procure power from other sources for any shortfall.
Tariff Risk
High Shared The tariff charged to the consumer is regulated. At the same time, the input rate i.e. the cost of power purchase is indexed to the changes in the consumer tariff. Thus in case of an increase /decrease in tariff, the input cost for the franchisee will also increase / decrease in line with the formula prescribed in the DFA. However, on a net basis, there will be some impact on the cash flows of the franchisee.
Market Risk
High Distribution franchisee The market risk in terms of power consumption, consumption growth, and consumer mix in the Franchise Area is borne by the Franchisee. Since the input rate bid by the franchisee is based on projections with consumer mix and consumption growth assumptions, non-achievement of the same can adversely impact the franchisee cash
- flows. However, the distribution franchisee is the exclusive franchise in the franchisee area and hence is not
subject to any competition.
Financial Risk / Receivables risk
High Distribution franchisee The onus of collection efficiency during the applicability of the DFA is on the distribution franchisee. For arrears from current consumers, up to 3 months prior to the effective date, the distribution franchisee is responsible for ensuring 65% collection efficiency. For past arrears, pending more than 3 months prior to the effective date, the franchisee is provided an incentive @ 10 % of collections. The same is @20% of collections for disconnected consumers.
OTHER RISKS
Erroneous baseline data
Medium Distribution Franchisee The findings of the joint audit conducted post-selection of franchisee may differ from the baseline data provided by MSEDCL. DF was allowed to conduct a due diligence of its own in the franchise area.
Socio-political risk
Medium Distribution franchisee Since the distribution franchisee becomes the point of contact for consumers, any dissatisfaction on account of action / inaction by the franchisee can lead to instances of opposition or resistance and political pressures. For example, load shedding can lead to discontent among the consumers. In such a scenario there may pressure from the state to ensure regular supply. As a result the franchisee may have to purchase expensive traded power from the market.
Force majeure
Medium MSEDCL In case of force majeure event, no party is liable for performance of obligations under the agreement. However, in case of prolonged force majeure, the agreement may be terminated by either party, whereby assets would be transferred to MSEDCL against an expiry payment from MSEDCL.