Challenges in Antimicrobial Clinical Development Axel Dalhoff & - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
Challenges in Antimicrobial Clinical Development Axel Dalhoff & - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
Challenges in Antimicrobial Clinical Development Axel Dalhoff & Heino Sta Institut fr Klinische Pharmakologie Bayer AG, Wuppertal, D New antibacterial agents approved in the United States 1983 - 2002 20 No. of New Antibacterial
5 10 15 20 1983- 1987 1988- 1992 1993- 1997 1998- 2002
New antibacterial agents approved in the United States 1983 - 2002
- No. of New Antibacterial Agents
56 %
Spellberg, CID May 01,2004; 38
Challenges for Antibiotic R & D in Pharma Research
High failure rate in Research Lack of pipeline compounds Difficulty to discover new agents even for experienced people
- if not shifted to different research targets
Highly promising approach to genomic based new agents has failed to date Research focus in favour of chronic treatments
e.g. chronic viral diseases as HIV, HCV vs. acute treatments
Based on cumulated experience in animal models, high safety margins have to be achieved preclinically
Exploratory Research Exploratory Research Strategic Project Strategic Project DP0 DP0 DP1 DP1
Molecular Molecular Target Target
Screen Screen Strategic Strategic Project Project Development Development Candidate Candidate
Success Rates
60% 20 - 25 %
Time Course
50% 15 Months 15 Months
I) Research Phase
From DP1 to Market: 6 Years, 800 mio Euro II) Development Phase
DP0= decision point 0: Decision about novel strategic project DP1= decision point 1: Decision about start of development
From Target to Drug / Patent life time
- > ~ 50% of patent shelf life used for development
Challenges in the Development of Anti-infectives
Regulatory
Pharmacokinetics and Pharmacodynamics in the development
- f antibacterial medicinal products
CPMP/EWP/2655/99
R&D
Discovery of and proof of concept for „Improved Candidates‘“ „Patents“
Strategic
„Superiority Claims“ „Time to Market“ in a very competitive environment
Role of Clinical Pharmacology in tackling the Challenges in the Development of Antimicrobials
- Classical safety and PK
(frequent and less frequent AEs)
- PK/PD Defining the dose for clinical studies
- > ‘mechanistic’ PK/PD approaches
- Sources and of PK variability (e.g. interactions) and
their impact on antimicrobial activity
- > population (‘probabilistic’) PK/PD approaches
- Justify the dosing regimen for the patient population
based on PK/PD -> population PK/PD approaches
- Dosing recommendations for clinically relevant
drug drug interactions drug drug interactions and patients at risk patients at risk
General Strategy to Define and Validate the Clinical Dose by PK/PD
Scientific knowledge Scientific knowledge regulatory guidelines regulatory guidelines Development Development Candidate Candidate Proof of Proof of Concept Concept Approvable Approvable Drug Drug ~ 3 years
‚ ‚Mechanistic Mechanistic‘ ‘ approach approach ‚ ‚Probabilistic Probabilistic‘ ‘ approach approach
PK: non-compartmental compartmental Physiology Based PK (PBPK) PK/PD: In vitro/ in vivo/in silico based on lead organisms PK: Population methods in patients Modeling and Simulation PK/PD: statitistical tools based on epidemiological data, e.g. Monte Carlo Simulations
PK/PD Tools I
Mechanistic:
Physiology Based PK Interspecies scaling of PK Target tissue concentrations Tests of antibacterial effects: static in vitro models -> MIC Determination of the dominant PK/PD index driving the effect: animal models, dynamic in vitro models (-> time to kill; change in viable counts; maximum re- duction in viable counts; IE; AUBC, AABC AUC/MIC, Cmax/MIC, t>MIC, AUBKCnorm Determination of the magnitude
- f the PK/PD Index
- > PK/PD cut off points,
Target Concentration Strategy / Phase I-II
Deterministic PK/PD in early Phase I
Decision on target dose for MFX based on PK/PD from single dose escalation
M oxifloxacin / AU IC as a function of M IC for a O D dose regim en
M IC [m g/L]
0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 0.0 1.0
AUIC
1 10 100 1000 10000 G ram negative Threshold G ram Positive Threshold
susceptible (M IC < 0.125 m g/L) borderline susceptible (M IC < 0.5 m g/L)
50 m g 100 m g 200 m g 400 m g
Use:
- Early dose
estimation based
- n good knowledge
- f PK and PD
properties of MFX
- Predicted dose:
400 mg once daily
Target Concentration Strategy / Phase II - III
Deterministic PK/PD mapping to characterize the effect
- f PK variability on the bactericidal effect of MFX
0.01 0.1 1 10 100 1000 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1.0 200 300 400 500 600 700 800
AUBC24, norm MIC Dose [mg]
Gati (0.25) Gati (0.50) Gati (1.00) Moxi (0.12) Moxi (0.25) Moxi (0.50) Moxi (1.00)
Use:
- Decision on clinical
dose
- Predicted dose:
400 mg once daily
- Decision on
necessity of dose adjustments (interactions, special populations)
ICC, 2001
PK/PD Tools II
Probabilistic PK/PD methods
Principle: Determination of the likelihood of clinical success by implementing information on PK variability and PD variability into PK/PD analysis Requirements: Models describing the pharmaco kinetic variability in the target population using population PK methods Epidemiological distribution pattern of the target pathogens PK/PD indices identified and quantified by mechanistic methods based on epedimiologic data on the targeted micororganisms e.g. AUIC cut off, microbiological breakpoint
PK/PD Tools II
\PHSTS\PKPD MFX Mod elmaker3 sts 0 5030 3.ppt
PK/PD
93.60% 3.79% 1.63% 0.99% AUIC<30 70>AUIC>30 125>AUIC>70 AUIC>125
400mg p.o. AUC - Range [mg*h/L]
10-15 15-20 20-25 25-30 30-35 35-40 40-45 45-50 50-55 55-60 60-65 65-70 70-75 75-80
n
10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90
n = 374
MIC (mg/L)
PK PD
200 400 600 800 1000 1200 1400 1600
<0.008 0.015 0.03 0.06 0.12 0.25 0.5 1 2 4
Dalhoff, 2000
PD- Index
Monte Carlo Simulation
Probabilistic PK/PD Approaches in Phase III
Target hit rates based for 3 FQs based on unbound concentrations for 5000 simulated patients with S. aureus infection
Use:
- confirm microbiological
breakpoints
- validate dose regimen
for safe clinical use
Ambrose et al., AAC 2004
Probabilistic PK/PD Approaches in Phase I
20 40 60 80 100 120 25 50 75 100 125 150 AUIC cut off [h] Target Hit Rate [%]
THR at MIC 0.5 THR at MIC1
Sensitivity analysis of target hit rates for a drug candidate using population PK/PD methods for a given PK, dose regimen and PD distribution * Use:
- translate
preclinical PK/PD results into clinical dosing regimen
- plan and optimize
study designs
* each THR was obtained from a Monte Carlo simulation
Probabilistic PBPK/PD Approaches in Phase I
1 2 4 5 Time [h] 3 6 9 12 Prostate concentration [mg/kg]
Planning of study designs using Modelling & Simulation based on literature data
Comparison between predictions and population PK results
- btained from patients receiving a single 1000 mg dose of
Cipro XR prior to prostate biopsy
PK/PD - where are we?
PK/PD methodology is a very powerful instrument to plan development and validate clinical findings and beyond ...
In vitro PK/PD experiments suggest that compounds from
- ne class (FQs)
behave similar (vs S. aureus),
but...
Bauernfeind et al., ECCMID 2005
1.E-01 1.E+00 1.E+01 1.E+02 1.E+03 1.E+04 1.E+05 0.01 0.10 1.00 10.00 MIC [mg/L] AUBKCnorm [h]
MFX 400 GFX 400 LFX 500 LFX 750 Ref.
PK/PD - where are we?
AUIC FQ Indication Ref. cut off ______________________________________________________ > 125 Cipro Gram - severe RTI, Schentag et al. elderly patients > 75 Grepa Gram+ community acquired Pickerill et al. RTI, elderly patients > 30 Gati Gram+ community acquired Ambrose et al. RTI, elderly patients > 12* Levo Gram+ community acquired Preston et al. RTI, cSSSI, Gram - UTI ______________________________________________________
* peak/MIC cut off, (AUIC~100)
PK/PD - where are we?
- Open questions remain
- individual PK/PD indices or per compound
class/disease/patient population.... ?
- applicability to various patient groups given
?
- plasma or target tissue concentrations
?
- ...
- for polymicrobial infections no clinically useful models
exist to date
- However, wealth of different PK/PD methods
available
- PK/PD indispensable to achieve ‘lean’ and smart
development -> ...
PK/PD in Clinical Development of Moxifloxacin
1 2 3 years
Preclin. Dev.
Phase I
PhaseII
Phase III
Approval
Market
- Definition of clinical
dose regimen in Phase I
- Merged Phase IIa and b
- Confirmation of dose
decision in Phase II
- PK/PD validation in Phase III
PK/PD in Clinical Development of Moxifloxacin
Case study Moxifloxacin: development cost benefit
Consequences for development: Cost [T€]
Phase I: 2 Phase I MD bracketing studies saved
- 250
Phase II: Condensed program (without separate 2B)
- 300
Phase III: Population PK/PD evaluations + 50 Total:
- 500 (< 1%°*)
*compared to total development cost
Advantages a) direct cost savings, but marginal compared to total development costs b) expenses for development are postponed to later phases c) -> financial risk reduction
PK/PD in Clinical Development of Moxifloxacin
Case study Moxifloxacin: strategic benefit
Consequences for development: Time savings
Phase I: 2 Phase I MD bracketing studies saved 3 months Phase II: Condensed program (without separate 2B) 9-12 months Phase III: Population PK/PD evaluations + 0
Overall, development time reduced by ~ 1 year
PK/PD in Clinical Development of Moxifloxacin
Case study Moxifloxacin: economic benefit Advantages
a) Market entry approximately 12 - 15 months earlier b) Total savings of 10-50 Mio € (after discounting and risk adjustment) c) Launch ahead of (potential) competitors, thus stronger competitive positioning d) One additional year of patent exclusivity -> additional sales at peak sales level
Change of paradigms in drug development
Yesterday Today Future
Primary science animal experiment Secondary science modeling simulations Learning science in silico simulations Confirmatory science animal experiment Primary science animal experiment Secondary science modeling simulations
modified from Pharma 2005, PricewaterhouseCoopers
Conclusion
Clinical Development of Antiinfectives is a challenging business, but ...
- In a competitive climate for clinical development modern PK/PD
methods have evolved as a versatile tool to steer clinical development and to cope with these challenges
- While direct cost savings by use of PK/PD concepts are small
in view of the total development costs, ...
- ... the strategic advances make the PK/PD tools a mandatory
instrument of clinical development
- Scientifically, application of PK/PD concepts remains a
fascinating field of research and development
- Few areas remain where application of PK/PD concepts is less
supportive