Canadian Movie Channels Investment Opportunity
March 2012
MOVIES
Canadian Movie Channels Investment Opportunity March 2012 MOVIES - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
Canadian Movie Channels Investment Opportunity March 2012 MOVIES Executive Summary SPT Networks is acquiring a significant stake in two Canadian movie channels which will be rebranded Sony Movie Channel (SMC) and AXN Movies Hollywood
MOVIES
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Festival and Hollywood Storm
Hollywood Storm, which will be rebranded as SMC and AXN Movies
to fund working capital and marketing needs
Telecommunications Commission (CRTC) regulations
forecasted growth in HD pay TV households in Canada
to the consumer relative to premium and lower tier content packages currently in market
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will spin off Hollywood Festival and Hollywood Storm, and rebrand as Sony Movie Channel and AXN Movies
share in Newco, based on a total enterprise value of $13.1MM
(50% of investment proceeds) to fund working capital and marketing
threshold under current CRTC regulations; handshake agreement in place to buy-up to 50% ownership pending regulatory change
Suite - total costs to be shared equally across all four channels
trademarks based on any dilution below its 46.7% interest, should capital be required and SPT Networks elects not to fund
(consultation rights on subsequent budgets); consultation rights
exceeding $150k; standard minority protections in place in addition to the above rights
MOVIES
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High Pay TV Penetration
global pay TV markets with approx. 90% penetration; 2.6% annual growth in 2011
Significant HD Growth
penetration) will drive significant HD adoption
5MM to 12 MM HD HH 2011-2015 (HD penetration forecasted to increase from 45%- 80% 2011-2015)
Strong Consumer Spend
realizing growth of 6% Y/Y from 2006-2010
Competitive Position vs. OTT
cheaper base packages with more flexible add- programming options
programming offerings that will differentiate from emerging OTT services (Netflix)
HD Household Penetration
MM
45% 55% 64% 73% 81% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90%
4 6 8 10 12 14 16 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 HD HH Total TV HH % HD Penetration
Source: Mgmt forecasts, Screen Digest
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Premium Services ($15 - $20 price to the consumer)
window movies from U.S. studios; popular series drive seasonal/short-term subscriptions (Approx. 1MM subs)
U.S. cable series less recognizable than TMN (Approx. 350k-450k subs)
retention and marketing Movies Plus ($6-$10 price to the consumer)
series and reality television
channels HOLLYWOOD SUITE ($5 - $8 price to the consumer)
recognition to the consumer
customer
Demand, Online and via wireless
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$8 bundle price to the consumer, 50/50 rev share between the operator and HS; revenue to be shared evenly across all four HS channels
including majors Shaw and Rogers, projected within 18 months
Distribution Ad Sales
programming) along with a mix of other 3rd party U.S. studio and native Canadian content
content
beyond
in Y3 and beyond (Y1 - 15%, Y2 - 25%, Y3 -35%)
Programmin g
costs to be allocated evenly across all four channels
Operations
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Values in 000s FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016F FY2017F FY2018F FY2019F FY2020F FY2021F FY2022F Total S ubs c ribers 255 552 771 826 847 878 905 929 953 966 966 R evenue S ubscriber 2,711 6,662 9,930 11,962 12,833 13,249 13,694 14,079 14,447 14,857 114,424 Advertising 144 207 265 298 313 329 346 363 381 395 3,041 Total $2,855 $6,869 $10,195 $12,261 $13,146 $13,578 $14,039 $14,442 $14,828 $15,252 $117,466 Y /Y G rowth 141% 48% 20% 7% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% E xpens es Programming Amortization 2,128 3,625 4,484 4,690 4,831 4,976 5,125 5,279 5,437 5,665 46,241 %
evenue 75% 53% 44% 38% 37% 37% 37% 37% 37% 37% R evenue Based C
40 118 187 228 244 252 261 268 275 286 2,159 Marketing and Promotion 579 770 1,020 1,226 1,315 1,358 1,404 1,444 1,483 1,543 12,141 Distribution and Delivery 495 526 548 577 607 638 672 707 743 781 6,294 S alaries 708 836 922 987 1,036 1,088 1,143 1,200 1,260 1,323 10,503 Other 333 389 387 397 418 430 442 455 468 487 4,207 Total 4,283 6,264 7,549 8,105 8,451 8,743 9,046 9,352 9,666 10,085 81,545 E B ITDA ($1,429) $605 $2,646 $4,155 $4,695 $4,836 $4,993 $5,090 $5,162 $5,168 $35,921 Depreciation 107 111 109 103 100 100 100 100 100 100 1,030 E B IT ($1,536) $494 $2,537 $4,053 $4,595 $4,736 $4,893 $4,990 $5,062 $5,068 $34,890 E BIT Margin
7% 25% 33% 35% 35% 35% 35% 34% 33% Interest 13 9 3
Income T ax
891 1,246 1,284 1,326 1,352 1,401 7,738 Net Inc
($1,549) $485 $2,534 $3,814 $3,704 $3,490 $3,609 $3,663 $3,710 $3,667 $27,127 C as h Flow ($1,995) ($358) $2,287 $3,528 $2,965 $2,746 $2,860 $2,909 $2,950 $3,055 $20,947 C umulative C as h Flow ($1,995) ($2,353) ($66) $3,462 $6,427 $9,173 $12,033 $14,942 $17,892 $20,947 $20,947 S PT View - E B IT R ec
46.7%
E BIT ($723) $226 $1,183 $1,781 $1,730 $1,630 $1,686 $1,711 $1,732 $1,713 $12,668 PPA ($508) ($508) ($508) $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 ($1,525) Total S PT E B IT IMPAC T ($1,232) ($282) $675 $1,781 $1,730 $1,630 $1,686 $1,711 $1,732 $1,713 $11,143 C hannel S PT (1) NPV of C ash Flows $2,807 $2,807 NPV of S PT L icense Fees
NPV of Terminal Value $7,806 $7,806 L ess: Upfront Payment ($6,100) ($6,100) NPV of C hannel $4,512 $7,392 IR R 18% 22%
(1) SPT View includes provision for incremental license fees paid to SPT less residuals (15%) and taxes (27%) (2) Terminal value of 10X EBITDA, 6% implied long term growth rate NOTE: Based on a $13.1MM enterprise value for Newco, transaction multiple of ~5X 3 year forward EBITDA (FY15 $2.6MM); for reference Bell recently acquired Astral for 10X 1 year forward (2012) EBITDA
Newco: SMC / AXN Movies
(2)
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March 2012
April 2012
April 2012
April 2012
AXN Movies September/October 2012
approval is not obtained transaction can be unwound and initial $2.6MM payment returned September/October 2012
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Jay Switzer, Chair and Co-founder
Jay is the former longtime President and CEO of Canadian broadcaster CHUM Limited and a twenty-five year veteran of the Canadian arts & media business community. Jay started at CHUM Ltd in 1983 as Program Manager Citytv and worked through various promotions to become the President and CEO of CHUM Ltd. until July 2007. Jay was instrumental in the creation and launch of CHUM’s specialty channels including the launch of MuchMusic in 1983/84. He helped execute the eventual sale of the publically traded company and it’s more than 3200 employees to CTV for $1.7 billion.
Jeff Sackman, Co-founder
Jeff possesses significant experience with startup operations. After joining Cinepix Film Properties as executive VP Sackman moved the company into U.S. distribution in the
Gate Films in 1998, with Sackman as President. Under his tenure, Lions Gate Films moved into the U.S. and revenue for the publically traded company grew from $6 million to $125
David Kines, President
Kines began his career in 1983 as an editor for THE NEW MUSIC. A year later, he helped launch MuchMusic and subsequently held positions as Coordinating Producer, Director of Music Operations, Program Manager, Vice-President, and Senior Vice-President in the years following. Kines is a graduate of Ryerson Polytechnic University in Toronto and holds a degree in Radio and Television Arts.
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voting share in Newco
Sony Movie Channel and AXN Movies respectively
transaction approval by the CRTC
fund working capital and marketing
across all four channels
for use of the SMC and AXN Movies brand marks in Canada; exit mechanism in place for SPT Networks to pull the channel trademarks based on any dilution below its 46.7% interest
business plan and budget (consultation rights on subsequent budgets); consultation rights on the hiring and firing of personnel with compensation deals exceeding $150k; standard minority protections in place in addition to the above rights