Boliden AB 1 2007-06-05
Boliden
Capital Markets Day 2007
Jan Johansson, President and CEO
Boliden Capital Markets Day 2007 Jan Johansson, President and CEO - - PDF document
Boliden Capital Markets Day 2007 Jan Johansson, President and CEO 2007-06-05 1 Boliden AB Bolidens Production Entities Aitik (Sweden) Rnnskr (Sweden) Boliden g Copper mine g Copper smelter Harjavalta/Pori (Finland) Boliden Area
Boliden AB 1 2007-06-05
Jan Johansson, President and CEO
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Boliden Odda (Norway)
g Zinc smelter
Kokkola (Finland)
g Zinc smelter
Harjavalta/Pori (Finland)
g Copper smelter
Rönnskär (Sweden)
g Copper smelter
Boliden Area (Sweden)
g Zinc mines
Aitik (Sweden)
g Copper mine
Garpenberg (Sweden)
g Zinc mines
Tara (Ireland)
g Zinc mine
Bergsöe (Sweden)
g Lead smelter
Smelters Mines
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the net profit over a business cycle
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Mines Smelters Sales
MARKET & SALES EXPLORATION MINING OPERATIONS RECYCLING SMELTING & REFINING
customers
Advantages:
consistent quality
(Boliden mines/smelters, logistics, customers’ capacity)
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2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 18 20
2004 2005 2006 Q3 2007
USA W Europe Japan China
Growth %
Industrial Production
2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 18 20
2004 2005 2006 Q3 2007
USA W Europe Japan China
Growth %
Industrial Production
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USD/tonne
Tonnes 1 000 1 500 2 000 2 500 3 000 3 500 4 000 4 500 5 000 J a n
F e b
M a r
A p r
M a y
J u n
J u l
A u g
S e p
O c t
N
D e c
J a n
F e b
M a r
A p r
M a y
J u n
J u l
A u g
S e p
O c t
N
D e c
J a n
F e b
M a r
A p r
125 000 250 000 375 000 500 000 625 000 750 000 875 000 1 000 000
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Chinese Net Imports of Zinc 2004-2007
20 000 40 000 60 000
jan-04 apr-04 jul-04
jan-05 apr-05 jul-05
jan-06 apr-06 jul-06
jan-07 apr-07
Tonnes
Source: Metals Insider
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Tonnes
USD/tonne
1 200 1 980 2 760 3 540 4 320 5 100 5 880 6 660 7 440 8 220 9 000 J a n
F e b
M a r
A p r
M a y
J u n
J u l
A u g
S e p
O c t
N
D e c
J a n
F e b
M a r
A p r
M a y
J u n
J u l
A u g
S e p
O c t
N
D e c
J a n
F e b
M a r
A p r
100 000 200 000 300 000 400 000 500 000 600 000 700 000 800 000 900 000 1 000 000
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April 07 Source: Metals Insider
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2000 4000 6000 8000 10000 12000 14000 16000 18000 1988 1991 1994 1997 2000 2003 2006 2009 2012 2015
Probable B Projects Probable A Projects Base Case Production Capability Smelter demand ~3% grow th Smelter demand ~5% grow th
kt Zn
~5 %
~3 %
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5000 10000 15000 20000 25000 30000 35000 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015
Possible Expansions Probable Expansions Highly Probable Expansions Mine Production Smelter Demand ~3% grow th Smelter Demand ~5% grow th
kt
~5 %
~3 %
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2006 Copper consumption vs. GDP per capita
Kg per capita GDP per capita PPP adjusted 2005 40 000 45 000 35 000 30 000 25 000 20 000 15 000 10 000 5 000 0,0 1,0 2,0 3,0 4,0 5,0 6,0 7,0 8,0 9,0 10,0 11,0 12,0
Japan W Europe USA Australia Canada Malaysia Saudi Russia Thailand
World
Latin America China Indonesia Vietnam Philippines India Africa
High increase in metal demand
Kazakhstan Brazil
200 400 600 800 1000 1200 1400
China India USA Indonesia Brazil
Million
Top 5 population 2006 48% of world population
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Kg per capita GDP per capita PPP adjusted 2005 40 000 45 000 35 000 30 000 25 000 20 000 15 000 10 000 5 000 0,0 1,0 2,0 3,0 4,0 5,0 6,0 7,0 8,0 9,0 10,0 11,0 12,0
Large populations * 9 kg per capita = 28 M tonnes copper + 60% from today’s global copper consumption 17,5 M tonnes (2006)
China Indonesia India Brazil
Potential
Russia
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to grow mine assets
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Revenues 8 455 7 337 15 Operating profit (EBIT) 1 286 1 750
Profit before tax 1 261 1 698
Earnings per share, SEK 3.18 4.28
Cash flow from operating activities 1 490 999 49 Return on capital employed (%) 28 44 Net debt (%)
45 Change SEK m 2007 2006 % Quarter 1
USD exchange rate and lower TC/RC
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Operating profit (EBIT) 1 286 2 225 - 939 Net price deviation
Hedges 138 Definite prices (MAMA)
Stock results 132 Treatment charges
Price decreases
Net volume deviations
Net cost deviations 262 Other - net
SEK m 2007 2006 Diff. Quarter 1 / Quarter 4
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Mines 787 732 8 Smelters 544 1 029
Others
The Boliden Group 1 286 1 750
Change SEK m 2007 2006 % Quarter 1
volume decreases, mainly due to planned lower grades at the Aitik mine, had negative effect of SEK -336 million. Costs increased by SEK -53 million compared to first quarter 2006
TC/RC, lower USD exchange rate and increased costs by SEK -112 million.
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Operating profit before depreciation
(EBITDA), SEK m
2 079 2 779 2 421 2 551 1 637 500 1 000 1 500 2 000 2 500 3 000 Q1 2006 Q2 2006 Q3 2006 Q4 2006 Q1 2007
activities SEK 1 490 million (SEK 999 m)
activities SEK -373 million (SEK -441 m)
million (SEK 558 m)
26 million (SEK 1 220 m)
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Energy 18% Consumables 17% Personnel 28% Transports 5% External services 16% Depreciations and others 16%
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25 617 21 835 19 858 19 515 14 703
20 000 40 000 60 000 80 000 100 000 Tonnes Q1 2006 Q2 2006 Q3 2006 Q4 2006 Q1 2007
Copper (metal content)
89 225 80 090 76 288 82 040 89 031
20 000 40 000 60 000 80 000 100 000 Tonnes Q1 2006 Q2 2006 Q3 2006 Q4 2006 Q1 2007
Zinc (metal content)
corresponding period 2006 in all mining areas.
during the corresponding period in 2006.
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Milled production, head grades, metal content Cu
5 000 10 000 15 000 20 000 25 000
tonnes
0.00% 0.10% 0.20% 0.30% 0.40% 0.50% 0.60%
Milled prod (ktonnes) 4 342 4 823 4 611 4 705 4 678 Metal content, Cu (t) 19 190 16 964 15 132 14 847 11 116 Ore grades, Cu act. 0.50% 0.39% 0.36% 0.35% 0.28% Ore reserve, Cu grade 0.31% 0.31% 0.31% 0.31% 0.28% Q1-06 Q2-06 Q3-06 Q4-06 Q1-07
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Milled production, head grades, metal content Zn
10 000 20 000 30 000
tonnes
0.0% 1.0% 2.0% 3.0% 4.0% 5.0% 6.0% 7.0% 8.0%
Milled prod (ktonnes) 447 401 380 450 454 Metal content, Zn (t) 21 010 18 812 14 979 16 849 18 229 Ore grades, Zn act. 6.0% 6.0% 5.6% 4.7% 5.1% Ore reserve, Zn grade 6.7% 6.7% 6.7% 6.7% 5.0% Q1-06 Q2-06 Q3-06 Q4-06 Q1-07
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Milled production, head grades, metal content Zn
5 000 10 000 15 000 20 000
tonnes
0.0% 1.0% 2.0% 3.0% 4.0% 5.0% 6.0% 7.0%
Milled prod (ktonnes) 269 285 322 305 314 Metal content, Zn (t) 13 227 13 800 17 793 16 172 17 056 Ore grades, Zn act. 5.5% 5.3% 6.0% 5.8% 6.1% Ore reserve, Zn grade 5.7% 5.7% 5.7% 5.7% 5.8% Q1-06 Q2-06 Q3-06 Q4-06 Q1-07
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Milled production, head grades, metal content Zn
10 000 20 000 30 000 40 000 50 000 60 000
tonnes
0.0% 1.0% 2.0% 3.0% 4.0% 5.0% 6.0% 7.0% 8.0% 9.0% 10.0%
Milled prod (ktonnes) 694 693 710 654 686 Metal content, Zn (t) 54 988 47 478 43 516 49 019 53 746 Ore grades, Zn act. 8.6% 7.4% 6.7% 8.2% 8.5% Ore reserve, Zn grade 8.5% 8.5% 8.5% 8.5% 8.4% Q1-06 Q2-06 Q3-06 Q4-06 Q1-07
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Cathode copper Cast zinc (zinc slabs)
90 029 87 866 87 843 90 653 90 072
20 000 40 000 60 000 80 000 100 000 120 000 140 000 Tonnes Q1 2006 Q2 2006 Q3 2006 Q4 2006 Q1 2007
108 455 109 566 112 814 112 073 114 759
20 000 40 000 60 000 80 000 100 000 120 000 140 000 Tonnes Q1 2006 Q2 2006 Q3 2006 Q4 2006 Q1 2007
the first quarter of 2007 as in the previous year.
corresponding period in 2006.
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Ownership April 30, 2007 Name Share Ownership % Foreign nominee accounts 46 012 599 15.90 AMF 16 301 500 5.63 SEB Funds (incl. Gamla Livförsäkringsbolaget) 9 680 796 3.34 Afa Försäkring 8 837 663 3.05 Swedbank Robur Funds 8 677 923 3.00 Handelsbanken Funds 8 058 234 2.78 The Fourth AP Fund 7 916 900 2.74 Nordea Funds 5 454 821 1.88 Skandia 5 444 594 1.88 Folksam-KPA-Förenade Liv 2 923 680 1.01 The First AP Fund 2 904 150 1.00 Odingroup 2 890 565 1.00 The largest shareholders in total: 120 203 425 43.21 Other shareholders 169 253 744 56.79 Total 289 457 169 100.00
Source: VPC AB
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Ulf Söderström, President BA Market
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BA Market
Boliden Mines New Mines New Smelters Boliden Smelters Metal sales Concentrate sales External Mines and Smelters
Commercial terms Tolling Tolling
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High quality metal products and services Smelting & Refining Exploration Mining/Milling Recycling
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Rönnskär
Copper Market 15 Zinc Market 1 Common 7
Pori/Harjavalta
Copper Market 4 Common 2
Kokkola
Zinc Market 7,5
Espoo
Copper Market 6 Zinc Market 4 Common 2
Bergsöe(Swe/Dk)
Zinc Market 3
Lemington Spa
Zinc Market 3
Rotterdam
Zinc Market 12
Stockholm
Zinc Market 3
Paris
Copper Market 1
Neuss
Zinc Market 3
Common 11 Zinc Market 40 Copper Market 26 Total 77 c
Odda
Zinc Market 4 Sales branches
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Continuoues Galvanisers General Galvanisers Brass Zinc Based Alloyers Others
(zinc sheet, powder, wire)
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Others 15% Zinc Based Alloyers 5% Brass 5% General Galvanizers 20% Continuous Galvanizers 55%
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Zinc Consumption in Europe (2006) Global Zinc Consumption by market sector (2006)
Construction 45% Transport 25% Infrastructure 10% Industrial equipment 10% Capital Goods 10% Galvanising 45% Rolled & Extruded Products 11% Brass Semis & Castings 21% Diecasting Alloys 10% Oxides & Chemicals 8% Miscellaneous 5%
The construction and transport industry are the two most important users of zinc
Source: Brook Hunt
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Sheet Strip Wire Rod Tube Others Copper Profile
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Tube 15% Other 5% Profils 10% Sheet Stripe 15% Wire Rod 55%
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By Market Sector
By First Use
Tube 10% Cu Alloys 17% Sheet/strip 7% Other 13% Wire Rod 53%
First use (2006)
Consumer Products 10% Transport 11% Electronic Products 32% Industry Machinery 12% Construction 35%
Market sector (2006)
The construction and Electronic products industry are the two most important users of copper
Source: Brook Hunt
Region/ Total consumption Boliden Boliden country
Sales (kt) market share Nordic 125 125 100% UK 190 85 45% Germany 520 125 25% France 300 35 10% Other 1439 73 5% Europe 2574 443 17%
ZINC COPPER
Region/ Total consumption 2006 Boliden Boliden country
Sales (kt) market share Scandinavia 286 249 87 % UK 181 60 33 % Other 3810 48 1% Europe 4277 357 8 %
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Source: Brook Hunt, Boliden
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Zinc Balance in Europe
+ 68 + 105 2000 2100 2200 2300 2400 2500 2600 2700 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 (500) (300) (100) 100 300 500 700 900 Balance Europe Production Total Europe Consumption Total Europe
Source: CRU
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USD/tonne US Midwest Delivered Europe ex-works Far East (Western)
123 143 158 172 209 231 270 265 254 265 275 265 243 233 210 177 130 140 155 180 230 275 265 265 320 320 380 350 320 320 320 105 110 130 135 145 100 100 95 100 100 95 90 97,5 95 90 90 360
50 100 150 200 250 300 350 400
Jan-06 Feb-06 Mar-06 Apr-06 May-06 Jun-06 Jul-06 Aug-06 Sept-06 Oct-06 Nov-06 Dec-06 Jan-07 Feb-07 Mar-07 Apr-07
Data: CRU Monitor Zinc
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Year Bas TC Basis Price Escalator Other 2006 128$ 1400$ +14%/-12% 2007 A 300$ 3500$ +8%/-6% 2007 B 300$ 3000$ +8,5%/-6,5% 0% 3000-3750$
Term Contracts Spot Contracts Market
2004 2005 2006 2007 Contracts Jan Feb Mar Apr Base TC
141 126 128 195 250 240 270
Basis Price
1000 1000 1400
Realized TC
148 187 390 195 250 240 270
Actual Zn price
1048 1381 3272 3786 3309 3258 3543
data: Brook hunt
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1500 2000 2500 3000 3500 4000 4500 5000 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 Production and Consumption ktonnes
500 1000
Balance in ktonnes
Balance Europe Production Total Europe Consumption Total Europe
data: Brook hunt
48
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USD/ton
120 140 155 115 135 110 100 80 70 70 60 60 50 80 80 110 70 70 90 45 40 50 45 45 93 93 113 50
30 50 70 90 110 1 30 1 50 1 70
Jan-05 Feb-05 Mar-05 Apr-05 May-05 Jun-05 Jul-05 Aug-05 Sept-05 Okt-05 Nov-05 Dec-05 Jan-06 Feb-06 Mar-06 Apr-06 Maj-06 Jun-06 Jul-06 Aug-05 Sept-06 Okt-06 Nov-06 Dec-06 Jan-07 Feb-07 Mar-07 Apr-07
Spot Copper premium CIF W. Europe
Benchmark 2005 115 USD annual Benchmark 2007 125 USD annual Benchmark 2006 105 USD annual
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45 51 85 65 95 90 60 75
30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100
2004 2005 2006 2007
Benchmark TC Boliden TC (2 years brick)
USD/ton
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Foot-note:Above figures is from 2006 and the revenue distribution is very dependant on the market situation.
Zn Cu
TC/RC PP Free Metal Premiums
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Type of inventory Ownership
Mines Market Market Smelters
Valuation
Production cost Balance day price Balance day price Lowest of BDP and last months average
Yes, partly No No No
Off-set hedge
No Yes Yes No Concentrates at mines and in harbours Raw materials at smelters Metal products Iron stock (process stock)
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QP MAMA
January
Production Delivery of Final
concentrate Pricing
Action January February March Valu- ation P&L
Mines production costs Balance day price (BDP) Month average price MAP = Final price BDP – Mines production MAP – BDP (positive or negative) costs
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Jan Moström, President BA Mines
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Source: Raw Materials Data, Stockholm 2006
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Copper mining in Europe dominated by Poland, Sweden, Bulgaria, Portugal. Russia is also a major copper producer
Source: Raw Materials Data, Stockholm 2006
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silver, is one of Europe’s largest bulk tonnage mines
1968 and over the years the mine has been expanded and production has increased
should last until the year 2025 at current production level
Production 2006
Ore 18.50 Mt Metal content Copper 66 100 t Silver 35 700 kgs Gold 2 300 kgs
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mines, a concentrator and a gold leaching plant
mine was opened at Boliden
have been carried out at 29 mines in the Boliden Area
Production 2006
Ore 1.7 Mt Metal content Copper 20 100 t Lead 2 100 t
Kristineberg Mine, Boliden Area
Zinc 71 700 t Silver 67 800 kgs Gold 1 900 kgs
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Norra are Boliden’s mines in the Swedish county of Dalarna
mine in 1957 and commenced production at Garpenberg Norra in 1972
Lappberget, has been discovered. In 2004, production on a wider scale commenced
Production 2006
Metal content Zinc 61 000 t Lead 21 100 t Copper 593 t Silver 108 100 kgs Gold 270 kgs Ore 1.20 Mt
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zinc mine in Europe
been mined since then
programme and extensions to the mine have reduced unit costs
Production 2006
Ore 2.75 Mt Metal content Zinc 195 000 t Lead 25 600 t
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With the purpose to maintain and create conditions for an increased persistent mine production are the following areas of highest priority:
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20 40 60 80 100 120 USc/lb
Mine Site Costs Realisation Costs (TC/RC) Subtotal Credits (by- products)
Cash Cost 1
Mine Site Costs etc. are calculated per lb Copper Payable Metal. Note, USD conversion effects
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Aitik Cash Cost Cu 2006 Brook Hunt
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Cash Cost Zn 2006 Brook Hunt
Garpenberg
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Productivity Ton / man hour
43 55 20 40 60 Aitik 18 Mton Aitik 36 Mton 15 global average 2.6 2.3 2 1 2 3 4 5 Garpenberg Boliden Tara 1,3-1,6 Global average
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cost is estimated.
concentrators, (recoveries and conentrate quality).
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The targets for exploration activities during the period 2007- 2011:
resources
special focus on copper
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activities at all mine areas during first quarter.
with new findings at Kristineberg, Renström and Maurliden.
SEK 300 million (SEK 162) for 2007.
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Sweden:
Ireland:
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External growth through:
As a logical follow-up after acquisition of deposit/mine Joint Venture Own exploration
»Give priority to countries »Acquisition of projects »Joint Venture
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100 000 200 000 300 000 400 000 500 000 600 000 700 000 800 000 900 000 1 000 000 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 Year Ktonnes Inferred Measured&Indicated Proven&Probable Production
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1000 2000 3000 4000 5000 6000 7000 8000 9000 10000 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 Year Ktonnes Inferred Measured&Indicated Proven&Probable Production
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2000 4000 6000 8000 10000 12000 14000 16000 18000 20000 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 Year Ktonnes Inferred Measured&Indicated Proven&Probable Production Ktonnes
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2000 4000 6000 8000 10000 12000 14000 16000 18000 20000 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 Year Ktonnas Inferred Measured&Indicated Proven&Probable Production
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B-Malm Einarsson Einarsson väst J-zonen K-Zinken Y1000 Y1500 Y2000 Y2500 Y3000 Z1000 Z500 Z0
Field drilling
Planned drifts Drifts Target areas Target areas - explored Orereserv Mineralresource Potential Mined
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Plannes drifts Drifts Target areas Target areas explored Orereserv Mineralresource Potential Mined
0Z 400Z 800Z 1200Z
870 Z 910 Z
Kaspersbo N Strandmalmen Kanalmalmen Finnhyttan Tyskgården och Kyrkmalmen Kvarnberget Dammsjön Lappberget Dammsjön
870 Z
Lappberget
Garpenberg Garpenberg N
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Svante Nilsson, President BA Smelters
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slow growth in output in the coming years
Nordenham, Germany San Juan de Nieva, Spain
Budel Balen, Belgium Auby, France
Kokkola Odda
Portovesme, Italy
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Hamburg, Germany
Huelva, Spain
Rönnskär Harjavalta
Lublin, Polen
Olen refinery, Belgium Pirdop, Bulgaria
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is situated in Skelleftehamn, northern Sweden
production and maintains very high standards towards environmental requirements and resource-efficiency while treating and refining metals from concentrates and various recycled materials Production 2006 Copper 229 200 t Lead 25 500 t Silver 374 000 kgs Gold 15 700 kgs Sulphuric acid 551 300 t Liquid SO2 36 600 t Zinc clinker 33 300 t No of employees 813
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a copper smelter in Harjavalta and a copper refinery in Pori. They are both situated on the west coast of Finland
developed at Harjavalta, is efficient both environmentally and economically
concentrates on a tolling agreement
Production 2006
Primary copper 164 300 t Cathode copper 127 200 t Liquid SO2 42 500 t Silver 40 400 kg Gold 4 000 kg Sulphuric acid 632 200 t Nickel concentrates 205 000 t
Pori Harjavalta
No of employees 449
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zinc plant started in 1969
Kokkola plant is one of the biggest, most automatized and most technically advanced zinc plants in the world Production 2006 Zinc 282 200 t No of employees 685
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situated in the western part of the country
1924, close to a hydro power plant
carried out in 2004 and over the last years the environmental performance has been greatly improved
Production 2006
Zinc metal 160 700 t Sulphuric acid 157 900 t Aluminium Fluoride 28 800 t Anhydrite 39 500 t No of employees 385
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for recycling lead acid batteries in Scandinavia
in Europe
secondary smelters in Europe
market for secondary lead
environmental standards
harbour, railway and road transports
Metal production 2006
Lead and lead alloys 44 700 t No of employees 101
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WEEE generated by category in Europe Approx 9,5 M ton*
Large White Goods 32% Other H ousehold appliances 11% Fridges/ Freezers 9 % Sources of Light Electric Fittings 6 % Cam eras, Watches, Sport Equipm ent, Toys 1% Other 2% TV, Video, Audio 19 % IT, Office equipm ent 20 %
Target segments for Boliden 39% of generated e-waste
produce in average between 17 and 20 kilos of electrical and electronic waste (WEEE)
* EU 25 Source: Electronic waste Recovery Business 2006, Environmental Impact Assessment Review 2005
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