AT&T ANALYST MEETING Mike Viola Senior Vice President, Investor - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
AT&T ANALYST MEETING Mike Viola Senior Vice President, Investor - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
AT&T ANALYST MEETING Mike Viola Senior Vice President, Investor Relations, AT&T Inc. Cautionary Language Concerning Forward-Looking Statements Information set forth in this presentation contains financial estimates and other
Mike Viola
Senior Vice President, Investor Relations, AT&T Inc.
Cautionary Language Concerning Forward-Looking Statements
Information set forth in this presentation contains financial estimates and other forward-looking statements that are subject to risks and uncertainties, and actual results might differ materially. A discussion of factors that may affect future results is contained in AT&T’s filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission. AT&T disclaims any
- bligation to update and revise statements contained in this presentation based on new information or otherwise.
This presentation may contain certain non-GAAP financial measures. Reconciliations between the non-GAAP financial measures and the GAAP financial measures are available on the company’s website at https://investors.att.com. The “quiet period” for FCC Spectrum Auctions 101/102 (28Ghz and 24Ghz) is now in effect. During the quiet period, auction applicants are required to avoid discussions of bids, bidding strategy and post-auction market structure with
- ther auction applicants.
Randall Stephenson
Chairman and CEO, AT&T Inc.
AT&T Composition
3rd Quarter
Note: WarnerMedia revenue shown net of eliminations39% 48% 16% 17% 15% 17% 25% 15%
- ADJ. EBITDA
REVENUE
Mobility Entertainment Group Business Wireline Latin America / Other WarnerMedia
5%
100% 100%
3%
John Donovan
CEO, AT&T Communications, LLC
~50%
Growing revenues and EBITDA
+2.3% service revenue growth YoY1
High quality phone subscriber base
+2.7mn smartphones added since 3Q17
Nation’s Best Network
Mobility
Of AT&T’s Adj. EBITDA1
1 On a comparable basis; 3Q 18Leading the Path to 5G
Laying 5G groundwork Exploring service
- pportunities
Working with Developers
Steady EBITDA over last 3 years
3Q16 3Q17 3Q18
Comparable Business Wireline EBITDA
$2.8 $2.7 $2.7 $2.7 $2.6 $2.8
Business
3,600 Agencies 250,000+ Subscribers ~1/3 FirstNet square
miles covered Reimbursements to come $2.7 $2.6 $2.6
Billions ($B)
Broadband growing Video product evolution Path to EBITDA stability
Entertainment Group
2019 EBITDA
~25mn Video Subscribers
~$10B ~$10B
~($1B) ~$1B ~$0.2B ~$0.4B ~$0.4B
2018 EBITDA
~25mn Video Subscribers Voice and Accounting Pressure
~($1B)
Video Subscriber Losses Linear Improvement OTT Profitability Broadband Growth Cost Initiatives 2-year price lock roll-off Xandr advertising ARPU growth Fiber subscriber growth Increased efficiency and automation ARPU growth Repackaging Adjusted promotions
Entertainment Group
Path to stabilizing EBITDA
John Stankey
CEO, WarnerMedia
WarnerMedia Highlights
$2.4 $2.0 $2.0 $1.8 $2.6 $7.7 $8.7 $8.1 $7.9 $8.2
- 2.0
3Q17 4Q17 1Q18 2Q18 3Q18
Revenues Operating Income
Turner
CNN continues as the #1 digital news destination 3 of the top 5 ad-supported cable nets in primetime YTD3
Home Box Office
23 Primetime Emmy Awards in 2018 Over 140 million global subscribers2
Warner Bros.
Strong 4Q theatrical slate Producing >70 series for the 2018-2019 TV season
Revenues & Operating Income1
$ in billions
1Reflects historic Time Warner adjusted results and RSNs. Otter Media is included in WarnerMedia results following AT&T's 8/7/18 acquisition of the controlling interest. Note: All stats through Q3; (2) As of year end 2017. Includes Cinemax and unconsolidated joint ventures; (3) Among adults 18-49Watching Monetization Models Longform & Shortform Premium / Native Digital Dynamic & Mobile
RAPIDLY SHIFTING TOWARDS DIGITAL CONSUMPTION AND SPENDING… … AND DIRECT CUSTOMER RELATIONSHIP IS CRITICAL
The Entertainment Industry is Evolving
Well Positioned to Capitalize
Iconic brands and franchises Award winning content Creative excellence Top talent relationships Strong global presence
Complements existing businesses Good for distribution partners Enables expanded reach and growing subscriber bases Captures data and analytics to inform new products and enable better monetization
Direct to Consumer
Our New Direct to Consumer Offer
WARNERMEDIA AND LICENSED CONTENT FROM OTHERS
TARGET LAUNCH: 4Q 2019
Entry-level Service Premium Service Additional
- Classics
- Kids & Family
- Theatrical
BUNDLE
SERVICE
PREMIUM
SERVICE
Premium & Popular Original Programming Blockbuster Movies
ENTRY
SERVICE
Movie-Focused
- Comedy
- Niche/Genre
aVOD Wholesale Distribution sVOD
Positioned for the Future
Engagement Penetration ARPU AT&T Reach
Lori Lee
CEO, AT&T Latin America and Global Marketing Officer
- Descriptive content for stat
is Aleck Sans 40pt.
At a Glance
31M SUBSCRIBERS 12 COUNTRIES $8.3B
2017 REVENUE
Environment for Growth Network Investment Completed
Mexico
2015 2016 2017 3Q-2018
MOBILE SUBS
9M 12M 15M 17M
PEOPLE COVERED
44M 78M 94M ~100M
The Most Reliable Network in Mexico
1
1 Claim based on a 3rd party analysis during drive-testing developed by Nielsen. The test reported that AT&T’s network leads in overall composite “reliability” indicator ( Note - reliability factors in 2G, 3G and 4G LTE networks).Sustained track record
- f growth and cash generation
Opportunity with OTT
Vrio
2016 2017 3Q 2018
.
1Simple Free Cash Flow = Adjusted EBITDA less Capital Expenditures 2Revenue growth figures are on a constant currency basis, excluding Venezuela.10.8% 8.5% 8.5% Revenue growth2 Simple free cash flow1
Brian Lesser
CEO, Xandr
Buying in mass buying audiences
DIGITAL ADVERTISING IS BORN EXPLOSION OF AD TECH AND PLATFORMS BUYING CONTEXTUALLY
AD AD
SUBSCRIBER DATA PURCHASE DATA SITE VISIT DATA 3RD PARTY DATA BROWSING DATA TV VIEWERSHIP DATA LOCATION DATA COMEDY CENTRAL ESPN NFL NETWORK FOX SPORTS AMAZON PRIME VIDEO FACEBOOK NETFLIX YOUTUBE A&E GOOGLE
Ad tech has brought us to a critical moment in time
MAJOR PLAYERS NOT WELL POSITIONED IN PREMIUM TV AND VIDEO ADVERTISERS AND AGENCIES ARE FRUSTRATED NO SINGLE PLAYER HAS ASSEMBLED THE ASSETS
Compelling Set
- f Assets
DISTRIBUTION DATA CONTENT TECHNOLOGY
Our Media Sales Business and Platform Businesses Complement Each Other to Magnify the Opportunity
INVENTORY
AGENCIES & ADVERTISERS AUDIENCES/ VIEWERS
Direct Sales Programmatic Sales 3rd party
TV Platform Digital Platform
Measuring Success
OUTPACE THE MARKET SCALE WITH 3RD PARTIES INTERNAL USE OF PLATFORM
John Stephens
CFO, AT&T Inc.
The Integrated Growth Story
AT&T LATIN AMERICA AT&T COMMUNICATIONS Mobility: top and bottom line growth Stable EBITDA in Entertainment Group in 2019 Continued solid performance with managed growth Direct-to-consumer plan to launch in 4Q 19 Nearly $7B annualized revenues and growing Management team, ad inventory and platform in place AT&T Mexico improving profitability Sustained cash generation at Vrio
Merger Synergies
END OF YEAR RUN RATE
RUN RATE TARGET 2019 2020 2021 COST SYNERGIES $1.5B
- Marketing
- Corporate overhead
- Procurement
REVENUE SYNERGIES $1.0B
- Advertising
- Churn reduction
- Cross selling
TOTAL SYNERGIES $2.5B ~ $0.7B ~ $2.0B ~ $2.5B
Leverage Update 2019
2019 PLAN
YE 2018 2019 YE 2019
~$170B ~$150B
~2.8x1 ~2.5x1
LIQUIDITY AND REFINANCING
~$6-$8B
Other cash generation initiatives ~$158B
~2.6x1
1 Net debt to Adj. EBITDA ratio; illustrative of $60B Adj. EBITDAPension plan essentially fully funded
~$12B Free cash flow after dividends
Hedged against rising interest rates Successfully managed near term maturities and refi risk
2019
Consolidated Guidance
2019 2019 FREE CASH FLOW
$26B range
DIVIDEND PAYOUT
High 50s %
NET DEBT TO ADJ. EBITDA
2.5x range
GROSS CAPITAL INVESTMENT
1
$23B range
- ADJ. EPS GROWTH %
2
Low single digits
1 Excludes expected FirstNet reimbursement in the $1 billion range; includes potential vendor financing. 2 Adjustments include merger-related adjusted amortization costs in the range of $7.5 billion, a non-cash mark-to-market benefit plan gain/loss, merger integration and other- adjustments. We expect the mark-to-market adjustment which is driven by interest rates and investment returns that are not reasonably estimable at this time, to be a