ANNU ANNUAL AL GENERAL GENERAL MEETING MEETING
April 19, 2018 Quesnel, B.C.
ANNU ANNUAL AL GENERAL GENERAL MEETING MEETING April 19, 2018 - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
ANNU ANNUAL AL GENERAL GENERAL MEETING MEETING April 19, 2018 Quesnel, B.C. Financial Results 2017 2016 2004 5.13 Sales 5,134 4,450 2,400 Billion Adjusted EBITDA 1,112 674 622 in sales Earnings 596 326 212 2 Lumber
ANNU ANNUAL AL GENERAL GENERAL MEETING MEETING
April 19, 2018 Quesnel, B.C.
2
Financial Results
2017 2016 2004
Sales 5,134 4,450 2,400 Adjusted EBITDA 1,112 674 622 Earnings 596 326 212
3
Lumber Financial Results
2017 2016 2004
Production (MMfbm) SPF 3,809 3,796 2,470 SYP 2,424 2,139 302 Sales 3,671 3,145 1,475 Adjusted EBITDA 836 508 517
250 300 350 400 450 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
Benchmark Lumber Prices
SPF #2 & Better 2x4 (per Mfbm) SYP #2 West 2x4 (per Mfbm)
4
U.S. Housing Starts
Source: US Census Bureau, FEA Forecast 01-18
Expect that the recovery has room to continue
200 400 600 800 1,000 1,200 1,400 1,600 1,800 2,000 2,200
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018F 2019F 2020F
Thousands
Total Single Multi Underlying Demand
5
Source: US Census Bureau, Statistics Canada, West Fraser Forecast
Demand for lumber expected to grow by 2B board feet per year
75 72 64 51 43 43 45 48 50 53 56 58 60 62 64 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018F 2019F 2020F US Consumption Canadian Consumption
North American Lumber Consumption
6
North American Lumber Production
Billion Bf
Source: US Census Bureau & Statistics Canada, West Fraser Forecast
US South only significant growth region
5 10 15 20 25 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018F 2019F 2020F
U.S. Canada Canada West (R Axis) Canada East (R Axis) US West (R Axis) US South (R Axis)
7
North American Lumber Supply & Demand
Source: US Census Bureau & Statistics Canada, West Fraser Forecast
52 54 56 58 60 62 64 66 68 70 72 2015 2016 2017 2018F 2019F 2020F Production Demand On North American Mills Billion bf
Imports 2005: 3.0 billion bf Imports 2010: 0.5 billion bf Imports 2017: 1.4 billion bf 2020: 4.2 billion bf
Potentially growing gap in lumber supply
8
Panels Financial Results
2017 2016 2004
Plywood Production (MMsf 3/8” basis) 838 826 249 MDF Production (MMsf 3/4” basis) 191 160 285 LVL Production (Mcf) 2,676 2,215
600 529 284 Adjusted EBITDA 113 89 74
375 425 475 525 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
Benchmark Plywood Prices
Plywood Production (MMsf 3/8” basis)
9
Pulp & Paper Financial Results
2017 2016 2004
Production (Mtonnes) NBSK 498 527
674 665 522 Newsprint 122 128 135 Sales 988 887 641 Adjusted EBITDA 172 79 45
475 675 875 1075 1275 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
Benchmark Pulp Prices
NBSK – U.S. (per tonne) NBSK – China (per tonne) Newsprint (per tonne)
10
Our objective: Low-cost, high margin producer in each of our product lines, diversified across geographic regions We’re prepared for the future. We’ve invested in:
technology
Achieving Our Potential
Lumber Producer
North America
11
Gilman Acquisition
US South Lumber Producer
employees
plant and a regional
in the US South
12
West Fraser 2017
locations
13
Increased Capacity
BC 34% Alberta 23% U.S. 43% 2017 Lumber Capacity (7.2 billion feet)
BC Alberta U.S.
billion board feet
0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%
2017 Revenue Mix: Lumber Pulp Panels
BC 75% Alberta 12% U.S. 13% 2004 Lumber Capacity (2.76 billion feet)
14
North American Lumber Capacity
1,000 2,000 3,000 4,000 5,000 6,000 7,000 8,000
SPF SYP Other
15
Our objective: Low-cost, high margin producer in each of our product lines, diversified across geographic regions We’re prepared for the future. We’ve invested in:
technology
Achieving Our Potential
Lumber Producer
North America
16
Capital Spending
100 200 300 400 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
Capital Expenditure
$ Millions
Billion in capital
17
Major projects since 2012
Modernizing our Operations
Major rebuilds of 11 sawmills Upgraded 13 planers Built 6 energy and bioproducts projects Added 33 continuous kilns
18
Our objective: Low-cost, high margin producer in each of our product lines, diversified across geographic regions We’re prepared for the future. We’ve invested in:
technology
Achieving Our Potential
Lumber Producer
North America
19
20
It’s up to each of us to achieve our goal, to eliminate serious incidents and injuries
and productively, not choosing one over the
2017
– This is on top of a 25% reduction in serious injuries between 2015 and 2016
(LTA's) reduced by 30%
Safety
serious injuries
21
Our objective: Low-cost, high margin producer in each of our product lines, diversified across geographic regions We’re prepared for the future. We’ve invested in:
technology
Achieving Our Potential
Lumber Producer
North America
22
Promote within
employee’s development
– Internal courses and skills training – Partnerships with educational
Our People
23
Recognition
24
Part of our Communities
Million in donations
2015-2017
Hinton’s West Fraser Guild and the Williams Lake West Fraser Aquatic Centre and Sam Ketcham Pool, Maplesville High Homecoming, West Fraser Centre arena in Quesnel
25
Part of our Communities
Organizations received donations in 2017
Edmonton Habitat for Humanity, Leola AR Millin’ and Grillin’ at Timberfest, architecture students visiting Mansfield AR, West Fraser Outdoor Discovery Park near Sundre, AB
26
10.40% 7.30% 6.30% 6.30% 5.50%
0% 2% 4% 6% 8% 10% 12%
West Fraser TSX Competitor A Competitor B Competitor C
2005 - 2017
Source: Toronto Dominion Bank
Total Shareholder Return (Annual)
27
$1,000 invested: 2005 - 2017
$3,640 $2,510 $2,230 $2,200 $2,000
500 1,000 1,500 2,000 2,500 3,000 3,500 4,000
West Fraser TSX Competitor A Competitor B Competitor C
Source: Toronto Dominion Bank
Total Shareholder Return (Annual)
28
Challenges
29
Investing to Compete in BC
Major capital projects since 2011
In British Columbia, we’ve invested in our facilities so we’re prepared to compete:
Planers
Sawmill rebuilds
2013
Continuous Kilns
Energy & Bioproducts
refining 2018
30