Anglo American Thermal Coal Investor Presentation April 2010 0 0 - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

anglo american thermal coal investor presentation
SMART_READER_LITE
LIVE PREVIEW

Anglo American Thermal Coal Investor Presentation April 2010 0 0 - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

Anglo American Thermal Coal Investor Presentation April 2010 0 0 Agenda 1. Overview of Anglo American Thermal Coal (AATC) 2. Market Overview 3. Strategy & Growth Pipeline 1 Agenda 1. Overview of Anglo American Thermal Coal (AATC)


slide-1
SLIDE 1

Anglo American Thermal Coal Investor Presentation

April 2010

slide-2
SLIDE 2

1

Agenda

1. Overview of Anglo American Thermal Coal (AATC) 2. Market Overview 3. Strategy & Growth Pipeline

slide-3
SLIDE 3

2

Agenda

1. Overview of Anglo American Thermal Coal (AATC) 2. Market Overview 3. Strategy & Growth Pipeline

slide-4
SLIDE 4

Historical Timeline

Source: Anglo American Thermal Coal

3

1930 1940 1950 1990 2000 2009 1900 1970 1960 1980 . . . . .

….

. . . . . . ... 1897 Vereeniging Estates Limited (VEL) incorporated into a newly listed company 1897 1941 Production reaches 5Mt 1941 1949 Production reaches 12Mt 1949 1998 Production reaches 53Mt 1998 1998 Acquisition of Cerrejon 1998 1998 Amcoal absorbed into Anglo American Corporation of SA 1998 1975 Anglo American merges its various coal ventures into VEL which changes its name to Anglo American Coal Corporation Ltd (Amcoal) 1975 2009 Anglo American splits its coal

  • perations into

focused Thermal & Metallurgical product divisions 2009 1964 Production reaches 17Mt 1964 1976 Richards Bay Coal Terminal

  • pens

1976 2009 Production reaches 98Mt 2009 1999 Acquisition of Shell Coal 1999 1999 Anglo American lists in London 1999 1945 Anglo American buys a controlling interest in VEL 1945 1936 VEL combines its coal interests with those of A&E to form Amalgamated Collieries, then the largest coal group in Africa 1936

slide-5
SLIDE 5

Overview of Anglo American Thermal Coal

1

Notes: 1. Zibulo was previously known as Zondagsfontein Project. Steady state production will be 6.6Mtpa 2. Production of AIC assets reported at 100% Source: Anglo American Thermal Coal

Puerto Bolìvar (33%)

7 1 5 6

Richards Bay (27%)

4

Colombia (2009) Colombia (2009) South Africa (2009) South Africa (2009)

Mine Holding Total Attributable production 2009 Export Mt Domestic Mt LOM Years

  • 1. Cerrejòn

33% 10.2Mt 10.2

  • 23

EBIT (2009) US$305m Mine Holding Total Attributable production 2009 Export Mt Domestic Mt LOM Years

  • 1. Goedehoop

100% 6.9Mt 6.9

  • 10
  • 2. Greenside

100% 3.8Mt 3.3 0.5 12

  • 3. Kleinkopje

100% 4.4Mt 2.0 2.4 14

  • 4. Landau

100% 4.2Mt 3.9 0.3 11

  • 5. Kriel

73% 11.2Mt

  • 11.2

16

  • 6. New Denmark

100% 3.7Mt

  • 3.7

31

  • 7. New Vaal

100% 17.6Mt

  • 17.6

18

  • 8. Isibonelo

100% 5.1Mt

  • 5.1

17

  • 9. Mafube

50% 2.2Mt 1.2 1.0 20 1 Zibulo1 73% 0.1Mt 0.0 0.0 17 Total production 59.2Mt 17.3 41.8 Employees 14,446 EBIT (2009) US$439m

Export Eskom Other domestic

1 1 5 6 7

9

2 3 4

8

10 9

2 3 4 10

8

slide-6
SLIDE 6

A Stable Cash & Earnings Contributor to AA Plc

Source: Anglo American annual financial statements * For 2004 to 2007 Australia segment previously reported used for Met Coal. Balance of previous Anglo Coal EBIT allocated to Thermal Coal Division

0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009

For 2004-09 Thermal Coal on average accounted for 9% of Anglo American EBIT

Anglo Thermal Coal Anglo Met Coal Total Coal

5

AATC has been a consistent contributor to Anglo American profitability Coal % Contribution to AA EBIT Coal % Contribution to AA EBIT

slide-7
SLIDE 7

6

AATC South Africa Safety Performance

AATC South Africa Lost Time Injury Frequency Rate & Fatalities AATC South Africa Lost Time Injury Frequency Rate & Fatalities

0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8

Source: Anglo American Thermal Coal

2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 LTIFR

  • 2 Fatalities in 2009 vs. 4 in 2008. Zero for 2010 YTD
  • LTIFR improvement of 9.4%
  • AATC 2009 fatal injury frequency rate was 0.009

compared to 0.05 for the RSA coal industry

  • AATC 2009 LTIFR was 0.29 compared to 0.31 for the

RSA coal industry

  • Isibonelo more than two years LTI free
  • Rapid Loading Terminal Zero harm in 2009
  • HPI reporting fully implemented

Fatalities

LTIFR Fatalities

Safety is our No. 1 Priority

slide-8
SLIDE 8

South African Operations Location

7

Source: Anglo American Thermal Coal

slide-9
SLIDE 9

South African Logistics

8

Source: Transnet, Anglo American Thermal Coal

  • Coal railed to Richard Bay Coal Terminal

(RBCT) for export

  • Coal is railed by Transnet Freight Rail (TFR) -

with nominal railing capacity of 72Mtpa

  • In 2009 TFR railed only 61Mt – railing volumes

are bottleneck to coal exports

  • AATC has 27% shareholding in RBCT
  • RBCT capacity is 72Mt going to 91Mtpa from

2010 - post Phase V expansion

South Africa coalfields rail & port infrastructure South Africa coalfields rail & port infrastructure

slide-10
SLIDE 10

Mining Methods

  • Mafube
  • Waterberg
  • Landau
  • Kleinkopje
  • New Vaal
  • Isibonelo
  • New Largo
  • Goedehoop
  • Greenside
  • Kriel
  • Zibulo
  • Elders
  • Limpopo
  • New Denmark
  • Heidelberg

Surface/Opencast Mining Underground Mining

Doze Over Shovel & Truck Dragline Strip Mining Bord & Pillar Mining Longwall Mining Mini Pit Mining Pillar Extraction

A. B. 1. 2. 3. 3. 2. 1.

9

Source: Anglo American Thermal Coal

Mining method choice critical to reserve extraction

  • ptimisation
slide-11
SLIDE 11

…Anglo Coal SA is a major player in all market segments

AATC South Africa Market Position

22% 20% 16% 14% 9% 5% 14% Anglo Exxaro Sasol BHP Xstrata Optimum Others

10

Source: Wood Mackenzie, Company Financial Statements

AATC is the leading coal producer in South Africa & holds around a quarter of market share Total South Africa production for 2009 of approximately 260 Mt Total South Africa production for 2009 of approximately 260 Mt

slide-12
SLIDE 12

Opportunity exists to further reduce costs. Project underway to review cost structures and asset portfolio

Source: AME FOB Cost Curve 2010

A 1st Cost Quartile Thermal Coal Producer

11

All AATC South African export operations within the 1st cost quartile of the AME 2010 global cost curve…

90 90 80 80 70 70 60 60 50 50 40 40 30 30 20 20 10 10 50 100 150 200 250 300 350 400 450 500

Cumulative Forecast Production, Mt

Port Loading Freight Royalties Mining & Processing Labour

slide-13
SLIDE 13

Opportunity exists to further reduce costs. Project underway to review cost structures and asset portfolio

Source: Anglo American Thermal Coal

RSA Domestic Market: Eskom & Other

12

Domestic production share of total AATC RSA tonnage Domestic production share of total AATC RSA tonnage

10 20 30 40 50 60

Production, Mt

Export 62% 27% 11%

AATC supplies c.30% of Eskom total

AATC a major supplier of coal to Eskom – and expected to grow

  • c. 36Mt to Eskom for power generation
  • Eskom average CV (air dried) 4,550kc/kg ( 19.1MJ/kg)
  • Pricing strategy a combination of long term cost-plus

arrangements and some at fixed price + escalation

  • c. 7Mt of other domestic tonnage including:

‒ 5Mt from Isibonelo supplying to Sasol ‒ 2Mt to a range of other industrial customers

Share of total Eskom tonnage Share of total Eskom tonnage

Other Domestic Eskom

slide-14
SLIDE 14

ACSA operations are currently well positioned on the 2008 AME Cost Curve

Note: 1. ARA = Amsterdam, Rotterdam, Antwerp Source: Anglo American Thermal Coal

RSA Export Market

13

Export production share of total AATC RSA tonnage Export production share of total AATC RSA tonnage

10 20 30 40 50 60

Production, Mt

Eskom Export 62% 27% Other Domestic 11%

2009 exports by destination country/region 2009 exports by destination country/region 2009 exports by customer type 2009 exports by customer type

4 8 12 16 Bank Importer to India Industry Supplier Physical Trader Power Utility Steel Utility Traders 2.4 Mt 7.0Mt 3.4Mt 1.2Mt 1.0Mt 1.0Mt 4 8 12 16 4.9 Mt 3.7 Mt 1.4 Mt 1.0 Mt 2.0 Mt 3.8 Mt

Export Sales, Mt Export Sales, Mt

Other Europe Other Asia Israel Italy ARA1 India

30% of AATC SA’s thermal exports to India in 2009

slide-15
SLIDE 15

ACSA operations are currently well positioned on the 2008 AME Cost Curve

Opportunity exists to further reduce costs. Project underway to review cost structures and asset portfolio

Source: Anglo American Thermal Coal

Cost Breakdown

14

Labour the major cost component showing cost increases

  • f over 9% per annum over the past 3 years

AATC South Africa cost breakdown AATC South Africa cost breakdown

43% 24% 15% 7% 3% 0% 8%

Labour & contractors Maintenance & stores Rail, wharfage & other selling costs Consumables Power Royalties Other 2009 Actual

  • Royalties will be applicable from

2010 – expected to account for ~1% of costs

  • Electricity a relatively small share
  • f total costs: Eskom power price

increases will add 1% to overall costs in 2010 - but will continue to rise

slide-16
SLIDE 16

AATC South Africa Margins & ROCE

Source: Anglo American Thermal Coal

15

Stable margins despite turbulent times AATC South Africa EBIT margin AATC South Africa EBIT margin

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%

2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 200 400 600 800 1000 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 40% 45% 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 US$m EBIT Margin ROCE

EBIT EBIT Margin

Historic adjusted ROCE Historic adjusted ROCE Price & exchange rate sensitivity Price & exchange rate sensitivity

5 10 15 20

Change in EBIT US$m US$1/t change in price ZAR0.10 change against the US$

slide-17
SLIDE 17

Leadership in BEE Transactions: Eyesizwe and AIC

Anglo Inyosi Coal

27 % 73%

Lithemba Consortium Pamodzi Coal WDB Investment Holdings Inyosi Anglo Coal Communities

33% 33% 19% 15%

  • Kriel
  • Zibulo
  • New Largo
  • Elders Projects
  • Heidelberg

Dynamic consortium partner grouping with strong women & community participation

  • Anglo Inyosi Coal formed in November 2007 for

R7bn

  • 27% BEE participation from inception
  • Resources of 4.1 billion tonnes
  • Optimal asset mix (existing operations & projects)
  • Stable cashflow stream through Kriel Colliery
  • ESOP commitment
  • All AATC’s SA mineral rights converted

Source: Anglo American Thermal Coal

16

Anglo Inyosi Coal empowerment transaction Anglo Inyosi Coal empowerment transaction

Operations

slide-18
SLIDE 18

Social Responsibility

17

  • Progress against Mining Charter
  • BEE procurement spend 2009: R5.6Bn (56%)
  • HDSA in Management: 45% (target 40%)
  • Women in Mining: 16.5% (target 10%)
  • Women in Management: 17%
  • Women in Technical Occupations: 11%
  • Learnerships in AATC SA: 545 (88% HDSA)
  • Focus Areas of Social and Labour Plans (SLP’s)
  • Infrastructure
  • Education and Skills Development
  • SMME development
  • Agriculture
  • Environment
  • Sports, Arts and Culture
  • Strengthening partnerships with government and NGO’s
  • Guided by the Anglo Social Way

Educator Development Programme Winter school classes at Empucukweni Secondary School

Robust implementation of SLP commitments

Vegetable garden at Edward Matjeka Primary School

Source: Anglo American Thermal Coal

slide-19
SLIDE 19

Addresses environmental impact of mine water whilst alleviating water shortage in local community of Emalahleni

Sustainable Development: Water Treatment

Navigation Kleinkopje Greenside South Witbank

Source: Anglo American Thermal Coal

18

ZAR390m Capex, 25 Ml/day potable + 8 Ml/day process water SA’s first large-scale mine water treatment plant SA’s first large-scale mine water treatment plant

slide-20
SLIDE 20

AATC Asset Optimisation Initiatives

Source: Mining Consultancy Services - www.mcs-com.net

19

  • Asset optimisation is clearly

focused on key mining equipment and supporting activities

  • Opencast mines

Draglines (“DIG” Initiative)

  • Underground mines

Continuous miners (“CMIG” initiative)

G/Side Vuma G/Side Thandeka Kriel Ngwenya GH Sim Iskonjane Vlak Mangwapa Kriel Fezela G/Side George GH Sim Imvubu GH South Khomanani Kriel Ishlosi Kriel Bhubezi Kriel Bhejane G/Side Thusanang GH South Sizimisele Hope 5/6

ROM Tons Jan – Dec 2009

1 Million ton projected target

5/Top 10 = Anglo ☺

CMIG Project: Benchmarking against 109 continuous miners in SA CMIG Project: Benchmarking against 109 continuous miners in SA

1.2 1.0 0.8 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.0 Mt

Position Section Miner Hauler Prod Shifts 1 G/Side Vumagara 12HM31 20 ton S/C 8 x 8 x M 2 Other ABM30 Cont Haulage 10 x 10 x M 3 Other ABM30 Cont Haulage 10 x 10 x M 4 G/Side Thandeka 12HM31 20 ton S/C 8 x 8 x M 5 Other ABM30 Cont Haulage 10 x 10 x M 6 Kriel Ngw enya 12HM21 16/20 ton S/C 8 x 8 x 8 7 G/Hoop Isikhonyane 12HM31 20 ton S/C 8 x 8 x 8 8 G/Hoop Mangw apa 12HM31 20 ton S/C 8 x 8 x 8 9 Other 12HM31 16 ton S/C 10 x 10 x M 10 Other 12HM31 20 ton S/C 8 x 8 x 8

AATC’s mines operate 5 out of the top 10 performing Continuous Miners in South Africa

slide-21
SLIDE 21

20

Agenda

1. Overview of Anglo American Thermal Coal (AATC) 2. Market Overview 3. Strategy & Growth Pipeline

slide-22
SLIDE 22

0% 2% 4% 6% 8% 10% China India Brazil Russia Africa Middle East OECD

Fuel Demand Outlook

  • 1. Million tonnes of oil equivalent

Source: IEA World Energy Outlook 2009 (Reference scenario)

1990-2007 2007-2015 2007-2030

GDP CAGR

Continued urbanisation & industrialisation in developing countries especially in Asia

21

1000 2000 3000 4000 5000 6000 Coal Oil Gas Nuclear Hydro Biomass and waste Other renew.

Mtoe1

2007 2030

GDP growth is the principal driver of growth in demand for energy GDP growth is the principal driver of growth in demand for energy Coal is forecast to increase its share of primary energy, due to higher share of power generation Coal is forecast to increase its share of primary energy, due to higher share of power generation

slide-23
SLIDE 23

22

Thermal Coal-Fired Energy Demand

2,000 4,000 6,000 8,000 10,000 12,000 14,000 16,000

2007 2015 2020 2025 2030

Twh

Asia

  • China
  • India

Europe North America CAGR 2.7% 4.0% 4.0% 5.7% 0.5% 0.5% Total South America Middle East Africa 6.9% 4.6% 1.8% 8,200 10,500 11,750 13,500 15,300

Majority of thermal coal market is domestic, with only ~10%-15% of volume entering the seaborne export market Thermal coal-fired energy demand expected to almost double over the next 20 years, mainly driven by Asian markets Thermal coal-fired energy demand expected to almost double over the next 20 years, mainly driven by Asian markets

Source: IEA World Energy Outlook 2009 (Reference scenario)

slide-24
SLIDE 24

23

Seaborne Export Supply & Demand

India the key driver of export demand due to high forecast GDP growth & a shortfall in domestic supply India the key driver of export demand due to high forecast GDP growth & a shortfall in domestic supply Indonesia, Australia and Colombia with the highest expected supply growth Indonesia, Australia and Colombia with the highest expected supply growth

250 500 750 1,000 1,250 India Europe North America Africa, ME, S Am 2025 1,018 2015 829 2009 681

Demand, Mt

Other Asia CAGR 2.5% Total 4.1% 2.6% 0.7% 9.6% 1.9% 250 500 750 1,000 1,250 2015 758 2009 627 Russia Australia Indonesia

Supply, Mt

South Africa Colombia China USA Other 2025 926 CAGR 2.5% Total 0.5% 1.8% 3.0% 3.1% 3.1% 0.5% 1.5% 1.0%

Seaborne export market trends highlight key supply and demand markets across the globe

Source: Wood Mackenzie

slide-25
SLIDE 25

24

Growth focused on the Indo-Pacific basin

Source: Anglo internal, IEA, McCloskey, Wood Mackenzie Note: Only major trade flows shown; rounded figures, 2009 basis

USA/Can. 22Mt imports India 50Mt imports China 50Mt imports Europe 160Mt imports

  • N. East Asia

221Mt imports Importer Exporter Major trade flows Minor trade flows Indonesia 215Mt exports Others 74Mt exports Others 117Mt imports

36 Mt 26 Mt

to Asia

35% of

world thermal demand in the Atlantic basin

65% of

world thermal demand in the Indo- Pacific basin

Australia 135Mt exports Colombia 65Mt exports South Africa 62Mt exports Russia 69Mt exports

slide-26
SLIDE 26

25

AATC maintains its position as swing supplier to Atlantic and Indo-Pacific markets

2009 8% 672 12% Europe

  • 11%

Other Asia +28% Others +1% ME

  • 2%

India +55% 6% 14% 2007 68 63% 70 42 (60%) 6% 13% 7% 10% 2008 2006 7% 8 (12%) 68 76% 8% 2003 71 12% 2004 80% 75 10% 2% 7% 4% 75% 8% 2% 8% 68 79% 12% 2005 7% 5% 8% 29 (44%) 19 (28%)

  • 1%

CAGR '03–'09 Volume in Mt 1 (% of total sales)

Note: 1. Minor volume of Met Coal included in export figures 2. Including 3 Mt metallurgical coal Source: McCloskey; AATC analysis

Declining volumes to Europe

– Overall stagnating market demand due to economic and environmental factors – Competition from Colombian coal suppliers and softer gas prices

Increasing volumes to India

– Strong growth of Indian seaborne demand – South Africa geographically favorably positioned to supply India – Complementary product properties to lower CV, high moisture Indonesian coal – Premium achieved on exports to India compared to Europe South African exports 2003–2009 South African exports 2003–2009

30% of AATC’s SA exports supplied to India in 2009

slide-27
SLIDE 27

Thermal Coal Pricing Outlook

26 1981 - 2001 2002 - 2007 2010 - 2014 2008 - 2009 USD/t

Source: McCloskey

Export thermal coal prices follow indices – which are expected to remain high going forward Export thermal coal prices follow indices – which are expected to remain high going forward

API4 forward curve API4 (FOB RBCT)

slide-28
SLIDE 28

27

Key market trends and implications for Thermal Coal

Market trend Market trend Thermal Coal implications Thermal Coal implications

Pace of growth in China and India

  • Export market growth will be driven by two key markets
  • Moderate slow-down in Chinese GDP growth and delays to Indian expansion not

expected to change structural market shift

Rail and port constraints

  • Restricted rail and port facilities in key geographies, particularly Australia and

Southern Africa, limit growth

  • Supply constraints could result in pricing upside

Environmental Regulation and Taxation

  • Understand impact in each market and develop appropriate mitigation strategies

Alternative Fuels

  • Coal is expected to maintain its share of growing world primary energy to 2030
  • Impact of cheaper gas expected to be limited on main growth markets for coal
  • Important to keep track of impact of - and potential opportunities in - related fields

Source: Anglo American Thermal Coal

slide-29
SLIDE 29

28

Agenda

1. Overview of Anglo American Thermal Coal (AATC) 2. Market Overview 3. Strategy & Growth Pipeline

slide-30
SLIDE 30

Anglo American Thermal Coal Future Production

20 40 60 80 100 120 140 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020

Limpopo Elders OC Cerrejon P500 Waterberg Elders UG Heidelberg UG New Largo Cerrejon P40 Existing and Approved

Current production levels are sustainable for a number of years. Current production levels are sustainable for a number of years.

29 Production, Mt

Source: Anglo American Thermal Coal

Projects under review could increase production levels significantly

slide-31
SLIDE 31

Approved project: Zibulo

30

Source: Anglo American Thermal Coal

General information Products

  • Export
  • Eskom

Financials People Ownership Production & reserves

  • Approved in Dec. 2007
  • Project includes colliery and Phola coal wash plant
  • Mining started Q4 2009 (0.1Mt)
  • Full capacity 6.6Mt reached in 2012
  • 3.3mtpa
  • 3.3mtpa
  • Capital expenditure = US$505m
  • 659 @ full production
  • 73% Anglo American
  • 27% Inyosi
  • 20 year life @ 8mtpa ROM
  • 8 CM production units supported by battery haulers & shuttle cars

Topic Topic Description Description

slide-32
SLIDE 32

Project: New Largo

31

Source: Anglo American Thermal Coal

Topic Topic

Timeline Products

  • Eskom

Financials People Ownership Production & reserves

Description Description

  • Feasibility study: 2010 – 2011
  • First coal: 2013
  • Full capacity: 2017
  • 14mtpa to Kusile Power Station
  • Estimated capital expenditure = US$1.7Bn
  • 870 @ full production
  • 73% Anglo American
  • 27% Inyosi
  • 50 year life @ 14mtpa ROM
  • Two 100m3 draglines
slide-33
SLIDE 33

32

South Africa Infrastructure Constraints

South Africa forecast power supply & demand South Africa forecast power supply & demand TFR expected railings vs RBCT capacity TFR expected railings vs RBCT capacity SA infrastructure capacity expected to expand but both rail and power supply expected to be limited in medium-term

20 40 60 80 100

2011 2012 2013 2014 2015

2011 2012 2015 Anglo TFR Allocation Others TFR Allocation

Source: Anglo American Thermal Coal, Eskom, TFR

RBCT Capacity

Capacity, Mt

240 250 260 270 280 290 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014

TWh

Demand Demand with energy savings Supply 2014 2013

slide-34
SLIDE 34

Southern Africa Infrastructure

33

Undeveloped basins will require significant transport infrastructure investment

Richards Bay Witbank-Highveld Maputo Limpopo Tete

Existing export corridors Emergent export corridors

Waterberg (to connect to RBCT line) Botswana Hwange Beira

Source: Anglo American Thermal Coal

Emergent coal export corridors – possible medium term scenario Emergent coal export corridors – possible medium term scenario

slide-35
SLIDE 35

34

Coal Bed Methane Gas

Waterberg CBM Pilot Project

LEPHALALE GROOTEGELUK COLLIERY

Cleaner energy from coal – leading the exploration of CBM in Southern Africa

Waterberg

  • Waterberg CBM exploration proceeding
  • Small-scale production tests ongoing
  • Conceptual study in progress

Botswana

  • Significant leaseholds in Botswana
  • Reconnaissance exploration in progress

CBM exploration and pilot projects CBM exploration and pilot projects

Source: Anglo American Thermal Coal

slide-36
SLIDE 36

35

Discard Coal-Fired Power Project

Reducing environmental impact of waste dumps – and improving SA power supply

  • Project under evaluation: fluidised bed boiler

technology, ~300MW

  • Third party ownership – est. capex ~US$600m
  • Power for use of Anglo American - could enable

growth projects and hedge against future costs of power

  • Technical advisers appointed

Witbank project to utilise waste coal Witbank project to utilise waste coal

Source: Anglo American Thermal Coal

slide-37
SLIDE 37

36

Conclusion

Stable cash generating business and consistent contributor to AA plc profitability Positive market outlook for RSA thermal coal in the medium term driven by export demand in the

Indo-Pacific region & domestic South African power demand

Thermal export prices expected to remain at historically high levels in the medium term AATC South African operations in the 1st quartile of the global cost curve Strong growth pipeline but infrastructure constraints will need to be resolved Strong resource & reserve position with reserves of 1.2 billion saleable tons (proved & probable)

& further resources of 1.9 billion MTIS1 (measured & indicated)

Global growth opportunities under evaluation Notes: 1. MTIS = minable tonnage in situ. Reserves & resources include South Africa and Colombia

slide-38
SLIDE 38

Appendix

slide-39
SLIDE 39

38

Global Coal Production

Small imbalances in large domestic markets like China & India have a significant impact on the export market

0.0 0.3 0.5 0.8 1.0 1.3 1.5 China USA India Australia Indonesia South Africa Russia Colombia Poland Canada

Source: BP Statistical Review of World Energy 2009, Wood Mackenzie *Note: Includes all coal types

Major Domestic Markets Net Exporters

Mtoe

Total world coal production of 6.8Bt in 2008 concentrated in relatively few countries & principally in domestic markets Total world coal production of 6.8Bt in 2008 concentrated in relatively few countries & principally in domestic markets

0.0 1.0 2.0 3.0 4.0 5.0 6.0 7.0

Production*, Bt

China USA India Australia Russia South Africa Other Indonesia 41% 16% 8% 6% 5%

4% 3%

18% Domestic Export 87% 13%

Production by Country Production by Market

Major coal producers & exporters (2008) Major coal producers & exporters (2008)

Coal Produced Coal Consumed

slide-40
SLIDE 40

39

Management Team

CEO Thermal Coal

  • N. Mbazima

AATC building up an integrated management team

Head of Thermal Operations

  • D. Haselau

Head of Commercial & Performance

  • M. Samad

Head of Human Resources

  • P. Williamson

Head of Marketing & Sales

  • Z. Docrat*

Manager

  • Comm. &

Public Affairs

  • Y. Mfolo

Head of Safety

  • P. Fourie

* Acting

Head of Strategy & BD

  • L. Horne*

Joint Venture Manager Cerrejón

  • C. Wiggill

Head of Mining Services

  • A. Johnson

Source: Anglo American Thermal Coal