and Houses? Even without the Expressway, Oxfordshire is growing at - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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and Houses? Even without the Expressway, Oxfordshire is growing at - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

and Houses? Even without the Expressway, Oxfordshire is growing at an unprecedented rate 2016 - 2040 OXIS Proposed Growth 2016 - 2040 OXIS Proposed Growth 2016 - 2040 More Houses OXIS Proposed Growth 2016 - 2040 More Houses More People


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and Houses?

Even without the Expressway, Oxfordshire is growing at an unprecedented rate

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2016 - 2040

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OXIS Proposed Growth 2016 - 2040

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More Houses

OXIS Proposed Growth 2016 - 2040

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More Houses More People

OXIS Proposed Growth 2016 - 2040

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More Houses More People More Jobs

OXIS Proposed Growth 2016 - 2040

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More Houses More People More Jobs

Current totals 2016

260,000 650,000 366,000*

* 2017/18 figures

OXIS Proposed Growth 2016 - 2040

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The Expressway will add even more houses

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The Expressway will add even more houses

The Ox-Cam Arc’s ‘Transformational Scenario’

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The Expressway will add even more houses

The Ox-Cam Arc’s ‘Transformational Scenario’

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The Expressway will add even more houses

The Ox-Cam Arc’s ‘Transformational Scenario’

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The Expressway will add even more houses

Currently planned homes Currently planned + backlog homes

The Ox-Cam Arc’s ‘Transformational Scenario’

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The Expressway will add even more houses

Currently planned homes Currently planned + backlog homes Additional Ox-Cam ‘Arc’ homes

The Ox-Cam Arc’s ‘Transformational Scenario’

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…how many new homes along the Expressway itself?

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…how many new homes along the Expressway itself?

Highways England proposes 86,000 new houses near Bicester

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…how many new homes along the Expressway itself?

Highways England proposes 86,000 new houses near Bicester

That’s 202,000 people (Oxford City has 154,600 2017 figure )

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…….and the same again ‘East of Oakley’… 65,000 houses

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…….and the same again ‘East of Oakley’… 65,000 houses

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…….and the same again ‘East of Oakley’… 65,000 houses

That’s 150,000 people (Oxford City has 154,600 2017 figure )

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Whichever route is chosen in Oxfordshire, the Expressway alone will support no more than 114,000 houses (266,000 people).

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Whichever route is chosen in Oxfordshire, the Expressway alone will support no more than 114,000 houses (266,000 people). The NIC Report (5th Studio SQW) says there will be 170,000 new houses in Oxfordshire (the ‘transformational growth’ figure).

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Whichever route is chosen in Oxfordshire, the Expressway alone will support no more than 114,000 houses (266,000 people). The NIC Report (5th Studio SQW) says there will be 170,000 new houses in Oxfordshire (the ‘transformational growth’ figure). ….that leaves a balance of 56,000 houses to be built ‘somewhere else’ in Oxfordshire (i.e. another 103,000 people)

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200,000 400,000 600,000 800,000 1,000,000 1,200,000 1,400,000 900 1100 1300 1500 1700 1900 2100

Total population

Year, AD

Oxfordshire's total population since the Domesday Book 1086

Growth target to 2050, including expressway housing (total = 300,000 new houses) Oxfordshire's population since Domesday Book

2050 target,

560,000 houses, 1.3 million people Domesday, 1086. 6713 houses, 27,000 people Last census, 2011.

  • c. 260,000 houses,

650,000 people

Oxfordshire’s past, and proposed growth to 2050

Last census, 2011.

  • c. 260,000 houses,

650,000 people

200,000 400,000 600,000 800,000 1,000,000 1,200,000 1,400,000 900 1100 1300 1500 1700 1900 2100

Total population

Year, AD

Oxfordshire's total population since the Domesday Book 1086

Oxfordshire's population since Domesday Book

Domesday, 1086. 6713 houses, 27,000 people Last census, 2011.

  • c. 260,000 houses,

650,000 people

200,000 400,000 600,000 800,000 1,000,000 1,200,000 1,400,000 900 1100 1300 1500 1700 1900 2100

Total population

Year, AD

Oxfordshire's total population since the Domesday Book 1086

Domesday, 1086. 6713 houses, 27,000 people

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200,000 400,000 600,000 800,000 1,000,000 1,200,000 1,400,000 900 1100 1300 1500 1700 1900 2100

Total population

Year, AD

Oxfordshire's total population since the Domesday Book 1086

Growth target to 2050, including expressway housing (total = 300,000 new houses) Oxfordshire's population since Domesday Book

2050 target,

560,000 houses, 1.3 million people Domesday, 1086. 6713 houses, 27,000 people Last census, 2011.

  • c. 260,000 houses,

650,000 people

Oxfordshire’s past, and proposed growth to 2050

Last census, 2011.

  • c. 260,000 houses,

650,000 people

200,000 400,000 600,000 800,000 1,000,000 1,200,000 1,400,000 900 1100 1300 1500 1700 1900 2100

Total population

Year, AD

Oxfordshire's total population since the Domesday Book 1086

Oxfordshire's population since Domesday Book

Domesday, 1086. 6713 houses, 27,000 people Last census, 2011.

  • c. 260,000 houses,

650,000 people

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SLIDE 25

200,000 400,000 600,000 800,000 1,000,000 1,200,000 1,400,000 900 1100 1300 1500 1700 1900 2100

Total population

Year, AD

Oxfordshire's total population since the Domesday Book 1086

Growth target to 2050, including expressway housing (total = 300,000 new houses) Oxfordshire's population since Domesday Book

2050 target,

560,000 houses, 1.3 million people Domesday, 1086. 6713 houses, 27,000 people Last census, 2011.

  • c. 260,000 houses,

650,000 people

Oxfordshire’s past, and proposed growth to 2050

Last census, 2011.

  • c. 260,000 houses,

650,000 people Last census, 2011.

  • c. 260,000 houses,

650,000 people

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SLIDE 26

200,000 400,000 600,000 800,000 1,000,000 1,200,000 1,400,000 900 1100 1300 1500 1700 1900 2100

Total population

Year, AD

Oxfordshire's total population since the Domesday Book 1086

Growth target to 2050, including expressway housing (total = 300,000 new houses) Oxfordshire's population since Domesday Book

2050 target,

560,000 houses, 1.3 million people Domesday, 1086. 6713 houses, 27,000 people Last census, 2011.

  • c. 260,000 houses,

650,000 people

Oxfordshire’s past, and proposed growth to 2050

Last census, 2011.

  • c. 260,000 houses,

650,000 people Last census, 2011.

  • c. 260,000 houses,

650,000 people All Local Plans to mid 2030s 380,000 houses, 900,000 people

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Where will all those houses go? Take the ’21 Bicesters’ challenge tonight!

This is what Corridor B would look like with 21 new Bicesters by 2050!

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All along the ‘Arc’, the story is the same

Highways England proposes 360,000 new houses along the Expressway

Oxford Cambridge

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So, will we be consulted by Highways England?

from the Minutes of a meeting between Highways England and Stakeholders, March 2018

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So, will we be consulted by Highways England?

“Engagement with members of the public on corridors is challenged by the scale of the Project area. There are c.3.3 million people living in the arc. Consultation on corridors would require years of additional work at substantial cost to taxpayers. It would also leave a level of uncertainty across the region that was undesirable. The Project Team are therefore engaging with Stakeholder Reference groups who themselves represent various public interests (environment, road users etc).”

from the Minutes of a meeting between Highways England and Stakeholders, March 2018

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So, will we be consulted by Highways England?

“Engagement with members of the public on corridors is challenged by the scale of the Project area. There are c.3.3 million people living in the arc. Consultation on corridors would require years of additional work at substantial cost to taxpayers. It would also leave a level of uncertainty across the region that was undesirable. The Project Team are therefore engaging with Stakeholder Reference groups who themselves represent various public interests (environment, road users etc).”

from the Minutes of a meeting between Highways England and Stakeholders, March 2018

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and the Stakeholders, representing the public, are…..?

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and the Stakeholders, representing the public, are…..?

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and the Stakeholders, representing the public, are…..?

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and the Stakeholders, representing the public, are…..?

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and the Stakeholders, representing the public, are…..?

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and the Stakeholders, representing the public, are…..?

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and the Stakeholders, representing the public, are…..?

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and the Stakeholders, representing the public, are…..?

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and the Stakeholders, representing the public, are…..?

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SLIDE 41

and the Stakeholders, representing the public, are…..?

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and the Stakeholders, representing the public, are…..?

These Councils are supposed to be representing OUR interests to Highways England. They are supposed to be consulting with us, so that our views are passed back to Highways England. Let’s make sure that they do.

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Highways England’s timetable

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Options Phase

Highways England Major Project Milestones & Lifecycle

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Options Phase

Highways England Major Project Milestones & Lifecycle

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Options Phase

Highways England Major Project Milestones & Lifecycle

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Options Phase

Highways England Major Project Milestones & Lifecycle

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Options Phase

Highways England Major Project Milestones & Lifecycle

But what happens then?

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The Oxford Cambridge Expressway is a…. Nationally Significant Infrastructure Project (NSIP)

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The Oxford Cambridge Expressway is a…. Nationally Significant Infrastructure Project (NSIP)

  • 1. Public Inquiries of the sort used for the M40 in the 1970s/80s are

no longer held.

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The Oxford Cambridge Expressway is a…. Nationally Significant Infrastructure Project (NSIP)

  • 1. Public Inquiries of the sort used for the M40 in the 1970s/80s are

no longer held. 2.NSIPs are examined by an Independent Inspector appointed by the Planning Inspectorate.

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The Oxford Cambridge Expressway is a…. Nationally Significant Infrastructure Project (NSIP)

  • 1. Public Inquiries of the sort used for the M40 in the 1970s/80s are

no longer held. 2.NSIPs are examined by an Independent Inspector appointed by the Planning Inspectorate.

  • 3. The entire examination process takes no longer than 14 months.
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The Oxford Cambridge Expressway is a…. Nationally Significant Infrastructure Project (NSIP)

  • 1. Public Inquiries of the sort used for the M40 in the 1970s/80s are

no longer held. 2.NSIPs are examined by an Independent Inspector appointed by the Planning Inspectorate.

  • 3. The entire examination process takes no longer than 14 months.
  • 4. There is only very limited public involvement, usually restricted

to registered Interested Parties (IPs).

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The Oxford Cambridge Expressway is a…. Nationally Significant Infrastructure Project (NSIP)

  • 1. Public Inquiries of the sort used for the M40 in the 1970s/80s are

no longer held. 2.NSIPs are examined by an Independent Inspector appointed by the Planning Inspectorate.

  • 3. The entire examination process takes no longer than 14 months.
  • 4. There is only very limited public involvement, usually restricted

to registered Interested Parties (IPs).

  • 5. Interested Parties can challenge the process, but not the
  • utcome (i.e. you will get an expressway somewhere).
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The Oxford Cambridge Expressway is a…. Nationally Significant Infrastructure Project (NSIP)

  • 1. Public Inquiries of the sort used for the M40 in the 1970s/80s are

no longer held. 2.NSIPs are examined by an Independent Inspector appointed by the Planning Inspectorate.

  • 3. The entire examination process takes no longer than 14 months.
  • 4. There is only very limited public involvement, usually restricted

to registered Interested Parties (IPs).

  • 5. Interested Parties can challenge the process, but not the
  • utcome (i.e. you will get an expressway somewhere).
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The Oxford Cambridge Expressway is a…. Nationally Significant Infrastructure Project (NSIP)

  • 1. Public Inquiries of the sort used for the M40 in the 1970s/80s are

no longer held. 2.NSIPs are examined by an Independent Inspector appointed by the Planning Inspectorate.

  • 3. The entire examination process takes no longer than 14 months.
  • 4. There is only very limited public involvement, usually restricted

to registered Interested Parties (IPs).

  • 5. Interested Parties can challenge the process, but not the
  • utcome (i.e. you will get an expressway somewhere).

Currently we are in the Pre Application Stage

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The Oxford Cambridge Expressway is a…. Nationally Significant Infrastructure Project (NSIP)

  • 1. Public Inquiries of the sort used for the M40 in the 1970s/80s are

no longer held. 2.NSIPs are examined by an Independent Inspector appointed by the Planning Inspectorate.

  • 3. The entire examination process takes no longer than 14 months.
  • 4. There is only very limited public involvement, usually restricted

to registered Interested Parties (IPs).

  • 5. Interested Parties can challenge the process, but not the
  • utcome (i.e. you will get an expressway somewhere).

Currently we are in the Pre Application Stage Preferred Route Announcement, Autumn 2020

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The Oxford Cambridge Expressway is a…. Nationally Significant Infrastructure Project (NSIP)

  • 1. Public Inquiries of the sort used for the M40 in the 1970s/80s are

no longer held. 2.NSIPs are examined by an Independent Inspector appointed by the Planning Inspectorate.

  • 3. The entire examination process takes no longer than 14 months.
  • 4. There is only very limited public involvement, usually restricted

to registered Interested Parties (IPs).

  • 5. Interested Parties can challenge the process, but not the
  • utcome (i.e. you will get an expressway somewhere).

The Application MUST include a Statement of Community Consultation (SoCC) Currently we are in the Pre Application Stage Preferred Route Announcement, Autumn 2020

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The Oxford Cambridge Expressway is a…. Nationally Significant Infrastructure Project (NSIP)

  • 1. Public Inquiries of the sort used for the M40 in the 1970s/80s are

no longer held. 2.NSIPs are examined by an Independent Inspector appointed by the Planning Inspectorate.

  • 3. The entire examination process takes no longer than 14 months.
  • 4. There is only very limited public involvement, usually restricted

to registered Interested Parties (IPs).

  • 5. Interested Parties can challenge the process, but not the
  • utcome (i.e. you will get an expressway somewhere).

The Application MUST include a Statement of Community Consultation (SoCC) We will have a limited time to register as Interested Parties. Currently we are in the Pre Application Stage Preferred Route Announcement, Autumn 2020

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The Oxford Cambridge Expressway is a…. Nationally Significant Infrastructure Project (NSIP)

  • 1. Public Inquiries of the sort used for the M40 in the 1970s/80s are

no longer held. 2.NSIPs are examined by an Independent Inspector appointed by the Planning Inspectorate.

  • 3. The entire examination process takes no longer than 14 months.
  • 4. There is only very limited public involvement, usually restricted

to registered Interested Parties (IPs).

  • 5. Interested Parties can challenge the process, but not the
  • utcome (i.e. you will get an expressway somewhere).

The Application MUST include a Statement of Community Consultation (SoCC) We will have a limited time to register as Interested Parties. Currently we are in the Pre Application Stage Preferred Route Announcement, Autumn 2020 Interested Parties can submit written evidence, attend the Public Hearing, and may be invited to speak.

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The Future Campaign

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The Future Campaign

  • 1. Gather more information on the steps ahead.
  • 2. Spread the information across the network of Expressway villages.
  • 3. Submit Environmental, Heritage, Wildlife and other information to

Highways England (anyone can do this, not just registered Stakeholders).

  • 4. Urge people to involve Parish, Local and District Councillors in Expressway
  • plans. (Don’t forget, Highways England must produce a Statement of Community

Consultation, SoCC).

  • 5. Work to cancel the Expressway before it is too late (promote East-West Rail

as an alternative).

  • 6. Write to Councillors, MPs and influential people in your neighbourhood.

Make this issue toxic to the politicians.

  • 7. Recruit experts to help with the NSIPs process. Examine NIC, HE, EEH and
  • ther relevant documents. Are the facts correct? Do the ‘models’ make

sense?

  • 8. When the time comes, register as Interested Parties. This will be the last

time to make your feelings known.

  • 9. If this scheme goes ahead, digging will start in 2025 for completion in 2030.