Aitik case study dam safety interpretation via modeling and - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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Aitik case study dam safety interpretation via modeling and - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

Aitik case study dam safety interpretation via modeling and surveillance Roger Knutsson Outline Background Aitik Tailings Facility Tailings properties Numerical modeling Field observations Anticipated dam performance


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SLIDE 1

Aitik case study

dam safety interpretation via modeling and surveillance

Roger Knutsson

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SLIDE 2

Outline

  • Background
  • Aitik Tailings Facility

– Tailings properties – Numerical modeling – Field observations

  • Anticipated dam performance
  • Conclusions

– Ideas for future work – Remote sensing?

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SLIDE 3

Background

  • Tailings - Fine-grained mine waste (Tail-end)
  • Leaving extraction processes in a slurry
  • Impoundments – Dams

– Similarities/Differences to water retention dams

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SLIDE 4

Tailings dam failures

4 Stava, Italy Merriespruit, South Africa Kolontár, Hungary Mount Polley, Canada Aznalcóllar, Spain Aitik, Sweden Taoshi, China Cerro Negro, Chile

1985 1994 1998 2000 2003 2008 2010 2014

Germano Mine, Nov. 5 2015 Bento Rodriguez, Brazil

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SLIDE 5

Background cont.

  • Regulations, Guidelines & Handbooks

– Stability analyses (Factor of Safety) – Dam surveillance, geotechnical instrumentation

  • Tailings management

– Design & Stewardship

  • Stability & Corresponding dam performance

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SLIDE 6

Background cont.

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  • Stability & Corresponding dam performance

Deformation Pore water pressure Seepage

FoS

Field data Time

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SLIDE 7

Aitik Tailings Facility

  • Open pit, copper mine

– Gällivare, Sweden

  • Dams from 1966 (mining from 1968)
  • Tailings hydraulically transported
  • History:

1965 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2013 7

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SLIDE 8

Tailings properties

  • Field investigation, Aitik 2013
  • Samples studied in lab.
  • Mechanical properties determined by:

– Triaxial tests (Consolidated Drained) – Direct Simple Shear tests (Consolidated Drained) – Direct Simple Shear tests (Consolidated Undrained) – Standard Oedometer testing (incremental loading)

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SLIDE 9

Numerical modeling

  • PLAXIS 2D (FEM)
  • Cross-section, Aitik dam E-F

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SLIDE 10
  • Soil regions:

– As-built drawings – CPTu & Sample locations – Airborne data surveys

Numerical modeling

  • Staged construction model:

1992-2013

Historical events

2014-2024

Planned events + Safety

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1992 2007 2013

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SLIDE 11
  • Constituve modeling

– Tailings – Hardening Soil model – Other materials – Mohr-Coulomb model

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Hardening Soil: Oedometer Triaxial Mohr-Coulomb:

Numerical modeling

𝑣𝑠

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SLIDE 12
  • ”SoilTest” – calibration of model parameters to lab. results

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Triaxial:

Axial Strain, ε1 [%]

Oedometer:

Lab – Solid lines SoilTest simulation – Dashed lines

Oedometer Test

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SLIDE 13

Numerical modeling

  • Stability – Factor of Safety

– Recommended value 1.5 (Swedish guidelines)

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  • To maintain the safety

– Increased rockfill with time – Support plan

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19-20 19-20 21-22 13-14 16-17 14-15 15-16 19-20 20-21 21-22 22-23 23-24 17-18 18-19 20-21

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SLIDE 15

Agreement to field observations

  • Horizontal deformations

– Inclinometer installed 2007 – Measured twice per year

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Photo: F. Jonasson 2015

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SLIDE 16

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  • Field data:
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Agreement to field observations

  • Field observations vs. Simulations

– Simulated period 1992-2013 – Period for comparison 2007-2013

  • Good agreement

PLAXIS IN SITU

  • Confirms the model
  • The model can be used for prediction
  • f future deformations
  • Coupled to computed stability
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SLIDE 18

Summary

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General methodology:

  • Field and laboratory investigation
  • Numerical modeling

– Advanced constitutive modeling – Agreement to field observations

  • Safety analyses

– Plan for strengthening actions

  • Anticipated dam performance

– Future events

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SLIDE 19

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Modeling (FEM) Surveillance DAM SAFETY INTERPRETATION

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Modeling (FEM) Surveillance DAM SAFETY INTERPRETATION Inclinometers - displacements vs. depth Remote sensing?

Complementary monitoring? ”Real-time”? Accuracy?

Modeling (FEM) Surveillance

DAM SAFETY INTERPRETATION