Air travel: shame or challenge??? Dr Peter Kortbeek Manager - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

The information enclosed is proprietary and is provided to you on a strictly confidential basis.

Overview

Air travel: shame or challenge???

Dr Peter Kortbeek Manager Technology Office

KIVI Symposium September 17, 2019

The information enclosed is proprietary and is provided to you on a strictly confidential basis.

Overview

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Content

Introduction of GKN & Fokker The Paris treaty The burden of air travel success Emissions per air travel sector Impact on future air transportation EU Clean Sky 3 initiative Conclusions My background:

• PhD in Physics of University of Amsterdam
• Fuel cells, wind energy
• Switched to Fokker in 2001, established FMLC, FER, TPRC and SAM XL
• Manager Technology Office since 2008
• Focus on Ecosystem, IP & Funding
• EU Clean Sky 1, 2 & 3, National R&D programs
• Chair HTSM Aeronautics Roadmap

The information enclosed is proprietary and is provided to you on a strictly confidential basis.

GKN: Leading global tier 1 in Aerospace

2015: Fokker taken over by GKN GKN in 1759 established by Guest, Keen & Nettlefold GKN Aerospace: ~18,000 employees, including ~5,000 former Fokker Total 2018 sales £3.53 billion across three core capabilities

Aerostructures 63% - £2.2bn Engine Systems 32% - £1.1bn Special Technologies 5% - £0.2bn

The information enclosed is proprietary and is provided to you on a strictly confidential basis.

Fuselage, wing, nacelle & pylon, Inflight

• pening

doors+ empennage Static & rotating structures Titanium engine inlet parts

Transparencies

Ice protection systems Light Weight Missile & Canisters

AEROSTRUCTURES ENGINE SYSTEMS SPECIAL PRODUCTS

Helicopter Landing Gear Composite load carrying landing gear components (drag brace) Availability Services, MRO, Conversion and Completion for Mature and Legacy aircraft

LANDING GEAR WIRING INTER- CONNECT SYSTEMS GLOBAL SERVICES

GLOBAL

• NO. 2

GLOBAL

• NO. 2

GLOBAL

• NO. 1

GLOBAL

• NO. 8

GLOBAL

• NO. 3

Electrical Wiring Interconnecti

• n Systems

(EWIS) for aircraft & aircraft engines

GLOBAL BRAND

GKN Aerospace-

widest capabilities of any Tier 1

The information enclosed is proprietary and is provided to you on a strictly confidential basis.

Overview

Fokker Aerostructures

Lightweight aerostructures & components

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Design, development and production of smart, lightweight aerostructures: empennages, fuselages and wing movables 2000 Employees Locations The Netherlands, Romania, Mexico and USA

The information enclosed is proprietary and is provided to you on a strictly confidential basis.

Overview

Fokker Elmo

Electrical wiring interconnections systems

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Design, development, manufacturing and support

• f Electrical Wiring Interconnection Systems

(EWIS) 1700 Employees Locations The Netherlands, China, USA, Turkey, India and Canada

The information enclosed is proprietary and is provided to you on a strictly confidential basis.

Overview

Fokker Landing Gear

Landing gear systems

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(Co-)design, Manufacturing & MRO of affordable & light weight landing gear systems for helicopters and small-to midsized aircraft 280 Employees Location The Netherlands

The information enclosed is proprietary and is provided to you on a strictly confidential basis.

Overview

Fokker Services

Independent aerospace services provider

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The world’s most innovative aerospace service provider of affordable and reliable availability solutions to airlines, OEM’s and MRO’s 900 Employees Facilities the Netherlands, Singapore, USA Offices Australia, Kenya, Panama

The information enclosed is proprietary and is provided to you on a strictly confidential basis.

Climate Challenges

Paris Treaty: Limit Global Warming to 1.5°

Input from Ron van Manen EU Clean Sky Head of Unit Strategic Development

The information enclosed is proprietary and is provided to you on a strictly confidential basis.

Global CO2 emissions 1965 - 2017

EU 2017 vs. 1990: 22% reduction in emissions* * Figure excludes maritime and aviation; EU aviation emissions triples in this period….

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The information enclosed is proprietary and is provided to you on a strictly confidential basis.

Europe’s GHG Emissions Challenge (1.5° scenario)

*

*LULUCF : Land use, land use change and forestry

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The information enclosed is proprietary and is provided to you on a strictly confidential basis.

The burden of Success: Aviation is widely expected to continue growing

* Courtesy Airbus: GMF 2018 - 2037

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The information enclosed is proprietary and is provided to you on a strictly confidential basis.

ATAG [IATA] goals for 2050: a long way still to go

Year 1990 2000 2005 2017 2050 2050 ATAG Aviation CO2 Emissions 394* 540* 650** 859 2700 325 Total Anthropogenic CO2 Emissions (MTo) 21615 23803 28366 36790 4323 4323 Aviation as % of annual CO2 Emissions 1.9 2.3 2.3 2.3 >60% ~7.5 %

* Source ICAO ** Source IATA 13

ATAG: Air Transport Action Group IATA: Int. Aviation Transport Association ICAO: Int. Civil Aviation Organization

The information enclosed is proprietary and is provided to you on a strictly confidential basis.

Schematic of the different CO2 reduction targets by 2050

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Only a highly ambitious technology program will lead to a significant step towards a route to target

SAF: Sustainable Aviation Fuels

The information enclosed is proprietary and is provided to you on a strictly confidential basis.

Different approaches likely to be needed

90% of flights: < 3000km, = 50% of fuel used 10% of flights: > 3000km, = 50% of fuel used 1% of flights: > 8000km, = 20% of fuel used 15

BATTERIES? HYDROGEN (FUEL CELLS) + BATTERIES? BIOFUELS + SYNTHETIC FUELS + HYDROGEN INTRODUCE STOP OVERS?

ALTERNATIVE OPERATIONS (STOP- OVERS / REFUELING ETC.) ADVANCED GAS- TURBINES AND A/C CONFIGURATIONS + SAF HYBRID PROPULSION: FUEL CELLS / BATTERIES; ADVANCED (E.G. DEP) CONFIGURATIONS FULL ELECTRIC (BATTERIES OR FUEL CELL POWERED)

The information enclosed is proprietary and is provided to you on a strictly confidential basis.

CO2 reduction potential through technologies up to 50%

Potential technology based CO2 savings in 2050 (excl SAF)

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The information enclosed is proprietary and is provided to you on a strictly confidential basis.

Technology pathways and CO2 reduction potential

Technology based reduction estimates 17

Medium Range <250 pax Commuter/ Small Reg. 19 - 50 pax <500 km Long Range >250 pax >8000 km Urban Mobility 1 – 4 pax <100 km Medium/ Long Range >250 pax >3000 km Short Range 100 - 250 pax <3000 km Regional Short Range 50 - 100 pax <1500 km VTOL 5-19 pax >100 km 3000 – 8000 km

Ongoing Research in Flight Physics, Structures/Materials and On-board Systems Novel Engine Concepts / Ultra-Efficient Gas Turbines Innovative Aircraft Configurations Hybrid Propulsion incl. Distributed Propulsion Full Electric Propulsion

30% 30% 40% 80% >80% 50-80% 50% 30%

Sustainable Aviation Fuels Eco- / environmentally Optimised Air Transport Operations

>90%

~ 44% ~ 19% ~ 16% ~ 20% ~ 1%

Fuel and CO2 share

1 2 3 4

The information enclosed is proprietary and is provided to you on a strictly confidential basis.

Innovation drivers have changed and need to change further

18 capability driven

Citius, Altius, Fortius. . . .

Time Air Transport Effectiveness 1950 2000 1925 1975

F13 (1919)

2025 2050

A350 Concorde (1969) Constellation (1943)

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Getting the balance right in bottom-up versus top-down

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• Rapidly maturing, demonstrating and de-risking disruptive architectures
• Teaming with the EU brings research and policy together

impact

• Shared & joint technology development bringing all actors together
• Low TRL technology push and high TRL technology pull in one program

Clean Aviation Public-Private Partnership Under EU Horizon Europe framework

The information enclosed is proprietary and is provided to you on a strictly confidential basis.

Sustainable [Bio-] Fuels Quantum

ECSE L Others

Graphene Flagship

FCH

Batteries

National Research & Innovation Programmes Factories

• f the

Future Structural Funds (e.g. ESIF)

Digital/ AI

‘CS3’

An EU Aeronautics Innovation Architecture

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The information enclosed is proprietary and is provided to you on a strictly confidential basis.

New aircraft configurations

Courtesy DLR Courtesy ONERA Courtesy TU Delft / NLR

The information enclosed is proprietary and is provided to you on a strictly confidential basis.

Overview

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Conclusions

• The continuous growth of air travel may become a serious threat
• Disruptive developments needed to avoid future shame for air travel
• Different solutions for small SR, medium SR, MR and large aircraft SR, MR

and LR

• Fuel and propulsion system drive development
• Huge effort to make air travel sustainable in 2050:
• Airframe & engine manufacturers including supply chain
• Air Traffic Management
• Airport Infrastructure
• Fuel suppliers
• The targets can only be can only be met by strong international

collaboration and by governmental support

The information enclosed is proprietary and is provided to you on a strictly confidential basis.

Overview

Thank you for Your attention

The information enclosed is proprietary and is provided to you on a strictly confidential basis.

….while building industrial leadership and ensuring mobility

1477 participations (over 800 unique entities)

Environmental Objectives*

* vs today’s best aircraft

Clean Sky 2: Tackling Key Environmental Challenges

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