A View of the Feds Policy Path Raphael Bostic President and Chief - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

a view of the fed s policy path
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A View of the Feds Policy Path Raphael Bostic President and Chief - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

A View of the Feds Policy Path Raphael Bostic President and Chief Executive Officer Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta Louisiana Committee of 100 for Economic Development, Inc. Business Roundtable Baton Rouge, Louisiana October 23, 2018 1


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SLIDE 1

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A View of the Fed’s Policy Path

Raphael Bostic President and Chief Executive Officer

Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta Louisiana Committee of 100 for Economic Development, Inc. Business Roundtable

Baton Rouge, Louisiana October 23, 2018

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SLIDE 2

2 4 6 8 10 12 1960 1964 1968 1972 1976 1980 1984 1988 1992 1996 2000 2004 2008

"Undershooting" the Natural Unemployment Rate

percent 1987:Q3 1997:Q1 2005:Q4 1978:Q2 1971:Q4 1964:Q3

“High pressure” periods, where the unemployment rate falls below its natural rate.

Natural rate of unemployment (CBO) Civilian Unemployment Rate (U3)

A picture worth thinking about.

2

Sources: Bureau of Labor Statistics; Congressional Budget Office (CBO)

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SLIDE 3

2 4 6 8 10 12 1960 1964 1968 1972 1976 1980 1984 1988 1992 1996 2000 2004 2008 2012 2016

"Undershooting" the Natural Unemployment Rate

percent 1987:Q3 1997:Q1 2005:Q4 1978:Q2 1971:Q4 1964:Q3 Natural rate of unemployment (CBO) Civilian Unemployment Rate (U3)

“High pressure” periods, where the unemployment rate falls below its natural rate.

A picture worth thinking about.

3

Sources: Bureau of Labor Statistics; Congressional Budget Office (CBO)