5G Separating Hype from Promise HENNING SCHULZRINNE The views - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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5G Separating Hype from Promise HENNING SCHULZRINNE The views - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

5G Separating Hype from Promise HENNING SCHULZRINNE The views and opinions expressed in this presentation are those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the official policy or position of any agency of the U.S. government. Any


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5G — Separating Hype from Promise

HENNING SCHULZRINNE

IMS 5G SUMMIT

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The views and opinions expressed in this presentation are those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the official policy or position of any agency of the U.S. government. Any resemblanceto actual policies, living or dead, or actual events is purely coincidental.

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IoT IoT 5G

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Design for 20 years

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Generations are distinct

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IoT requirements

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( (

!

Wide-area Wireless Communication Challenges for the Internet of Things Harpreet S. Dhillon, Howard Huang, Harish Viswanathan

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5G low latency

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X X

V2I2V

X

  • ne-to-

many! EEW (< 5 s)

tight control loop  near-100% availability

X

LAN

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Niche networks persist

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short range low energy; mesh ubiquity; low cost speed; public APs tries to usurp niche

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What’s the economic case for 5G?

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  • avg. about 2.1 GB/month

T-Mobile: 10 GB tethering

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Cord-cutting for broadband?

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Network economics, (over)simplified

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Equipment 4% Construction 11% Operations 85%

% OF REVENUE

Equipment Construction Operations

70%

30%

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How can 5G be cheaper by GB?

Backhaul is major cost factor

  • “Backhaul costs represent almost 6% … of a wireless carrier total operating

expenses (OPEX) and 30% of total network costs.”

Re-use existing fiber to residential users

  • Requires cooperation of cable/FTTH provider

Reduce license cost for spectrum  unlicensed, mmWave

  • first step: LTE-U

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Network architecture

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Networks 1G through 4Gish

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national carrier

  • ne subscriber,
  • ne phone,
  • ne provider
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Complexity kills

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IMS

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IMS /VoLTE

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IMS = It Mostly Speaks VoLTE = Voice-Only Later than Expected

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LTE-U 802.11n LTE

5G – what exactly is a carrier?

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Level3 Cogent

Spectrum DB Spectrum DB

40k towers each (US)

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LTE – one carrier, plus roaming

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5G: Carriers as consumer brand

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Outside Inside

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What are carriers good at?

Research? Software development?

  • Who is going to develop those 5G SDN applications?

OTT applications? API-based services?

  • Why did Twilio and Tropo offer voice service APIs and not the ILECs?

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The law of new networks

“Any new network technology will be justified

  • n (finally) providing QoS”

To succeed, they have to provide good-enough QoS for best effort

  • at least with competition

The business model for QoS is difficult

  • see bypass toll roads

QoS is usually not accessible to applications

  • or not end-to-end

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5G prototype: Eduroam

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5G opportunities beyond hype

Applications surprise Low cost per GB carried (capex & opex) may beat QoS

  • fixed wireless and predictable motion (trains!) may be initial opportunity

Complexity kills

  • layering (1984) and information hiding is still a good engineering principle

5G: 4G++ or opportunity for re-thinking design assumptions

  • complexity vs. modularity

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