CORPORATE
PRESENTATION
4Q-2018 CORPORATE PRESENTATION Company Overview 1 AES GENER AT A - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
4Q-2018 CORPORATE PRESENTATION Company Overview 1 AES GENER AT A GLANCE LEADING GENCO CONTROLLED BY THE AES CORPORATION AES Gener Is Energized By A IMPROVING LIVES IN Regional Workforce Of $2.3B $887M Chile, MARKET CAP EBITDA +1,300
CORPORATE
PRESENTATION
Company Overview 1
IMPROVING LIVES IN
Chile, Colombia AND Argentina
AES Gener Is Energized By A Regional Workforce Of
+1,300 PEOPLE
RECOGNIZED AS A
Great Place To Work in
CHILE COLOMBIA ARGENTINAFounded In 1981
And Acquired by The AES Corporation in 2000, Who Currently owns 66.7%Named to
Dow Jones Sustainability Index for Chile
LISTED ON
Santiago Stock Exchange
5,103
GROSS MW in operation
3,388 1,020 643
561
GROSS MW under construction
(Alto Maipo Project in Chile)Technologies
Coal 3,019 MW Hydro 1,291 MW Gas/Diesel 709 MW Others 34 MW
$7.9B $887M $3.5B $2.3B
RATED
Baa3 / BBB- / BBB- BY
MOODY’S S&P GLOBAL FITCH RATINGS
Market Share
Chile 27% by generation Colombia 7% by generation Argentina 3% by generation
Commercial Business Largely Contracted
EFFICIENT GENERATION CONTRACTED WITH AN AVERAGE LIFE OF 11 YEARS IN CHILE MARKET CAP
AS OF Dec 31, 2018EBITDA
FY-2018TOTAL ASSETS
OWNED & MANAGEDAES GENER AT A GLANCE
LEADING GENCO CONTROLLED BY THE AES CORPORATION
3KEY INVESTMENT
CONSIDERATIONS
1
LEADING POSITION
2
DIVERSIFIED PORTFOLIO
3
HIGH QUALITY LONG TERM PPAs
4
NEW TRANSFORMATIONAL STRATEGY
5
ROBUST CAPITAL STRUCTURE
6
STRONG FINANCIAL PERFORMANCE
RATINGS SYSTEM DATA ENERGY DEMAND GENERATION BY FUEL TYPE
S&P A+
24,031 MW
Installed Capacity
+1.6%
SIC(1) Energy Sales (CAGR 2014-2017)
+2.3%
SING(2) Energy Sales (CAGR 2014-2017)
Moody’s A1
75,641 GWh
Generation Fitch A
Chile 72,265 GWh 75,641 GWh
~18 M
inhabitants
~$267B
GDP as of 2017
Regulated 46% Unregulated 54% Thermal 54% Hydro 31% NCRE 15%
Source: Company. (1) Central Interconnected System (Sistema Interconectado Central). (2) Great North Interconnected system (Sistema Interconectado del Norte Grande). (3) Non-conventional Renewable Energy. (4) National Electrical System (Sistema Eléctrico Nacional). (3) The SING(2) and the SIC(1) were interconnected in November 2017 to comprise the SEN(4) The SEN is expected to become fully operational in June 2019, once the last segment of the Cardones-Polpaico transmission line is completedMARKET
OVERVIEW
5MARKET
OVERVIEW
S&P BBB- Moody’s Baa2 Fitch BBB
17,212 MW
SIN Installed Capacity
SIN Demand Growth (CAGR 2014-2018)
68,943 GWh
SIN Generation S&P B Moody’s B2 Fitch B 38,538 MW SADI Installed Capacity
SADI Demand Growth (CAGR 2013-2018)
137,482 GWh SADI Generation
Thermal 64% Hydro 29% Nuclear 5% NCRE 2%+2.2% +1.2%
Residential 43% Comercial 29% Industrial 28% Regulated 68% Unregulated 32% Thermal 16% Hydro 84%Colombia
~49 M
inhabitants
~$310B
GDP as of 2017
Argentina
~44 M
inhabitants
~$635B
GDP as of 2017
67,456 GWh 134,784 GWh 137,482 GWh 68,943 GWh RATINGS SYSTEM DATA ENERGY DEMAND GENERATION BY FUEL TYPE RATINGS SYSTEM DATA ENERGY DEMAND GENERATION BY FUEL TYPE
(1)CHILE ($591mn EBITDA) COLOMBIA ($241mn EBITDA) ARGENTINA ($55mn EBITDA) SEN SIN SAD SADI
SEN ASSETS, 3,388 MW
NORGENER, 277 MW, coal ANGAMOS, 558 MW, coal COCHRANE, 550 MW, coal ANDES SOLAR, 22MW solar PV VENTANAS, 872 MW, coal GUACOLDA, 763 MW, coal HYDROS, 271 MW OTHERS, 76 MW, diesel, biomassSADI ASSETS, 643 MW
TERMOANDES, 643 MW, gasSIN ASSETS, 1,020 MW
CHIVOR, 1,000 MW, hydro TUNJITA, 20 MW, hydro GENERATION ENERGY SALES GENERATION ENERGY SALES GENERATION ENERGY SALES 24% 69% 7% $1,743mn Regulated Unregulated Spot 100% 4,977GWh Hydro 78% 22% $413mn Contract Spot 100% 4,150GWh Thermal 50% 50% $146mn Contract SpotMARKETS
OVERVIEW
2018 FIGURES
730% 70%
EBITDA COUNTRIES CUSTOMERS TECHNOLOGY
867% 27% 6% 67% 20% 13% 59% 14% 25% 2%
$887 mm 5,103 MW(1) 27.6 TWh/y 5,103 MW(1)
Argentina Chile Argentina Colombia Chile Regulated/ Unregulated Spot Coal Solar/ Biomass/ BESS(2)
Source: Company. (1) Includes Battery Energy Storage System. (2) Battery Energy Storage System.Hydro Diesel/Gas
DIVERSIFIED
Portfolio
PORTFOLIO
OVERVIEW
5,103MW GEO & TECH DIVERSIFIED
LEADING ENERGY PRODUCER IN CHILE (3,388MW) MAJOR PLAYER IN COLOMBIA (1,020 MW) EFFICIENT OPERATION IN ARGENTINA (643 MW)
Guacolda, 763MW 5 coal units Huasco COD:1995/1996/2009 2010/2015 Hydro Plants 271MW 4 run of river hydro units Cajon del Maipo COD:1923/1928/1944/1991 Angamos, 558MW 2 coal units Mejillones COD: 2011 Cochrane, 550MW 2 coal units Mejillones COD: 2016 Andes Solar, 22MW PV solar Adjacent to Andes substation COD: 2016 Chivor, 1,000MW 8 hydro units Bocaya COD: 1977/1982 Tunjita, 20MW 1 hydro unit Bocaya COD: 2016 Termoandes, 643MW Combined Cycle Turbines: 2 gas, 1 steam Salta COD: 1999ENERGY STORAGE CHILE (52 MW)
Energy Storage 52MW Norgener 12MW Angamos 20MW Cochrane 20MW Backup Plants, 76MW : Laguna Verde 63MW Diesel Laja 13MW Biomass Norgener, 277MW 2 coal units Tocopilla COD:1995/1997 Ventanas, 872MW 4 coal units Valparaiso COD:1964/1977/2010/2013ADVANCING WITH STRATEGY EXECUTION
+3,900 MW PIPELINE
ACCELERATING A GREENER ENERGY FUTURE
Hydro Wind Solar Batteries
531 MW 10 MW 20 MW 210 MW 80 MW 2,717 MW 240 MW 170 MW UNDER CONSTRUCTION
561MW
READY TO BUILD IN 2019
290MW
UNDER DEVELOPMENT
3,127MW
AND ANDES ES SOLAR II SOLAR II
SOLAR
80 MW
WIND
90 MW LOS OS OLMO OLMOS
WIND
40 MW MESAM MESAMAVID VIDA
WIND
80 MW CA CAMPO MPO LINDO LINDO GREENING CHILE
ANNOUNCING NCRE INVESTMENTS
290 MW TO SUPPORT COMMERCIAL AGREEMENTS
SANTIAGO
capacity of batteries EXISTING SPINNING RESERVE
PIONEERS IN CHILE SINCE 2009
12Converting run-of-river plants into
VIRTUAL RESERVOIRS
10 MW PILOT 5 HOUR
COD MARCH 2020
GREENING CHILE
ANNOUNCING VIRTUAL DAM PILOT
BROADENING BATTERY SOLUTIONS
ADVANCING WITH STRATEGY EXECUTION
CASTILLA - ECOPETROL
THE LARGEST SOLAR SELF-GENERATION PROJECT IN COLOMBIA
COD COD
OCTOBER 2019
1320 20MW
MW
UNDER CONSTRUCTION
37%
11% 1% 51%
TODAY+PROJECTS
5.9GW
27%
13% 1% 59%
TODAY
5.1GW
AES GENER
LEADING DECARBONIZATION
WITH RELIABLE RENEWABLE ENERGY
1459% INCLUDING
PIPEL PIPELIN INE
RENEWABLES & ENERGY STORAGE NATURAL GAS DIESEL COAL
Business
SOLUTIONS
5
Investment GRADE RATING
TECHNOLOGIES
5
NCRE Hydro Thermal Battery Desal
ENERGY
PROVIDER
in South America
STRATEGY
15Commercial strategy aims to maximize cash flow while minimizing volatility Optimal contracted position seeks to match contracted energy with long term efficient generation Contract customers include regulated customers (distribution companies) and unregulated customers (mining, commercial and industrial)
Contracts include Price indexation mechanisms (coal and US CPI) and pass-through provisions (regulatory risks)~11 years average life of outstanding contracts
16CHILE
Commercial Strategy
Colombia Argentina
57% 43%ENERGY SALES Contract Spot ~80% of Expected Generation Medium Term Contracts (1-4 Years) Remaining Generation Spot and Frequency Regulation Sales Firm Energy (~3,000 GWh) Reliability Charge Revenue Contract Energy Energía Plus Contracts Remaining Generation Energía Base Spot Sales to ISO
23% 77%ENERGY SALES Contract Spot
7,513 GWh 4,181 GWh
17COLOMBIA & ARGENTINA
Commercial Strategy
FY-2018 FiguresEBITDA & EBITDA margin Total Debt and Net Debt / EBITDA Total CAPEX Capital Allocation
18STRONG
Financial Performance
IFRS (2018 Figures)
426 581 591 591 246 172 174 241 19 25 29 55 691 778 793 887 32% 34% 33% 34% 2015 2016 2017 2018
Chile Colombia Argentina EBITDA Margin1,788 2,198 2,387 2,346 1,552 1,626 1,353 1,179 3,340 3,824 3,741 3,525 4.4x 4.3x 4.4x 3.6x 2015 2016 2017 2018
PF/Non-Recourse Corporate Debt Net Debt/EBITDA893 479 391 465 109 83 106 100 1,002 562 497 565 2015 2016 2017 2018
Construction Maintenance279 53 74 263 235 93 261 184 92 102 471 351 606 248 806 798 2015 2016 2017 2018
Equity Contribution Dividends Paid Debt Payment$3,525mn
AVERAGE COST AVERAGE LIFE NET DEBT/ EBITDA RATE
5.8% 14
Years
3.6x
(Consolidated)
94%
Fixed Rate
Recourse Debt
$1,179 mn 33%
Non-Recourse Debt
$2,346 mn 67%
121 124 126 128 153 148 158 151 214 192 2022 2023 145 2019 1,388 2020 2021 2024 2025 514 2026/2073 272 340 152 182 182 350 1,902 21 24 29 34
19Amortization Schedule ($mn)
AES GENER
DEBT PROFILE
$3,525MN AS OF DECEMBER 31, 2018
1.7x
(Recourse Debt)APPENDIX 2
Alto Maipo
Overview Project Layout
2 1 Project Location Metropolitan Region 1 2 Alfalfal II. 264MW Unit Las Lajas. 267MW Unit Tunnel L1 VL-4 VL-8 VA-1 VA-2 VA-4 V5 V1Technical Aspects Alfalfal II Las Lajas
Installed capacity (MW) 264 267 Number of units 2 2 Type of turbines Pelton Pelton Voltage (kV) 12/220 12/110
Ownership Main Contractors
AES Gener 93% Strabag 7% 21ALTO MAIPO
OVERVIEW
ALTO MAIPO
CONSTRUCTION STATUS
75%
Complete
$0mn
EQUITY CONTRIBUTIONS PENDING During ConstructionTunnels
51km
Excavated
22 2 1 1 2 Alfalfal II. 264MW Unit Las Lajas. 267MW Unit Tunnel L1 VL-4 VL-8 VA-1 VA-2 VA-4 V5 V1Las Lajas Headrace Total length 17km Las Lajas Tailrace Total length 15km Alfalfal Headrace Total length 27km Volcan Total length 14km Alfalfal II Tailrace Total length 3km
Progress as of February 2018 22CHANGE IN RISK PROFILE
Lump sum fixed price contract with Strabag, including guaranteed completion dates backed by:
Transfer of Geological and construction risks Strong incentives for early completion COD Las Lajas & Alfalfal II expected in 2020
PROJECT CAPITALIZATION
Fully funded plan, considering:
year after COD Lenders commitment for US$823 mn, including incremental funding of $135mn Incremental shares to Strabag if certain milestones are met
AES GENER COMMITMENTS
AES Gener will contribute:
disbursements
and for project costs or to prepay debt No additional debt to be issued at AES Gener level
ALTO MAIPO
KEY CHANGES TO MITIGATE RISK
APPENDIX 3
Financial Review Fourth Quarter 2018
Key Financials ($ mn) FY-2018 FY-2017
4Q-2018 4Q-2017
EBITDA 887 793 12% 233 231 1% EBITDA Margin 34% 33% 1% 35% 35% 1% Net Income 287 185 56% 8 71
EBITDA BY MARKET Full Year
22% 22% 8% 8% 70% 70%
4Q-2017 4Q-2018
14% 81%
233 233 231 231
5%
Chile Colombia Argentina EBITDA BY MARKET Fourth Quarter
67% 67% 6% 6% 27% 27% 4%
FY-2018 FY-2017
74% 22%
887 887 793 793
25FULL YEAR 2018 AND FOURTH QUARTER
CONSOLIDATED
FINANCIALS
67 26 793 2017 1 2018 887
26FULL YEAR 2018
EBITDA BRIDGE
12% INCREASE, $94 MN
LOWER ESSA MARGIN -$33
Main Drivers 4Q-2018
27PPAs BEGAN SUPPLY LOWER GENERATION LOWER MARGIN FROM ESSA
23.9 139.9 7.1 591 187.6 143.3 116.0 150.8 143.7 2017 1Q Var 163.2 137.4 2018 591
2Q Var 3Q Var
4Q Var +0% 4Q 1Q 3Q 2Q
EBITDA Variation FY-2018
MARKET PERFORMANCE
CHILE
2018 EBITDA +$1mn
Main Drivers 4Q-2018
28LARGER SALES VOLUME HIGHER CONTRACT PRICES HIGHER ENERGY PURCHASES
41.0 45.9 43.4 21.8 20.7 20.2 65.2 57.8 78.5 31.4 51.6 3Q Var 2017 4.9 1Q Var 2Q Var 2018 4Q Var 174 241 +39% 2Q 4Q 3Q 1Q
EBITDA Variation FY-2018
MARKET PERFORMANCE
COLOMBIA
2018 EBITDA +$67mn
Main Drivers 4Q-2018
29EBITDA Variation FY-2018
HIGHER CONTRACT MARGIN HIGHER CAPACITY PRICES LOWER GENERATION
4.2 11.2 4.2 7.0 8.0 5.1 5.7 12.2 8.3 13.4 12.4 18.1 2017 3Q Var 1Q Var 2Q Var 4Q Var 2018 55 29 +88% 4Q 2Q 3Q 1Q
MARKET PERFORMANCE
ARGENTINA
2018 EBITDA +$26mn
94 61 270 206 107 11 14 13
EBITDA Variance Depreciation Interest Expense Other Equity Earnings Income Tax FX Losses185 287
30FULL YEAR 2018 ($MN)
NET INCOME
ATTRIBUTABLE TO THE PARENT
ESSA & CTNG sale $189mn Guacolda Impairment
2017 2018
Full Year Cash Flow Liquidity as of December 31, 2018
$572mn
Cash and Cash Equivalents
$322 mn $322 mn
56%
Undrawn Committed Facilities
$250 mn $250 mn
44%
276 322
313 258 Dec-17 513 Operating CF 513 Asset Sales CAPEX & Others Financing CF 9 Dec-18 FX Impact
31FULL YEAR 2018 ($MN)
CASH FLOW
AND LIQUIDITY
Investing CFSUMMARY OF HISTORICAL FINANCIALS (US$mn)
Angamos
Revenue Credit Metrics CAPEX
32EBITDA and EBITDA Margin
238 252 277 334 44 52 46 22 2 5 17 41 284 309 340 397 2015 2016 2017 2018 Contracted Spot Other 111 122 105 140 39% 39% 31% 35% 2015 2016 2017 2018 EBITDA EBITDA Margin
6.9x 6.2x 7.3x 4.2x 2.5x 2.8x 2.4x 3.4x2015 2016 2017 2018
Net Debt/EBITDA EBITDA/Financial Expense16 4 6 6 2015 2016 2017 2018 CAPEX
Guacolda
Revenue Credit Metrics CAPEX
SUMMARY OF HISTORICAL FINANCIALS (US$mn)
EBITDA and EBITDA Margin
438 381 493 498 2015 2016 2017 2018 Revenue 122 150 167 133 28% 39% 34% 27% 2015 2016 2017 2018 EBITDA EBITDA Margin 6.3x 4.9x 4.1x 4.7x 3.9x 3.5x 4.6x 4.1x 2015 2016 2017 2018 Net Debt/EBITDA EBITDA/Financial Expense 115 78 14 11 2015 2016 2017 2018 CAPEX
APPENDIX
Chilean Regulated Power Auctions
4
Year of the Auction 2014 2015 2016 2017 2019 2020 2021 Start of Supply 2016-2019 2019 2021-2022 2024 2025 2026 2027 Tenor 15 20 20 20 20 20 20
13.0 1.2 12.4 2.2Auction Size (TWh-Year) Auction Launch (Year)
2013 2015 2015-01 2017-01 2018 2019 2020
4.7 3.0 2.8DISTRIBUTION
PP PPA A AUC UCTION TIONS
2015-01 Auction 2017-01 Auction 2018-01 Auction (Unconfirmed)
ENERGY OFFERED
12,400 GWh per year 2,200 GWh per year 4.650 GWh per year
PPA TENOR
20 years, starting 2021-2022 20 years, starting 2024 20 years, starting 2025
POWER BLOCKS
Daily blocks Daily blocks + seasonal blocks for hydro (new, totaling 600 GWh) Daily blocks Storage Incentives
GUARANTEES
Initial ~$4,000 per GWh (CLF$100) Performance ~$12,000 per GWh (CLF$300) Initial ~$8,000 per GWh (CLF$200) Performance ~$24,000 per GWh (CLF$600) Initial ~$8,000 per GWh (CLF$200) Performance ~$24,000 per GWh (CLF$600)
FINES FOR DELAYS (For new projects, every two milestones delay)
~$200 per GWh (CLF$5) ~$1,200 per GWh (CLF$30) ~$1,200 per GWh (CLF$30)
36DISTRIBUTION COMPANIES
PPA AUCTIONS
MAIN CHANGES ON TERMS & CONDITIONS
APPENDIX
About The AES Corporation
5
33,965
GROSS SS MW in operation*3,930
MW under cons nstruct uctio ion GENERATIONTENCHNOLOGY
GAS 37% COAL 32% RENEWABLES 27% OIL/DIESEL/PET COKE 4%$11B $33B
FORTUNE 200
GLOBAL POWER COMPANYFOUNDED IN 1981
NAMED TODOW JONES SUSTAINABILITY INDEX
for North America for the Fourth Year in a Row (2014-2017)LISTED ON
NYSE
AES SERVES OVER
CUSTOMERS TOTAL ASSETS OWEND & MANAGED TOTAL REVENUES * 24,104 proportional MW. Proportional MW is equal to gross MW of a generation facility multiplied by AES’ equity ownership percentage in such facility Source: The AES Corporation Fact Sheet as of May 8, 2018, The AES Corporation Financials as of December 31, 2017.6
UTILITY COMPANIES
+ + 2M 15 COUNTRIES 4
MARKET-ORIENTED STRATEGIC BUSINESS UNITS
SOUTH AMERICA, MCAC, USA & UTILITIES, EURASIA AES IS ENERGIZED BY A GLOBAL WORKFORCE 38THE AES CORPORATION
OVERVIEW
We leverage on our relationship with AES in negotiations with suppliers, regulators and creditors, and benefit from their technical expertise, and global best practices in optimizing performance
South America Overview
AES Gener and AES Argentina Generación share the same senior leadership Largest energy producer in Chile, a leading player in Argentina and a major producer in Colombia and Brazil One of the most diversified LatAm generation players in terms of geographical footprint and technology Owns InterAndes transmission line, connecting Chile and Argentina
30% 34% 28% 8%AES Argentina 3,461 MW + 2 fuel procurement facilities AES Gener 643 MW 1,020 MW 3,400 MW + 52 MW Energy Storage AES Brasil 3,684 MW AES Servicios America Service center in Buenos Aires provides Finance and HR transactional services to AES affiliates Colombia 1,020 MW Chile 3,452 MW Argentina 4,104 MW² Brazil 3,684 MW
12,260 MW
39THE AES CORPORATION
OVERVIEW
Disclaimer
CORPORATE
PRESENTATION