endesachileirpresentation
AS OF SEPTEMBER 30th, 2010
endesachileirpresentation AS OF SEPTEMBER 30th, 2010 - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
endesachileirpresentation AS OF SEPTEMBER 30th, 2010 whoisendesachile? A unique portfolio in Latams Generation business Colombia N1 Brazil 2,914 MW inst. capacity 987 MW inst. capacity 21% market share 1% market share in generation
AS OF SEPTEMBER 30th, 2010
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A unique portfolio in Latam’s Generation business
Colombia
2,914 MW inst. capacity 21% market share
N°1
5,611 MW inst. capacity 36% market share
Peru
1,668 MW inst. capacity 26% market share
Chile Brazil
987 MW inst. capacity 1% market share in generation
Market shares based on installed capacity Figures as of September 2010
Consolidated installed capacity: 13,846 MW Capacity including Brazil: 14,833 MW Consolidated energy sales 2009: 59,859 GWh Consolidated energy sales 9M10: 42,156 GWh
3,652 MW inst. capacity 13% market share
Argentina N°1 N°1 N°1
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Positive evolution of institutional and regulatory frameworks
Constitution andPublicServices Electricity regulation Independent regulatory body Employers Associations Contracts compliance Foreign investment legislation
Global Valuation
8 7 3
Controversy settlement (judges)
High Medium/High
2 4 6 8 10
Source: Internal, supported by external consultancy
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A unique portfolio in Latam’s Generation business
( I nterconnection Argentina - Brazil)
1 ,0 0 0 Km 2 ,1 0 0 MW Rio Grande do Sul - Argentina 2 ,3 2 4 MW Buenos Aires Argentina
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A unique portfolio in Latam’s Generation business
1 ,3 2 8 MW
installed capacity
Neuquén and Río Negro Argentina 1 ,2 1 3 MW
installed capacity
Cundinam arca Colom bia 6 9 0 MW
installed capacity
VI I I Region of Bío-Bio Chile
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A unique portfolio in Latam’s Generation business
Canela I and I I 1 8 + 6 0 MW installed capacity
I V Region Chile
Regasification capacity: 9 .5 Mm 3/ d ( 3 .4 8 bcm / y) 2 storage tanks 1 6 0 ,0 0 0 m 3
V Region Chile
7
We are part of Enel Group 7 Ownership structure
Chilean Pension Funds ADR Holders Other Inst. Shareholders Minority Shareholders 60% 16% 4% 16% 4% Pehuenche 92% Endesa Eco 100% El Chocón 65% Costanera 70% Edegel 62% Emgesa 27% Canela 75% San Isidro 100% Pangue 95% Celta 100%
endesachileirpresentation
Ampla Coelce Fortaleza CDSA CIEN Endesa Brasil 39% 61% 92%
Figures as of September 2010
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We are part of Enel Group Presence in 23 countries 82,000 employees 95 GW Installed Capacity 62 Million Clients
Central America North America Brazil Colombia Argentina Peru Chile
Installed Capacity (GW) Net Generation (TWh) Sales to Final Consumers (TWh) 0.6 GW 2.5 TWh 2.9 GW 12.9 TWh 7.3 TWh 0.7 GW 1.9 TWh 8.2 GW 40.7 TWh 17.4 TWh 1.6 GW 8.8 TWh 5.2 TWh 5.4 GW 21.6 TWh 6.5 TWh 4.5 GW 14.4 TWh 13.4 TWh
Russia
1.1 GW 3.9 TWh 14.5 TWh
Iberia Morocco
22.5 GW 85.5 TWh 109 TWh 0.1 GW 0.9 TWh
Italy
40.3 GW 96.3 TWh 137.2 TWh
France
1.0 TWh
Slovakia
5.7 GW 22.5 TWh
Romania
0.6 GW 3.7 TWh 9.9 TWh
Bulgaria Greece
0.1 GW 0.2 TWh
Central America North America Brazil Colombia Argentina Peru Chile
Installed Capacity (GW) Net Generation (TWh) Sales to Final Consumers (TWh) Installed Capacity (GW) Net Generation (TWh) Sales to Final Consumers (TWh) 0.6 GW 2.5 TWh 0.6 GW 2.5 TWh 2.9 GW 12.9 TWh 7.3 TWh 2.9 GW 12.9 TWh 7.3 TWh 0.7 GW 1.9 TWh 0.7 GW 1.9 TWh 8.2 GW 40.7 TWh 17.4 TWh 8.2 GW 40.7 TWh 17.4 TWh 1.6 GW 8.8 TWh 5.2 TWh 1.6 GW 8.8 TWh 5.2 TWh 5.4 GW 21.6 TWh 6.5 TWh 5.4 GW 21.6 TWh 6.5 TWh 4.5 GW 14.4 TWh 13.4 TWh 4.5 GW 14.4 TWh 13.4 TWh
Russia
1.1 GW 3.9 TWh 14.5 TWh 1.1 GW 3.9 TWh 14.5 TWh
Iberia Morocco
22.5 GW 85.5 TWh 109 TWh 22.5 GW 85.5 TWh 109 TWh 0.1 GW 0.9 TWh 0.1 GW 0.9 TWh
Italy
40.3 GW 96.3 TWh 137.2 TWh 40.3 GW 96.3 TWh 137.2 TWh
France
1.0 TWh 1.0 TWh
Slovakia
5.7 GW 22.5 TWh 5.7 GW 22.5 TWh
Romania
0.6 GW 3.7 TWh 0.6 GW 3.7 TWh 9.9 TWh 9.9 TWh
Bulgaria Greece
0.1 GW 0.2 TWh 0.1 GW 0.2 TWh
9 Figures by country as of September 2010
Total Installed Capacity: 13,846 MW Total Ebitda 12M: US$ 2,057 million Total Generation: 38,484 GWh
Affiliate Company: Endesa Brasil Endesa Chile ownership: 38.9% Equity Gains (Dec. 2009): MMUS$ 872 Endesa Chile’s stake: MMUS$ 495
Chile 41% Argentina 26% Colombia 21% Peru 12%
Chile 40% Argentina 22% Colombia 22% Peru 16% Chile 55% Argentina 6% Peru 11% Colombia 28%
10 10
Greater predictability and stability in prices
The regulator audits all the fuel contracts The regulator measures the efficiency of the plants The companies report their technical availability
Hydro, Wind Coal, LNG
US$/MWh
MW
Diesel-Fuel
Range of Demand Supply
Marginal hourly cost
Wind Power 8 US$/MWh Hydro Coal 30-40 US$/MWh Biomass 60 US$/MWh Diesel-Fuel 100-130 US$/MWh Peak Turbine 160-180 US$/MWh LNG Combined Cycle 70-80 US$/MWh 5,500 MW 4,500 MW 4,500 MW
Hydro, Wind Coal, LNG
US$/MWh
MW
Diesel-Fuel
Range of Demand Supply
Marginal hourly cost
Wind Power 8 US$/MWh Hydro Coal 30-40 US$/MWh Biomass 60 US$/MWh Diesel-Fuel 100-130 US$/MWh Peak Turbine 160-180 US$/MWh LNG Combined Cycle 70-80 US$/MWh 5,500 MW 4,500 MW 4,500 MW
11 11
Integrated risk management capability 100% Rainfall Growth in demand Fuel prices Exchange rates Inflation
Risk variables affecting margins
Our aim is to ensure with a 95% of reliability a margin at least 90% of budget even in the following scenarios: Lower rainfall than historical levels Increases in fuel prices Lower growth in demand…
Risk limit Real margin 0.9x expected margin
Spot
Extreme hydro volatility
Thermal
Target
Target sales
Target output and sales in future years
Hydro Regulated and free contracts
75%
Relative Frequency
Results
MMUS$ 5%
MaR 95%
12 12 Summary of consolidated results
(24.0%) (22.0) (11.1%) (15.5%) (5.7%)
9M10/9M09 (a) Revenues
Operating income Operating margin Ebitda Net income (b)
US$ Million
8.4% Physical sales (GWh) 34% 1,514
1,223
42,156 676 3,555
9M10
586.72
9M09
a) Throughout this presentation, variations may not coincide due to figures rounding b) Attributable to Endesa Chile’s shareholders c) Figures are translated into US dollars using the average exchange rate for the nine months period of each year, corresponding to Ch$572.74 / dollar for January-September 2009 Ch$520.16 / dollar for January-September 2010.
Main drivers: higher costs of energy purchases and lower energy sales price in Chile and higher fuel costs in Argentina
FY09
42% 2,246
1,817
59,859 1,120 4,322 3,281 1,447 44% 1,703 44,688 889
13 13 Comfortable debt maturity
Financial Debt by Country
Figures as of September 2010
Financial Debt
(US$ million) 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 Balance TOTAL Chile 35 79 44 421 179 221 1,136 2,116 Argentina 51 120 38 25 42 14 290 Peru 32 59 70 50 48 32 158 449 Colombia 89 133 169 79 139 385 993 Total 207 392 322 495 348 406 1,679 3,848
Peru 12% Colombia 26% Argentina 8% Chile 54%
14 14 Credit Risk Agencies recognition
Ratings based upon: Well diversified and efficient assets Leading market share in the four countries where we operate Transparent and favorable regulatory framework in Chile Solid financials, good cash flow generation and prudent financial management Conservative commercial policy
BBB AA AA AA- AA-
Date: Mar. 2010 Date: Jan. 2010
Chilean market
Date: Feb. 2010 Date: Jan. 2010 Date: Dec. 2006 BBB+
Ba1
Baa3 BBB+
International market
BBB
+ Revision
15 15 Dividends: sustained growth to shareholders
Values calculated in dollars at the end of each period. (1)Source: Bloomberg
Payout ratio 50% 50% 60% 40%
CAGR = 46%
35.11%
CAGR = 12%
93 207 227 274 434 1,235 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 Total
8,322 10,072 10,393 9,428 13,954 14,842 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 Sep-10
Direct relation between GDP and electricity demand 16
Real GDP vs. Electricity Demand Per capita
Chile
Peru Colombia Mexico Argentina Brazil Finland Russia Sweden Slovakia Portugal Spain Italy France Germany UnitedStates Greece UnitedKingdom Denmark
2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 18 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50
Electricitydemandpercapita(Gwh) GDPpercapita(ThousandUS$)
17 17 Impact of the earthquake
BOCAMINA II BOCAMINA I
ADMINISTRATION BUILDING PUMPING ROOM CHIMNEY
18 18 Projects under study
Neltume, hydroelectric run-of-the-river plant Installed capacity: 490 MW Los Condores, hydro power plant Installed capacity: 150 MW Piruquina, mini-hydro run-of-the-river plant Installed capacity: 7,6 MW Choshuenco, hydro power plant Installed capacity: 128 MW Punta Alcalde, coal- steam power plant Installed capacity: 740 MW
20 20
21 21
Conservative management » Hydrology risk » Electricity demand growth » Portfolio of generation assets
Minimize margin variation
Chile Argentina Colombia Peru
Physical sales as of September 2010 » Evolution of fuel prices » Exchange rate risk
Regulated Spot Unregulated 7% 33% 60% 27% 17% 56% 65% 12% 23% 81% 19%
22 22 Important contribution to growing demand
Colombia: Cartagena +142 MW Peru: Ventanilla +457 MW Chile: San Isidro II (1st stage) +248 MW Palmucho +32 MW Canela I +18 MW Chile: San Isidro II (2nd stage) +105 MW Ojos de Agua +9 MW Colombia: Cartagena: +66 MW
Amounts are in MW.
Chile: San Isidro II +46 MW Quintero +257 MW Canela II: +60 MW Peru: Santa Rosa +200 MW
1.8 GW of new installed capacity in the past 5 years Close collaboration with authorities to develop new capacity Committed to Energy Efficiency policies and promotion of NCRE
1,797 567 186 399 594 51 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 Total
23 23 Projects completed in 2009
Canela II, wind farm, Chile
Quintero, thermal power plant, Chile
Santa Rosa, thermal power plant, Peru
GNL, regasification plant, Chile
24 24 Projects under construction
Bocamina II, coal-steam, Chile
El Quimbo, hydro power plant Installed capacity: 400 MW
25 25 Projects under study
Aysen Hydroelectric Project, Chile
Installed capacity: 2,750 MW Endesa Chile’s participation: 51% Takes advantage of water: natural resource, renewable and clean CO2 emissions: Reduction of 16.2 million tons/year 1st half 2009: first set of answers to EIA was completed January 2010: additional observations were received October 28, 2010: Answers to the second set of questions of the EIA were submitted
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2 0 0 9 Recurrent Operations
Santiago Stock Exchange
I PSA* Leaders
Year 2010 Index breakdown
(*) IPSA: Selected Shares Price Index (Chile) (**) Takes into account the three Stock Exchange markets where we are listed
Average Yearly Float Rotation: 0 .8 (**) US$ 1 0 m illion trading tim e NYSE: 2 days Santiago: 1 day
Company Traded Vol. Million US$ 1 D&S 4,481 2 Endesa Chile 2,334 3 Enersis 2,160 4 CAP 2,091 5 Cencosud 1,920 Company Index Weight 1 COPEC 11.6% 2 Enersis 7.4% 3 Endesa Chile 7.2% 4 Lan Airlines 6.9% 5 Cencosud 6.1%
27 27
Strong financial position
Net Debt Evolution As of September 2010: US$ 210 million of cash and cash
equivalents on a consolidated basis Liquidity position enhanced with US$ 756 million of committed Revolving Credit Lines, both locally and abroad and US$ 231 million
Endesa Chile ring-fenced its Yankee Bonds’ and Local Bonds’; cross default clauses only referenced to Endesa Chile and its Chilean subsidiaries
Debt by Type (Million US$) Debt by Currency
Total gross debt: US$3,916 million
Figures as of September 2010
Others, 505 Local Bonds, 1,851 Yankee Bonds, 917 Banks, 643 UF-Ch$ 14% Local currency 31% US$ 55%
3,638 3,292 3,239 3,833 3,612 3,719
1000 2000 3000 4000 5000 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 Sep-10
US$millon
28 28
Recurrent growth of Endesa Chile’s financials CAGR 06’- 9M10’: + 13% CAGR 06’- 9M10’: + 24%
EBITDA (US$ million) Net Income (US$ million)
(*) Last 12 months data as of September 2010
12M 12M 1,279 1,540 2,042 2,246 2,057 2006 2007 2008 2009 Sep-10
389 329 834 1,120 907 2006 2007 2008 2009 Sep-10
29 29
Strong financial ratios
2.8x 2.5x 1.6x 1.8x 1.5x
0,5 1 1,5 2 2,5 3
2006 2007 2008 2009 Sep-10
Net debt/EBITDA EBITDA/Net financial expenses
4.3x 5.0x 6.5x 7.3x 7.7x
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
2006 2007 2008 2009 Sep-10
Endesa Chile‘s investment grade status restored Endesa Chile’s investment grade status restored
(12M) (12M)
Catalysts Main Changes
(2003) “New Model” for the electricity sector, tenders up to 15 years (thermal) and 30 years (hydro)
MgC 62,9
20 40 60 80 100 120 140 100 200 300 400 500 600 700 800 900 1.000 1.100
E n e r g y CNet Installed Capacity (MW)
Our Assets and Medium Term Forecast Marginal Cost Brazil
Hydraulic 665MW 3.285GWh Gas 322MW 2.158GWh
US$/MWh
MgC 62,9
20 40 60 80 100 120 140 100 200 300 400 500 600 700 800 900 1.000 1.100
E n e r g y CNet Installed Capacity (MW)
Our Assets and Medium Term Forecast Marginal Cost Brazil MgC 62,9
20 40 60 80 100 120 140 100 200 300 400 500 600 700 800 900 1.000 1.100
E n e r g y CNet Installed Capacity (MW)
Our Assets and Medium Term Forecast Marginal Cost Brazil
Hydraulic 665MW 3.285GWh Gas 322MW 2.158GWh
US$/MWh
Eager to grow: Attractive returns required Match with our Latam portfolio’s profitability 30
31 31
ApprovalofLaw16/2009
Assetbase,regulatedrate,O&M,etc 200609:Regulatedremuneration accordingtouseandrequirements
AspectstodefinewithANEELin2010and2011
CIEN: From a commercial scheme to a regulatory solution… Willallowthecompanytorequestremuneration similartothatofBrazil'sbasicgrid Capacity2,100MW– 1,000km 200105:Commercialschemesubjectto Argentina'senergysituation
We are about to initiate regulatory negotiations to determine stable remuneration for the Argentina - Brazil interconnection (CIEN)
32 32
General highlights
Vast experience, with over 65 years of history
Multinational electricity generation company, based in Chile
Leading market position in most of the countries where it operates es
Large and efficient investment portfolio of generation assets within thin South America South America
Excellent reputation and high level of technical standards
Committed with regulatory authorities, the environment and Corporate Governance best practices Corporate Governance best practices
Part of an important worldwide electricity group (Enel, (Enel, Endesa Endesa, S.A., , S.A., Enersis Enersis) )
33 33 Disclaimer
This presentation contains statements that constitute or may constitute statements about the future, as established in the United States Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Such statements appear frequently in this presentation with statements referring to our intentions, beliefs and expectations, which include, but are not limited to, any statement with respect to: (1) our investment program, (2) trends that affect our financial condition or operating income, and (3) the effects
the countries in which we operate. As such statements are subject to risks and inaccuracies, the effective results may differ significantly with respect to those expressed or implied in such statements with a view to the future. Such statements should not be unduly relied upon as they only refer to the position on the date on which they were prepared. We assume no obligation to publicly report on changes that might be applied to the statements with a view to the future.
endesachileirpresentation
34 34 Endesa Chile’s Investor Relations Team Contact us at:
ir@endesa.cl
Irene Aguilo Investor Relations Executive (56-2) 630 96 04 iaguilo@endesa. cl Denisse Labarca Head of Investor Relations (56-2) 630 96 03 denisse.labarca@endesa.cl
Investor Relations Executive (56-2) 630 95 06 mtfd@endesa.cl Susana Rey Investor Relations Director (56-2) 630 96 06 susana.rey@endesa.cl Gloria Mora Investor Relations Assistant (56-2) 630 95 87 gaml@endesa.cl