2Q19 C 19 Confe ference C Call
July 31, 2019
2Q19 C 19 Confe ference C Call July 31, 2019 S E C O N D Q U A - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
2Q19 C 19 Confe ference C Call July 31, 2019 S E C O N D Q U A R T E R 2 Key Highl hlight ghts s Demonst strate e Profi fitable e Business ess Net E Earn rnings gs Cash h Flow ow Free C Fr Cas ash Fl Flow $336 $336
July 31, 2019
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S E C O N D Q U A R T E R
Fr Free C Cas ash Fl Flow Ŧ
SIGNIFICANTLY GROWING FCF IN 2H19
Net E Earn rnings gs
$0.24 / SHARE
FCF CF Y Yiel eld
Buyback ack
~10% OF O/S SHARES
Cash h Flow
$0.64 / SHARE
Divide idend
Ŧ Non-GAAP measures defined in advisories. For additional information regarding non-GAAP measures see the Company’s website.
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$127 M MM o M of Free ee Cash F FlowŦ
Positioned to grow free cash flow in H2
$175 MM M annualiz ized G&A / op. cos
ergies es
$50 MM greater than original estimate
2Q 2Q19 a annua nualized ed l leverage o
Represents normalized leverage post acquisition
Continued ed r ref efinem emen ent o
he portfolio
Announced China exit & Arkoma divestiture
On track ck t to deli liver er p prod
ion & & capit ital g guid ide
15% FY19 YoY liquids growth from three core growth assets
Redu duced S d STACK w well cost sts t s to $6.5 M MM
$1.4 MM D&C cost reduction since NFX acquisition
STACK o K oil produc uction growth 3 h 31% o
er 1 1Q19
63% oil growth since 1Q18
Recor
d Permian p produ
163 MBOE/d & 104 MBOE/d, respectively
Mont ntne ney liquids up 5 55% Y YTD Asse sets ts generati ating u g upstr stream am o
ting FCF Ŧ
(1) Net debt to adjusted EBITDA based on Adjusted EBITDA generated in 2Q19 on an annualized basis. Ŧ Non-GAAP measures defined in advisories. For additional information regarding non-GAAP measures see the Company’s website.
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S T R O N G N G F F I N A N A N C N C I A L R E S U L U L T S
2Q 2Q19 19
$ M Millio llions ns $ Per S r Share re
NET EARNINGS 336 0.24 NON-GAAP OPERATING EARNINGSŦ 290 0.21 CASH FROM OPERATING ACTIVITIES 906 NON-GAAP CASH FLOWŦ 877 0.64 CASH FLOW MARGINŦ $/BOE 16.27 CAPITAL INVESTMENT 750 FREE CASH FLOWŦ 127 BUYBACK ($ MILLIONS / MILLIONS OF SHARES) $637 / 94 WEIGHTED AVERAGE SHARES – DILUTED (MILLIONS) 1,381.0 SHARES O/S AT JUNE 30, 2019 (MILLIONS) 1,346.5
2Q 2Q19 U Ups pstream O Ope perati ting F FCF Ŧ By A Asse sset
~$250 M MM (2)
MM o M of Free ee Cash F Flow Ŧ
performance
annualized ed l leve verage o e of 1 1.7x Ŧ,(1)
$500 M MM M of 6 6.5% S Senior ior N Notes es
(1) Net debt to adjusted EBITDA based on Adjusted EBITDA generated in 2Q19 on an annualized basis. (2) Upstream operating free cash flow excluding hedge. Ŧ Non-GAAP measures defined in advisories. For additional information regarding non-GAAP measures see the Company’s website. * Base includes Eagle Ford, Williston, Uinta and Duvernay.
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Results lts a and Guida dance
1Q19 2Q19 Expected 2H ‘19 Run Rate FY19 Reportable (Unchanged) FY19 Proforma (Unchanged) CAPITAL INVESTMENT ($ MILLION) 736 736 750 750 500 500 – 600 600 2,500 – 2,700 2,700 – 2,900 TOTAL LIQUIDS (1) (MBBLS/D) 229 229 320 320 310 310 - 320 320 290 – 310 300 – 320 NATURAL GAS (1) (MMCF/D) 1, 1,38 383 1, 1,53 530 1,500 – 1, 1,60 600 1,500 – 1,600 1,550 – 1,650 TOTAL PRODUCTION (1) (MBOE/D) 459 459 576 576 565 565 - 585 585 540 – 580 560 – 600 TOTAL COSTS PER BOE Ŧ,(2)
UPSTREAM OPERATING AND T&P, PRODUCTION AND MINERAL TAXES PLUS ADMINISTRATIVE
13. 13.44 12. 12.78 <13.00 12.75 – 13.25 12.75 – 13.25
(1) Excludes production from Arkoma and China operations for 1Q19 , 2Q19 and 3Q – 4Q run rate. Consolidated full year guidance is unchanged. (2) Excludes the impact of long-term incentive costs and restructuring costs. BOW office lease costs are included in administrative. Ŧ Non-GAAP measures defined in advisories. For additional information regarding non-GAAP measures see the Company’s website.
capita ital i l investm tment a t and productio tion o
2Q19 n 19 non-GAAP AP c cash f flo low Ŧ of $877 MM ($0.64/sh sh)
estim timated G d G&A / A / op.
t synergies
prod
n gui uidance unc unchang nged p pos
ivestm tments ts
rate of 16 MBOE/d
O P E R A T I O N S O N T R A C K
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8% 4% 4% 4% 4% 3% 2% 1% (2%) (2%) (9%) ECA Peer 1 Peer 2 Peer 3 Peer 4 Peer 5 Peer 6 Peer 7 Peer 8 Peer 9 Peer 10 15% 13% 12% 12% 11% 10% 8% 8% 4% (2%) (10%) Peer 1 Peer 2 ECA Peer 3 Peer 4 Peer 5 Peer 6 Peer 7 Peer 8 Peer 9 Peer 10
(1) FactSet data as of July 22, 2019. FCF Yield represents actual 2Q19 ECA FCF of $127 MM and peer consensus estimates for 2Q19. ROCE is a non-GAAP measure calculated for peers and ECA using GAAP Earnings plus after-tax interest expense divided by average net debt plus average stockholders’ equity. For simplicity, after-tax interest expense assumes a 21% tax rate for all companies. Peers include APA, APC, CLR, COG, CXO, DVN, EOG, MRO, NBL, PXD. Ŧ Non-GAAP measures defined in advisories. For additional information regarding non-GAAP measures see the Company’s website.
Top T Tier FC r FCF Y F YieldŦ & RO ROCEŦ ~1.6% Dividend Y Yield Dividend +25% Y YTD $1.25B S Share Buyb yback
2Q19 Free C ee Cash Flow Y Yiel eld Ŧ,(1)
1 2 3 4
2017 & 2017 & 2018 A 2018 Average ge ROCE (1)
S U S T S T A I N A B L E B B U S I S I N E S S S S M O D E L
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(1) Reportable oil & condensate production. (2) Peer data is reported 1Q19 net production from public filings. ECA reflects 2Q19 reportable production volumes. Peers include APA, APC, CLR, COG, CXO, DVN, EOG, MRO, NBL, PXD. Liquids production peers exclude CLR and CXO as they report 2-stream production.
Peer 8 Peer 7 Peer 6 Peer 5 Peer 4 Peer 3 ECA Peer 2 Peer 1
ti-basin l leader i in uncon conve vention ional d l devel velop
ent
ioned t to a qualit ity, l , liquid ids-foc focused ed portfol folio io
Liquids ids P Productio tion Mbbls Mbbls/d d (2)
Peer 10 Peer 9 Peer 8 Peer 7 Peer 6 Peer 5 Peer 4 Peer 3 ECA Peer 2 Peer 1 324 (>70% oil + condensate) 592
Equiv ivale lent P t Productio tion M MBOE/d (2)
Avg O Oil + + conden ensa sate e API o
Trans nsfor
nal Oil il & Cond
nsate Growth (Mbbl Mbbls/d) (1)
35
235
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sistent w well r resu sults, l lower c r cost sts, s, s strong r return rns
eratin ing f free u ee upstrea eam o
eratin ing c cash f flo low Ŧ while le growin ing volumes
19 produc uction o n of 1 163 3 MBOE/d
erated ed S STACK i infi fill w l well ells
Ŧ Non-GAAP measures defined in advisories. For additional information regarding non-GAAP measures see the Company’s website.
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Meramec w wells lls o
ream Y YTD
tages & & slu lurry v volu lumes pu pumpe ped pe per da day u up p 58% & % & 37% 37%, r respectively, o
1Q19 19
uing t to
n & well s spacing ng f for
maxi ximum um D DSU v value
Ide denti tified Additi d Additional S STACK W Well ll C Cost S t Savings
(2,000 / 2,000 Completion)
(1) Normalized to 10,000’ lateral length..
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(1) Infill wells normalized to 10,000’ lateral length.
MBOE Mbbls Pre ECA Cube Dev STACK 2019 TC
BLAINE NE
Infill Parent
MERAMEC
KINGFISH ISHER
First ECA Cube Style Completions (6 – 8 well spacing)
(18 wells) (24 wells) Pre ECA Cube Dev STACK 2019 TC (18 wells) (24 wells)
il outperfor
nce d driving ng r retur urns ns
results at 6 – 8 well spacing with similar job size at reduced cost
Additional 2 24 le legacy w wells lls in in focus a area track acking typ ype curve ve
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FY15 – FY18 Y18 >2.5x FY15 - Curre rrent ~32% CA CAGR GR Ach chieved a at a avg r rig co count o
5 (1)
(1) Average ECA operated hz rig count from FY15 through 1H19. Ŧ Non-GAAP measures defined in advisories. For additional information regarding non-GAAP measures see the Company’s website.
eratin ing f free u ee upstrea eam o
eratin ing c cash f flo low Ŧ & growing volumes
38 net w wells o
stream i m in 2Q19
19 produc uction o n of 1 104 4 MBOE/d
ficien ent oper erator
13% reduction in days
to total depth YoY
77 days 2Q19
spud to sales average
40% reduction in recycled
water costs since 2016
14% production
growth vs 1Q
Continue inued O Optim imiz izatio ion Cycle e Time L e Leader Operation
al P Perfor
mance Cost F Focused sed
Permian Production (MBOE/d)
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ls set recor ecord ~17 Mbbls ls/d /d a after 60 d days ys
ed g growth e expec ected ed i in 2 2H19
2Q19
Permi rmian B Basi sin o
rong re realized p prici cing
(1) Normalized to 8,500’ lateral length.
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(1) Normalized to 7,215’ lateral length. Ŧ Non-GAAP measures defined in advisories. For additional information regarding non-GAAP measures see the Company’s website.
eratin ing f free u ee upstrea eam o
eratin ing c cash flow
while le growin ing liquid ids volumes es
32 net w wells o
stream i m in 2Q19
19 produc uction o n of 2 203 3 MBOE/d
production by ~6.8 MBOE/d
continues o s operational e excellence
costs-per-lateral-foot flat
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stream, level of capital productivity, expected return and source of funding
profit, net present value, rates of return, recovery, return on capital employed, production and execution efficiency, operating, income and cash flow margin, and margin expansion, including expected timeframes
competitiveness and pace of growth against peers
release metrics, focus and timing of drilling, anticipated vertical and horizontal drilling, cycle times, commodity composition, gas-oil ratios and operating performance compared to type curves
scale of development, high-intensity completions and precision targeting, and transferability of ideas
chain management
flexibility of commercial arrangements and costs and timing of certain infrastructure being operational
access to liquidity, available cash, and return of capital including dividends and size and timing of share buyback
financial capacity and other debt metrics
amount of hedged production, market access, market diversification strategy and physical sales locations
FLS involve assumptions, risks and uncertainties that may cause such statements not to occur or results to differ materially. These assumptions include: future commodity prices and differentials; foreign exchange rates; assumptions contained in corporate guidance and as specified herein; data contained in key modeling statistics; availability of attractive hedges and enforceability of risk management program; results from innovations; expectation that counterparties will fulfill their obligations; access to transportation and processing facilities; assumed tax, royalty and regulatory regimes; and expectations and projections made in light of Encana's historical experience and its perception of historical trends. Risks and uncertainties include: integration of Encana and Newfield and the ability to recognize the anticipated benefits; ability to generate sufficient cash flow to meet obligations; commodity price volatility; ability to secure adequate transportation and potential pipeline curtailments; variability and discretion to declare and pay dividends, if any; amount and timing of share repurchases; timing and costs of well, facilities and pipeline construction; business interruption, property and casualty losses or unexpected technical difficulties; counterparty and credit risk; changes in credit rating and its impact on access to liquidity, including ability to issue commercial paper; currency and interest rates; risks inherent in corporate guidance; failure to achieve cost and efficiency initiatives; risks in marketing operations; risks associated with technology; changes in or interpretation of laws
arrangements; ability to acquire or find additional reserves; imprecision of reserves estimates and estimates of recoverable quantities and future net revenue; risks associated with past and future acquisitions or divestitures of certain assets or other transactions or receipt of amounts contemplated under the transaction agreements (such transactions may include third-party capital investments, farm-outs or partnerships, which Encana may refer to from time to time as “partnerships” or “joint ventures” and the funds received in respect thereof which Encana may refer to from time to time as “proceeds”, “deferred purchase price” and/or “carry capital”, regardless of the legal form) as a result of various conditions not being met; and other risks and uncertainties, as described in Encana’s most recent Annual Report on Form 10-K and Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q and as described from time to time in Encana’s other periodic filings as filed on SEDAR and EDGAR. Although Encana believes such FLS are reasonable, there can be no assurance they will prove to be correct. The above assumptions, risks and uncertainties are not exhaustive. FLS are made as of the date hereof and, except as required by law, Encana undertakes no obligation to update or revise any FLS. Certain future oriented financial information or financial outlook information is included in this presentation to communicate current expectations as to Encana’s performance. Readers are cautioned that it may not be appropriate for other purposes. Rates of return for a particular asset or well are on a before-tax basis and are based on specified commodity prices with local pricing
and best completions performance wells in the current quarter in such asset and are presented for comparison purposes. Drilling and completions costs have been normalized as specified in this presentation based on certain lateral lengths for a particular asset. For convenience, references in this presentation to “Encana”, the “Company”, “we”, “us” and “our” may, where applicable, refer only to or include any relevant direct and indirect subsidiary corporations and partnerships (“Subsidiaries”) of Encana Corporation, and the assets, activities and initiatives of such Subsidiaries. This presentation contains forward-looking statements or information (collectively, “FLS”) within the meaning of applicable securities legislation, including Section 27A of the Securities Act of 1933, as amended, and Section 21E of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended. FLS include:
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All reserves estimates in this presentation are effective as of December 31, 2018, prepared by qualified reserves evaluators in accordance with procedures and standards contained in the Canadian Oil and Gas Evaluation ("COGE") Handbook, National Instrument 51-101 (NI 51-101) and SEC regulations, as applicable. On August 14, 2017, Encana was granted an exemption by the Canadian Securities Administrators from the requirements under NI 51-101 that each qualified reserves evaluator or qualified reserves auditor appointed under section 3.2 of NI 51-101 and who execute the report under Item 2 of Section 2 of NI 51-101 be independent of Encana. Detailed Canadian and U.S. protocol disclosure will be contained in the Form 51-101F1 and Annual Report on Form 10-K, respectively. Information on the forecast prices and costs used in preparing the Canadian protocol estimates are contained in the Form 51-101F1. For additional information relating to risks associated with the estimates of reserves, see "Item 1A. Risk Factors" of the Annual Report on Form 10-K. Reserves are the estimated remaining quantities of oil and natural gas and related substances anticipated to be recoverable from known accumulations, from a given date forward, based on: analysis of drilling, geological, geophysical and engineering data, the use of established technology, and specified economic conditions, which are generally accepted as being reasonable. Proved reserves are those reserves which can be estimated with a high degree of certainty to be recoverable. It is likely that the actual remaining quantities recovered will exceed the estimated proved reserves. Encana uses the terms play and resource play. Play encompasses resource plays, geological formations and conventional plays. Resource play describes an accumulation of hydrocarbons known to exist over a large areal expanse and/or thick vertical section, which when compared to a conventional play, typically has a lower geological and/or commercial development risk and lower average decline rate. As used by Encana, estimated ultimate recovery (“EUR”) has the meaning set out jointly by the Society of Petroleum Engineers and World Petroleum Congress in the year 2000, being those quantities of petroleum which are estimated, on a given date, to be potentially recoverable from an accumulation, plus those quantities already produced therefrom. Encana has provided information with respect to its assets which are “analogous information” as defined in NI 51-101, including estimates of EUR and production type
independent in nature. Production type curves are based on a methodology of analog, empirical and theoretical assessments and workflow with consideration of the specific asset, and as depicted in this presentation, is representative
based on internal estimates, and the preparation of any estimates may not be in strict accordance with COGEH. Estimates by engineering and geo-technical practitioners may vary and the differences may be significant. Encana believes that the provision of this analogous information is relevant to Encana's oil and gas activities, given its acreage position and operations (either ongoing or planned) in the areas in question, and such information has been updated as of the date hereof unless otherwise specified. Due to the early life nature of the various emerging plays discussed in this presentation, EUR is the most relevant specific assignable category of estimated resources. There is no certainty that any portion of the resources will be discovered. There is no certainty that it will be commercially viable to produce any portion of the estimated EUR. Estimates of Encana potential gross inventory locations, including premium return well inventory, include proved undeveloped reserves, probable undeveloped reserves, un-risked 2C contingent resources and unbooked inventory locations. As of December 31, 2018, on a proforma basis, 2,012 proved undeveloped locations, 3,844 probable undeveloped locations and 3,265 un-risked 2C contingent resource locations (in the development pending, development on-hold or development unclarified project maturity sub-classes) have been categorized as either reserves or contingent resources. Unbooked locations have not been classified as either reserves or resources and are internal estimates that have been identified by management as an estimation of Encana's multi-year potential drilling activities based on evaluation of applicable geologic, seismic, engineering, production, resource and acreage information. There is no certainty that Encana will drill all unbooked locations and if drilled there is no certainty that such locations will result in additional oil and gas reserves, resources or production. The locations on which Encana will actually drill wells, including the number and timing thereof is ultimately dependent upon the availability of capital, regulatory and partner approvals, seasonal restrictions, equipment and personnel, oil and natural gas prices, costs, actual drilling results, additional reservoir information that is obtained, production rate recovery, transportation constraints and other factors. While certain of the unbooked locations may have been de-risked by drilling existing wells in relative close proximity to such locations, many of other unbooked locations are farther away from existing wells where management has less information about the characteristics of the reservoir and therefore there is more uncertainty whether wells will be drilled in such locations and if drilled there is more uncertainty that such wells will result in additional proved or probable reserves, resources or production. 30-day IP and other short-term rates are not necessarily indicative of long-term performance or of ultimate recovery. The conversion of natural gas volumes to barrels of oil equivalent (“BOE”) is on the basis of six thousand cubic feet to
misleading, particularly if used in isolation.
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Certain measures in this presentation do not have any standardized meaning as prescribed by U.S. GAAP and, therefore, are considered non-GAAP measures. These measures may not be comparable to similar measures presented by other companies. These measures have been provided for meaningful comparisons between current results and other periods and should not be viewed as a substitute for measures reported under U.S. GAAP. For additional information regarding non-GAAP measures, including reconciliations, see the Company’s website and Encana’s most recent Annual Report as filed on SEDAR and EDGAR. Non-GAAP measures include:
GAAP Cash sh Fl Flow, Non
AAP Cash sh Flow
Per Sh Share (CFPS), Non
AAP Fre ree Cash sh Flow
AAP Fre ree Cash sh Flow
Yield an and Non
AAP Cash sh Fl Flow Margi rgin – Non-GAAP Cash Flow (or Cash Flow) is defined as cash from (used in) operating activities excluding net change in other assets and liabilities, net change in non-cash working capital and current tax on sale of assets. Non-GAAP CFPS is Non-GAAP Cash Flow divided by the weighted average number of common shares outstanding. Non-GAAP Free Cash Flow (or Free Cash Flow) is Non-GAAP Cash Flow in excess of capital expenditures, excluding net acquisitions and divestitures. Non-GAAP Free Cash Flow Yield is annualized Non-GAAP Free Cash Flow compared to current market capitalization. Non-GAAP Cash Flow Margin is Non-GAAP Cash Flow per BOE of production. Management believes these measures are useful to the company and its investors as a measure of operating and financial performance across periods and against other companies in the industry, and are an indication of the company’s ability to generate cash to finance capital programs, to service debt and to meet other financial obligations. These measures may be used, along with other measures, in the calculation of certain performance targets for the company’s management and employees.
Tota tal Cost sts per er BO BOE is defined as the summation of production, mineral and other taxes, upstream transportation and processing expense, upstream operating expense and administrative expense, excluding the impact of long-term incentive and restructuring costs, per BOE of production. Management believes this measure is useful to the company and its investors as a measure of operational efficiency across periods.
GAAP Ope perati ting Earn rnings gs (Loss) – is defined as Net Earnings (Loss) excluding non-recurring or non-cash items that management believes reduces the comparability of the company’s financial performance between
impairments, restructuring charges, non-operating foreign exchange gains/losses, gains/losses on divestitures and gains on debt retirement. Income taxes may include valuation allowances and the provision related to the pre-tax items listed, as well as income taxes related to divestitures and U.S. tax reform, and adjustments to normalize the effect of income taxes calculated using the estimated annual effective income tax rate.
et Debt, bt, Adjusted EBITD TDA, A, Net et Deb ebt to to Adjusted EBITDA DA an and Annu nnualized Lever everage – Net Debt is defined as long-term debt, including the current portion, less cash and cash equivalents. Management uses this measure as a substitute for total long-term debt in certain internal debt metrics as a measure of the company’s ability to service debt obligations and as an indicator of the company’s overall financial strength. Adjusted EBITDA is defined as trailing 12-month net earnings (loss) before income taxes, DD&A, impairments, accretion of asset retirement obligation, interest, unrealized gains/losses on risk management, foreign exchange gains/losses, gains/losses on divestitures and other gains/losses. Net Debt to Adjusted EBITDA is monitored by management as an indicator of the company’s overall financial strength. Annualized leverage is defined as net debt to adjusted EBITDA based on Adjusted EBITDA generated in the period on an annualized basis.
perati ting Margin in/Ope peratin ting Cash sh Flo low/Ope peratin ting Netback ack – Product revenues less costs associated with delivering the product to market, including production, mineral and other taxes, transportation and processing and
expenses. When presented
a per BOE basis, Operating Margin/Operating Cash Flow/Operating Netback is defined as indicated divided by average barrels
equivalent sales
measure of the profitability of a play(s).
ree Ope peratin ting Cash sh Fl Flow – Operating Cash Flow in excess of capital investment, excluding net acquisitions and divestitures.
Upstre ream Ope perati ting Cash sh Fl Flow – Upstream Operating Cash Flow is a measure that adjusts the Canadian, USA and China Operations revenues for production, mineral and other taxes, transportation and processing expense, and operating expense. Management monitors Upstream Operating Cash Flow as it reflects operating performance and measures the amount of cash generated from the company’s upstream operations.
Upstre ream Ope peratin ting Fre ree Cash sh Flow
investment, excluding net acquisitions and divestitures.
Contact Investor Relations: 403.645.3550 | | 2 281.210.5110 | | i investor.relations@encana.com