2019 General Rate Application Overview Presentation Ben Graham - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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2019 General Rate Application Overview Presentation Ben Graham - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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October 15, 2018 2019 GENERAL RATE APPLICATION MPI Exhibit 21 2019 General Rate Application Overview Presentation Ben Graham President and CEO 15 October 2018 1 1 Manitoba Public Insurance Page 1 of 19 October 15, 2018 2019 GENERAL RATE

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2019 General Rate Application Overview Presentation

Ben Graham President and CEO

15 October 2018

October 15, 2018 MPI Exhibit 21 2019 GENERAL RATE APPLICATION Manitoba Public Insurance Page 1 of 19

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Agenda

1) Mission and Values 2) Vision 3) Four Enablers 4) 2019 GRA Positive Themes 5) Ongoing Challenges 6) Conclusion

October 15, 2018 MPI Exhibit 21 2019 GENERAL RATE APPLICATION Manitoba Public Insurance Page 2 of 19

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MPI Beyond the 2019 GRA

A new path forward

October 15, 2018 MPI Exhibit 21 2019 GENERAL RATE APPLICATION Manitoba Public Insurance Page 3 of 19

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Our Mission & Values

Exceptional coverage and service, affordable rates and safer roads through public auto insurance.

  • Striving for Excellence
  • Providing Value to Manitobans
  • Doing What’s Right
  • Investing in People

October 15, 2018 MPI Exhibit 21 2019 GENERAL RATE APPLICATION Manitoba Public Insurance Page 4 of 19

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Living out our Mission: Insurance Priorities

Fiscal prudence Efficient operations Better predictability of MPI’s forecasts Appropriate insurance rates / service for customers

October 15, 2018 MPI Exhibit 21 2019 GENERAL RATE APPLICATION Manitoba Public Insurance Page 5 of 19

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October 15, 2018 MPI Exhibit 21 2019 GENERAL RATE APPLICATION Manitoba Public Insurance Page 6 of 19

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Enabler #1: Ensure Prudent Partnerships

  • Negotiating key partnerships (ATA/IBAM/Chiro)
  • MPI would like the outcomes of these negotiations to align

with fiscal prudence and ‘value for money’ principles

  • Aligned with our mission to provide value for Manitobans

MPI will ensure our partnerships align with ‘value for money’ principles

October 15, 2018 MPI Exhibit 21 2019 GENERAL RATE APPLICATION Manitoba Public Insurance Page 7 of 19

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Enabler #2: Optimize Reinsurance

  • MPI purchases reinsurance (i.e. insurance purchased by

insurance companies) to protect the Corporation from catastrophic events.

  • Aggregate reinsurance provides greater predictability in
  • utcomes

MPI will limit the volatility of financial results for both government and ratepayers by purchasing optimized or ‘aggregate’ reinsurance.

October 15, 2018 MPI Exhibit 21 2019 GENERAL RATE APPLICATION Manitoba Public Insurance Page 8 of 19

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Enabler #3: Maintain Proper Capital

Appropriate Capital (RSR) means stable rates for customers and stable financial forecasts for government.

October 15, 2018 MPI Exhibit 21 2019 GENERAL RATE APPLICATION Manitoba Public Insurance Page 9 of 19

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Enabler #4: Modernize our Products

MPI will evolve our product offerings to align with current market practice and customer risk sharing principles

Product Last updated Current Basic Deductible 1997 $500 Basic Maximum Insured Value 1998 $50,000 Minimum Third Party Liability 1983 $200,000

October 15, 2018 MPI Exhibit 21 2019 GENERAL RATE APPLICATION Manitoba Public Insurance Page 10 of 19

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2019 General Rate Application

Progress to Date & Challenges Before Us

October 15, 2018 MPI Exhibit 21 2019 GENERAL RATE APPLICATION Manitoba Public Insurance Page 11 of 19

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New Level of Transparency

  • Insight into MPI’s major decisions
  • Access to corporate leadership

Basic is Moving Towards a Stable Footing

  • Investment de‐risking has moved the goal posts
  • Basic forecast to have 70% MCT to start the rating year

Capital Maintenance Provision (CMP) Allows Basic to hold its ground

  • 2.1% rate increase to maintain capital
  • 0.1% increase to break‐even cost of insurance

2019 General Rate Application

Positive Themes

October 15, 2018 MPI Exhibit 21 2019 GENERAL RATE APPLICATION Manitoba Public Insurance Page 12 of 19

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Value Management is Operational Across MPI

  • Adopted across the spectrum
  • All projects / initiatives >$25k
  • Legacy Modernization (multi year, transformative)
  • >$500k projects included in GRAs

Value Management in Action: CCRS Cancellation

  • A thorough review halted to project activity
  • Refocused efforts on well supported assumptions
  • Established accountability for NPV and project results

2019 General Rate Application

Positive Themes

October 15, 2018 MPI Exhibit 21 2019 GENERAL RATE APPLICATION Manitoba Public Insurance Page 13 of 19

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MPI is squarely focused on the core insurance business

  • Claims (Physical Damage and Bodily Injury)
  • Underwriting
  • Fraud Management and Customer Risk Sharing
  • Investments

IT Investment Dollars Target Mainstream Technologies

  • Expanding channels (online / mobile) to serve customers
  • Modernize legacy system (assessment underway)
  • Off the Shelf solutions – minimize customization to save money

2019 General Rate Application

Positive Themes

October 15, 2018 MPI Exhibit 21 2019 GENERAL RATE APPLICATION Manitoba Public Insurance Page 14 of 19

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Investments / ALM & De‐Risking Basic

  • De‐risking Basic responds firstly to the fundamental responsibility

to ensure that existing claims will be honored in full

  • Regulatory landscape has directly influenced the risk appetite for

Basic – Capitalization and targets remain the lowest in Canada – Inaccurate interest rate forecasts resulted in significant and unnecessary pricing risk

  • Segregation of portfolios allows each fund to be tailored to a

particular purpose and circumstance

2019 General Rate Application

Ongoing Challenges

October 15, 2018 MPI Exhibit 21 2019 GENERAL RATE APPLICATION Manitoba Public Insurance Page 15 of 19

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Capital Remains a Concern

  • RSR Targets must be based on Best estimates

– Minimum at 34% MCT ($143 million)

  • Threshold for unsatisfactory financial condition

– Maximum at 85% MCT ($305 million)

  • 2‐year, 1‐in‐40, no management action DCAT Scenario
  • Are we different? No We Are Not

– CEO tasked by Government and Board with implementing best practice – How do we compare with peers? – Lower MCT = short term volatility

2019 General Rate Application

Ongoing Challenges

October 15, 2018 MPI Exhibit 21 2019 GENERAL RATE APPLICATION Manitoba Public Insurance Page 16 of 19

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Interest Rate Forecast

  • Naïve Interest Rate forecast is a best estimate

– MPI cannot place bets on interest rates – Appointed actuary supports the approach

  • Inaccurate interest rate forecasts have cost Basic $163 million (under‐

collected premium)

  • MPI supports updating the interest rate forecasts

– ‘Approved Methodology’ + ‘Dependable Inputs’ – Minimize the risk of mispricing:

  • Customers pay the right price
  • Reduce unnecessary volatility

2019 General Rate Application

Ongoing Challenges

October 15, 2018 MPI Exhibit 21 2019 GENERAL RATE APPLICATION Manitoba Public Insurance Page 17 of 19

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Our Mission is Clear ‐ Exceptional coverage and service, affordable

rates and safer roads through public auto insurance.

Our Values facilitate our mission ‐ Striving for Excellence ‐ Value for Manitobans ‐ Doing What’s Right ‐ Investing in People We’re making good progress ‐ Focusing on the Core Business ‐ Fiscal Prudence Guided by Value Management ‐ New Level of Transparency with the PUB

Summary and Key Requests

October 15, 2018 MPI Exhibit 21 2019 GENERAL RATE APPLICATION Manitoba Public Insurance Page 18 of 19

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Our Mission is Clear ‐ Exceptional coverage and service,

affordable rates and safer roads through public auto insurance.

We Need PUB Action to get us the rest: 1. Acceptable Capital Targets ‐ Based on Best Estimates 2. Capital Maintenance Provision ‐ Step one: Allow Basic to hold its ground 3. Interest Rate Forecast ‐ To limit the risk of mis‐pricing break even policies

Summary and Key Requests (Cont’d)

October 15, 2018 MPI Exhibit 21 2019 GENERAL RATE APPLICATION Manitoba Public Insurance Page 19 of 19