2012/13 Financial Position and Recovery Plan Month 7 YTD - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

2012 13 financial position and recovery plan month 7 ytd
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2012/13 Financial Position and Recovery Plan Month 7 YTD - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

Croydon Attachment D1 2012/13 Financial Position and Recovery Plan Month 7 YTD Performance November 2012 0 Index 1. Financial Position Summary 2. Mitigations 3. QIPP Recovery Performance 4. 5 Year Projection (pre-QIPP) 5.


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November 2012

Croydon 2012/13 Financial Position and Recovery Plan Month 7 YTD Performance

Attachment D1

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Index 1. Financial Position Summary

  • 2. Mitigations
  • 3. QIPP Recovery Performance

4. 5 Year Projection (pre-QIPP) 5. Allocations/Population 6. Governance

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  • 1. Executive Summary
  • The key risks facing the PCT at Month 7 continue to be:
  • Acute over-performance (CUH non-elective, ESH/Kings/GST/SLH)
  • QIPP: unidentified projects and reducing capacity from activity shifts
  • Contractual/performance issues on UCC and community services
  • Primary Care/Specialist Commissioning (incl £1.5m risk on 2nd take)
  • The PCT has modelled the following outturn scenarios for 2012/13:
  • Best Case

£5.0m deficit (M6: £5.0m)

  • Mid Case

£9.0m deficit (M6: £9.0m)

  • Downside Case

£12.6m deficit (M6: £12.6m) THESE FORECASTS DO NOT INCLUDE CONTINUING CARE RESTITUTION LIABILITIES

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1.1 Financial Outturn – M7 Forecast

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Financial Performance Target/ Indicator Measure Target Forecast Status Performance Trend Statutory Break Even Duties Revenue Resource Limit (RRL) Stay within RRL £595.9m £604.9m Red Capital Resource Limit Stay within CRL £2m £2m Green Cash Resource Limit Stay with Cash Limit £595.9m £604.9m Red (min. £9.0m cash support required) Administration Duties Better Practice Payment Policy Payment of valid invoices within 30 days. 90% Non NHS 87% to 80% NHS 82% to 96% Amber Other Significant Financial Targets QIPP Delivery of Programme Savings £25m £21m Red Running Costs Stay within running cost envelope. £12m £12m Green

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1.2 Financial Outturn Scenarios

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Description Plan £m Downside Case £m Mid Case (Forecast) £m Best Case £m Forecast Outturn before Risks/Mitig./Reserves (9.0) (20.2) (20.2) (20.2) Further Risks- Acute

  • Out of Hospital
  • Delivery of QIPP
  • (1.4)

(2.5) (1.0) (1.0) (1.8)

  • (1.0)
  • Total Risk

(9.0) (25.1) (23.0) (21.2) Mitigations - Acute

  • Out of Hospital
  • 1.4

2.5 1.8 3.5 2.3 4.5 Net Position pre Contingency (9.0) (21.3) (17.7) (14.4) Contingencies - PCT Local

  • 0.5% Cluster

6.0 3.0 5.7 3.0 5.7 3.0 5.7 3.0 Net Financial Position (M7 FOT) 0.0 (12.6) (9.0) (5.8) Net Financial Position (M6 FOT) 0.0 (12.6) (9.0) (5.0)

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1.3 Financial Performance By Receiver Organisation

5 For Month 7, the estimated CCG component of the adverse FOT performance is £7.6m. It should be noted that adverse variance of 2nd take specialist commissioning (£1.5m for renal and mental health) is currently shown under CCG.

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1.4 Financial Performance CCG: ACUTE

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1.5 Financial Performance CCG: Out of Hospital Services

7 These variances exclude the risk of continuing care restitution settlements which is currently being evaluated.

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1.6 Financial Performance NCB: Primary Care / Specialist

The forecast outturn on specialist services does not reflect “2nd take” services. Currently there is a £1.5m adverse variance on these services (renal and mental health) which is currently reported under CCG acute/mental health. The PCT is working closely with the London Specialist Commissioning Group and providers to disaggregate.

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1.7 Financial Performance By GP Network (1 month in arrears)

The CCG has established 6 GP Network across Croydon. For the first time the Month 6 position was analysed and presented by GP Network using actual acute and prescribing data, and fair shares for the balance. Whilst no network is in balance, there are individual practices in a surplus position.

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1.8 YTD QIPP Performance Graph

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Please note The YTD and FOT figures for the Long Term Conditions and GP Support for Care Homes projects have been reduced to zero due to the lack of monitoring information available. In previous reports, these projects were reporting to plan.

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1.9 RAG Rating of QIP Schemes

PMO RAG Rating Number of Projects Annual Plan (£000) Forecast Saving (£000) Variance (£000)

Green 20 13,760 16,827 3,067 Amber 7 1,698 1,342 (356) Red 16 7,078 3,156 (3,922) Unidentified 2,464

  • (2,464)

Total (M6) 43 25,000 21,325 (3,675) Total (M5) 43 25,000 21,896 (3,104)

The Patient Navigation Service (£0.4m QIPP) has won the HSJ Efficiency in Commissioning Support Services Award for 2012 and has been shortlisted as a finalist for the prestigious HSJ Awards 2012 for Secondary Care Service Redesign (with Croydon Health Services NHS Trust) 11

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  • 2. Mitigating Actions
  • Capacity
  • Addressing Acute Overperformance
  • Closing QIPP Gap
  • Other Actions

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SLIDE 14
  • All CCG Directors appointed as of 1 September 2012
  • Lay members, nurse and secondary care clinician to be

appointed by end of November 2012

  • Recruiting to Deputy Director of Strategy
  • Secured interim resource to cover strategy and

transformation functions

  • Considering additional time commitment from clinical

leaders, recognising the challenging agenda

  • Migrating to using CSU Offer (finance, informatics etc)

2.1 Actions - Capacity

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2.2 Actions – Acute Overperformance

14 Trust (M7 FOT) POD Action

All / General Planned Care

  • Rollout of CReSS referral management system by March 2013, especially

northern practices (1 Oct 2012) re Kings/GST

  • Waiting List validation on a 8 weekly basis by GPs
  • QIPP includes a number of project to provide alternative settings of care to

reduce activity in acute. All / General Non Elective Care

  • Manage benefit of NHS 111 implemented in 11/12 – lower OOH
  • Implementing UCC new model of care at CUH from April 2012
  • Progress transfer of satellite UCC services to GP provision
  • Joint programme with borough to invest reablement funds to reduce

admissions and readmissions

  • QIPP scheme on long term conditions, EOLC and COPD Hot Clinic CUH
  • Development of Long Terms Conditions strategy to avoid inappropriate

admissions, incl risk stratification across all practices in 2012/13 CUH (£2.9m Adv) Non elective Maternity High Cost Drugs

  • Above:ACU validating appropriateness of short stay
  • ACU reviewing ratio of non-deliveries/deliveries
  • CCG Prescribing team validating against SWL policy
  • Borough Team pursuing year end deal with Trust

ESH(£2.2m Adv) Non elective SWLEOC

  • Support negotiation of year end deal
  • Referral management via CReSS system.

St George’s (£0.7m) Critical Care

  • CCG support risk share and counter proposal.

King’s Healthcare (£2.4m Adv) Maternity OP Proc

  • ACU ratio of non-deliveries/deliveries
  • Roll out of CReSS to northern practices to manage referrals

Guy’s and St Thomas ( £1.9m Adv) Non elective Critical care

  • See above on non elective care
  • CCGs consider risk sharing in 13/14
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  • QIPP Governance Arrangements in place
  • Maximise impact of existing schemes during 2012/13
  • Long Term Conditions (incl Risk Stratification) and

Urgent care are key opportunities to be pursued for Q4.

  • Review of local, London and national QIPP case studies
  • Participation in NHS Benchmarking Network (longer

term)

  • Facilitating South London wide QIPP leads network (in

disucssion with CSU Finance)

2.3 Actions – QIPP Gap

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  • GP Engagement
  • 6 x GP networks – development continues
  • eQuIPPed newsletter to practices on QIPP Actions
  • Finance Team attending GP Networks to present practice

level financial performance (see 1.7)

  • Secure and Maximise Opportunities
  • £2/head funding (incl 11/12) (£1.1m)
  • year-end accruals
  • investment (£6.5m) minimised/deferred
  • Financial impact of actual CQUIN Performance

2.4 Actions - Other

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2.5 Actions - Timeline

  • 1. PIDs completed

for Remaining ‘in progress’ projects, followed by implementation and monitoring

  • 6. 3YP completed

with key output being shape of the health economy by end of 2014/15.

  • 3. Three year plan

(3YP) development begins with CCG leadership & borough team, followed by detailed modelling

On-going development of Clinical Commissioning Group and support structures

Jul 2012 Jan 2013 Oct 2012 Apr 2012

  • 2. Work completed
  • n other potential in-

year QIPP schemes; with PID completion and sign off where appropriate

  • 8. QIPP schemes

for the remaining two years devised from the in-year elements of the 3YP

  • 5. Integration work

stream begins in earnest with appointment of prog. lead assuming receipt

  • f funding.
  • 7. 3YP broken

down into in-year plans for the next three years

  • 4. Appointment of

borough MD followed by restructuring of borough team, to include additional recovery resource

  • 9. Implementation

& mobilisation of year 2 QIPP schemes begins Apr 2013

  • 10. CCG assumes

control of bulk of commissioning agenda, subject to authorisation caveats

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 17

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  • £25m recovery target (net after investment)
  • £22.5m Net Savings Plans Agreed (90%)
  • Opportunities to close gap (£1.0m)
  • Risks on Forecast outturn:
  • Non delivery on agreed schemes (£1.2m)
  • Non delivery to be identified (£2.5m)
  • 3. Recovery/QIPP Performance

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  • Based on 6 months actual data
  • Achieved net savings of £9.6m against plan of £10.2m (94%)
  • Key areas of adverse performance:
  • Primary Care
  • Shift of Care: Intermediate Services / Demand Management
  • Mental Health Efficiency
  • LTC and GP Support for Care Homes initiatives
  • Key areas of favourable performance
  • Continuing Care: Mental Health, Children and LD
  • Prescribing
  • Corporate/Public Health
  • Community Efficiency
  • Acute KPIs/underperformance in outpatient activity

3.1 Year to date performance

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3.2 2012/13 Programme Overview

QIPP Category 2011/12 Outturn 2012/13 Planned Net Savings Confirmed Work in Progress Total Mental Health 1,465 3,083 3,083 Acute Sector 1,977 9,978 9,978 Primary Care 1,294 824 824 Community Support Services

  • 1,416

1,416 Activity Shifts

  • 1,147

1,147 Long Term Conditions 480 2,158 600 2,758 Urgent Care 2,365 104 300 404 Planned Care 3,547 1,407 1,407 End of Life 350 877 877 Staying Healthy

  • 325

325 Back office 2,965 177 100 277 Staffing

  • 240

240 Prescribing 2,325 800 800 Total 16,769 22,536 1,000 23,536 Unidentified 1,464 Target savings for 2012/13 22,536 1,000 25,000

RED HIGHLIGHT: Delivering shifts of activity, but not seeing underperformance on acute SLAs 20

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3.3 Top Ten QIPP Schemes

Project £’000 PMO Rating Status Description Acute KPI/CQUINs – CUH 8,145 G New Savings from agreed contract levers with CUH Mental Health Efficiency 2,030 R New Reduction in acute MH contract value, activity reductions and shifts into primary care CCHS (Community) Efficiency 1,416 G New Reduction in agreed value of CCHS contract COPD Community Service 874 R Exp. COPD ‘hot clinic’ to avoid emergency admissions, doors opened in March Prescribing Efficiency 800 G New Reduction in GP prescribing spend. Limited data YTD. LSCG Efficiencies 778 G New Principally reduced pricing for SCG services Acute KPI/CQUINs – Other Trusts 746 G New Savings from agreed contract levers with other Acute Providers Mental Health National Efficiency 735 G New National efficiency adjustment Urology Service Redesign 600 G New Savings agreed with CUH through service redesign Intermediate Ophthalmology Pathway 575 R FYE Community triage service established to reduce activity flow into Secondary Care Total (67% of total target) 16,699

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3.4 Work in progress schemes

Potential Projects Lead Estimated value £’000 Decrease in urgent care spend through redirecting patients to primary care, stretching the UCC, through NHS 111 and introducing ambulatory care pathways Melody Woolcock 300 Reduction in long term conditions spend through pathway re-design, case management approach and risk stratification Philippa Robinson 600 Reduction in booking costs for intermediate services Josie Wright 100 Reduction in acute drugs spend through re-establishing a robust process of checking all drugs bills for NICE compliance etc. Eileen Callaghan Establishing surgical thresholds for outlier procedures including cardiology, and if necessary introducing triage functions to gate-keep TBC 2013/14 RAID (Rapid Assessment, Interface and Discharge) Services for alcohol TBC 2012/13 CQUIN Total 1,000

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3.5 Key Programme Risks - Update

Risk Mitigation 1 Lack of support from clinical commissioners to the relevant aspects of the programme.

  • CCG sign up to QIPP and recovery plan.
  • Responsibility for aspects of the plan taken on by clinical commissioners.
  • Continued engagement through GP open meetings, Clinical Leadership Group and

GP Networks.

  • Continued involvement of CCG leaders in decision making and key meetings

2 Lack of buy in from acute clinicians and management to support the required service developments.

  • Establishing dedicated strategic group with CUH.

3 Loss of organisational memory due to the transition process.

  • All QIPP schemes will have a detailed delivery plan held centrally by the PMO
  • Expectation that a number of staff will be retained in the new structures

4 Lack of resources to deliver the programme as a result of the reduction in headcount.

  • Where possible schemes are being stretched rather than new schemes introduced
  • May require additional resource if not possible to manage with existing structure

5 Failure of specific QIPP plans.

  • Continuation of QIPP Operational Board to tackle problem schemes
  • Continuation of existing PMO structure
  • Development of further QIPP schemes to allow for shortfalls on existing schemes

6 Unforeseen cost pressures in other areas such as continuing care and forensic mental health

  • The development of specific plans to protect against over spends in areas that are

likely to give rise to cost pressures.

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  • 4. CCG Financial Projections
  • All projections have been updated as at M6 for

recurring risk on 12/13 position (£12.0m) and CCG baseline allocations (£1.0m)

  • Base Projections and Downside Projections
  • Addressing QIPP Challenge (draft)
  • Risk Narrative

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4.1 CCG Financial Projections

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Base Case Downside Case

Base case requires £17.2m savings to achieve statutory breakeven in 2013/14 In both cases, the challenge from 2013/14 – 2015/16 is averaged to describe 3 year challenge (£13m- £20m pa). => 13/14 QIPP Target = £20.0m

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4.3 Addressing QIPP Challenge

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GROSS OPP. £m NET OPP. £m Levers

Acute: Non Elective Care 11.1 5.6 LTC Transformation Decommission acute capacity Self Management Acute: Planned Care 15.9 8.0 Referral Mngt (CReSS) PC Strategy / ECI Stretch Acute: Maternity 0.0 0.0 Review care pathways/KPIs Community/ Primary Care/Cont care 1.4 1.4 Procurement / Case Review Benchmarking / Best Practice Mental Health 2.6 2.6 Service Review – best practice Decommission inpatient capacity Prescribing 1.9 1.9 Continue best practice Other/Corporate 0.5 0.5 Review of non-running costs Total 33.4 20.0

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4.4 Risks

  • Actual CCG Resource allocation still to be confirmed

(specialist commissioning changes, children’s services, primary care IT, estates)

  • Delivery of 2012/13 recurrent balance / cash releasing QIPP
  • Financial framework for CCGs (currently based on PCT)
  • QIPP delivery risks (previous slide)
  • QIPP target for 2013/14 is £20.0m (from downside case)

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  • 5. Allocation and Populations
  • 2001 Census based population estimates materially

understate the population for Croydon (compared to 2011 Census) by 5-6%

  • 11/12 Distance from Target: Croydon is below target with

higher needs than other SWL boroughs

  • Seeking to influence that CCG Allocations and growth for

2013/14 are informed by 2011 Census data

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5.1 Distance from Target

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5.2 2011 Census Population

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  • 6. Programme Governance
  • The governance structure has been revised to include tighter oversight and

monitoring arrangements. The tactical and operational focus on delivery of the recovery programme and management of programme risks has been

  • enhanced. The arrangements also anticipate CCG governance requirements.
  • GPs are involved through all levels of the recovery programme, including

leadership of the integration agenda, oversight of the recovery programme, unblocking specific operational issues and support to individual projects.

  • Each project has a a project manager, GP sponsor, SMT sponsor and finance
  • lead. This matrix working is integral to ensuring delivery

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6.1 Programme Governance (Transition)

Governance structure has been designed along the lines used for NHS Sutton & Merton with a separate Challenge Trust Board formed to

  • versee the recovery process and to

inform Finance Committee and the Joint Boards. A second structure has been agreed from 1 April 2013 when CCG is authorised.

SWL Joint Finance Committee Croydon Challenged Trust Board SWL PCTs Joint Boards QIPP Op’s Board (weekly) Acute Task Group (monthly in QOB) Croydon CCG Board Croydon CCG Management Team (Incldedicated Recovery Agenda) Strategic Transformation Board 32

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6.2 Programme Governance (CCG 1/4/13)

A second structure has been proposed to operate from 1 April 2013 when CCG is authorised. Inevitably there will be an equivalent body to the current Challenged Trust Board arrangement that would between the CCG Governing Body and NHS Commissioning Board.

QIPP Op’s Board(weekly) Acute Task Group (monthly in QOB) NHS Commissioning Board Croydon CCG Management Team (Incldedicated Recovery Agenda) Strategic Transformation Board Croydon CCG Governing Body Integrated Governance Committee Finance Committee Members

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6.3 Programme Management

  • New Director of Commissioning in

place to lead Commissioning Team

  • Chief Finance Officer in post since

July 2012.

  • Dedicated PMO/recovery team to

lead and oversee delivery

Accountable Officer (Designate) Borough Managing Director Chief Finance Officer (Finance and Recovery) Commissioning Managers (QIPP leads) Programme Office Support Head of Programme Office Programme Office Support Data analyst (to be appointed by CSU) Director of Commissioning

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