2011 CIBC Institutional Investor Conference January 20, 2011 - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

2011 cibc institutional investor conference
SMART_READER_LITE
LIVE PREVIEW

2011 CIBC Institutional Investor Conference January 20, 2011 - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

2011 CIBC Institutional Investor Conference January 20, 2011 FORWARD-LOOKING STATEMENT Certain information in this presentation and oral statements made during this presentation, including any question and answer session, may contain


slide-1
SLIDE 1

2011 CIBC Institutional Investor Conference

January 20, 2011

slide-2
SLIDE 2

FORWARD-LOOKING STATEMENT

2

Certain information in this presentation and oral statements made during this presentation, including any question and answer session, may contain forward-looking statements, including but not limited to our strategy, partnerships, business fare products, our rewards program including our credit card and frequent guest program, growth drivers and expansion plans for WestJet and WestJet Vacations Inc. (WVI), capacity growth and fleet expansion, fleet and cost efficiencies, hedging activities and risk management. These forward-looking statements are subject to, and may be affected by, numerous risks and uncertainties which may cause WestJet’s actual results may differ materially from a conclusion, forecast or projection expressed in or implied by such statements. Material risks and the material factors and assumptions applied in formulating these, and the material factors that could cause actual results to differ from the forward-looking statements, are discussed in our public reports and filings which are available under WestJet’s profile on SEDAR (www.sedar.com) and include, but are not limited to: changes in government policy, exchange rates, interest rates, disruption of supplies, volatility of fuel prices, terrorism, general economic conditions, the competitive environment and other factors. Forward-looking statements are subject to change and WestJet does not undertake to update or revise any forward-looking information as a result of any new information, future events or otherwise, except as required by applicable law.

January 20, 2011

slide-3
SLIDE 3

Growth Story Continues

3

  • 1.0

2.0 3.0 4.0 5.0 Q4 2008 Q1 2009 Q2 2009 Q3 2009 Q4 2009 Q1 2010 Q2 2010 Q3 2010 Q4 2010 Miles (billions) 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% Load Factor % ASMs RPMs Load Factor %

slide-4
SLIDE 4

14 Years of Growth

4

WestJet Destinations Served*

8 8 9 12 15 20 21 24 24 23 23 26 28 30 31 7 11 11 11 12 17 17 2 4 6 6 5 7 13 17 1 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 Domestic Transborder Mexico Caribbean

*Destinations Served at Year-End

31 34 35 44 51 66 71

slide-5
SLIDE 5

Recovering Economy = Pricing Power

5

50.0% 60.0% 70.0% 80.0% 90.0% 100.0% Q1 2008 Q2 2008 Q3 2008 Q4 2008 Q1 2009 Q2 2009 Q3 2009 Q4 2009 Q1 2010 Q2 2010 Q3 2010 Q4 2010 Load Factor % 10.00 12.00 14.00 16.00 18.00 20.00 Yield (cents) Load Factor % Yield (cents)

slide-6
SLIDE 6

6

8.7 8.7 8.9 8.5 8.5 8.5 3.3 3.4 3.5 4.7 3.2 3.5 0.9 1.9 2.2 1.7 1.2 1.2 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 2 5 2 6 2 7 2 8 2 9 9 M 2 1

(c e n ts p e r A S M )

CASM (ex fuel) Fuel

  • Op. Margin
  • Excludes reservation system impairment of $31.9 million in 2007

Costs Remain Under Control

slide-7
SLIDE 7

5000 10000 15000 20000 25000 30000 35000 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 A S M s ( m i ll i

  • n

s ) 106 Aircraft 135 Aircraft

7

18% 3% 10 - 11%

132 88 44 97 54 43 102 58 44 108 64 44 76 52 24 86 53 33 91 53 38 135 124 114 Total confirmed fleet 91 80 70 Owned 44 44 44 Leased 8 8 6 12

  • 3
  • Lease expiries

3 10 6 6 5 6 5 10

  • Net change in aircraft

Measured Capacity Growth Flexible fleet plan expansion until 2017

Compounded average annual growth rate: Min ~4%, Max ~ 7%

slide-8
SLIDE 8

Capital Structure

8 200 400 600 800 1000 1200 1400 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 Q3 2010 $ millions 1 2 3 4 5 6 times Cash

  • Adj. net Debt/EBITDAR
  • Adj. Debt/Equity

Note: All figures are full-year figures, except for 2010 data. Debt ratios include aircraft operating leases.

At September 30, 2010:

  • Cash of C$1,218 million
  • Cash to TTM of revenues ratio of 49%
  • Current ratio of 1.50x
  • Adjusted debt to equity ratio of 1.38x
  • Adjusted net debt to EBITDAR of 1.81x

Initiated a quarterly dividend

  • $0.05 per share for 1st quarterly payout
  • Record date Dec 15, 2010, paid out Jan 21, 2011

Normal Course Issuer Bid

  • TSX approved 7,264,820 shares or ~ 5%
  • 2,338,730 shares re-purchased to date for total

price of ~ $31million

  • Program to run from Nov 5, 2010 to Nov 4, 2011
  • Purchase on open market and cancel
slide-9
SLIDE 9

Fireside Chat Questions & Answers

slide-10
SLIDE 10

Appendix

slide-11
SLIDE 11

WHAT MAKES WESTJET STAND OUT?

11

  • Consistently one of the most

profitable airlines in North America

  • 22 consecutive quarters of

profitability

  • Industry leading operating

margins

  • Consistently one of the lowest-

cost operators in North America

  • Planned profitable growth supported

by a strong balance sheet

  • Flexible fleet expansion plan and

seasonal deployment strategy

  • Provides a world-class guest

experience

  • One of Canada’s most admired

corporate cultures

slide-12
SLIDE 12

12

By 2016, WestJet will be one of the five most successful international airlines in the world

Costs and Margins People and Culture Revenue and Growth Guest Experience and Performance

WestJet Vacations Business traveller Rewards program Single fleet type Cost efficiency Risk management

STRATEGY - Working since day one

slide-13
SLIDE 13

Building on our capabilities

slide-14
SLIDE 14

BUSINESS TRAVELLER Building strength in this high-yield market

14

Opening the world up to our guests:

  • Providing the business traveller with

international travel options

  • Incremental revenue opportunities
  • Select strategic carriers in each major world

region

  • Continue implementing new partnerships

throughout 2011

Airline partnerships

Many items that we may choose to bundle together but yet to be determined:

  • Refundable tickets
  • Pre-reserved seating
  • Waive change and cancel fees
  • Ability to early show
  • Buy-on-board
  • Lounge access
  • Other new initiatives

Business Fare Products

slide-15
SLIDE 15

Appeals to the mass market:

  • Fully accretive to WestJet
  • Strong partnership with RBC for awareness
  • Simple and transparent
  • Two types of cards; different earning power
  • Uptake is in-line with expectations

REWARDS PROGRAM Straight to the bottom line

15

Credit card

Appeals to the high frequency traveller:

  • Simple and transparent program
  • Targeted at the traveller doing four to 40

trips per year

  • Aims to capture additional high-yielding

guests

  • Uptake is in-line with expectations

Frequent Guest Program

slide-16
SLIDE 16

16 • Capacity-share calculation based on data from IATA-SRS.

  • Mexico / Caribbean capacity share does not include charters.
  • Growing brand strength
  • Guest experience
  • Culture
  • WestJet Vacations
  • Rewards program
  • Airline partnerships
  • New destinations
  • New non-stops
  • Increased frequencies

5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50

2 4 2 5 2 6 2 7 2 8 2 9 2 1 2 1 1 2 1 2 2 1 3 2 1 4 2 1 5 2 1 6 M a r k e t S h a r e ( % ) Domestic Transborder International

MARKET SHARE GROWTH DRIVERS Currently serving a portion of addressable market

slide-17
SLIDE 17

17

  • One of the fastest growing vacation
  • perators in Canada
  • Large market opportunity available to

capture

  • Integrated approach with WestJet taps

multiple demand streams

  • Competitive advantage with flexible

product combinations and scheduled service to all destinations allowing more booking options

WESTJET VACATIONS Leveraging our strengths in a new marketplace

Estimated leisure market size in Canada

$5.0 $5.0 $10.9

5 10 15 20 25 Outbound Domestic Market Size

$ b n

ITC Market FIT Market Leisure Retail Market

WestJet Vacations addressable market segments are ITC and FIT Outside of current scope; might be able to capture a small percentage of this segment

Source: internal estimates FIT – Flexible itinerary travel ITC – Inclusive

slide-18
SLIDE 18

One of the lowest-cost carriers in North America

slide-19
SLIDE 19

A single fleet and single class of service:

  • Simplifies operations
  • Enhances operational productivity
  • Offers an operating cost advantage
  • Provides more consistent guest experience

SINGLE FLEET – BOEING NG 737 Keeping efficiency high

19

slide-20
SLIDE 20

Cost efficiencies have led to low break-even load factor

  • Cost efficiencies are driven by:
  • High utilization of aircraft
  • High employee productivity
  • Single-fleet efficiencies
  • Ownership culture
  • Disciplined focus on expenditures

COST EFFICIENCY Removing costs where possible

20

Source: Internal estimates, company reports

60.0% 65.0% 70.0% 75.0% 80.0% 85.0% 90.0% S

  • u

t h w e s t W e s t J e t J e t B l u e A m e r i c a n U S A i r w a y s A i r T r a n A l a s k a A i r C a n a d a D e l t a U n i t e d A l l e g i a n t

YTD Q3 2010 Load Factor YTD Q3 2010 Break-even Load Factor

slide-21
SLIDE 21

RISK MANAGEMENT Protecting against external volatility

21

  • Fuel price volatility
  • fuel is approximately 20% hedged for next 12 months
  • combination of CAD$ WTI and USGC JET swaps, collars and call options
  • CAD$ is partially a natural hedge against WTI
  • Foreign exchange volatility
  • Aircraft debt repayments fixed in CAD$ for term of debt
  • Next 12 month aircraft US$ leasing costs approximately 90% hedged into

CAD$

Interest rate volatility

  • Long-term aircraft debt has fixed interest rates averaging 5.3%
slide-22
SLIDE 22

We have the financial strength to put our strategy into action

slide-23
SLIDE 23

23

8.7 8.7 8.9 8.5 8.5 8.5 3.3 3.4 3.5 4.7 3.2 3.5 0.9 1.9 2.2 1.7 1.2 1.2 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 9M 2010

(cents per ASM)

CASM (ex fuel) Fuel

  • Op. Margin
  • Excludes reservation system impairment of $31.9 million in 2007

8.1% 6.8% 8.8% 12.04 13.20 YTD Q3 2010 11.0% 11.6% 7.8% Return on Invested Capital (TTM) 7.9% 9.0% 6.0% Earnings Before Tax Margin 11.0% 11.6% 9.2% Operating Margin 12.29 12.43 11.77 CASM (cents) 13.87 14.16 12.97 RASM (cents) 5 yr Avg. 2005- 2009 FY 2009 3 yr Avg. 2007- 2009

PROFITABLE 54 OF 56 QUARTERS

Some of the best margins in the industry

slide-24
SLIDE 24

Financially Sound

Among top performer in North American airline industry

24

* 2010 revenue estimates per CIBC Nov 3, 2010 Institutional Equity Research Earnings Update report. 2005 to 2008 numbers restated.

Q3 YTD 2010

Operating Margin 0.00% 2.00% 4.00% 6.00% 8.00% 10.00% 12.00% 14.00% 16.00% 18.00% Allegiant Alaska JetBlue WestJet Southwest Delta US Airways United Continental Air Tran Air Canada American

  • Revenue (m illions)
slide-25
SLIDE 25

Other Items

25

  • IFRS conversion Jan 1, 2011
  • Guidance:

– Q4 2010:

  • ASM growth of 13 - 14%
  • CASM (ex-fuel and profit share) flat

– FY 2011:

  • ASM growth of 6 - 8%
  • Capex of $110 – 130 million
slide-26
SLIDE 26

WE HAVE TAKEN OFF “Wheels Up”

26

  • We continue to be among top tier in earnings margins in the industry
  • We are a well-positioned, low-cost and efficient carrier
  • We have a very strong culture and highly engaged workforce
  • We have a strong brand in the market place
  • We have a highly attractive combination of planned growth and strong

balance sheet

  • We have an attractive valuation relative to peer group
slide-27
SLIDE 27

For further information: Hugh Harley Director, Investor Relations P: (403) 539-7594 E: hharley@westjet.com W: www.westjet.com