1) HOW MUCH CARRY DO YOU GET 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% -5% 0% - - PDF document

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1) HOW MUCH CARRY DO YOU GET 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% -5% 0% - - PDF document

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1) HOW MUCH CARRY DO YOU GET 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% -5% 0% 5% Argentinian Peso Turkish Lira Ukrainian Hryvna Tunisian Dinar Egyptian Pound BONDVIGILANTES Uruguay Peso Kazakhstan Tenge Mexican Peso Sri Lankan Rupee Georgia Lari

slide-1
SLIDE 1

1) HOW MUCH CARRY DO YOU GET

  • 5%

0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35%

Argentinian Peso Turkish Lira Ukrainian Hryvna Tunisian Dinar Egyptian Pound Uruguay Peso Kazakhstan Tenge Mexican Peso Sri Lankan Rupee Georgia Lari Indonesian Rupiah South African Rand Indian Rupee Brazilian Real Russian Ruble Philippine Peso Tanzanian Shilling Colombian Peso Moroccan Dirham Chinese Renminbi Iceland Krona Pakistani Rupee Malaysian Ringgit Peruvian Sol Rial Omani Jordanian Dinar Bahraini Dinar Romanian Leu Qatari Riyal Serbian Dinar Chilean Peso Saudi Riyal UAE Dirham New Zeland Dollar Australian Dollar Hong Kong Dollar Canadian Dollar Kuwaiti Dinar Singapore Dollar Polish Zloty Thailand Baht Korean Won Norwegian Krone Sterling Croatian Kuna Czech Koruna Hungarian Forint Israeli Shekel Taiwanese Dollar Japanese Yen Bulgarian Lev Swedish Krona Euro Latvian Lats Lithuanian Litas Danish Krone Swiss Franc

Source: M&G, Bloomberg, 08 June 2018

BONDVIGILANTES 12 months carry (%)

slide-2
SLIDE 2
  • 4%
  • 2%

0% 2% 4% 6% 8% 10%

Argentina Vietnam Russia Egypt Turkey Lebanon Ukraine Brazil Mexico Pakistan China India South Africa Oman Malaysia Peru Croatia Indonesia Bahrain Qatar Colombia New Zealand Chile Hong Kong Thailand South Korea Singapore Poland Saudi Arabia Taiwan Israel Australia Morocco Japan Denmark U.S. Canada Czech Rep. Philippines Hungary U.A.E. Switzerland Euro zone Norway U.K. Bulgaria Sweden Romania

Source: M&G, Bloomberg, 08 June 2018

BONDVIGILANTES

2) VALUATIONS

Central Banks real yield (%)

slide-3
SLIDE 3
  • 5%
  • 4%
  • 3%
  • 2%
  • 1%

0% Jun 13 Dec 13 Jun 14 Dec 14 Jun 15 Dec 15 Jun 16 Dec 16 Jun 17 Dec 17

BRAZIL

  • 7%
  • 6%
  • 5%
  • 4%
  • 3%
  • 2%
  • 1%

0% Jun 13 Dec 13 Jun 14 Dec 14 Jun 15 Dec 15 Jun 16 Dec 16 Jun 17 Dec 17

SOUTH AFRICA

  • 4%
  • 3%
  • 2%
  • 1%

0% Jun 13 Dec 13 Jun 14 Dec 14 Jun 15 Dec 15 Jun 16 Dec 16 Jun 17 Dec 17

INDONESIA

  • 8%
  • 7%
  • 6%
  • 5%
  • 4%
  • 3%
  • 2%
  • 1%

0% Jun 13 Dec 13 Jun 14 Dec 14 Jun 15 Dec 15 Jun 16 Dec 16 Jun 17 Dec 17

TURKEY

  • 6%
  • 5%
  • 4%
  • 3%
  • 2%
  • 1%

0% Jun 13 Dec 13 Jun 14 Dec 14 Jun 15 Dec 15 Jun 16 Dec 16 Jun 17 Dec 17

INDIA

Source: M&G, Bloomberg, 31 December 2016

BONDVIGILANTES Fragile Five Economies: current account as a % of GDP

3) FUNDAMENTALS