Wrap-Up AAAI 2008 Spring Symposium on Using AI to Motivate Greater - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

Wrap-Up AAAI 2008 Spring Symposium on Using AI to Motivate Greater Participation in Computer Science Stanford University March 26 – 28, 2008

An Initial Observation

CS Declaration Data From Stanford CS major declarations 180 160 140 120 100 80 60 40 20 0 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007

A Slightly More Well Known Graph NASDAQ composite index 4500 4000 3500 3000 2500 2000 1500 1000 500 0 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 Source: Yahoo! finance

The Obvious Correlation • Normalize both graphs by 1998 values – Adjust for a one year lag time in declarations CS major declarations NASDAQ composite index 2.5 Correlation = 0.61 2 1.5 1 0.5 0 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006

What Happened in 2003? By 2003, … sensational news stories appeared about a supposedly horrific loss of these [computer programming] jobs [due to offshoring]. -- The Washington Times, June 6, 2004 CS major declarations NASDAQ composite index 2.5 Correlation up to 2003 = 0.88 Correlation = 0.61 2 1.5 1 0.5 0 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006

One Possible Solution Actual bumper sticker seen in Palo Alto circa 2003

The Truth On Offshoring • More IT jobs today in US than during boom – Despite significant increase in offshoring over past 5 years Source: Globalization and Offshoring of Software: A Report of the ACM Job Migration Task Force (citing the Bureau of Labor Statistics), 2006. • Confusion at the Bureau of Labor Statistics – Projected Job Growth from 2004 to 2014 • “Computer programmer”: below average • “Computer scientists” & “software engineers”: above average • Need to create awareness of “CS in the large” – CS is increasingly fundamental to work many fields – AI is an important part of that!

The Need is Real 160,000 Ph.D. 140,000 Master’s 120,000 Bachelor’s 100,000 Projected job openings 80,000 60,000 40,000 20,000 Engineering Physical Sciences Biological Sciences Computer Science Sources: Slide courtesy of Eric Roberts -- adapted from a presentation by John Sargent, Senior Policy Analyst, Department of Commerce, at the CRA Computing Research Summit, February 23, 2004. Original sources listed as National Science Foundation/Division of Science Resources Statistics; degree data from Department of Education/National Center for Education Statistics: Integrated Postsecondary Education Data System Completions Survey; and NSF/SRS; Survey of Earned Doctorates; and Projected Annual Average Job Openings derived from Department of Commerce (Office of Technology Policy) analysis of Bureau of Labor Statistics 2002-2012 projections. See http://www.cra.org/govaffairs/content.php?cid=22 .

Great Presentations • Diversity of ideas • Great projects • Real world… – …deployments – …courses – …impact • Useful data gathered – Would be great to have even more • Generated lots of enthusiasm • Send me your slides – PDF or PPT – We’ll post them on the Symposium web site • Demos, demos, demos! – Across the hall – Starting right after this

Let’s continue to fill the French Drain! Thank You!