WP4 Innovative modelling tools Christopher Lynam Workplan - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

WP4 – Innovative modelling tools

Christopher Lynam Christian Wilson

Workplan

Kick-off meeting, 08 Oct 2012, Mallorca

• 1. Detail the tasks to meet goals of project
• 2. Include background information to be used
• 3. Organization of tasks and responsibilities
• 4. Short-term activities and goals with deadlines

D4-1 Report on available models for biodiversity and needs for development (link to WP3) mo 12 end October 2013 D4-2 Report describing spatial ecosystem models (including large models [e.g. Ecospace] but also statistical and GIS approaches) mo 34 end August 2015 Aim for final report April 2015 in order to give time for D4-3 write-up (link to WP6) D4-3 Report on the analysis of reference levels for indicators of biodiversity for selected pilot areas (including ecosystem model studies but also

• utput from Biological Traits Analysis)

(link to WP6) mo 36 end October 2015 D4-4 User interfaces available mo 42 end April 2016 WP-4 Deliverables

D4-1

• WP3 input on indicators from initial assessment + new developments
• for inclusion in current ecosystem models and to evaluate the capability of the

models to capture the indicator

• L ink biodiversity to food-webs indicators

D4-3

• Data call with WP6 - for activity+habitat layers
• Med trawl data required – contact GES working group
• BTA: work in co-operation with FP7 Benthis (Helena (IMAR) to visit Cefas)
• Data to made available at species list level (for BTA+connectivity data call)
• Genetic data where possible for more advanced analyses (contact AZTI)

D4-3

• Chris/Chiara/Natalie/others hold an internet meeting march-2013
• Tasks 4.2.2 and 4.3.4 to be discussed further to define sub-tasks and approach

WP-4 Tasks identified

D4-1 Report available models + development needs 31 October 2013

Build on previous projects/knowledge Task 4.1.1: Catalogue the capabilities of GES assessment models for biodiversity JRC, Partners: CEFAS, OceanDTM, AZTI, CNRS, HCMR, MHI-NASU, DEU, IMAR, SYKE Build on MEECE inventory [www.meece.eu/library.aspx] Task 4.1.2: Employ ecosystem models and alter changes in mortality on key and vulnerable species CEFAS, Partners: CNRS, AZTI, JRC, UHULL. Run EwE, ERSEM-EwE, GOTM-EwE, tGAMs… assess where informative/lacking (i.e. vulnerable species rays/sharks etc) Milestone MS 14 - runs complete files on web – month 12 end October 2013 Task links to www.IndiSeas.org Strong links to WP3, require input on indicators (initial assessment but also developments) to attempt to model and link to food-webs

D4-2 Report describing spatial ecosystem models (1) 31 August 2015 (but aim for final report April 2015)

Task 4.1.3: Improve and validate GIS maps of benthic habitat using phys & biol data OceanDTM, Partners: JRC, CEFAS, PML, AZTI, KUCORPI, DEU, CNRS, MHI-NASU Milestone MS 15 - files on web – month18 end April 2014 Work in co-operation with WP6 - for activity layers Task 4.1.4: Develop spatial ecosystem models CEFAS, Partners: PML, OceanDTM, AU, AZTI, JRC, KUCORPI, MHI-NASU, HULL, CNRS (links to FP7 VECTORS , OPEC ) Med trawl data (how do we get it? – need a high level) Task 4.2.1: Examine habitat type in selected pilot areas relative to regional sea habitat CEFAS, OceanDTM, Partners:, AU, PML, JRC, DEU, UHULL, CNRS Statistical work building on 4.1.3 and 4.1.4 (links to MESMA, VECTORS and Benthis) Milestone MS 16 - files on web – month 32 end Jun 2015

• utput to WP6

Task 4.3.2 and Task 4.3.5 next slide…

D4-2 Report describing spatial ecosystem models (2) 31 August 2015 (but aim for final report April 2015)

Task 4.3.2: Identify relevant spatial and temporal scales for traits IMAR, Partners: CNRS, JRC, PML, CEFAS, AU (links to FP7 Benthis) Milestone MS 17 - fuzzy analysis complete - files on web – month 32 end Jun 2015 Work in co-operation with FP7 Benthis (Andy Kenny and Julie Bremner, Helena IMAR to visit Cefas) Data to made available at species list level (along with connectivity data call) Joint analyses led by IMAR Task 4.3.5: Modelling of marine connectivity and biod across regional seas AZTI, Partners: CNRS, PML, HCMR, MHI-NASU [limited], DEU, CONISMA Milestone MS 18 – indices for each area - files on web – month 24 end Oct 2014 Data to made available at species list level (along with traits data call) Genetic data where possible for more advanced analyses (contact AZTI)

D4-3 Report on the analysis of reference levels for indicators of biodiversity for selected pilot areas to input into WP6 31 October 2015

Task 4.2.2: Modelling reference or target levels CEFAS, Partners: AZTI, PML, JRC

• 1. Where suitable ecosystem models exist (e.g. North Sea, Med Sea):

potential levels modelled on current state, pressures and climate [Indiseas]

• 2. Statistical approaches to link indicators/fishing/climate
• 3. Biodiversity-productivity threshold (Axel)

Task 4.3.4: Interactions between climate change, physical forcing and biodiversity CNRS, Partners: IMAR, JRC, NIOZ, PML, CEFAS, MHI-NASU Create sub-tasks here Tasks 4.2.2 and 4.3.4 to be discussed further Chris/Chiara/Natalie/others by internet meeting march-2013 Task 4.3.1: Utility, applicability, relevance of indicators from multiple traits IMAR, Partners: CNRS, AZTI, JRC, PML, CEFAS, AU Task 4.3.2: Identify relevant spatial and temporal scales for traits IMAR, Partners: CNRS, JRC, PML, CEFAS, AU Task 4.3.3: Model relationship between taxonomic/functional composition IMAR, Partners: CNRS, JRC, PML, CONISMA, CEFAS Work in co-operation with FP7 Benthis (Tasks 4.3.1-3 ,Julie Bremner)

D4-4 User interfaces available - 30 April 2016

Ecoreach Partners: CEFAS, OceanDTM, CNRS, JRC, IMAR, HCMR, PML Task 4.3.1: Model outputs and results will be made accessible to stakeholders and end-users through applications for smart-phones and tablet The partners will provide material to fulfill the applications Milestone MS 19 – interfaces available on web – month 41 end Mar 2016 Ideas model outputs to engage public smart-phone apps – to visualise habitat and expected communities in sea? smart-phone apps – gaming ? smart-phone apps – explore biodiversity across spatial scales?

Kick-off meeting, 08 Oct 2012, Mallorca