What is happening to biodiversity and what are we doing? Hugh - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

what is happening to biodiversity and what are we doing
SMART_READER_LITE
LIVE PREVIEW

What is happening to biodiversity and what are we doing? Hugh - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

What is happening to biodiversity and what are we doing? Hugh Possingham FAA FNAS, @HugePossum Chief Scientist, The Nature Conservancy Univ QLD, ARC Laureate Fellow (20%) Overview How is the worlds biodiversity going? What is


slide-1
SLIDE 1

What is happening to biodiversity and what are we doing?

Hugh Possingham FAA FNAS, @HugePossum Chief Scientist, The Nature Conservancy Univ QLD, ARC Laureate Fellow (20%)

slide-2
SLIDE 2

Overview

  • How is the world’s biodiversity going?
  • What is destroying it?
  • What is the world doing about it?
  • What are we doing?

Biodiversity threats in perspecitve

slide-3
SLIDE 3

How are we going?

  • Extinction rates 100-1000 times > background
  • Australia has lost two mammal species this

century already

  • Australia is losing >1 species/subspecies of bird

per decade (should be 1 per thousand yrs)

  • Living Plant Index, Australian Threatened

Species Index

Biodiversity threats in perspecitve

slide-4
SLIDE 4

Living planet index – 60% decline

Biodiversity threats in perspecitve

slide-5
SLIDE 5

Australian TSX (birds) https://tsx.org.au/tsx/#/

Biodiversity threats in perspecitve

slide-6
SLIDE 6

What is destroying our biodiversity?

Ranking major threatening processes by the number of species they impact.

Maxwell, S.L., Fuller, R.A., Brooks, T.A. & Watson, J.E.M. (2016) Nature 536: 143-145

slide-7
SLIDE 7

Biodiversity threats in perspecitve

Major threat class Abbreviated major threat class classification Species threatened (n) Species threatened (% of total)

  • 1. Residential & commercial

development Urban development 3014 34.7

  • 2. Agriculture & aquaculture

Agricultural activity 5407 62.2

  • 3. Energy production & mining

Energy production 913 10.5

  • 4. Transportation & service

corridors Transportation 1219 14.0

  • 5. Biological resource use

Overexploitation 6241 71.8

  • 6. Human intrusions &

disturbance Human disturbance 1223 14.1

  • 7. Natural system modifications

System modification 1865 21.5

  • 8. Invasive & other problematic

species, genes & diseases Invasion & disease 2298 26.5

  • 9. Pollution

Pollution 1901 21.9

  • 10. Geological events

NA 122 1.4

  • 11. Climate change & severe

weather Climate change 1688 19.4

  • 12. Other options

NA 10 0.1

slide-8
SLIDE 8

Investment in conservation works, but …

BDS = Biodiversity Decline Score Colour shows percent of global BDS contributed by the country. Source: A Waldron et al. Nature 1–4 (2017) doi:10.1038/nature24295

slide-9
SLIDE 9

What works

  • Traditional protection still delivers but …
  • There is a massive management budget shortfall,

protected areas can be lost (PADDD), not representative

  • Restoration

– Fire regimes – Temperate reefs – Flow regimes – Forests and forestry

  • Novel market mechanisms – blue bonds, reverse

auctions, payments for ecosystem services, biodiversity

  • ffsets and banking, insuring natural capital

Biodiversity threats in perspecitve

slide-10
SLIDE 10

Take home

  • Reverse the funding decline, then multiply by ten
  • Will Australia’s governments save our

biodiversity?

  • Legislation that is enforced (underfunded and

dysfunctional EPBC Act)

  • Be smarter, be bolder
  • Decarbonise the economy, much cheaper than

you thought

  • But what about the 10 billion people?

Biodiversity threats in perspecitve

slide-11
SLIDE 11

GLOBAL SITUATION ANALYSIS: BUSINESS AS USUAL

  • World population grows to about

10 billion people

  • Global GDP grows 8% per year
  • Demand for food grows by 55%
  • Demand for energy grows by 60%

FEE in press, Tallis et al. Heather Tallis Lead Scientist for Strategy Innovation

slide-12
SLIDE 12

2050 IMPACTS: CAN WE DO BETTER?