WG3 Source Apportionment 27-29 June 2016 CAMx Base Configuration - - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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WG3 Source Apportionment 27-29 June 2016 CAMx Base Configuration - - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

WG3 Source Apportionment 27-29 June 2016 CAMx Base Configuration - Model Performance Evaluation G. Pirovano, P. Brotto, J. Ferreira, Y. Long, C. Emery, G. Yarwood, F. Pradelle, S. Pillon, A. Dalla Fontana, A. Poupkou, N. Liora, D. Melas 1 CAMx


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SLIDE 1

27-29 June 2016

CAMx Base Configuration - Model Performance Evaluation

  • G. Pirovano, P. Brotto, J. Ferreira, Y. Long, C. Emery, G. Yarwood, F. Pradelle,
  • S. Pillon, A. Dalla Fontana, A. Poupkou, N. Liora, D. Melas

1

WG3 Source Apportionment

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SLIDE 2

2

CAMx simulation setup

FAIRMODE Domains

X Y D 0.375 0.1875 N 135 180 SW_centre

  • 14.8125

32.09375 SW_corner

  • 15.0000

32.0000 NE_centre 35.4375 65.65625 NE_corner 35.625 65.750

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SLIDE 3

3

CAMx simulation setup

Measurement and SA sites

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SLIDE 4

4

CAMx simulation setup

CAMx setup

SEA SALT and DUST Model (NEMO)

BVOC (NEMO)

Temporal modulation and chemical speciation profiles

EMISSION INVENTORY (TNO)

EMISSION MODEL

(NCEP / GFS)

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SLIDE 5

5

CAMx simulation setup

Natural Emissions Model (NEMO)

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SLIDE 6

6

CAMx simulation setup

NEMO - Input Databases

 Land Use  Eurasia Land Cover Characteristics database (version 2) (U.S. Geological Survey (USGS))

  • 1km2 spatial resolution
  • 253 classifications of Land Use and Land Cover (LULC)
  • dust producing LULC  barren land, grassland, cropland and agricultural land

(156 in total)  Soil Texture  European Soil Map database (ESDB) version 2.0 + Global Soil Map Oak Ridge National Laboratory (ORNL)

  • 6km resolution database
  • 5 texture types: Coarse, Medium,

Medium Fine, Fine, Very fine

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SLIDE 7

7

CAMx simulation setup

Anthropogenic emissions

Spatial disaggregation Chemical speciation Temporal disaggregation

  • Gaseous pollutants (CB05/CB06 mechanism considered):
  • NOx  NO, NO2
  • SOx  SO, SO2
  • NMVOCs  TRP, TERP, SQT, IOLE, OLE, PAR, TOL, TOLA, XYL, XYLA,

FORM, ALD2, ALDX, ETH, ETHA, MEOH, ETOH, ISOP, ISP, CG1, CG3, CG6

  • PM
  • Coarse/fine fraction profiles obtained averaging country profiles

(averaged weighting the contribution to the total mass)

  • SOAP and VBS aerosol mechanisms available
  • Lat/Lon regular grid
  • Two datasets considered for EU and Lens domain
  • Temporal profiles for NOx, NH3, CO, NMVOC, PMfine, PMcoarse, SO2, CH4
  • 20 sectors considered
  • Monthly, daily and hourly temporal profiles introduced for each sector
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SLIDE 8

CAMx simulation setup

WRF-ARW fields preprocessing

CAMx v6 meteorological input files from WRF-ARW core output files keeping original WRF fields were generated considering several improvements:

  • Kv computation by means of YSU scheme
  • Subgrid convection: sub-grid clouds diagnostic from gridded met fields
  • Stratiform scheme: sub-grid stratiform cloudiness diagnostic
  • Enhancement of vertical mixing via vertical diffusivity
  • Landuse-based patch to enhance mixing over urban areas.
  • Expansion of the daytime PBL Kv profile through capping

cloud tops as a means to prohibit artificial collapse of the boundary layer when convection develops and to include convective venting to the free troposphere.

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SLIDE 9

CAMx simulation setup

CAMx – Sensitivity analysis

  • Base case configuration (RSE) [today and tomorrow…]
  • KV scheme changed in WRFCAMx (from YSU to CMAQ)

(ARPAV) [tomorrow…]

  • nested domain switched off (influence of resolution on

SA results) (UAVR) [tomorrow…]

  • evaluate Organic aerosol trough VBS instead of SOAP (RE)

[coming soon…]

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SLIDE 10

Summer Episode – PM10 / PM2.5

Base case configuration - Summer mean

Model Performance Evaluation

Guido Pirovano – FAIRMODE meeting (Zagreb 27-29 June 2016)

10

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SLIDE 11

Summer Episode – EC / OM

Base case configuration - Summer mean

Model Performance Evaluation

Guido Pirovano – FAIRMODE meeting (Zagreb 27-29 June 2016)

11

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SLIDE 12

Summer Episode – Inorganic

Base case configuration - Summer mean

Model Performance Evaluation

Guido Pirovano – FAIRMODE meeting (Zagreb 27-29 June 2016)

12

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SLIDE 13

Summer Episode – Inorganic

Base case configuration - Summer mean

Model Performance Evaluation

Guido Pirovano – FAIRMODE meeting (Zagreb 27-29 June 2016)

13

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SLIDE 14

Summer Episode – PM10 / PM2.5

Target Diagram – Airbase (All sites) – Daily mean

Model Performance Evaluation

Guido Pirovano – FAIRMODE meeting (Zagreb 27-29 June 2016)

14

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SLIDE 15

Summer Episode – NO2 / O3

Target Diagram – Airbase (All sites) – Hourly/8-hourly mean

Model Performance Evaluation

Guido Pirovano – FAIRMODE meeting (Zagreb 27-29 June 2016)

15

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SLIDE 16

Summer Episode – PM10

Mean Bias – Airbase (All sites) – Hourly mean values

Model Performance Evaluation

Guido Pirovano – FAIRMODE meeting (Zagreb 27-29 June 2016)

16

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SLIDE 17

Summer Episode – PM10

Correlation – Airbase (All sites) – Hourly mean values

Model Performance Evaluation

Guido Pirovano – FAIRMODE meeting (Zagreb 27-29 June 2016)

17

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SLIDE 18

Summer Episode – PM10

Time series – SA sites – hourly mean values

Model Performance Evaluation

Guido Pirovano – FAIRMODE meeting (Zagreb 27-29 June 2016)

18

Lens Paris Calais London

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SLIDE 19

Summer Episode – PM10

Time series – SA sites – hourly mean values

Model Performance Evaluation

Guido Pirovano – FAIRMODE meeting (Zagreb 27-29 June 2016)

19

Bruxelles RUR_BKGD1 RUR_BKGD2

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SLIDE 20

Summer Episode – PM10

Time series – Lens – Daily mean values

Model Performance Evaluation

Guido Pirovano – FAIRMODE meeting (Zagreb 27-29 June 2016)

20

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SLIDE 21

Summer Episode – OC / EC

Time series – Lens – Daily mean values

Model Performance Evaluation

Guido Pirovano – FAIRMODE meeting (Zagreb 27-29 June 2016)

21

OC EC

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SLIDE 22

Summer Episode – SIA

Time series – Lens – Daily mean values

Model Performance Evaluation

Guido Pirovano – FAIRMODE meeting (Zagreb 27-29 June 2016)

22

NO3- SO4= NH4+

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SLIDE 23

Summer Episode – PM10

Time series – Gent – Daily mean values

Model Performance Evaluation

Guido Pirovano – FAIRMODE meeting (Zagreb 27-29 June 2016)

23

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SLIDE 24

Summer Episode – OC / EC

Time series – Gent – Daily mean values

Model Performance Evaluation

Guido Pirovano – FAIRMODE meeting (Zagreb 27-29 June 2016)

24

OC EC

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SLIDE 25

Summer Episode – SIA

Time series – Gent – Daily mean values

Model Performance Evaluation

Guido Pirovano – FAIRMODE meeting (Zagreb 27-29 June 2016)

25

NO3- SO4= NH4+

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SLIDE 26

Winter Episode – PM10 / PM2.5

Base case configuration - Winter mean

Model Performance Evaluation

Guido Pirovano – FAIRMODE meeting (Zagreb 27-29 June 2016)

26

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SLIDE 27

Winter Episode – EC / OM

Base case configuration - Winter mean

Model Performance Evaluation

Guido Pirovano – FAIRMODE meeting (Zagreb 27-29 June 2016)

27

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SLIDE 28

Winter Episode – Inorganic

Base case configuration - Winter mean

Model Performance Evaluation

Guido Pirovano – FAIRMODE meeting (Zagreb 27-29 June 2016)

28

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SLIDE 29

Winter Episode – Inorganic

Base case configuration - Winter mean

Model Performance Evaluation

Guido Pirovano – FAIRMODE meeting (Zagreb 27-29 June 2016)

29

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SLIDE 30

Winter Episode – PM10 / PM2.5

Target Diagram – Airbase (All sites) – Daily mean

Model Performance Evaluation

Guido Pirovano – FAIRMODE meeting (Zagreb 27-29 June 2016)

30

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SLIDE 31

Winter Episode – NO2 / O3

Target Diagram – Airbase (All sites) – Hourly/8-hourly mean

Model Performance Evaluation

Guido Pirovano – FAIRMODE meeting (Zagreb 27-29 June 2016)

31

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SLIDE 32

Winter Episode – PM10

Mean Bias – Airbase (All sites) – Hourly mean values

Model Performance Evaluation

Guido Pirovano – FAIRMODE meeting (Zagreb 27-29 June 2016)

32

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SLIDE 33

Winter Episode – PM10

Correlation – Airbase (All sites) – Hourly mean values

Model Performance Evaluation

Guido Pirovano – FAIRMODE meeting (Zagreb 27-29 June 2016)

33

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SLIDE 34

Winter Episode – PM10

Time series – SA sites – hourly mean values

Model Performance Evaluation

Guido Pirovano – FAIRMODE meeting (Zagreb 27-29 June 2016)

34

Lens Paris Calais London

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SLIDE 35

Winter Episode – PM10

Time series – SA sites – hourly mean values

Model Performance Evaluation

Guido Pirovano – FAIRMODE meeting (Zagreb 27-29 June 2016)

35

Bruxelles RUR_BKGD1 RUR_BKGD2

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SLIDE 36

Winter Episode – PM10

Time series – Lens – Daily mean values

Model Performance Evaluation

Guido Pirovano – FAIRMODE meeting (Zagreb 27-29 June 2016)

36

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SLIDE 37

Winter Episode – OC / EC

Time series – Lens – Daily mean values

Model Performance Evaluation

Guido Pirovano – FAIRMODE meeting (Zagreb 27-29 June 2016)

37

OC EC

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SLIDE 38

Winter Episode – SIA

Time series – Lens – Daily mean values

Model Performance Evaluation

Guido Pirovano – FAIRMODE meeting (Zagreb 27-29 June 2016)

38

NO3- SO4= NH4+

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SLIDE 39

Winter Episode – PM10

Time series – Gent – Daily mean values

Model Performance Evaluation

Guido Pirovano – FAIRMODE meeting (Zagreb 27-29 June 2016)

39

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SLIDE 40

Winter Episode – OC / EC

Time series – Gent – Daily mean values

Model Performance Evaluation

Guido Pirovano – FAIRMODE meeting (Zagreb 27-29 June 2016)

40

OC EC

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SLIDE 41

Winter Episode – SIA

Time series – Gent – Daily mean values

Model Performance Evaluation

Guido Pirovano – FAIRMODE meeting (Zagreb 27-29 June 2016)

41

NO3- SO4= NH4+

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SLIDE 42

EC/OC analysis

Lens domain – Yearly emissions by SNAP

Model Performance Evaluation

Guido Pirovano – FAIRMODE meeting (Zagreb 27-29 June 2016)

42

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SLIDE 43

EC/OC analysis

Time series – Lens – Daily mean values

Model Performance Evaluation

Guido Pirovano – FAIRMODE meeting (Zagreb 27-29 June 2016)

43

Summer Winter

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SLIDE 44

Guido Pirovano – FAIRMODE meeting (Zagreb 27-29 June 2016)

44

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SLIDE 45

Methodology – Short Description

  • Biogenic Emissions (BVOCs)
  • Calculation of isoprene “synthesis” emissions (depending on both temperature and

light) and monoterpene and OVOC “pool” emissions (depending on temperature

  • nly)
  • leaf age, soil moisture and seasonality correction factors
  • Windblown Dust (WD)
  • Estimation of the horizontal (saltation) and the vertical (fine suspended particles)

dust flux

  • Parameterization of threshold wind speed as a function of soil particle size, soil

moisture and drag partitioning

  • Sea Salt Aerosols (SSA)
  • The SSA production is dependent on wind speed, sea surface temperature and

water salinity

  • Primary Biological Aerosol Particles (PBAPs)
  • Emission factors for plant debris and fungal spores emissions
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SLIDE 46

Natural Emission Maps for LENS Domain

Domain wide monthly emissions maximum in:

  • August 2011 for biogenic

NMVOCs

  • December 2011 for Wind-

blown Dust and Sea Salt.