Welcome Mike Dahilig, County of Kauai Planning Director Overview of - - PDF document

Community Advisory Committee Meeting 5

September 29, 2015

3:00 PM to 5:00 PM Moikeha Building Room A

Welcome

Mike Dahilig, County of Kaua‘i Planning Director

Overview of Today’s Meeting

David Tarnas, Marine & Coastal Solutions International Meeting Facilitator

• 1. Project Update and CAC Schedule – Cheryl Soon, SSFM
• 2. Status of 2000 General Plan Implementation – Ka’aina Hull and

Marie Williams, COK Planning Department

• 3. Entitled Lands - Melissa White, SSFM
• 4. Land Use and Buildout Analysis –Roy Takemoto, PBR Hawai‘i
• 5. Discussion
• 6. Public Comments
• 7. Next Activities

Project Update & CAC Schedule

Cheryl Soon, SSFM International

Project Update: Where We Are Today

Work Plan Public Engagement Strategy Technical Paper Review

Nov 2014- Mar 2015

Existing Conditions, Issues & Opportunities CAC Kickoff Media Campaign Website

April 2015

Community Meetings Policy Development Strategy

May 2015

Vision, Goals, Policy Development Ongoing CAC, Agency Briefing Public Engagement

June 2015- June 2016

Administrative Draft Plan Public Review Draft Community Meetings

August- September 2016

Planning Commission Review Council Review Adoption

Fall 2016- Early 2017

WE ARE HERE

The Latest

• 1. Issues and Opportunities paper complete (pick up a

copy on your way out – also available online at www.plankauai.com)

• Informed by a review of technical studies and available plans

& policies

• Issues were tested and verified through pop-up week,

community meetings, and small group meetings

• The paper will be a reference throughout the CAC process
• 2. Technical studies online and distributed to the CAC
• 3. Community input compiled and posted online
• 4. Input from Farm Fair, CAC meeting 3, and other

sources is being used to update the Vision Statement

• 5. County is working to engage middle and high school

students; Kaua‘i Community College

Policy Development Process

Gather Information

• Review existing plans and

policies

• Identify current best practices
• Take stock of what has

happened since the 2000 General Plan

• Analyze policy issues and
• pportunities

Incorporate Input

• Interview agencies and

departments to identify challenges and opportunities

• Engage the CAC in discussions

about policy issues and direction for the future

• Collect input from the

community on policy issues and priorities

Develop Policy

• Using the information and

input collected, evaluate the existing 2000 General Plan policies and recommend whether to retain, update, or replace them.

• Incorporate any new

information or policies that were not addressed in the 2000 General Plan

• Test and refine proposed

policies with County and community input

Implementation Roadmap

• Implementing Actions
• Regulatory Maps
• Prioritization of Actions
• Benchmarks
• Performance Measures

GP Chapter Topics Covered Associated Technical Reports CAC Meetings

• 1. Introduction
• GP Process & Policy Framework
• Public Involvement

#1 (March 30, 2015): CAC Kickoff and Introduction to the Process

• 2. Vision for the Future
• Where We Are Today: Challenges and Successes
• Demographic and Socioeconomic projections
• Vision for Kaua‘i
• Guiding Principles

Socioeconomic Analysis & Forecasts (SMS Research, Feb 2014) #2 (April 30, 2015): Demographic and Socioeconomic Data #3 (July 22, 2015): Proposed Vision for Kaua‘i 2035

• 3. Protecting Natural & Cultural

Resources

• Historic & Cultural Resources
• Scenic & Open Space Resources
• Land and Water
• Shoreline Areas
• Climate Change & Natural Hazards

Climate Change and Coastal Hazards Assessment UH Sea Grant, June 2014) #6 (October 20, 2015): Natural & Cultural Resources; Open Space; Hazards & Climate Change

• 4. Providing for Healthy, Resilient,

and Vibrant Communities

• Community Health
• Disaster Preparedness
• Self-Sufficiency
• and Community Networks
• Social Equity
• Entrepreneurialism
• Arts and Culture

Community Health Improvement Plan (June 2014), Wilcox Hospital, COK, KCC, DOH, DOE

#13 (June 2016): Public Facilities and Social Equity

• 5. Planning for the Future
• Land Use
• Economic Development (Agriculture, Tourism,

Growth Areas)

• Infrastructure & Energy
• Housing
• Transportation

Land Use Buildout Analysis, (PBR Hawai‘i, 2014) Important Agricultural Lands Study (University

• f Hawai‘i, Dec 2014)

Infrastructure Analysis, (RM Towill, May 2015) #4 (July 28, 2015): Place Typing and Form Based Code #5 (September 29, 2015): Land Use Buildout & Entitled Development #8 (January 2016): Transportation (vehicle, bicycle, pedestrian, transit) #9 (February 2016): Infrastructure (Water, Wastewater, Solid Waste #10 (March 2016): Agriculture #12 (May 2016): Economic Development (tourism, clusters)

• 6. Implementing the Vision
• Vision & Policies for each planning district
• Shared Kuleana Implementation Tools and Roadmap

#7 (November 30, 2015): Place Typing Concepts and Vision by District #11 (April 2016): Draft Land Use Map and Policies #14a (June 2016) Implementation Tools & Fiscal Analysis

• 7. Measuring Progress
• Performance Measures & Monitoring
• Accountability

#14b (June 2016) Monitoring & Performance Measures DRAFT PLAN Review of Draft Plan August-September 2016

Kaua‘i General Plan Working Schedule for the CAC (refer to your handouts)

Month/Year GP Chapter CAC Topics Covered March 2015

• 1. Introduction

CAC Kickoff and Introduction to the Process April 2015

• 2. Vision for the Future

Demographic and Socioeconomic Data July 2015

• 2. Vision for the Future

Proposed Vision for Kaua‘i 2035 July 2015

• 5. Planning for the Future

Place Typing & Form-Based Code September 2015

• 5. Planning for the Future

Status of 2000 General Plan Implementation Land Use Buildout Analysis Entitled Development October 2015

• 3. Protecting Natural &

Cultural Resources Natural, Historic & Cultural Resources Open Space Climate Change & Natural Hazards November 2015

• 6. Implementing the Vision

Place Typing Concepts and Vision by District January 2016

• 5. Planning for the Future

Transportation (vehicle, bicycle, pedestrian, transit) February 2016

• 5. Planning for the Future

Infrastructure (Water, Wastewater, Solid Waste) March 2016

• 5. Planning for the Future

Agriculture April 2016

• 6. Implementing the Vision

Draft Land Use Map and Policies May 2016

• 5. Planning for the Future

Economic Development (tourism, clusters) June 2016

• 4. Providing for Healthy,

Resilient, and Vibrant Communities

• 6. Implementing the Vision
• 7. Measuring Progress

Public Facilities and Social Equity Implementation Tools & Fiscal Analysis Monitoring & Performance Measures August-September 2016 Review of Draft Plan

Chronological Schedule

Technical Studies

• The first Technical Study on Socioeconomic Projections was

discussed at Meeting 2

• Today will include a presentation on the Land Use Inventory

and Buildout Analysis

Status of 2000 General Plan Implementation

Ka`aina Hull and Marie Williams County of Kaua‘i Planning Department

Kaua’iCountyGeneralPlan2000

I M P L E M E N TAT I O N

PlanningDepartmentImplementationEfforts

2000 2015

Overview

ZoningAmendments

• AgricultureClusterSubdivision
• LateralShorelineAccess
• GatedCommunityBan
• AGADUSunset
• SubdivisionTrafficCalming
• SuperstoreBan
• ShorelineSetbackBills
• OpenDistrictDensityCap
• TransientVacationRentalBills
• SmallWindEnergyConversion
• FarmWorkerHousingBill
• IncreaseinZoningViolationFineBill
• LandCoverageCalculationforSharedUsePaths
• AGSolar
• CZOUpdate
• ReduceBlockLength
• Homestay

CommunityPlanning

• KlaueaTownPlan
• EastKaua’iCommunityPlan
• Lhu’eTownCoreUrbanDesignPlan
• SPAD,E,F,&G
• SouthKaua’iCommunityPlan
• SPAH,I,J
• Lhu’eCommunityPlan

September29,2015 2 3

Zoning Amendments

AGClusterSubdivisionx

4

Zoning Amendments

AGClusterSubdivision

x

LateralShorelineAccess(777,801) GatedCommunityBanx AgADUSunsetBill(843)

5

Zoning Amendments

AgADUSunsetBill(843) SubdivisionTrafficCalming SuperstoreBan(849) ShorelineSetback(863) OpenDistrictDensity(896)

x

AGClusterSubdivision

x

LateralShorelineAccess(777,801) GatedCommunityBanx

6

Zoning Amendments

AgADUSunsetBill(843) SubdivisionTrafficCalming SuperstoreBan(849) ShorelineSetback(863) OpenDistrictDensity(896)

x

AGClusterSubdivision

x

LateralShorelineAccess(777,801) GatedCommunityBanx TransientVacationRentalBills(864,876,904) SmallWindEnergyConversion IncreaseinZoningViolationFine(919) FarmWorkerHousing(903)

x

7

Zoning Amendments

AgADUSunsetBill(843) SubdivisionTrafficCalming SuperstoreBan(849) ShorelineSetback(863) OpenDistrictDensity(896) TransientVacationRentalBills(864,876,904) SmallWindEnergyConversion IncreaseinZoningViolationFine(919) FarmWorkerHousing(903) AGSolarFacilities(928) CZOUPDATE(935)

x x

LandCoverageCalculations(924) Homestay (987) AGClusterSubdivision

x

LateralShorelineAccess(777,801) GatedCommunityBan ReduceBlockLength(946)

x

8

Community Planning

Klauea Town Plan

LandUsePlanforExpansion 45acresresidential 60%affordable Bypassroad

9

Community Planning

Klauea Town Plan EastKaua’i Community Plan

RegionalPlan Launchedin2006 Exploredgrowthscenarios Notfinalized Policyworktobeintegratedinto GeneralPlan

10

Community Planning

Klauea Town Plan EastKaua’i Community Plan Lhu’eTown CoreUrban DesignPlan Lhu’e Community Plan TownCorePlan Infillandmixedusedevelopment

• SPAD
• SPAE
• SPAF
• SPAG

RegionalPlan RecommendednewSPAs Add45Khomesby2035

11

Community Planning

Klauea Town Plan EastKaua’i Community Plan Lhu’eTown CoreUrban DesignPlan Lhu’e Community Plan SouthKaua’i Community Plan RegionalPlan NewGrowthArea Add2khomesby2035

• SPAH
• SPAI
• SPAJ

12

Community Planning

Klauea Town Plan EastKaua’i Community Plan Lhu’eTown CoreUrban DesignPlan Lhu’e Community Plan SouthKaua’i Community Plan

• SPAD
• SPAE
• SPAF
• SPAG
• SPAH
• SPAI
• SPAJ

Entitled Lands Analysis

Melissa White, SSFM International

Entitled Lands Analysis

Methodology

• Data on entitled projects was collected from the COK

Planning Department:

• Major projects with an existing PDU or Class IV Zoning

Permit; and

• Large zoned projects, with or without subdivision approvals,

but with a master plan.

• Projects at the Land Use Commission, requesting SLUD

Boundary Amendment

• Entitled projects were mapped and tabulated by district

and project type (Housing, Commercial, Resort)

Entitled Lands Analysis

Caveats

• Many of these projects have been on the books for

years and their current status is uncertain. Outreach is being conducted to major landowners to obtain the status of known projects and identify future plans that may be proposed during the GP planning horizon.

• Build-out is subject to multiple factors not within

County’s control: the market, construction costs, landowner willingness, State DOT infrastructure requirements, etc.

• There are no expirations on certain types of County

permits, meaning that once projects are entitled, there are limited options for modifying or preventing them from proceeding. This may be something that the General Plan can address in its Update.

Entitled Lands Analysis

How the Analysis Will be Used

• This analysis, along with the Land Use Buildout

Analysis, represent key pieces of information that tell us how Kaua‘i will grow over the next twenty years and identify opportunities that exist for shaping that growth to meet the vision.

• The understanding of where growth is planned and

desired to occur will inform the development of land use policy and maps.

Landowner Outreach

General Outreach

• County issued a press

release to media outlets, posted online at www.plankauai.com State & Federal Landowners

• Coordination is

commencing with DHHL

• n their lands
• A letter was sent to PMRF

Targeted Outreach

• A certified letter was sent to

the following major landowners:

• Alexander & Baldwin
• Gay & Robinson
• Grove Farm
• HG Kaua‘i Joint Venture LLC
• Thane Inc.
• Discovery Land Company
• Kikiaola Land Company
• My Kapa‘a LLC
• Leland R Bertsch
• Cornerstone I Condominium
• Anaina Hou Land LLC
• Princeville Mauka Village LLC

Entitled Projects: East Kaua‘i Entitled Projects: East Kaua‘i

Map # Project Name Housing Units GP Land Use Designation Status 1

• 172

Agriculture Permitted as an Agricultural development 2 Kapa‘a Highlands Phase II 769 Urban Center, Agriculture, Open Seeking SLU Amendment 3 Pi‘ilani Mai He Kai (DHHL Anahola) 181 Urban Center, Agriculture, Open Phase II began in 2012 TOTAL 1,122 Map # Project Name Resort Units GP Land Use Designation Status 4 Coconut Plantation 192 Resort Submitted annual status report (2/8/11) 5 Coco Palms 350 Resort Approved March 2015 6 Coconut Beach Resort 335 Resort Construction to start 2015 TOTAL 877 Resort Housing

• Map

# Project Name Housing Units GP Land Use Status 1 Waiola Phases I- III 196 Urban Center, Open, Residential Final Approvals 2 Koamalu 220 Urban Center Submitted Annual Status Report 3 Grove Farm Wailani Residential 1,450 Urban Center Negotiating infrastructure and access issues 4 Kohea Loa – D.R. Horton 444 Urban Center Submitted 2013 Status Report 5 DHHL , Phase I 188 Agriculture No plans for development within GP timeframe TOTAL 2,498

Housing Resort

Map # Project Name Resort Units GP Land Use Status 9 Kaua‘i Lagoons 700 Resort Submitted annual status report (2/8/11) TOTAL 700

Map # Project Name

• Sq. ft.

GP Land Use

Status 3 Grove Farm Wailani Commercial 1,132,299 Urban Center Unknown 6 Hokulei Village 222,000 Urban Center Under construction 7 Weinberg Foundation Renovation 24,250 Urban Center Phase I complete 8 Weinberg Foundation/ Ahukini 20,000 Urban Center Seeking building permits TOTAL 1,398,549

Commercial

• ‘Ele‘ele
• ‘Ele‘ele

Map # Project Name Housing Units GP Land Use Status 1 Lima Ola (affordable) 450 Agriculture, Open Master Plan Complete, requires GP/SLU Amendment 2 A&B ‘Ele‘ele Residential 201 Urban Center Unknown TOTAL 651 Housing

Entitled Projects: Waimea-Kekaha Entitled Projects: Waimea-Kekaha

Map # Project Name Housing Units GP Land Use Status 1

• Mauka

270 Residential Unknown 2 – Field 14 56 Open, Residential Not Constructed TOTAL 326

Housing Resort

Map # Project Name Housing Units GP Land Use Status 3 Kapalawai Resort LLC 250 Resort Unknown TOTAL 250

Entitled Projects: South Kaua‘i Entitled Projects: South Kaua‘i

Map # Project Name Housing Units GP Land Use Status 1 Brydeswoo d Ranch (A&B) 24 Open, Agriculture Unknown 2 Koloa Creekside 72 Residential Ongoing 3 Kukuiula Employee Housing 100 Residential, Open Land deeded to County 4 Kukuiula 750 Residential, Resort Final subdivision map approval for parcels M1, M4, Y 5 The Village at Koloa Town 34 Residential Unknown 6 Koloa Camp

• Waihononu

50 Residential Underway 7 CIRI (CLDC) Subdivision 10 Resort Planning Commission approved 8/26/14 TOTAL 1,040

Housing Commercial

Map # Project Name

• Sq. ft.

GP Land Use Status 5

• Town

96,000 Residential Unknown 8 Rum Company Store and Cafe 9,000 Residential Agriculture Open Approved Planning Commission (June 2014) 9 Kukuiula ABC Store 21,000 Residential Open Approved Planning Commission (Nov. 2014) 10

• Marketplace

76,000 Residential Unknown 11 Old Glass Warehouse 7,200 Residential Approved Planning Commission (Nov. 2014) TOTAL 209,200

Entitled Projects: South Kaua‘i Continued

Map # Project Name Resort Units GP Land Use Status 12 Poipu Beach Estates 110 Resort Several lots are built out 13 Village at Poipu 51 Resort Moving forward 14 Pilimai at Poipu 191 Resort Under construction 15 Kiahuna Poipu Golf Resort 282 Resort Unknown 4 Kukuiula 750 Residential , Resort Final subdivision map approval for parcels M1, M4, Y 16 Palms at Poipu 56 Resort Unknown 17 Sheraton Kauai Expansion 173 Resort Unknown TOTAL 1,613

Resort

Entitled Projects: North Shore

Entitled Projects: North Shore

Map # Project Name Housing Units GP Land Use Status 1 Kolopua (Princeville Affordable) 44 Resort Under Construction TOTAL 44

Housing

Map # Project Name

• Sq. ft.

GP Land Use Status 2 Crossings 6,070 Residential Unknown 3 Town Center 46,800 Residential Commercial Shopping Center 4 Hanalei Halelea Office 2,000 Residential Approved by Commission 2013 TOTAL 54,870

Commercial

Entitled Projects: Total by District

District Total Entitled Units

• 2,498

East Kaua‘i 1,122

• ‘Ele‘ele

651 Waimea- Kekaha 326 South Kaua‘i 1,040 North Shore 44 Total Island 5,681

Housing

District Total Commercial Square Footage

• 1,398,549

South Kaua‘i 209,200 North Shore 54,870 Total Island 1,662,619

Commercial

District Total Entitled Units East Kaua‘i 877

• 700

South Kaua‘i 1,613 Waimea 250 Total Island 3,440

Resort

Land Use Inventory and Buildout Analysis

Roy Takemoto, PBR Hawai‘i

Land Use Technical Study Overview

• Study Objectives
• Land Use Inventory: Compile inventory of existing and

proposed residential, commercial/industrial, resort uses

• Zoning Capacity. Analyze the capacity of existing zoning

relative to 2035 population and economic projections

• Growth Scenarios: Pose growth policy questions based on

alternative buildout assumptions

• Monitoring Implementation: Suggest a land use data

system to monitor buildout

• Methodology
• Existing land use inventory. Data sources; GIS analysis
• Buildout model. Community Viz (ArcGIS extension)

suitability and buildout tools

Existing Land Use Inventory

• Residential
• Census dwelling unit data per SMS Study
• Not parcel-level
• Multi-family dwelling units data weak
• Resort
• Visitor Plant Inventory
• Not parcel-level
• TVR data weak, but will improve with registration system
• Commercial/Industrial
• PITT code + Pictometry footprint calculation
• No accounting for multi-story establishments
• Previous inventory provides foundation for parcel-level data

RESIDENTIAL Existing Land Use Inventory

• Single-family residential (PITT 100)
• Urban-zoned
• Residential-zoned: 14,500 parcels
• Commercial/industrial-zoned: 50 parcels
• Resort-zoned: 32 parcels (PITT 100 & 200)
• Open and Ag areas
• Open: 2,100 parcels
• Agricultural : 200 parcels
• Vacant and occupied parcels in the

homestead areas: 1,200 parcels in the SLU Agricultural District (5,500 acres)

• Tracking actual residential growth
• Problems tracking multi-family dwellings
• Problems tracking second homes vs.

transient vacation units

• Problems tracking residential use in multi-

use structures

• Problems tracking ADU

RESIDENTIAL Population Projection (SMS Study)

North Shore East Kaua‘i

• South Kaua‘i
• ’Ele‘ele

Waimea-Kekaha TOTAL Census 2010 8,002 20,992 14,683 11,696 6,157 5,561 67,091 % 12% 31% 22% 17% 9% 8% 100% 2035 Projection 8,933 25,110 23,456 16,855 7,094 6,566 88,014 % 10% 29% 27% 19% 8% 7% 100% Growth Rate

0.17% 0.55% 3.48% 1.75% 1.57% 0.69% 1.25% .75% 1.57% 0.69% 1.25%

North Shore 12% East Kaua‘i 31%

• 22%

South Kaua‘i 18%

• ’Ele‘ele

9% Waimea- Kekaha 8%

Census 2010

North Shore 10% East Kaua‘i 29%

• 27%

South Kaua‘i 19%

• ’Ele‘ele

8% Waimea-Kekaha 7% Waimea-Kekaha

2035 Projection

RESIDENTIAL Zoning Capacity

North Shore East Kaua‘i South Kaua‘i

• ’Ele‘ele

Waimea- Kekaha

1 Zoning Capacity (units)

3,054 5,724 6,206 5,576 1,604 1,235

2 HH Size

2.79 2.94 2.96 2.76 3.11 2.85

3 Population Capacity (persons)

8,521 16,829 18,370 15,390 4,988 3,520

4 2035 Projected Population

8,933 25,110 23,456 16,855 7,094 6,566

5 Surplus (Deficit) Population

(412) (8,281) (5,086) (1,465) (2,106) (3,046)

6 % Surplus (Deficit)

• 5%
• 33%
• 22%
• 9%
• 30%
• 46%

Notes: 1. Zoning capacity: number of dwelling units that could fit within Residential zoning districts based on zoning density 2. HH size: average household size from SMS Study 3. Population capacity: Row #1 (dwelling units) x Row #2 (persons/dwelling unit) 4. Population projection: from SMS Study 5. Surplus (deficit): Row #3 (zoning capacity population) – Row #4 (projected population) 6. %: Row #5 (surplus/deficit divided by Row # (zoning population capacity)

RESIDENTIAL Entitled Projects

North Shore East Kaua‘i

• South

Kaua‘i

• ’Ele‘ele

Waimea- Kekaha

1

Zoning Capacity (units) 3,054 5,724 6,206 5,576 1,604 1,235

2

HH Size 2.79 2.94 2.96 2.76 3.11 2.85

3

Population Capacity (persons) 8,521 16,829 18,370 15,390 4,988 3,520

4

2035 Projected Population 8,933 25,110 23,456 16,855 7,094 6,566

5

Surplus (Deficit) Population

• 412
• 8,281
• 5,086
• 1,465
• 2,106
• 3,046

6

% Surplus (Deficit)

• 5%
• 33%
• 22%
• 9%
• 30%
• 46%

7

Surplus (Deficit) Units

(148) (2,817) (1,718) (531) (677) (1,069) 8 Entitled Units 44 1122 2498 1040 651 326 9 Difference (104) (1,695) 780 509 (26) (743)

Notes:

• 7. Surplus/deficit units: Row #5

(surplus/deficit population) divided by Row #2 (persons/household)

• 8. Entitled units: from slide #26
• 9. Difference: Red= entitled # units

exceed projected need; Green= entitled # units less than projected need

RESIDENTIAL Takeaways

• Population projections by Planning District are based
• n past trends and the existing General Plan policy to
• Based on past-trends scenario, residential zoning
• changes in the spatial development pattern are desired

(such as upzoning in certain areas). Rezoning needed in all other districts.

• Few areas zoned to allow duplexes and multi-family

units

• Residential use also occurs in Open and Agricultural

districts, especially North Shore and homestead areas

RESORT Existing Land Use Inventory

• VDA Size vs. Existing Visitor Units
• South Kauai and North Shore have largest

VDAs, but existing visitor units relatively equally distributed among South Kauai, North Shore, East Kauai, and Lihue

• Higher density visitor units in East Kauai and

Lihue

• Visitor Units
• Visitor units inventory by HTA fluctuates yearly

due to TVR count

• South Kauai has highest number of units,

followed by North Shore

• North Shore has highest % of acreage

Residential districts within the VDA (10%)

• Tracking actual resort growth
• Problems identifying dwellings used as TVR
• HTA’s visitor inventory not parcel level
• No county data on hotel and timeshare unit

counts to verify HTA

North Shore 23% East Kaua‘i 25%

• 19%

South Kaua‘i 31%

• ’Ele‘ele

0% Waimea- Kekaha 2%

• Visitor Units

North Shore East Kaua‘i

• South

Kaua‘i

• ’Ele‘ele

Waimea- Kekaha TOTAL Visitor Units

1,751 1,946 1,437 2,384 183

7,701

North Shore 33% East Kauai 4% Lihue 10% South Kauai 52% Waimea 1%

VDA Acres

RESORT Visitor Arrivals Distribution (from SMS Study)

North Shore East Kaua‘i

• South Kaua‘i
• ’Ele‘ele

Waimea- Kekaha TOTAL Visitor Arrivals Existing (2010) 239,000 224,000 180,000 377,000 13,000 1,033,000 Projected (2035) 320,000 306,000 199,000 491,000 14,000 1,330,000 Increase 81,000 82,000 19,000 114,000 1,000 297,000 Average annual % 1.36% 1.46% 0.42% 1.21% 0.00% 0.31% 1.15%

North Shore 23% East Kaua‘i 22%

• 17%

South Kaua‘i 37%

• ’Ele‘ele

0% Waimea-Kekaha 1% Waimea-Kekaha

Existing (2010)

North Shore 24% East Kaua‘i 23%

• 15%

South Kaua‘i 37%

• ’Ele‘ele

0% Waimea-Kekaha 1% Waimea-Kekaha

Projected (2035)

RESORT Zoning Capacity

North Shore East Kaua‘i

• South

Kaua‘i

• ’Ele‘ele

Waimea

• Kekaha TOTAL

1

Projected Need (2035) 2,767 2,645 1,720 4,245 121 11,498

2

Projected Supply (2035) 2,459 2,745 2,209 4,340 433 12,186

3

Surplus (Deficit)

• 308

100 489 95 312 688

• 1. Projected Need: number of visitor units projection from SMS Study
• 2. Projected Supply: number of proposed visitor units from Visitor Plant Inventory
• 3. Surplus/deficit: Green= supply less than demand; Yellow= supply exceeds demand

by less than 100 units; Red = supply exceeds demand by greater than 300 units

RESORT Entitled Projects

North Shore East Kaua‘i

• South

Kaua‘i

• ’Ele‘ele

Waimea- Kekaha TOTAL 1 Projected Need (2035) 2,767 2,645 1,720 4,245 121 11,498 2 Projected Supply (2035) 2,459 2,745 2,209 4,340 433 12,186 3 Surplus (Deficit)

• 308

100 489 95 312 688 4 Entitled Units 877 700 1,613 250 3,440 5 Unentitled Supply 1,868 1,509 2,727 183 6,287 6 % Unentitled 68% 68% 63% 42% 52%

Notes:

• 4. Entitled Units. From slide # 26.
• 5. Unentitled Supply. Row #2 (proposed units) – Row #4 (entitled units)
• 6. % Unentitled. Row #5 divided by Row #2 (proposed units)

RESORT Takeaways

• There is a surplus of resort units in all districts

except for the North Shore

• More than half of the proposed units are not

entitled

• Options open to better integrate resort uses with
• ther policies (e.g., workers live closer to

employment, setbacks for climate change, public access and trails)

• The County has policies in place to control transient

accommodations outside of resort zoned lands and Visitor Destination Areas

COMMERCIAL/INDUSTRIAL Existing Land Use Inventory

• Commercialhas

49% of the commercial floor area, followed by East Kaua‘i and South Kaua‘i

• Industrial. has 81%
• f the floor area, followed

by the Port Allen area of

• ‘Ele‘ele
• Methodology. PITT Code

300 was relied upon to identify commercial properties, and PITT Code 400 for industrial

• properties. To determine

floor area, building footprint data from the County (derived from Pictometry aerial photos) and assumed all commercial and industrial buildings as

• ne story.

COMMERCIAL/INDUSTRIAL Projection

North Shore East Kaua‘i South Kaua‘i

• ’Ele‘ele

Waimea- Kekaha TOTAL

1

Commercial Floor Area 307,751 1,244,271 3,203,654 838,018 525,826 402,239 6,521,759

2

Existing Population (2010) 8,002 20,992 14,683 11,696 6,157 5,561 67,091

3

Commercial Ratio 38 59 218 72 85 72 97

4

2035 Projection 8,933 25,110 23,456 16,855 7,094 6,566 88,014

5

2035 Commercial Floor Area 343,557 1,488,360 5,117,817 1,207,660 605,849 474,933 3,884,148

Notes 1. Existing Commercial Floor Area. Identified commercial properties using PITT Code 300; calculated floor areas using Pictometry footprint; assumes 1-story 2. Existing Population. From Census 2010. 3. Commercial Ratio. Row 1 (floor area) divided by Row 2 (population). Economic projection did not include a finer breakdown into job types such as retail, office, resort, agriculture-related, and industrial that would have enabled a floor area per employee projection. Workaround: Ratio of existing population to commercial and industrial floor area was developed for each Planning District basd on assumption that this ratio adequately serves the existing population. 4. 2035 Population Projection. From SMS Study. 5. 2035 Projected Floor Area. Row 4 (2035 population) multiplied by Row 4 (projected population). East Kaua‘i’s ratio seemed significantly low relative to commercial potential of visitor units.

COMMERCIAL/INDUSTRIAL Zoning Capacity & Entitled Projects

Planning District North Shore Kapa’a- Wailua

• South

Kaua‘i

• ‘Ele‘ele Waimea-

Kekaha County of Kaua‘i

1

2035 Floor Area (ft²) 343,557 1,488,360 5,117,817 1,207,660 605,849 474,933 9,238,175

2

CG/CN Zoning Capacity 2,293,241 1,240,467 14,623,523 6,184,967 866,465 1,000,689 26,209,352

3

2035 % Zoning Capacity 15% 120% 35% 20% 70% 47% 35%

4

Entitled 54,870 1,398,549 200,200

5

% Entitled of 2035 16% 27% 17%

Notes: 1. Projected 2035 Floor Area. From previous slide #38. 2. Commercial-Zoned Capacity. Calculated in GIS using Community Viz Buildout Wizard. 3. Projected Floor Area as a % of Zoning Capacity. Row 1 (2035 floor area) divided by Row 2 (zoning capacity. 4. Entitled Floor Area. From slide #26. 5. Entitled Projects as a % of Projected Need. Row 4 (entitled floor area) divided by Row 1 (2035 projected floor area need).

COMMERCIAL/INDUSTRIAL Takeaways

• Methodology. Best practice methodology is to estimate projected floor

area to absorb projected employment. Incorporate job types in future economic projections.

• Zoning Capacity. Based on population-ratio methodology, existing

commercial zoning more than adequate to accommodate future population projection.

• Industrial. Light industrial can be accommodated within commercial
• districts. Existing zoning provides for heavy industrial areas near

harbors and airports that require buffering from other uses.

• General Plan Designation. Current General Plan does not have a

separate Commercial designation, encouraging commercial uses to be mixed with other uses in the Urban Center, Residential Community, or Resort designations.

• Mixed Use. Mixed use zoning (vs. single-use commercial or industrial

zoning) provides flexibility for market to determine land use requirement rather than trying to zone in accordance with floor area projections.

Buildout Scenarios Comparison

Status Quo Scenario Directed Growth Scenario

Comparison of Buildout Scenarios

Status Quo Scenario

• Choice Drivers: People

will choose to live in existing areas and most affordable areas

• Growth Pattern:

Preference for larger and affordable lots encourage more growth in Open and Ag districts; growth in all districts as projected in SMS Study

Directed Growth Scenario

• Choice Drivers: People will

choose to live in affordable, close to work, livable mixed used centers; disincentives discourage living in Open and Ag districts

• Growth Pattern: Lihue, East

Kauai, and South Kauai would receive significant proportion of future growth; other districts would receive less growth than SMS projection.

Buildout Scenarios vs. Building Permit Trends

Building Permits, 1995-2009 Status Quo Scenario Directed Growth Scenario

• Past buildout trends (per Building Permits) similar to Status Quo Scenario--

substantial past growth in Agricultural and Open districts

• Directed Growth Scenario directs future growth to Residential and Mixed Use

districts

• Past buildout trends (p

per Building Permits) similar to Status Quo Scen per Building nario s Quo Scen

Building Permits (15 Years, 1995- 2009) vs. Entitled Residential Units

• Number of entitled future units substantially exceed the building permits issued in the last 15 years in all

districts except North Shore

• Entitled number of units for Lihue substantially greater than all districts

Discussion: Facilitated by David Tarnas

Marine & Coastal Solutions International

Existing GP Policy Framework for Land Use and Development (Section 5.1.1)

The 2000 General Plan frames the issue of land use and development in terms of the goal of preserving Kaua‘i’s rural

• character. It identified the following policies:
• Enhance Urban Centers and Towns and maintain their

identity by defining the Town Center and the edges of each

• Town. Concentrate shopping and other commercial uses in
• Encourage residential development within Urban and Town

Centers and in Residential Communities contiguous to them.

• Promote compact urban settlements in order to limit public

service costs and to preserve open space.

• Define and conserve Scenic Roadway Corridors along the

roadways that connect Towns, Resort areas, and Residential Communities. These corridors are intended to conserve the open space between towns and to prevent sprawl and commercial strip development.

Existing GP Policies for Future Growth (Section 5.1.2)

The 2000 General Plan set forth the following policies to provide for growth and development while preserving rural character:

• Allow incremental growth of Towns, contiguous to existing
• development. Concentrate primary shopping facilities within

the Town Center. Support infill development.

• Provide for build-out of existing Residential Communities, to

include areas zoned R-1 or higher. Allow small, neighborhood-oriented commercial sites in Residential Communities.

• Support growth of residential and business uses in master-

planned developments in the Puhi-- Center and at -Kukui‘ula.

Existing GP Policies for Future Growth (Section 5.1.2)

• In the outlying West Side and North Shore districts, plan for

additional residential use to meet regional demands for housing

• Expansion contiguous to an existing town or residential

community is preferred over a new residential community.

• Allow build-out of properties in existing low-density

agricultural communities, including the homestead areas of Wailua, Kapa‘a, Omao subdivisions in other parts of the island, while taking measures to assure the adequacy of County road, drainage, and water supply systems.

• Limit the development and dispersal of new agricultural

communities through zoning regulations.

Discussion Question 1

1) Given the priorities outlined in the 2000 General Plan, how should the General Plan Update address currently entitled lands and set guidelines for future entitlements? Examples might be, do nothing, Have a time limit to use the designations, or re-negotiate requirements to meet current policies. What are the pro’s and con’s of these strategies? Should a time limit on permits be considered for the future?

Discussion Question 2

2) The (2015) both emphasized “Mixed Use” development and created special zoning overlays for it in the town core areas. Is this objective applicable in the other planning districts? What is the same? What is different?

Discussion Question 3

3) The (2015) both emphasized “Mixed Use” development and created special zoning overlays for it in the town core areas. In some cases, design guidelines were also developed for Mixed Use areas.

a) Is this objective applicable in the other planning districts? b) It can be achieved through Special zoning overlays, through regulation, and/or through design guidelines. What might be the reasons for keeping Mixed Use designations the same islandwide? What might be reasons for allowing differences between planning districts?

Discussion Question 4

4) The land use buildout analysis showed that 25% of housing is being built on Agriculture zoned districts and 8% in Open Districts. Is this an acceptable trend? Why or why not? Are the existing General Plan policies working to manage growth in the Agricultural District, and how might they be improved upon?

Discussion Question 5

5) The Land Use Buildout analysis shows that Industrial lands are concentrated around the ports and harbors. Is there a need for industrial lands elsewhere? If so, where, and why?

Any additional questions or comments from the CAC members?

Public Comment

Next Activities:

• CAC Meeting #6, October 20:
• Natural and Cultural Resources
• Open Space
• Climate Change and Hazards
• ADVANCE READING: Technical Report on Climate Change

and Coastal Hazards; Issues and Opportunities Paper

• Place Typing Charrettes 11/2-6:
• Waimea-Kekaha
• North Shore
• -‘Ele‘ele

MAHALO!

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