Value Creation Through Constructive Activism
Investor Presentation August 2017
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Value Creation Through Constructive Activism Investor Presentation - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
Value Creation Through Constructive Activism Investor Presentation August 2017 1 Certain Notices and Disclaimers This presentation (Presentation) contains certain forward-looking statements relating to the investment objectives,
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Source: FactSet via Grant Wasylik, Uncommon Wisdom Daily.
2.2% 7.0% 12.0% 16.5% 22.5% <=$300M $300M-$3B $3B-$6B $6B-$12B >$12B 5 10 15 20 25
Source: Furey Research Partners, March 2016 via Grant Wasylik, Uncommon Wisdom Daily. Source: Furey Research Partners, March 2016 via Grant Wasylik, Uncommon Wisdom Daily. Source: Ibbotson Classic Yearbook, 2015 via Grant Wasylik, Uncommon Wisdom Daily.
10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% <=$300M $300M-$3B $3B-$6B $6B-$12B >$12B 0% 60.2% 30.4% 4.7% 2.4% 2.3%
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(1) Subject to applicable laws and regulations.
capitalization publicly traded companies.
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for strategy to improve financial performance of the target company such as:
changes in business with support
director/management candidates
and maintain control
management/board to affect change
purchase additional types
letters, proxy, etc…)
following successful execution of plan;
tripped;
ceases to hold;
investment
better return profile.
income-producing investments.
>250k Companies 30-40 Companies 10-15 Companies
financial screens
book
earnings
cash flows/EBITDA
dividend yield
cap companies
Traded
~2800 Companies
300-600 Companies
screens/financial health
industry
financial modeling
and validation
investor conversations
100-125 Companies
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Level 3 Engagement: Longer-term projects where we instigate/lead turnarounds of businesses Approach: Identify deeply undervalued companies in need of substantial changes. Constructive Activism (Levels 1 and 2+):
and/or board.
business, including potential sale of company.
campaigns.
change.
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Level 1 Engagement: Near-term potential winners that do not require substantial time/involvement Approach: Identify quality, deeply undervalued companies with strong management teams in the process of executing a turnaround. Constructive Activism:
investors and/or individual investors that own or have owned our stock.
public markets gained over our collective 40+ years of experience for advice and value-add introductions. Level 2 Engagement: Near-term potential winners that may require a bit of time/involvement, but not substantial allocations of time. Approach: Identify quality, deeply undervalued companies with strong management teams but where we believe small changes can result in increased value and management is interested in engaging constructively. Constructive Activism (Level 1+):
and/or messaging.
related primarily to financial performance improvements.
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Source: Eric Lefebvre, Ernst & Young, LLP
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5 10 15 20 25 30 35
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Company Profile
logistics services to customers in a variety of industries.
Q4 2016-Q1 2017.
revenue growth and improve operational execution. 180 Investment and Level 1 Engagement
diligence including meeting with management team.
market purchases through June 30, 2017.
efforts to raise awareness of the company.
improving operating efficiency by leveraging the diverse backgrounds of the new management team.
Valuation Analysis ($ million) 2016 (Actual) 2017 (Modeled)1 2018 (Modeled)1 2019 (Modeled)2 EBITDA $30.3 $25.9 $39.8 $50.5 Growth Rate (YoY) (55%) (14.5%) 53.7% 26.8% EBITDA/Rev. Multiple N/A 7.6x3 6.2x4 5.4x4 Stock Price @ EBITDA/Rev. Multiple5 N/A $8.663 $14.53 $17.59 Modeled Change from 180 Avg. Purchase Price N/A 31% 121% 167% Introduced to USAK 180 Invests $1.6m @
H2 2017/2018 Catalysts: Improving Demand and Pricing Reduced Debt Increased Operating Efficiency ELD Mandate
1. Models based on analyst estimates as listed on Bloomberg. Actual results may be materially different than those modeled. 2. Estimated using half of 2017 to 2018 growth rate. Actual results may be materially different than those estimated. 3. Multiple and stock price as of June 30, 2017. 4. 2019 multiple is based on median EV/EBITDA multiple 2009-2016. 2018 multiple is average of June 30, 2017 and 2019 multiples. 5. Calculations based on cash of $0.1 million and outstanding debt of $129.3 million.
17 $0.00 $1.00 $2.00 $3.00 $4.00 $5.00 $6.00 $7.00 $8.00 $9.00 IOTS Stock Closing Price IPO @ $5.00/Share 13D/A Filed: Shift to Constructive Activism and Engagement
Company Profile
broad classes of connected devices.
acquired flash-memory product lines from Atmel.
180 Investment and Level 2 Engagement
January 2017 focused on improving: § investor communications; § presentation materials; § financial operating performance.
Adesto’s management.
H2 2017 and 2018 Catalysts:
(EcoXip, Mavriq)
~140% Increase Valuation Analysis ($ million) 2016 (Actual) 2017 (Modeled)1 2018 (Modeled)1 2019 (Modeled)2 Revenues $44.0 $54.5 $67.0 $82.4 Growth Rate (YoY) 1.6% 23.9% 22.9% 22.9% Modeled Stock Price 2x EV/Revenue Multiple3 N/A $6.07 $7.28 $8.76 Modeled change from PPS
N/A 34% 60% 93%
1. Models based on analyst estimates as listed on Bloomberg. Actual results may be materially different than those estimated. 2. Model based on same year-over-year growth as that modeled for 2017 to 2018. Actual results may be materially different than those estimated. Actual trading multiple may be materially different than that used in the model above. 3. Calculations based on cash of $31.9M and debt of $15.0M. Comp. median EV/rev mult. is 2.8x. See appendix for list of comps.
* Based on stock price as of June 30, 2017
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Company Profile
rugged tablet computers.
Example of Level 3 Engagement
private communications early 2016 focused on improving: § investor communications; § presentation materials; § corporate governance; § financial operating performance.
seeking changes in the composition of the board.
Valuation Analysis ($ million) FY2017 (Actual)1 FY2018 (Modeled)1,2 FY2019 (Modeled)1,2 FY2019 (Modeled)1,2 Revenues $77.9 $80.6 $88.4 $97.0 Growth Rate (YoY) (22.5%) 3.5% 9.7% 9.7%3 Modeled PPS @ 0.5x EV/Revenue Multiple4 N/A $3.44 $3.80 $4.18 Modeled change from PPS on June 30, 2017: $1.95 N/A 76% 95% 115%
1. Xplore’s fiscal year runs from April 1 to March 31. 2. Models based on analyst estimates. Actual results may be materially different than those estimated. 3. Model based on same year-over-year growth as that modeled for 2017 to 2018. Actual results may be materially different than those estimated. 4. Calculations based on cash of $0.65 million and outstanding debt of $3.1. XPLR historically traded at a median and average EV/Rev. of 0.5 and 0.7, respectively. Actual trading multiple may be materially different.
$0.00 $1.00 $2.00 $3.00 $4.00 $5.00 $6.00 $7.00 $8.00 $9.00 12/31/13 3/31/14 6/30/14 9/30/14 12/31/14 3/31/15 6/30/15 9/30/15 12/31/15 3/31/16 6/30/16 9/30/16 12/31/16 3/31/17 6/30/17 9/30/17 12/31/17 3/31/18 6/30/18 9/30/18 12/31/18 XPLR Stock Closing Price
Note: XPLR is a personal holding of Kevin Rendino through RGJ Capital, LLC, acquired prior to joining 180. Information provide as example of steps 180 would take in Level 3 Engagement.
Press Release Issued Letters Sent to Board Position Acquired H2 2017 and 2018 Catalysts:
company
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Name Ticker EV/Sales LATTICE SEMICONDUCTOR CORP LSCC US Equity 2.3 POWER INTEGRATIONS INC POWI US Equity 4.3 MAXLINEAR INC MXL US Equity 3.9 RAMBUS INC RMBS US Equity 3.5 IXYS CORPORATION IXYS US Equity 1.3 AMBARELLA INC AMBA US Equity 3.9 INPHI CORP IPHI US Equity 3.9 DSP GROUP INC DSPG US Equity 1.2 MAXWELL TECHNOLOGIES INC MXWL US Equity 1.3 QORVO INC QRVO US Equity 2.8 MICRON TECHNOLOGY INC MU US Equity 1.9 Median 2.8
Source: Bloomberg as of June 30, 2017
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Company Profile
multiplatform services to partners that require scale, actionable data and sophisticated implementation.
$30 million in EBITDA in 2019.
material contribution to revenues expected in 2018. 180 Investment and Level 1 Engagement
including meeting with management team.
investors to raise awareness of the company.
value from recurring businesses (email/CloudID).
Valuation Analysis ($ million) 2016 (Actual) 2017 (Modeled)1 2018 (Modeled)1 2019 (Modeled)1 Revenues $127.4 $145.0 $230.8 $296.5 Growth Rate (YoY) 8.6% 13.8% 59.2% 28.5% Modeled Stock Price 0.95x EV/Revenue Multiple2 N/A $4.10 $6.25 $7.89 Modeled Change from 180 Avg. Purchase Price N/A 17% 78% 125% $3.00 $3.20 $3.40 $3.60 $3.80 $4.00 $4.20 $4.40
SYNC Stock Closing Price
Introduced to SYNC 180 Invests $2.25m @ $3.50/share
2018 Catalysts: AT&T Portal Revenues Projected to Begin Meaningful Contribution to Business Growth in Recurring Businesses
1. 2017 models based on midpoint of guidance from SYNC management as of 8/9/17. 2018 and 2019 models are based on analyst estimates listed on Bloomberg as of 8/8/17. Actual results may be materially different than those estimated. 2. Calculations based on cash of $23 million and outstanding debt of $4.8 million. Multiple is based on SYNC EV/Rev on June 30,
$0.00 $0.50 $1.00 $1.50 $2.00 $2.50 $3.00 $3.50
Introduced to TST 180 Invests $890k @
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Company Profile
provider to consumers and businesses.
historically built and sold MarketWatch and completed a successful turnaround of USA Today. 180 Investment and Level 1 Engagement
including meeting with management team.
potential ways to unlock value for shareholders.
Valuation Analysis ($ million) 2016 (Actual) 2017 (Modeled)1 2018 (Modeled)1 2019 (Modeled)2 Recurring Revenues (Modeled 2x EV/Rev.)3 $49.5 $49.7 $52.0 $54.5 Non-Recurring Revenues (Modeled 1x EV/Rev.)3 $14.0 $14.0 $14.7 $15.4 Modeled Stock Price @ Combined Modeled EV/Rev. for Recurring and Non-Recurring Revs. N/A $1.98 $2.11 $2.24 Modeled Change from 180 Avg. Purchase Price N/A 123% 137% 152%
1. Models based on analyst estimates as listed on Bloomberg and same distribution of revenues as in 2016. Actual results may be materially different than those modeled. 2. Estimate based on same growth rate from 2017 to 2018. Actual results may be materially different than those estimated. 3. Calculations based on cash of $24.9 million, $55 million in preferred stock and no other debt. Multiple is based on financial data subscription companies (recurring revenues) and advertising-based media companies (non-recurring revenues), respectively.
H2 2017/2018 Catalysts: Return to profitability Revenue growth Resolution of expiring agreement with Jim Cramer Solution to preferred overhang