Using Data to Improve the Quality of Opportunity GLR Week, July - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

Using Data to Improve the Quality of Opportunity

GLR Week, July 2018

OPENING THE POLICY WINDOW

2 PROBLEM A problem is identified and recognized as important SOLUTION Policy options are feasible and can be implemented at a reasonable cost POLITICAL WAYS AND MEANS An engaged political actor puts the policy up for a vote POLICY WINDOW OPENS

Adapted from Kingdon, J. W. (2010). Agendas, alternatives and public policies

Story 1:

Guiding Education Reform

THE ACTORS

Philanthropy and business

• Oregon Business Council
• The Chalkboard Project
• Meyer Memorial Trust
• The Gates Foundation

Government

• Oregon Department of

Education

Technical teams

• ECONorthwest
• Education Northwest
• Portland State University

FINDINGS ON THE SMALL SCHOOLS INITIATIVE

0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 40% 45% 50% 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 Wave 1 Non-Initiative Wave 2 Wave 3

10th Grade Math, Meet/Exceed Rates, Economically Disadvantaged Students

Source: ECONorthwest analysis of ODE data

STATEWIDE BALLOT MEASURE ON HIGH SCHOOL SUCCESS

6

Oregon Measure 98 – High School Graduation and College and Career Readiness Act 50% 55% 60% 65% 70% 75%

Lottery losers Lottery winners

On-time Graduation Rates for Economically Disadvantaged Students who Applied for Admissions, through Lottery, at Benson High School in Portland, Oregon Source: ECONorthwest analysis of ODE data Source: New York Times

Yes 66% No 34%

CHRONIC ABSENTEE RATES BY GRADE, OREGON, 2012

Source: ECONorthwest analysis of Oregon Department of Education data % of Students Chronically Absent

COMPLEX POST HIGH SCHOOL PATHWAYS

Story 2:

Paying for Performance

THE ACTORS

Philanthropy and business

• Oregon Community Foundation
• The Meyer Memorial Trust
• Federal Reserve Bank of San

Francisco

Government

• Governor John Kitzhaber
• Congressman Earl Blumenauer
• Oregon Legislature
• Oregon Health Authority
• Oregon Department of Human

Services

Technical team

• OHSU+ECONorthwest

PAY FOR PERFORMANCE DATABASE

MALTREATMENT FOSTER CARE RISK ASSESSEMENT

PROBABILITY OF MALTREATMENT BY AGE TWO

Source: ECONorthwest analysis of data from Oregon birth records, DHS Integrated Client Services, and DHS Child Welfare records

CHILD WELFARE COSTS PER CHILD

Source: ECONorthwest analysis of DHS caseload and financial data

SKETCH SAVINGS-COST

Intervention Cost (per child) 5,000 Potential Savings (per child) 100,000 Expected Effect Target Population (SNAP Participants) 17,000 Likelihood of Maltreatment 6% 935 Percent Prevented 25% 234 Total Cost 85,000,000 Total Savings 23,375,000 Savings-Cost Ratio 0.28

Story 3:

Improving the Quality of Opportunity

THE ACTORS

Philanthropy and business

• Oregon Community Foundation
• The Ford Family Foundation
• Providence Healthcare System
• Kaiser Healthcare System
• Oregon Business Council

Government

• Governor Kate Brown
• Health Authority
• Department of Human Services
• Department of Corrections
• Youth Authority
• Department of Education

Technical team

• OHSU+ECONorthwest

THE INVESTMENT IMPERATIVE

The achievement gap starts before age 5.

Source: White House Council of Economic Advisors (December 2014) The Economics of Early Childhood Investments. Figure 3, page 13.

WHAT MATTERS: THE KNOWN KNOWNS

• Parenting
• Early education
• Family income
• Place

THE QUALITY OF OPPORTUNITY

“The most effective strategy is going to be a multi-pronged, integrated approach that brings together health policy, housing policy, early childhood policy, income support, and safety net policy with preschool and K12 education policies. Only a coordinated effort on those fronts is going to substantially improve the quality of opportunity in America.” –Stanford University’s Sean Reardon Portland Address, May 18, 2017

A STRATEGY OF TRIAL AND ERROR

“This is fortunately an exciting area of rapid research, as both scholars and practitioners seek more imaginative

• solutions. We should look for cost-effectiveness, but given

the scope of the opportunity gap, narrowing it will cost

• money. We must pursue a strategy of trial and error,

learning from practical experience what works where.” –Harvard University’s Robert Putnam Our Kids: The American Dream in Crisis

A FEW KNOWN UNKNOWNS

• Which children and families are exposed to human service, health, and

education interventions during their early years? At what ages? In what dosage? In which combinations? How does delivery differ across geography?

• How are these interventions—and packages of interventions —related to

educational and other life outcomes? What are the roles of mix and sequencing?

• Are evidence-based interventions replicating their documented success?
• What, for whom, and where are the most effective investments for limited

dollars?

Keys to Success

TEN KEYS TO SUCCESS

• 1. Evidence-based public policy culture
• 2. Clarity and agreement on the purpose and value of

data integration

• 3. Results-oriented philanthropists and business leaders
• 4. Visionary executives—governors, agency leadership,
• r both
• 5. Capable, cooperative, responsive managers in state

government

TEN KEYS TO SUCCESS

• 6. Engaged low-income communities and direct service

providers

• 7. Cross-disciplinary, third-party technical experts who

can navigate the policy, technology, and privacy domains

• 8. Storage, access, and analytic procedures that ensure

data security and rights to privacy

• 9. Robust data governance processes that oversee
• ngoing management and use

10.Trust across stakeholders

John Tapogna tapogna@econw.com