Meat Importers Council of the Americas 2016 MICA CONFERENCE 26-28 th September San Francisco, CA SUPPLY OUTLOOK PRESENTATIONS: URUGUAY 30/09/2016 1
INAC – National Meat Institute • Non profit organization – Budget from % of meat sales • Not involved in commercial issues • Improvement of conditions of meat sector + Advise to Government. Involves all meats – Marketing and Promotion – Quality control – Certification – Statistics – Food safety in local supply chain from packer to consumer – Promote Research 30/09/2016 2
National Meat Institute (1967) INAC 2 DELEGATES OF GOVERNMENT President Vice-president Secretary of Agriculture Secretary of Industry 3 DELEGATES OF PACKERS 3 DELEGATES OF FARMERS APFMI
Uruguay: general information • GDP: 53 billion USD • Population: 3.300.000 • Life expectancy: 77 years • Literacy: 97% • Per capita Income: 16.000 USD 100 kg • Currency: ?? • Inflation: 10% (slowly down) 50 kg • Unemployment: 7,5% (2015) • Meat consumption: 100 16,000 kg/year
Yearly Average GDP Growth 30/09/2016 GIF - Gerencia de Información 5
Top Export Products EXPORTS 2014 (Millions USD) EXPORTS 2015 (Millions USD) 1,800 1,800 1,600 1,600 Beef and beef 1,400 1,400 Beef and beef products products 1,200 1,200 Cellulose Pulp Soybeans 1,000 1,000 Soybeans 800 800 600 600 Cellulose Pulp 400 400 200 200 - - 1 2 3 1 2 3 30/09/2016 GIF - Gerencia de Información 6
TOTAL BEEF PRODUCTION (CW) 2014 2015 Exports 365,000 67% 387,000 68% Local 182,000 33% 179,000 32% Consumption TOTAL 547,000 566,000 30/09/2016 GIF - Gerencia de Información 7
Uruguay: meat consumption (kg) and self-sufficiency (%) Sheep meat- 5 kg (100%) Poultry- 20 kg (100%) Pigmeat- 20 kg (40 %) Beef- 55 kg (100%) TOTAL- 100 KG
Total Herd (thousands of heads) 14000 12000 10000 OVINE 8000 BOVINE 6000 4000 2000 0 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 30/09/2016 9
Females thousands of heads - Bovine 7,000 6,000 5,000 4,000 Breeding cows Total females 3,000 2,000 1,000 0 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 30/09/2016 10
Land use other than cattle raising in natural grasslands (thousands of hectares) 2,500 2,000 1,500 Crops Forestry 1,000 500 2.3 million hectares 15 % of land “ lost ” for cattle production !! - 2000 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 SUSTAINABILITY! 30/09/2016 11
Total heads slaughtered 2,500,000 2,000,000 1,500,000 Bovine Ovine 1,000,000 500,000 - 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 30/09/2016 12
Slaughter/Packer Ownership 2016 2016 (% of slaughter ) ORIGIN Marfrig 41,9% 21,4% Uruguayan 39,3% 41,9% Minerva 8,0% 11,9% Foresun JBS - 6,0% 5,8% Canelones 6,0% BPU San 8,0% 6,0% Jacinto 5,8% 30/09/2016 13
BEEF EXPORTS 2014 = 365.000 MTONS 2015 = 387.000 MTONS + 6% 21% NAFTA 24% NAFTA 44% CHINA 25% CHINA 13% EU 15% EU 8% ISRAEL 9% ISRAEL 4% MERCOSUR 9% MERCOSUR 12% ALL OTHERS 17% ALL OTHERS 30/09/2016 14
USA – 2016 vs 2015 – by August 31 st MTONS CW 2015 2016 % CHANGE NAFTA 61,965 60,337 -3 % USA 54,937 46,266 -16% CANADA 6,592 13,794 +109% MEXICO 436 277 -36% TOTAL FOR URUGUAY 255,500 272,500 +7% 2015 - 2016 MONTHLY EXPORTS 9,000 8,000 USA TRQ BY AUGUST 31 – MTONS 7,000 (SW) 6,000 5,000 2015 2016 4,000 3,000 13,978 (70%) 14,344 (72%) 2,000 1,000 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 30/09/2016 GIF - Gerencia de Información 15 2015 2016
SHORT/MID TERM ISSUES • Cattle herd and production: Slow increase under actual conditions – Small changes in available land. No deforestation/Positive forestation – Stable herd – Gradual improvement in production efficiency – Increase in production goes to international market 30/09/2016 16
SHORT/MID TERM ISSUES • Give value to differential attributes: – INSTITUTIONAL Sector proactive GOVERNANCE INTEGRITY ENHANCEMENT (Consumer Trust) – PRODUCTION SYSTEM • 90 % British Beef Breeds (Hereford/Angus) • 100% life long individual traceability for cattle. Consumer trust, enhanced monitoring and specialized certifications (Never Ever 3; USDA Process Verified) • Open field production, mainly grass fed. USDA annual audits • Fatty acid quantity, quality and balance Omega 3/Omega 6 • Hormones and antibiotics in food prohibited by law 30/09/2016 17
SHORT/MID TERM ISSUES » United Nations General Assembly Elevates Antibiotic Resistance to Crisis Level…Sept 2016… 30/09/2016 18
SHORT/MID TERM ISSUES – OTHER CONCERNS • Sustainability • Animal Welfare • Bone in lamb approval to USA 30/09/2016 19
TIME FOR GOOD NEWS!! 30/09/2016 GIF - Gerencia de Información 20
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SHORT/MID TERM ISSUES 30/09/2016 22
30/09/2016 GIF - Gerencia de Información 23
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THANK YOU !! 30/09/2016 26
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