URBAN TRANSPORT AND CLIMATE CHANGE Not just that DARIO HIDALGO, - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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URBAN TRANSPORT AND CLIMATE CHANGE Not just that DARIO HIDALGO, - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

Sep 03, 2022 31 likes •443 views

URBAN TRANSPORT AND CLIMATE CHANGE Not just that DARIO HIDALGO, DIRECTOR RESEARCH AND PARACTICE, EMBARQ, WORLD RESOURCES INSTITUTE CONGESTION CLIMATE CHANGE Transport accounts for one-quarter of 2-5% cost of GDP through traffic global CO 2

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DARIO HIDALGO, DIRECTOR RESEARCH AND PARACTICE, EMBARQ, WORLD RESOURCES INSTITUTE

URBAN TRANSPORT AND CLIMATE CHANGE

Not just that…

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CONGESTION ROAD SAFETY CLIMATE CHANGE PUBLIC HEALTH

2-5% cost of GDP through traffic congestion Transport accounts for one-quarter of global CO2 emissions Traffic fatalities lead to 1.2 million deaths every year and many more injuries Physical inactivity causes 1 in 10 deaths worldwide, on par with smoking

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CONGESTION ROAD SAFETY CLIMATE CHANGE PUBLIC HEALTH

2-5% cost of GDP through traffic congestion Transport accounts for one-quarter of global CO2 emissions Traffic fatalities lead to 1.2 million deaths every year and many more injuries Physical inactivity causes 1 in 10 deaths worldwide, on par with smoking

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Global Calculator

Global Calculator

www.globalcalculator.org

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Global Calculator

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Can we improve the quality of life globally and reduce GHG emissions?

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YES!

“The world has enough for everyone's need, but not enough for everyone's greed.” ― Mahatma Gandhi

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Compact, Connected, Coordinated Cities

Better Growth Better Climate New Climate Economy Report http://newclimateeconomy.report/cities/

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Improved Access, Specially for the Poor Reduced Fatalities, Injuries, Illness Achieving the CO2 reduction targets Technology Improvements Public Transport Non-motorized Transport Urban development and transport integration

AVOID SHIFT IMPROVE THREE PRONGED APPROACH

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Compact, Connected, Coordinated Cities

http://newclimateeconomy.report/cities/

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Global Calculator

Global Calculator

www.globalcalculator.org

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We could even travel further (on average), but 20-30% less than business as usual projection (consistent with ETP-IEA) Industrialized countries need reductions in VKT Emerging countries need to curb current VKT pathway

Some findings from http://globalcalculator.org/

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Avoid, Shift, Improve combined measures

Cooper, Lefevre, Pestiaux, GHG Emissions from the Transport Sector Using Multi-Sectoral Tool, TRB Annual Meeting, 2015

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Myths busted: Switching coal to gas does not work: we need to decarbonise global electricity generation to near zero gCO2e/kWh by 2050 – Electrify 10% Car fleet by 2050 We cannot rely on running out of fossil fuel. The world has enough fossil fuel resources to put the world at risk

  • f a global mean temperature of over 6°C by 2100

We also cannot rely on futuristic technologies to suck carbon out of the atmosphere. At best 10% savings Curbing population to the UN’s lower projected estimate (8 billion) would only save around 10%

Some findings from http://globalcalculator.org/

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Myth Busted: Biofuels Are Not a Green Alternative

http://www.wri.org/publication/avoiding-bioenergy-competition-food-crops-and-land

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Source: EMBARQ; http://thecityfix.com/blog/on-the-move-advancing-sustainable- transport-getting-from-here-to-there-holger-dalkmann/

WE HAVE SOME HOPE: SUSTAINABLE MOBILITY IS ON THE RISE

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Photo by Alan Crawford, http://www.bikeleague.org/

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CYCLING ON THE RISE - USA

http://www.bikeleague.org/content/acs-bike- commuting-continues-rise

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REALLY SHY COMPARED WITH WESTERN EUROPE

http://www.fietsberaad.nl/library/repository/bestanden/Fietsberaad_pu blicatie7_Engels.pdf

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http://citymaus.tumblr.com/post/1986376111/cphbikehighways

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Congestion pricing – emerging

Year

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Received wide implementation due to EU’s health-based air quality standard; Additional 100 EU cities will implement LEZs

Low emission zones - tipping in European Union

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Caps the number of new vehicle registrations Formats Beijing, Guiyang – Lottery Singapore, Shanghai – Auction Guangzhou and Tianjin – Auction and Lottery

Vehicle quota system – on the rise in China

Year

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http://churumuri.files.wordpress.com/2011/07/11july07kpn78.jpg

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TransMilenio, Bogotá, 104 km 2 million pax/day

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Metro rail - tipping in China

London 1863; 189 cities - 10,500 kilometers - 112 million pax/day;

189 Cities 10,500 km 112 MM pax/day 181 Cities 4,500 km 31 MM pax/day

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Guadalajra Ahmedabad Istanbul Rio de Janeiro Belo Horizonte Brasilia Bhopal Indore Mexico DF

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Global Growth of Car Sharing 2000-2012

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The future is not what it used to be; we see some indications of change, but not enough is happening!

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Count it, measure, scale it

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20 km BRT (2005) -> 105 km BRT (2014) 1 city -> 9 cities (265 km)

MÉXICO

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1 bus system (2009) -> 18 cities (2014)

INDIA

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Pedestranization Historic Penninsula

TURKEY

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Most used BRT Line in the World Metrobüs Intercontinental Connection

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Urban Mobility Plans

BRAZIL

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Low-carbon and sustainable transport in Qingdao

CHINA

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3-Tiered Approach Towards Change

Scaling Strategy

Global Agenda Sustainable Development Goals & Climate Change Agreement National Policy and Funding Programs for Sustainable Mobility and Urban Development Local/National Avoid, Shift, Improve

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Sustainable Sustainable Development Goals (Draft) still missing quality in public transport and infrastructure for walking and biking

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Teşekkür ederim

dhidalgo@embarq.org