The views expressed here contain information derived from publicly - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
The views expressed here contain information derived from publicly - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
The views expressed here contain information derived from publicly available sources that have not been independently verified. No representation or warranty is made as to the accuracy, completeness or reliability of the information. Any forward
1
The views expressed here contain information derived from publicly available sources that have not been independently verified. No representation or warranty is made as to the accuracy, completeness or reliability of the
- information. Any forward looking information in this presentation has been prepared on the basis of a number of
assumptions which may prove to be incorrect. This presentation should not be relied upon as a recommendation or forecast by PT. Indo Tambangraya Megah Tbk. Nothing in this release should be construed as either an offer to buy or sell or a solicitation of an offer to buy or sell shares in any jurisdiction
- 1. Introduction
- 2. Financial Review
- 3. Operational Review
- 4. Commercial Review
Agenda
2
Agenda
3
1. Introduction
Highlights of 3Q11 & 9M11
4
3Q11 678 39% 219 156 $98.4 Q-Q +35% +1% +45% +42% +1%
Unit: USD Million
Coal sales 6.85 Mt
Up 1.6 Mt
+31% Q-Q
9M11 1,649 37% 487 361 $94.6 y-y% +37% +3% +63% +94% +28%
Coal sales 17.56 Mt
Up 1.2 Mt
+7% y-y
Total Revenue Gross Profit Margin EBIT Net income ASP (USD/ton) 2Q11 502 38% 151 110 $97.4 9M10 1,205 34% 298 186 $73.9
Agenda
5
2. Financial Review
Sales Revenue
6
3Q10 4Q10 1Q11 2Q11 3Q11
3Q10 4Q10 1Q11 2Q11 3Q11
Units: Million Ton
SALES VOLUME
Units: USD/Ton
AVERAGE SELLING PRICE
Units: USD Million
REVENUE* GROWTH
Indominco Trubaindo Jorong Kitadin
* Net coal revenue
3Q10 4Q10 1Q11 2Q11 3Q11
3Q10 4Q10 1Q11 394 447 5.0 5.8 5.5
+7% YoY +31% QoQ +26% YoY +1% QoQ
78.3 77.6 87.3
+71% YoY +33% QoQ
479 5.2 97.4 2Q11 508 3Q11 6.8 98.4 674
Average Gross Margin
* COGS included royalty 7
ITM Consolidated Indominco Trubaindo Kitadin Jorong
320
25%
136
31%
51
23%
2
(60%)
Units: USD million
10% 19%
Total Revenue GPM* (%)
3Q11 33% 34% 36% 19% 3Q10 2Q11 3Q11 3Q10 2Q11 3Q11 3Q10 2Q11 2Q11 3Q10 3Q11 2Q11
486 229 26 678
39% 28%
396
37%
180 36
18% 19% 23%
23
2Q11
502
38% 3Q10 34%
390
10%
45
30%
EBITDA
8
Units: USD million CONSOLIDATED MINE BY MINE
*COGS = Prod cost + Transport cost + Inv. movement
Revenue 2Q11 3Q10 3Q11
164.9
COGS Selling Royalty Admin
113.0
70.8 31.3 11.7 (4.1) Indominco Trubaindo
3Q10
Kitadin Jorong
2Q11 3Q11
102.2 51.5 8.6 4.4 Units: USD million
3Q10 2Q11 3Q11 3Q10 2Q11 3Q11 3Q10 2Q11 3Q11
232.8
(21.9) +176.5
+41% QoQ
150.9 61.0 15.7 3.5
(7.2) (1.8)
Royalty increased with revenues Higher Volume by 31% Higher ASP by 1%
(77.7)
Net Income
9 2Q11 3Q11 Others EBIT Income Tax Derivative Transactions FOREX Net Fin.Charges 3Q10
CONSOLIDATED MINE BY MINE Units: USD million
51.7 155.9
28.9 6.8 20.9 (7.1)
Indominco Trubaindo Jorong Kitadin
67.6 33.8 4.0
3Q10 2Q11 3Q11 3Q10 2Q11 3Q11 3Q10 2Q11 3Q11 3Q10 2Q11 3Q11
Units: USD million 3.2
+67.9 (3.0) +0.1 (15.3)
+42% QoQ
110.1
+0.3
Derivative loss
100.3 42.9 8.6 1.8
(4.2)
Higher Volume by 31% Higher ASP by 1%
Balance Sheet
10
Net Gearing (%) Net D/E (times)
(30%) (0.34) (0.36) (34%)
(Units: USD million)
CASH POSITION
2007 2008
258 222
(Units: USD million)
DEBT POSITION
2007 2008
92 11 55
2009
429 (0.47) (44%)
2009 3Q11
579
3Q11
(0.65) (65%) 295
2010 2010
(0.41) (41%)
2007 2008 2009 3Q11 2010
2011 Capital Expenditure Plan: USD 126 m
11
Units: USD million
32.9 60.8 10.5 14.6 1.4 11.4 9.6 6.1 13.8 0.0
IMM TCM BEK KTD JBG
Indominco Trubaindo Bharinto Kitadin Jorong
Note: Total capex plan including Jakarta office
Capex realized up to Sep’11 2011 Capex plan
Agenda
12
3. Operational Review
Operations in 2011
.
Indominco 10.7mt output in 9M11. Output target of 14.7mt for 2011
Captive coal-fired power
Trubaindo 4.9mt output in 9M11. Output target of 7.2 Mt for 2011 Jorong 1.2mt output in 9M11. Output target of 1.4mt for 2011 Bharinto Mine operations will start within 4Q11 Kitadin-Embalut 0.9 Mt output in 9M11. Output target of 1.2mt for 2011 Kitadin-Td.Mayang Works as mining contractor at IMM area and production from
- wn mine will
commence by 2H 2011 with target output of 0.5mt
9M11 output: 17.8mt and FY11 target: 25mt
13
2.1 2.1
4.2 4.0
Indominco Mandiri
EAST BLOCK
Santan River Port stock yard Bontang City Asphalt haul road
2.5Km
35Km Sea conveyor Mine stockyard Inland conveyor 4km
10 6 8 2 km 4
WEST BLOCK
Operations Stockpile Ports Hauling Crusher
ROM stockpile
INDOMINCO-BONTANG SCHEMATIC
14 Post Panamax 95,000DWT
INDOMINCO PRODUCTION ANALYSIS
MAJOR QUARTERLY UPDATES
3Q11 production was higher than last year due to better
weather condition and additional mining equipment from PAMA
Overall strip ratio in 2011 is expected to be lower than 2010 in
line with higher contribution from East Block
Expansion of port stock capacity from 0.35mt to 0.65mt and
installation of 6 new tunnels conveyer at port stockyard already completed
Further study on East Block Wash Plant concept and design is
still ongoing
3.1 3.7 3.6 3.5 3.6 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q 2010 2011 SR
15.0 14.9 14.9 14.7
West Block
1.8 2.8
1.8
2.5 2.5 2.3
1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q East Block
1.3 0.9
2.2
1.1 1.0 1.3
1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q
SR
14.6 14.7 14.6 14.7 9.0 9.0 9.0 9.0
Volume
13.5
9M11 output: 10.7mt; FY11 target: 14.7mt
15.8
Volume
10.1
3.4
11.8 1.8 1.6
12.5 10.9
12.0
13.1 10.9
Trubaindo and Bharinto
Mahakam River
Operation Stockpile Hauling Barge Port Crusher
South Block 1 (Dayak Besar) North Block 40km Mine to port Kedangpahu River ROM stockpile Bunyut Port
10 25 15 20 5 km
Product coal conveyor, stacking, stockpile
TRUBAINDO-BHARINTO SCHEMATIC
EAST KALIMANTAN Bharinto 60km south west of Trubaindo North Block South Block 2 (Biangan) PT. BHARINTO PT. TRUBAINDO 15
TRUBAINDO PRODUCTION ANALYSIS
MAJOR QUARTERLY UPDATES
- Trubaindo:
3Q11 production was higher than last year supported by increased capacity from mining contractor Expect higher strip ratio in 2011 due to approaching narrow pit area
- Bharinto:
PAMA will be working as the mining contractor and all required mining equipment already arrived on site Crushing plant construction and port stockyard already completed and already test run Mine operations will start within 4Q 2011 Currently waiting for the completion of hauling road
1.5 1.6 2.2 1.1 1.3 1.5 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q SR :
11.0 11.4 11.4 10.5
9M11 output: 4.9mt; FY11 target: 7.2mt 2010 2011
10.0
Volume : 1.7
11.9
1.8
14.1
Kitadin Embalut and Tandung Mayang
Balikpapan Mahakam River
Samarinda
to Muara Berau Bontang city
EMBALUT
Embalut Port to Muara Jawa
ROM stockpile
Operations Stockpile Ports Hauling Crusher 10 6 8 2 km 4 5km Mine to port
- TD. MAYANG
EAST KALIMANTAN
IMM EB
KITADIN SCHEMATIC
IMM WB
Bontang Port
16
EMBALUT PRODUCTION ANALYSIS
MAJOR QUARTERLY UPDATES
- Kitadin Embalut:
- 3Q11 production achieved higher than plan supported by
additional equipment from 2 mining contractors
- Change in mining sequence in 4Q11 may lead to higher
strip ratio
- Kitadin Tandung Mayang:
- Already have production from its own area since 3Q11
and expect 0.5mt production for 2011
- Currently also works as mining contractor at Indominco
area
0.3 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.3 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q SR :
10.4 10.6 10.7 10.8
9M11 output: 0.9mt; FY11 target: 1.2mt 2010 2011
8.9
Volume : 0.3
8.7
TD.MAYANG PRODUCTION ANALYSIS
1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q FY11 target: 0.5mt Volume :
0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
2010 2011 0.3 0.3
8.7
0.5
0.0
Jorong
Coal terminal Jorong Pelaihari
Pacific Ocean
Haul road
Operations Stockpile Hauling Barge Port 10 25 15 20 5 km
20km
JORONG SCHEMATIC
17
JORONG PRODUCTION ANALYSIS
MAJOR QUARTERLY UPDATES
- 3Q11 production was higher than plan due to better
weather condition and good contractor performance
- Maintained production level of around 1.0 to1.5mt due to
limited area
0.3 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.4 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q SR :
6.9 6.9 6.9 6.9
0.0 9M11 output: 1.2mt; FY11 target: 1.4mt
8.6
Volume : 2010 2011 0.4
8.6
0.5
8.6
Agenda
18
4. Commercial Review
Main 2011 coal market driver update
Weather Chinese Demand World Growth
Sources: Country Forecast October 2011 from The Economist Intelligence Unit Limited 2011
19
- Downward trend, but not in
coal consumption.
- Uncertainty impacting
forecasts due to European and USA debt concerns, Middle East/N. Africa unrest, exchange rate trends and inflation.
- 2012 world growth forecast
- f 2.4% (previous forecast
was 3.1%). Asian growth forecast is 6.3% (previous forecast was 6.9%).
- Indonesia season was wet
during first half and drier in the second half 2011.
- Chinese winter was normal
followed by water shortages. Summer was normal.
- Australian storms/floods
damage is largely overcome.
- Demand is stronger than
expectations in total but unevenly distributed.
- Production increased beyond
demand increase, but again levels vary by region.
- Imports weak in 1Q,
recovering in 2Q, very strong in 3Q. While some uncertainty in 4Q, very strong so far.
Coal price benchmarks Indonesia benchmarks start to decline particularly in 4Q11 due to increases in Indonesian production. Australian benchmark pricing held up by steady growth, currency and financial movements affecting paper prices. Also some excess tonnages avoided capture in index figures. South African declines with above plan railings, and short term port stocks in India reducing market
- ptions.
European pricing supported by higher cost of competing fuels, such as gas and declining carbon credit price.
60 70 80 90 100 110 120 130 140 150 Mar-11 Apr-11 May-11 Jun-11 Jul-11 Aug-11 Sep-11 Oct-11 US$ / tonne
FOB Richards Bay 6000 kcal/kg, NAR FOB Newcastle 6300 kcal/kg, GAR FOB Kalimantan 5900 kcal/kg, GAR FOB Kalimantan 5000 kcal/kg, GAR
20
Thermal Coal Benchmark Prices
Thermal coal market analysis – 3Q 2011 update
21 USA Thermal supply increase for export from Atlantic ports. Pacific deliveries continue INDIA Recovery and growth Continue, but stocks high post monsoon EAST ASIA Japan coming back to normal with current Japanese forecasts likely understated; Korea and Taiwan strong recovery SOUTH AFRICA Continuing problems in rail eases short term but markets lost. Longer term issues re national policy appearing AUSTRALIA Flood impacts largely
- vercome while rail and
Some mine bottlenecks continue to be limits COLOMBIA Prices capped by tonnage returning to Atlantic RUSSIA Rising production and Rail availability supports Limited export increase CHINA Import springs back LCV/off-spec coal
= Demand/Supply = Demand
REST OF ASIA Continued growth INDONESIA 3Q Dry season excellent ATLANTIC Increased demand due to Higher gas prices, nuclear concerns and low carbon credit price
= Supply
ITM Average Selling Prices
22 USD per tonne
NEX* Nov 03, 2011 $117.60
Prices remained strong, weakening in 4Q11, but will not affect to our ASP. Looking beyond to 2012, price stable - a bit weak in 1Q12 and gradually increase. ASP gain constrained by lower quality, higher margin products in 3Q11. ASP lagged but catching up due to mix of term of contracts and pricing.
20 40 60 80 100 120 140 160 180 200 Mar-07 Sep-07 Mar-08 Sep-08 Mar-09 Sep-09 Mar-10 Sep-10 Mar-11 Sep-11 Monthly BJI Quarterly BJI Quarterly ASP
ASP 3Q11 $98.4/t ASP 9M11 $94.6/t
Monthly NEX Quarterly NEX Quarterly ASP
Indicative 2011 Coal Sales
23
Coal sales contract and pricing status Comment Coal sales contract and pricing status
2011 tonnage are fully sold Sales are close to 25mt ASP approaching US$ 97.00 Production recovery with logistics catching up
Contract Status Price Status
TARGET SALES 2011: c.25mt
100% Contracted “Fully Sold”
95% 5%
Fixed Index
Coal Sales by Geographic Destination and 2012 Trend
JAPAN (17%) INDIA (9%) INDONESIA (8%) PHILIPPINES (5%)
HONG KONG (4%)
TAIWAN (7%) S.KOREA (5%) THAILAND (8%)
2012 trend expectation
2012 *Includes small, non- regular purchasers
Coal sales 9M11 (total 17.6 Mt)
OTHERS* (0%) ITALY (9%)
2012
CHINA (22%)
2012 2012 2012 2012 2012 2012 2012
24
3.5 4.5 1.5 2.3 2.9
- 0.5
9M10 FY10 3M11 6M11 9M11
1.2 1.8 0.3 0.4 0.9
- 0.5
9M10 FY10 3M11 6M11 9M11
2012 1.0 1.2 0.1 0.4 0.7
- 0.2
9M10 FY10 3M11 6M11 9M11
3.6 5.1 1.2 2.3 3.8
- 0.5
9M10 FY10 3M11 6M11 9M11
1.2 1.8 0.5 1.0 1.6
- 0.2
9M10 FY10 3M11 6M11 9M11
1.8 2.4 0.3 0.9 1.3
- 0.5
9M10 FY10 3M11 6M11 9M11
0.9 1.1 0.3 0.6 1.0
- 0.2
9M10 FY10 3M11 6M11 9M11
0.4 0.5 0.1 0.7 1.4
- 0.2
9M10 FY10 3M11 6M11 9M11
1.1 1.5 0.5 0.8 1.3
- 0.2
9M10 FY10 3M11 6M11 9M11
0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0
- 0.1
9M10 FY10 3M11 6M11 9M11
MALAYSIA (5%) 2012
0.8 1.1 0.1 0.5 0.9
- 0.5
9M10 FY10 3M11 6M11 9M11
0.7 0.9 0.6 1.0 1.6
- 0.2
9M10 FY10 3M11 6M11 9M11
25
Question & Answer
Agenda
26
Appendices
ITM Structure and History
27 ITMG
65.00%
Indominco Trubaindo Bharinto Jorong
PT Indominco Mandiri (CCOW Gen.I) PT Trubaindo Coal Mining (CCOW Gen II) PT Kitadin-Embalut (KP) PT Bharinto Ekatama (CCOW Gen III) PT Jorong Barutama Greston (CCOW Gen II)
50.00%
PT Indo Tambangraya Megah Tbk.
Banpu Minerals (Singapore) Pte Ltd 99.99% 99.99% 99.99% 99.99% 99.67%
139 Mt 697 Mt
Resources
Reserves
104 Mt 335 Mt
Resources
Reserves
14 Mt 152 Mt
Resources
Reserves
45 Mt 298 Mt
Resources
Reserves
6 Mt 145 Mt
Resources
Reserves
Banpu Minerals Co.Ltd
Reserves 318* Mt Resources 1,640* Mt
BMS
99.99%
BMC
Banpu PCL
Banpu Public
35.00%
Kitadin
PT Kitadin-Td.Mayang (KP)
10 Mt 13 Mt
Resources
Reserves
BCI
50.00% 100.00%
Banpu Coal Investment Co.Ltd Note: * Updated Coal Resources and Reserves as of 30 Sep 2011
East Kalimantan East Kalimantan South Kalimantan East Kalimantan East / Central Kalimantan
INDONESIAN STOCK EXCHANGE IPO 18th Dec 2007
6,500-7,300 kcal/kg 6,000-6,300 kcal/kg 5,800 kcal/kg 6,400-6,800 kcal/kg 6,700 kcal/kg 5,300 kcal/kg
Coal Resources and Reserves (as of 30 Sep 2011)
28
Indominco Kitadin-Td.Mayang Jorong Trubaindo
W.Block E.Block
251 Mt 30 Mt 446 Mt 152 Mt 14Mt 145 Mt
6Mt
335 Mt 104 Mt 298 Mt 45 Mt
13Mt
RESOURCES RESERVES
Kitadin-Embalut
Total Reserves : 318 Mt Total Resources : 1,640 Mt 109 Mt
10Mt
Bharinto
Note: * Updated Coal Resources and Reserves as of 30 Sep 2011 based on estimates prepared by Competent Persons (consider suitably experienced under the JORC Code) in 31 Dec 2010 and deducted from coal sales volume in 9M11
Income Statement
29
Unit: US$ thousand 3Q11 2Q11 3Q10 QoQ% YoY% Net Sales 678,440 501,982 396,715 35% 71% Gross Profit 265,624 188,771 139,254 41% 91% GPM 39% 38% 35% SG&A (46,814) (37,905) (40,456) EBIT 218,810 150,866 98,798 45% 121% EBIT Margin 32% 30% 25% EBITDA 232,773 164,855 113,037 41% 106% EBITDA Margin 34% 33% 28% Net Interest Income / (Expenses) 1,354 1,040 91 FX Gain / (Loss) (2,756) 1,430 1,565 Derivative Gain / (Loss) (7,698) (4,675) (2,424) Others (1,913) (1,966) (27,869) Profit Before Tax 207,797 146,695 70,161 42% 196% Income Tax (51,917) (36,591) (18,421) Net Income 155,880 110,104 51,740 42% 201% Net Income Margin 23% 22% 13%
Income Statement
30