2Q16 results
Investor and analyst update
16th August 2016
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2Q16 results Investor and analyst update 16 th August 2016 1 - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
2Q16 results Investor and analyst update 16 th August 2016 1 DISCLAIMER The views expressed here contain information derived from publicly available sources that have not been independently verified. No representation or warranty is made as to
16th August 2016
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DISCLAIMER The views expressed here contain information derived from publicly available sources that have not been independently verified. No representation or warranty is made as to the accuracy, completeness or reliability of the information. Any forward looking information in this presentation has been prepared on the basis of a number of assumptions which may prove to be incorrect. This presentation should not be relied upon as a recommendation or forecast by Banpu Public Company
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Financial summary Power business Coal marketing Coal operations Focus: Banpu Power renewables outlook 6 4 3 2 1 Looking ahead 7 Gas business 5
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2018
1.86GW
June 2016 2025
4.3GW 2.4GW
from >700GW demand growth in Asia-Pacific over the next four years(1)
platform for both organic and inorganic expansion
conventional and renewable plant
regulatory risks
Banpu Power’s skills and advantages
4% EXPAND DIVERSIFY STRENGTHEN 7%
(Operating)
Source: (1) Frost & Sullivan, EIA, CEA, AER, WEO, Cleantechnica
(Operating and committed projects) (Target)
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REGIONAL Positioned in the most attractive growth markets in Asia-Pacific: equity capacity of 4.3GWe by 2025 SYNERGIES Synergies with coal business to provide local expertise and other synergies EXPERTISE Project development expertise from coal-fired projects to leverage in developing renewables FINANCING Project financing capabilities, experienced team, access to capital and strong financial position PARTNERSHIP Partnership access and ability to work with partners to enhance
PIONEER Pioneer in private power for
with solid track-record of value creation PERMITS& PLANNING FEASIBILITY STUDY DESIGN & PROCUREMENT FINANCING CONSTRUCTION COMMISSIONING O&M
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Sources: Power development plans of each country, WEO’s special report on SE Asia
(1) includes hydropower capacity; (2) other Greater Mekong Subregion comprises Cambodia, Laos, Myanmar, and Vietnam; (3) other South East Asia comprises Malaysia, Singapore, Philippines, East Timor, and Brunei
*DISCLAIMER No representation or warranty is made as to the accuracy, completeness or reliability of the views, information as indications expressed here. This slide should not be relied upon as a recommendation or forecast by Banpu Public Company Limited. Nothing in this slide should be construed as either an offer to sell or a solicitation of an offer to buy or sell shares in any jurisdiction.
79%
11%
THAILAND** JAPAN
Source: Frost & Sullivan, AER, EIA Note: Bubble size not drawn to scale * Exclude hydro; ** As of 2014
PHILIPPINES 70%
22%
8%
CHINA LAOS
Renewables* 146GW Hydro 307GW 33GW
Wind
2GW 0.1GW 6 GW Hydro 6GW
Solar Geothermal
Hydro 50GW Hydro 3GW
Wind
Wind INDIA AUSTRALIA
Hydro 8GW
Solar
68% 28%
0.2GW 16GW
VIETNAM** INDONESIA
Biomass
Solar Unit: GW
13%
74%
13%
Hydro 45GW
Wind
3GW
55%
46% 47%
39GW
Wind
Hydro 5GW 5GW Hydro 3GW Hydro
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Sources: Power development plans of each country, WEO’s special report on SE Asia
(1) includes hydropower capacity; (2) other Greater Mekong Subregion comprises Cambodia, Laos, Myanmar, and Vietnam; (3) other South East Asia comprises Malaysia, Singapore, Philippines, East Timor, and Brunei
COUNTRIES SELECTED ARE FOR EDUCATIONAL PURPOSES ONLY* 2020 48% 52% 2015 686 32% 68% 453 18 2020 50% 33% 67% 2015 12 50% 2020 3 5% 2015 4% 7 95% 96%
60% 2020 129 2015 83 61% 39% 40%
JAPAN LAOS THAILAND
Hydro Year Renewables
CHINA
+184
+233
+46
+46
+4
+6
+0.1
+4
growth from renewables is expected in the next four years
MW would come from China, Japan and India
excluding hydro is expected to constitute c.20% of total generating capacity in Asia-Pacific* by 2020
technology advancement
+49 +4 +2
6 46% 2020 2015 54%
No breakdown available
PHILIPPINES
2020 8 19 45% 38% 2015 55% 62%
INDONESIA
+7 +4
+11
*DISCLAIMER No representation or warranty is made as to the accuracy, completeness or reliability of the views, information as indications expressed here. This slide should not be relied upon as a recommendation or forecast by Banpu Public Company Limited. Nothing in this slide should be construed as either an offer to sell or a solicitation of an offer to buy or sell shares in any jurisdiction.
AUSTRALIA
Note: Map not drawn to scale Source: Frost & Sullivan, EIA, CEA, AER, WEO, Australian Gov’t, RET, Cleantechnica 2020 91% 2% 98% 16 2015 9% 23
VIETNAM
+2
+7
+5
INDIA
2020 53% 47% 2014* 84 124 54% 46%
+27
+40
+13
Unit: GW
19 59% 2020 58% 42% 2015 13 41%
+6
+6
+0.5
* Note: But in Laos and Vietnam it is likely to be much less than 20%
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Note: As of June 15, 2016. All plants capacity is based on an as-completed basis includes capacity expansion currently under development. Source: JWPA, IEA, Agency of Natural Resources and Energy, Institute for Sustainable Energy Policies, METI, EIA Geothermal Report
Operational solar Developing solar
64 28 2020 2015
RENEWABLES TARGET BY TYPE Unit: GW
4 2020 2015 0.5 1 1 2013 2020
BANPU’S POWER ASSETS IN JAPAN
4 11 2015 2020
Mukawa 17 MW Yabuki 7 MW Olympia 10 MW Hino 3.5 MW Awaji 8 MW Nari Aizu 20 MW Onami 16 MW Yamagata 20 MW
* Banpu’s effective ownership is between 40-75%
generation capacity by 2030
resources
solar projects in 2017
installation in Mar’16 while other renewable energy’s tax incentives remain Solar Wind Biomass Geothermal
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Source: Climatenexus, Bloomberg New Energy Finance, Sciencedirect, The Climate Group, Cleantechnica
100 2020 200 2015 2030 400 33 100 2030 310 2020 2015 59 30 13 2030 2020 2015
generation capacity by 2020 and 20% by 2030
province’s consumption to come from non- hydro renewables, primarily wind, solar, and biomass
reduction/exemption, *license exemption
* For under 6MW projects RENEWABLES TARGET BY TYPE Unit: GW BANPU’S POWER ASSETS IN CHINA
Huineng (100%) 20 MW Haoyuan (100%) 20 MW Jinshan (100%) 30 MW Luannan (100%) 123 MWe Zhengding (100%) 139 MWe SLG (30%) 1,320 MW Zouping (70%) 180 MWe
Biomass
Huien (100%) 20 MW
Wind Solars
Operational coal-fired Developing coal-fired Operational solar Developing solar
As of June 2016
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Source: Sunwindenergy, AEDP, Thai German Cooperation, EPPO
2 2021* 3 2015 6 2036*
RENEWABLES TARGET BY TYPE Unit: GW
6 5 2 2015 2021* 2036* 3 2 2036* 2021* 2015 0.2
generation capacity by 2021 and 30% by 2036
2014). Available FIT for other renewables
reduction/exemption, permission to own land, etc.
0.5 0.2 0.1 2036* 2021* 2015
* Alternative Energy Development Plan
BLCP (50%) 1,434 MW
BANPU’S POWER ASSETS IN THAILAND
Wind Biomass Waste
Operational coal-fired
Solar
Thai Solar Up to 4.1 MW (Under construction)
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Capacity presented on a 100% basis
DISCLAIMER The views, information and indications expressed here including forward looking targets and indications are illustrative only, are subject to change, may be based on incorrect assumptions, and have not been independently verified. No representation or warranty is made as to the accuracy, completeness or reliability of the views, information as indications expressed here. This slide should not be relied upon as a recommendation or forecast by Banpu Public Company Limited. Nothing in this slide should be construed as either an offer to sell or a solicitation of an offer to buy or sell shares in any jurisdiction.
Banpu’s ownership Under development
SLG 1,320 MW Hongsa 1,878 MW
Operation
Japan solar 102 MW
Thailand Other Asia-Pac Greater Mekong
Solar
50%
Equity
40% BLCP 1,434 MW China solar 90 MW China CHP 273 MW 948 tph
LN and ZP expansion (25MW and 150tph each)
China China Indonesia Biomass Wind Coal-fired Cambodia Laos Japan Myanmar Laos Vietnam
Considerations :
70-100% 30% 40-75% 100%
Thai Solar
Up to 4.1 MW 100%
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Financial summary Power business Coal marketing Coal operations Focus: Banpu Power renewables outlook 6 4 3 2 1 Looking ahead 7 Gas business 5
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2016e OUTPUT (ROM EQUITY BASIS) Wollongong
PKCT Airly Neubeck Angus Place Clarence Springvale Mandalong Myuna Newstan
Sydney
PWCS
Newcastle
Inglenook
Project Underground mine Port Power station Road Rail C&M 4
WESTERN OPERATIONS: 2016e: 5.5 Mt NORTHERN OPERATIONS: 2016e: 7.5 Mt NCIG
2016e output: 13.0 Mt KEY UPDATES
Production
YoY). (Note: 2Q15 included production from Charbon – since exhausted).
during the period, with Mandalong achieving a record 14.5-day changeover.
focus on higher margin operations, Centennial continues to deliver cost improvements, production and productivity records.
ASP
with ASP impacted as a result of the timing of domestic deliveries into lower priced legacy contracts.
11% QoQ – as a consequence of lower longwall production.
(2015: 62%:38%) – in part responding to lower production and export price recovery.
Note 1: Mannering placed on “Care & Maintenance” November 2012 – benefiting from new production sharing arrangement with neighbouring mine. Note 2: NCIG = Newcastle Coal Infrastructure Group; PWCS = Port Waratah Coal Services; PKCT = Port Kembla Coal Terminal. Note 3: Newstan (1 August 2014) and Angus Place (February 2015 ) placed on care & maintenance.
2Q16 YoY QoQ Sales revenue A$179M ▼ 9% ▼ 17% EBITDA A$34M ▲ 6% ▼ 15% PBT A$(7)M ▲36% ▼65% NPAT A$(5)M ▲33% ▼72% Gearing
(Net debt to net debt + book value of equity)
39%
FINANCIAL SUMMARY
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COAL OUTPUT (Mt)1 CV: 6,700 kcal/kg2
1.1 1.8 0.8 1.8 1.2 1.8
2Q15 3Q15 4Q15 1Q16 2Q16 3Q16e
0.5 0.4 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.4
2Q15 3Q15 4Q15 1Q16 2Q16 3Q16e
Mandalong
impacted by a planned longwall changeover.
a record 14.5 days “coal-to-coal” surpassing the previous record of 19 days. Myuna
compensate for increasing travel times).
existing Place-Change Mining Panel. This will provide greater flexibility to secure variable roof conditions more quickly and efficiently; with the benefit of improved coal quality, than can be delivered from a place-change panel. COMMENTS
and maintenance – effective 1 August 2014
approval received, underpinning the Newstan extension project for when coal industry economics improve.
Note: 1 ROM output on an equity basis 2 CV figures are air-dried basis 3 Longwall LW3 MOVE SCHEDULE Mth 1 Mth 2 Mth 3 2Q15 3Q15 4Q15 1Q16 2Q16 3Q16e 4Q16e
3 wks 3 wks
MYUNA
COAL OUTPUT (Mt)1 CV: 6,700 kcal/kg2
NEWSTAN EXTENSION MANDALONG
2 wks
3 wks
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Springvale:
commenced in May 2016 with production now recommenced.
forecast full year increase in production.
Clarence:
12 months following its overhaul in late-2015. The FCT has now moved into an extraction phase. Airly: Production up 5% QoQ and 25% YoY – achieving a new monthly production record since re-opening in June 2014.
OTHER OPERATIONS
COAL OUTPUT (Mt) 1 CV: 6,700 kcal/kg 2
0.6 0.0 0.6 0.7 0.3 0.5
COAL OUTPUT (Mt) 1 CV: 6,700 kcal/kg 2
2Q15 3Q15 4Q15 1Q16 2Q16 3Q16e 1 ROM output on an equity basis: Angus Place and Springvale 50%, Clarence 85% and Charbon 95% 2 CV figures are air-dried basis 3 Longwall 4 Flexible Conveyor Train Note: Following material overflow in reject emplacement area at Clarence in July, authorities were notified and actions were taken in compliance with NSW Environmental Protection Authority Clean-up Notice. The clean-up operation has now been completed.
COMMENTS
Mth 1 Mth 2 Mth 3 2Q15 3Q15 4Q15 1Q16 2Q16 3Q16e 4Q16e
LW 3 MOVE SCHEDULE
12 wks
SPRINGVALE CLARENCE
0.6 0.7 0.8 0.5 0.7 0.7
COAL OUTPUT (Mt) 1 CV: 6,700 kcal/kg 2
2Q15 3Q15 4Q15 1Q16 2Q16 3Q16e
0.2 0.3 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2
2Q15 3Q15 4Q15 1Q16 2Q16 3Q16e 2 wks
5 wks 3 wks
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productivity, driven by step-change in productivity programme and increasing LW(1) automation.
continues to improve, with several production records achieved across the Centennial group.
reflects a continued focus on cost efficiency and timing associated with the longwall changeover accounting (with both Mandalong and Springvale on changeover during 2Q16).
costs.
improving rail logistics e.g. recently successfully trialed a 100 wagon distributed power coal train from the western coalfields to NCIG.
AVERAGE PRODUCTION COSTS COMMENTS 10 20 30 40 50
60
FY14 2Q General expenses Open-cut contractor cost Repairs & maintenance Stores & supplies Labour Depreciation
* These figures do not include selling, distribution and royalty costs; based on ‘sold’ production
(1) Longwall
$49 A$/t $50 $49
1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q
2015
FY15 1Q FY16E
$46 $45 $54 $48 2016 $52
FY13
$52 $44
Cash overhead Coal handling & preparation
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regular monthly cash flows
contracts improve domestic revenues as new prices reflect long-term export parity.
escalate based on key indices.
philosophy of maintaining a strong domestic base, domestic sales represent up to 70% of total Centennial group sales.
underpin Centennial’s business.
AUSTRALIA COAL: DOMESTIC CONTRACTS
Note: Presented on 100% basis for illustrative purposes
2 4 6 8 10 12
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016F 2017P 2018P 2019P 2020P 2021P Legacy New Unit : Mt
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PRODUCTION OUTPUT 2016 FINANCIAL SUMMARY
East Kalimantan
Bunyut Port Balikpapan Palangkaraya Banjarmasin
Central Kalimantan South Kalimantan
Kitadin - Embalut 1.1 Mt Indominco 16.0 Mt Trubaindo 6.0 Mt Bharinto 2.5 Mt Jorong 1.0 Mt
Samarinda Jorong Port Bontang Coal Terminal Captive coal- fired power project
KEY UPDATES 2016 target: 26.6 Mt
target.
to good mining performance at June 2016.
to target
than target due to rainy days affecting mine production.
2Q16 YoY QoQ Sales revenue US$278M ▼ 30% ▼ 16% EBITDA US$32M ▼43% ▼ 37% NPAT US$13M ▼ 34% ▼ 42% Gearing
(Net debt to net debt + book value of equity)
n.a. CAPEX US$5M
19 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3
CV: 5300 kcal/kg** STRIP RATIOS (bcm/t) 2Q15 3Q15 4Q15 1Q16 2Q16 3Q16e 2Q15 3Q15 4Q15 1Q16 2Q16 3Q16e 2Q15 3Q15 4Q15 1Q16 2Q16 3Q16e
5.4 10.5 4.6 13.8
Note: *Output figures are 100% basis **CV figures are air-dried basis
JORONG
EMBALUT AND JORONG INDOMINCO - BONTANG TRUBAINDO - BHARINTO
E BLOCK TDMY W BLOCK INDOMINCO TDMY TRUBAINDO BHARINTO TRUBAINDO BHARINTO EMBALUT JORONG EMBALUT EAST WEST
COAL OUTPUT (Mt)* CV: 5950 - 6250 kcal/kg** COAL OUTPUT (Mt)* CV: 6550 - 6700 kcal/kg** COAL OUTPUT (Mt)* CV: 5800 kcal/kg** 2Q15 3Q15 4Q15 1Q16 2Q16 3Q16e 2Q15 3Q15 4Q15 1Q16 2Q16 3Q16e
3.2 2.9 2.8 3.1 3.5 3.6 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.8 0.5 0.4 0.7 0.6 0.6 4.2 3.8 3.8 3.9 4.0 4.0
STRIP RATIOS (bcm/t)
20.7 7.3 6.6 17.1 9.5 3.8 14.4 11.4
2Q15 3Q15 4Q15 1Q16 2Q16 3Q16e
1.9 2.0 1.7 1.2 1.4 1.6 0.7 0.7 0.9 0.5 0.6 0.7
STRIP RATIOS (bcm/t) 2Q15 3Q15 4Q15 1Q16 2Q16 3Q16e
2.7 2.6
8.2 5.3
2.6
7.8 9.0 7.8 3.6 4.6 12.6
1.7
13.8 7.8 8.3 6.4 3.9 13.2
2.0
17.7 7.1 8.4 6.8 4.3 7.9
2.3
13.6 7.8 8.2 7.1 5.6 10.4
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20 30 40 50 60 70
FY13 FY14 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q FY15 1Q 2Q FY16
* Repair and maintenance, salaries and allowances, etc.
COMMENTS
INDICATIVE AVERAGE TOTAL COSTS
Mining cost Other production costs* Depreciation & amortisation SG&A expenses Royalty
$52 $59 $52 $42
U$/t
$48 $46
2015 FY16
$49 $43
2016
$62 $43
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CHINA COAL 2016 PRODUCTION
1.9 2.1 2.7 2.5 2.6
3Q15 4Q15 1Q16 2Q16 3Q16E
BEIJING
Hebi (40%), Henan 1.2 Mt Gaohe (45%), Shanxi 9 Mt
Note: * Output figures are ROM output (100% basis) ** CV figures are air-dried basis *** Exchange rate of 2Q16is RMB 6.54/USD
Gaohe
conditions and higher sales;
the government policy of cutting down coal production and supplying;
balance due to the above mentioned production control policy.
Hebi
control in underground working areas; closely monitoring the gas and CO2 conditions in development areas adjacent to goaf(1) and increase safety management on gas control. OPERATIONAL UPDATES
Summary 3Q15 4Q15 1Q16 2Q16 Sales (Mt) 1.9 2.2 1.9 2.4 ASP (US$/t) 49 41 37 41 Revenue (US$ M) *** 87 91 69 96 COGS (US$/t) 40 42 36 38 EBITDA (US$ M) 9 12 21 26
Operation Project Operation Project POWER COAL
Gaohe CV: 6500-8000 Kcal/kg**
3Q15 – 2Q16 COAL OUTPUT (Mt ROM)
3Q15 4Q15 1Q16 2Q16 3Q16E
Hebi CV: 5300-6800 Kcal/kg** 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.2
Note: (1)Part of a mine from which the mineral has been partially or wholly removed
22 UNST KHUDAG AND ALTAI NUURS PROJECTS TSANT UUL PROJECT
* Mineral Resources Authority of Mongolia
Unst Khudag Project
mining Feasibility Study
development
feasibility program for coal conversion and power facility scenarios including technical and market related studies Altai Nuurs Project
June.
favorable which indicates suitability for certain market segments in China.
market study for commercial-scale development will be conducted in 3Q16
OVEN PLANT INSTALLATION
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Financial summary Power business Coal marketing Coal operations Focus: Banpu Power renewables outlook 6 4 3 2 1 Looking ahead 7 Gas business 5
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China*
Domestic supply-side reform, rising domestic coal prices
India
Low power plant utilization due to financial loss; increased domestic coal production
Other N.Asia
Low UK imports; gas-switching; Coal plant retirements and increased renewable energy
Others
Vietnam, S. Korea, Philippines and Malaysia expected to add c.15 Mt of demand
Global Indonesia
Heavy rain; partly successful in clamping down illegal mining
Australia
Producers discipline tighten supply; cost reduction continues
Colombia
Retreat supply to Asia as freight rates recovered
Russia
Low freight rates and weak Ruble keep Russian coal competitive
Rail maintenance help to tighten supply; rising domestic demand
USA
Available gas; deep production cuts; export not competitive
Others Global SUPPLY TRENDS DEMAND TRENDS
China’s steep decline appears to have bottomed out. Growth is expected from SE Asian economies. The coming winter is likely to boost thermal coal demand in N. Asia and may cause a short supply of HCV product.
Note: *includes anthracite and lignite
Major exporting countries have impacts from heavy rainfall. Supply side looks to be under more control.
CHANGE 2015-16 (MT.) COMMENTS
[-3 to -13 Mt]
CHANGE 2015-16 (MT.) COMMENTS
+7 +6 +6
+25
+2
+0 +1 +2 +5
25
COMMENTS
Note: *includes anthracite and lignite imports/exports
CHINA ANNUALIZED ACTUAL IMPORT 1Q13-2Q16* CHINA THERMAL COAL IMPORTS/EXPORTS* 137 178 235 252 229 156 181 18 11 8 6 5 4 10 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016F Import Export
Sources: Banpu MS&L Estimates
Unit: Mt Unit: Mt
CHINA
production significantly.
2H16 and will continue to absorb some of the excess seaborne exports.
hydro power output.
restructuring supports international demand
Source: www.sxcoal.com/cn 31 July 2016
CHINA DOMESTIC COAL PRICES
Unit: RMB/t 251 242 244 270 284 232 199 201 153 160 167 145 148 176 7 7 6 5 7 4 4 5 2 5 5 4 10 6 1Q13 3Q13 1Q14 3Q14 1Q15 3Q15 1Q16 Import Export
200 400 600 800 1,000 May-12 Jul-12 Sep-12 Nov-12 Jan-13 Mar-13 May-13 Jul-13 Sep-13 Nov-13 Jan-14 Mar-14 May-14 Jul-14 Sep-14 Nov-14 Jan-15 Mar-15 May-15 Jul-15 Sep-15 Nov-15 Jan-16 Mar-16 May-16 Jul-16
> 5,800 kcal/kg > 5,500 kcal/kg > 5,000 kcal/kg
476 450 405
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COMMENTS
INDIA THERMAL COAL IMPORTS* INDIA ANNUALIZED ACTUAL IMPORT 1Q13-2Q16
Sources:: HDR, Banpu MS&L Estimates
131 159 135 120 126 163 168 197 171 180 142 161 149 171 1Q13 3Q13 1Q14 3Q14 1Q15 3Q15 1Q16
Unit: Mt Unit: Mt
fired generation in Q2. However, recent monsoon arrival is likely to boost up hydro power in Q3.
reduced imports.
remain low. Power distribution companies still struggling to increase power off-take due to their financial loss.
coal consumption in order to “eliminate” imports look questionable as coal imports still have an advantage for coastal coal-fired power plants.
INDIA
Note: *includes lignite grade imports
68 87 107 136 163 164 150
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016F
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(1) Excluding Mongolia coal (2) Sales from Indonesia are included on 100% basis, sales from Australia and China are included on equity basis
COAL SALES(1) SOURCE – DESTINATION ANALYSIS 2016 GLOBAL COAL SALES(2) 2016 BY REGION
THAILAND HK CHINA TAIWAN ITALY
4.0 1.3 6.1 0.1 0.8
INDIA
4.0 Mt 2.4 Mt 10.2 Mt 0.6 Mt 2.3 Mt 0.1 Mt 6.4 Mt 2.2 Mt
JAPAN
1.2 5.2
MALAYSIA
0.3 Mt
INDONESIA
3.7 Mt
PHILIPPINES
2.1 Mt
AUSTRALIA
9.4 Mt
OTHERS
0.9 0.8 1.7 Mt Indonesia coal Australia coal China coal
Japan, 14% Korea, 5% Taiwan, 5% China , 22% Australia 21% SE Asia 19% India 9% Others, 5%
* Illustrative target ** Include coal sales from domestic production in China S KOREA
1.4 0.9
**
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36% 33% 24% 5% 3%
Indexed Fixed Export Domestic: long-term export parity
AUSTRALIA COAL
Domestic: legacy Unpriced
Note: *Target Sales
Fixed 77% 9% 3% 11%
Fixed Indexed
INDONESIA COAL
Unpriced Unsold
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* Included post shipment price adjustments as well as traded coal ** The Newcastle Export Index (previously known as the Barlow Jonker Index – BJI)
weakness, JFY15/16 term effected as well as product mixes – ITM ASP was 6% down Q-o-Q – CEY ASP was 5% down Q-o-Q
during Q2 with signs of recovery already showing in Q3
ITM ASP 2Q16 $46.4* (-6% QoQ) CEY ASP 2Q16 A$61.8* (-5% QoQ) NEX** Aug 11, 2016 $67.3 Unit: $/t 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 160 180 200
Jan-07 Jul-07 Jan-08 Jul-08 Jan-09 Jul-09 Jan-10 Jul-10 Jan-11 Jul-11 Jan-12 Jul-12 Jan-13 Jul-13 Jan-14 Jul-14 Jan-15 Jul-15 Jan-16 Jul-16
Monthly NEX Quarterly ITM ASP Quarterly Centennial ASP
BANPU ASP VS BENCHMARK PRICES COMMENTS
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Financial summary Power business Coal marketing Coal operations Focus: Banpu Power renewables outlook 6 4 3 2 1 Looking ahead 7 Gas business 5
31
THAILAND
strong EBITDA of $49M JAPAN – SOLAR
Japan project Hino 3.5MW began
making total solar
13.5MW(1) LAOS
increased 83% QoQ from $43M to $79 mainly from increased availability energy payment CHINA
maintained at comparable YoY level
de-sulphur foundation area and 4th batch
equipment bidding CHINA – SOLAR
acquire four projects with 90MW in which 70 MW from 3 projects already in
is expected to COD in September 2016
32
USD million
Energy Payment (EP) Dispatch (%)
Q-Q : 5.3% Y-Y : 4.7% Q-Q : -1.2% Y-Y : -5.1%
Total revenue EBIT EBITDA
Q-Q : -0.9% Y-Y : 9.4% Q-Q: -2.2% Y-Y: -5.6% Based on Banpu’s 50% interest
Equity income
USD million
Availability Payment (AP)
Q-Q : 9.1% Y-Y : -1.3%
FX Loss
Q-Q : 3.7% Y-Y : -0.9%
14
23
2Q16
7 22
1Q16 2Q15
FX Loss
70.5 63.8 69.6 2Q15 1Q16 2Q16 70.1 77.4 76.7 2Q15 1Q16 2Q16
146.5 145.6 153.4
2Q15 1Q16 2Q16
94.6 97.9 99.5
2Q15 1Q16 2Q16
FX Gain
51.0 48.8 50.6
2Q15 1Q16 2Q16
51.5 49.5 48.9
2Q15 1Q16 2Q16
20 21 20
33 84.4 76.1 137.3 4Q15 1Q16 2Q16 9.4 1.0 13.9
0.4 0.3 (0.9)
4Q15 1Q16 2Q16
USD million
Energy Payment (EP) Dispatch (%)
Q-Q : 80.4% Q-Q : 82.5%
Total revenue EBIT EBITDA
Q-Q :71.5 % Q-Q: 872% Based on Banpu’s 40% interest
Equity income
USD million
Availability Payment (AP)
Q-Q : 86.7%
1.3
FX Loss
9.8
Q-Q : 85.2%
FX gain
53.5 43.1 4Q15 1Q16 2Q16 53.3 41.4 76.6 4Q15 1Q16 2Q16
13.0
FX gain
94.8 100.0 100.0
4Q15 1Q16 2Q16
51.4 49.9
4Q15 1Q16 2Q16
35.5 25.4 43.6
4Q15 1Q16 2Q16
93.2 78.7
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2Q15 1Q162Q16 2Q15 1Q16 2Q16 2Q15 1Q16 2Q16 2Q15 1Q16 2Q16 2Q15 1Q16 2Q16 2Q15 1Q16 2Q16 2Q15 1Q16 2Q16 2Q15 1Q16 2Q16 2Q15 1Q16 2Q16 2Q15 1Q16 2Q16 2Q15 1Q16 2Q16 2Q15 1Q16 2Q16 2Q15 1Q16 2Q16 2Q15 1Q16 2Q16 2Q15 1Q16 2Q16
57.2 102.3 51.8 22.2 59.9 21.3 36.7 36.7 35.7 1,998 1,149 1,205 1,766 1,702
1,510
2,122 1,403 1,418 0.39 0.39 0.42 0.31 0.32 0.36 0.37 0.37 0.41 315 316 357 407 401 457 302 294 357 58.1 77.9 21.6 97.4 107.5 103.9 53.0 124.9 22.9
Note: *Unaudited figures, **Including transportation
Hebei Province Power 100 MW Steam 128 tph (Banpu 100% )
Hebei Province Power 73 MW Steam 370 tph Chilled water 35 MW (Banpu 100%)
Shandong Province Power 100 MW Steam 450 tph (Banpu 70%) Sales* (RMB$M) EBITDA (RMB$M) Utilization (hours) Power tariff (RMB/kwh) Coal price** (RMB/t)
2Q15 1Q16 2Q16
According to seasonal business nature of peak heating season in Q1, the 2Q16 EBITDA was at comparable YOY level: USD 0.9M lower due to lower power sales. According to seasonal business nature of peak heating season in Q1, the 2Q16 EBITDA was at comparable YOY level: USD 1.3M higher due to higher heat sales As client’s demand was generally stable but slightly drop due to no heating load, EBITDA in 2Q16 was USD 1M lower than YOY and 1Q16.
35
reached 21 meters; the foundation construction of de- sulfur area has been completed; the fencing wall construction was
bidding has been finished
for 2 units
commitment from lenders
Cooling tower Unit #2 foundation Chimney
Construction progress
Construction reached 21 meters De-sulfur area foundation completed Cooling tower construction rapid progress
Overall progress approx. 24% on schedule (as of July 2016)
36
*Banpu effective ownership is between 40-75%
Hino 3.5 MWAC Awaji (COD 2017) 8 MWAC Mukawa (COD 2018) 17 MWAC Nari Aizu (COD 2018) 20 MWAC Olympia 10 MWAC
Tokyo
Japan solar portfolio
financing and started construction
are in the process of project financing
1,956MWh, 15.45% capacity factor
$0.8 M
Construction solar Operation solar Development solar
Hokkaido Honshu Shikoku Kyushu Onami (COD 2018) 16 MWAC Yamagata (COD 2018) 20 MWAC Yabuki (COD 2018) 7 MWAC
100% in four solar projects for total 90MW
already been in operation as of August 2016
construction and expected to complete in September 2016
& subsidies
being fulfilled, the acquisition of projects is expected to complete by end of 2016
SHANDONG Tianjin LIAONING Beijing HEBEI Henan JIANGSU ANHUI HENAN
Zouping (70%) 100 MW, 450 tph
Cangzhou Zhengzhou Wuhe Xuzhou Dalian
Huineng 20MW Haoyuan 20MW Jinshan 30MW Huien 20MW
Construction solar Operation solar Operational coal-fired
37
38 Jinshan project Hui’en project Haoyuan project Huineng project
20MW 20MW 30MW 20MW
39
Financial summary Power business Coal marketing Coal operations Focus: Banpu Power renewables outlook 6 4 3 2 1 Looking ahead 7 Gas business 5
40
Bcf
1000 2000 3000 4000 5000 5-year (2011-2015) maximum billion cubic feet Working Gas in Storage billion cubic feet 5-year (2011-2015) minimum billion cubic feet
3,277 Bcf (+236)
[15 Jul 16]
strong despite the high inventory level
level remains seasonally high
Source: EIA
Gas Rig Count Oil Rig Count 500 1000 1500 2000 100 200 300 400 2014 2015 2016
US Gas Rig Count Marcellus Gas Rig Count Utica Gas Rig Count US Oil Rig Count 1.3 1.5 1.7 1.9 2.1 2.3 2.5 2.7 2.9 3.1 Jan Jan Jan Feb Feb Mar Mar Apr Apr May May Jun Jun Jul Jul AVERAGE HENRY HUB PRICE 2016 Unit: $/Mmbtu $2.79 25 Jul 16 2Q average $2.19
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun
NATURAL GAS IN UNDERGROUND STORAGE GAS RIG COUNT
2014 2015 2016
July
YTD average $2.47 Q1 Q2
41
Total revenue ($M) EBITDA ($M)
2Q16 1.95
Note 1Q16 : 28 – 31 Mar.16 (1) British Thermal Unit (2) Pipeline recovery income
Midstream 3.65 3.31 2Q16 0.34 Upstream
Unit production (Trn btu(1)) (3) Lease operating expense and work over expenses (4) Royalty, taxes, marketing and transportation expenses, and administrative expense
2Q16 1.89
EBITDA Breakdown ($/Mmbtu)
0.21 0.69 1.03 2.19 0.18 1.75
Operating expense(3) Selling and admin(4)
Hub Upstream Midstream(2) Ebitda Revenue ($/Mmbtu)
42
Financial summary Power business Coal marketing Coal operations Focus: Banpu Power renewables outlook 6 4 3 2 1 Looking ahead 7 Gas business 5
43
EXTERNAL EVENTS CORPORATE EVENTS DIRECT INDIRECT
Rights offering and warrant issues approved by AGM 4Q15 Analyst meeting 4Q15 SET Opportunity Day Announced 2H15 dividend of Bt0.50/share 2015 Result Announcement China GDP was 6.9% in 2015; expected to be 6.7% in 2016 China announced no approval of coal mines in the next three years
2Q16
Indonesia to relax foreign
rules in power Myanmar’s government targets coal as main source
HBA thermal coal price increased 1.4% Vietnam demands more Australian coal BOT likely to keep rates on hold for the rest
ADB cuts Thai growth forecast Announced US$554M investment plan for 2016-20 Announced plan to issue 1.29b new shares in Rights
to THB 6.45Bn) Full commercial
Hongsa Power Plant First investment in unconventional shale gas 1Q16 result Announcement on China solar projects 2H15 dividend paid Bt0.5/share Completion of Rights
increase warrants issue China announced reduction in coal mine working days to 276
1Q16
44
Note: ITM and Centennial revenues are consolidated in Banpu income statement. Australia Coal – Third party coal sales included. *NEX = Newcastle Export Index (formerly Barlow Jonker Index or BJI) It is relevant but not linked to China Coal’s ASP
CHINA COAL
Note: Hebi and Gaohe revenues are not consolidated in Banpu income statement.
SALES (Mt) AVERAGE SELLING PRICE (US$/t) excl. VAT REVENUE (US$M) 59 48 49 38 48 2Q15 3Q15 4Q15 1Q16 2Q16 1.1 1.0 1.1 1.0 1.2 2Q15 3Q15 4Q15 1Q16 2Q16
ASP
55 49 45 39 41 2Q15 3Q15 4Q15 1Q16 2Q16
NEX*
60 59 53 51 52
Equity basis Equity basis Domestic Export
AUSTRALIA COAL (CENTENNIAL)
1.7 2.3 1.8 2.4 1.8 3.1 3.4 2.8 3.4 3.0 2Q15 3Q15 4Q15 1Q16 2Q16 SALES (Mt) AVERAGE SELLING PRICE (A$/t) REVENUE (A$M) 198 208 177 216 179 2Q15 3Q15 4Q15 1Q16 2Q16
ASP
64 61 63 63 59 2Q15 3Q15 4Q15 1Q16 2Q16
NEX*
60 59 53 51 52
Equity basis Equity basis Domestic Export
INDONESIA COAL (ITM)
5.9 5.9 6.1 5.8 5.4 6.9 6.8 7.1 6.9 6.2 2Q15 3Q15 4Q15 1Q16 2Q16 SALES (Mt)
100% basis Domestic Export
AVERAGE SELLING PRICE (US$/t) REVENUE (US$M) 397 382 383 331 278 2Q15 3Q15 4Q15 1Q16 2Q16
NEX* ASP
60 59 53 51 52
100% basis
57 56 53 48 45 2Q15 3Q15 4Q15 1Q16 2Q16
45
405 344 297 163 159 140 34 49 33
Note: Revenue from others is included in Coal Indonesia.
US$ M
Coal Australia
Coal Indonesia
Power
Power Coal Australia Coal Indonesia
46 INDONESIA COAL AUSTRALIA COAL
Note: AUD exchange rate – US$ 0.745A$ (Average of 2Q16)
Coal sales Gross margin
23% 24%
163 140 Indonesia coal gross margin: 30%
37% 34%
US$ M US$ M
Australia coal gross margin: 28% 159
28% 32%
34% 32%
283 396 331
30%
47
47 51 32 3 (10) (5) 29 30 30 26 42 40
USD million
Coal - China Coal - Indonesia
Coal - Australia
+3% Y-Y Power
+57% Y-Y
Gas - USA
Gas Power Coal Australia Coal China Coal Indonesia
48
17 8
NON- RECURRING ITEMS NPAT OPERATING PROFIT POWER 35 RECURRING PROFIT FINANCE CHARGES
(35) 52
2Q16 NET PROFIT AFTER TAX UNIT: $M
1Q16 NET PROFIT AFTER TAX UNIT: $M
COAL 21 OPERATING PROFIT
54
(33) FINANCE CHARGES RECURRING PROFIT
21 (5)
NPAT NON- RECURRING ITEMS OTHERS FX LOSS DERIVATIVES POWER 33
COAL 17
(5) (7) (15)
+6% Q-Q +94% Y-Y
+2% Y-Y Non-Recurring Items
2Q15 NET PROFIT AFTER TAX UNIT: $M
COAL 12 OPERATING PROFIT
30
(33) FINANCE CHARGES RECURRING PROFIT
(3) (2)
NPAT NON- RECURRING ITEMS OTHERS POWER 18
1
FX GAIN DERIVATIVES
(17) 17
(9)
Step 1: Contact broker to issue warrant certificate from TSD Step 2: Complete warrant exercise form and process for payment Step 3: Submit the relevant documents to Bualuang Securities
Procedures
1st warrant notification dates 1st warrant exercise date 2nd warrant notification dates 2nd warrant exercise date 3rd warrant notification dates 3rd warrant exercise date 4th warrant notification dates
4th warrant
exercise date Warrant exercise timeline 29 Aug
5 Sep 25 Nov –1 Dec 2 Dec FY 2016 FY 2017 24 Feb
3 Mar
“SP” date
10 May Book closing 15 May 19 May
5 Jun MOC register 8 Sep First trading day
12 Sep MOC register and first trading day of new shares* MOC register and first trading day of new shares* MOC register and first trading day of new shares*
1) Warrant exercise form 2) Payment evidence 3) Warrant issued by TSD 4) Copy of ID card
1 2
Sell warrants in the market Exercise warrants
BANPU W3 (period 1 year)
Terms
*MOC Register and first trading day of new shares will follow within 1 week after exercise date
49
50
Financial summary Power business Coal marketing Coal operations Focus: Banpu Power renewables outlook 6 4 3 2 1 Looking ahead 7 Gas business 5
51
CONVENTIONAL
stabilized
performance on target
enhancement plans
logistics and marketing businesses (early stages)
growth
for further growth
solar capacity growing
for further growth UPSTREAM MIDSTREAM DOWNSTREAM NEW
*Up to 4MW of solar rooftop investment subject to contingencies
58
53
Sources: Power development plans of each country, WEO’s special report on SE Asia
(1) includes hydropower capacity; (2) other Greater Mekong Subregion comprises Cambodia, Laos, Myanmar, and Vietnam; (3) other South East Asia comprises Malaysia, Singapore, Philippines, East Timor, and Brunei
Installed capacity (GW) COUNTRIES SELECTED ARE FOR ILLUSTRATIVE PURPOSES ONLY* 18% 17% 2015 21% 2020 1,979 10% 1,462 43 14% 13% 2015 2020 19% 15% 54 3% 3% 78% 72% 2020 2015 9 4
2020 18% 12% 281 28% 278 2015 18%
JAPAN LAOS THAILAND
Hydro Renewables Coal-fired 2015 2020 Others Nuclear
CHINA
+184
+517
+46
+3
+4
+11
+0.1
+5
growth from renewables is expected in the next four years
MW would come from China, Japan and India
hydro is expected to constitute c.20% of total generating capacity by 2020 (except for Laos and Vietnam)
technology advancement
+49 +4 +2
22 2020 19% 2015 17 10%
No breakdown available
PHILIPPINES
+5 51 6% 2015 10% 2020 10% 94 11%
INDONESIA
+7 +4
+43 *DISCLAIMER No representation or warranty is made as to the accuracy, completeness or reliability of the views, information as indications expressed here. This slide should not be relied upon as a recommendation or forecast by Banpu Public Company Limited. Nothing in this slide should be construed as either an offer to sell or a solicitation of an offer to buy or sell shares in any jurisdiction.
AUSTRALIA
Note: Map not drawn to scale Source: Frost & Sullivan, EIA, CEA, AER, WEO, Australian Gov’t, RET, Cleantechnica 0.5% 34 26% 2015 46% 2020 1% 73
VIETNAM
+2
+39
+5
INDIA
13% 15% 2014* 13% 282 2020 16% 385
+27
+103
+13
Unit: GW
2020 21% 46 15% 11% 16% 52 2015
+6
+6
+0.5
54
73 12 6 2025* 2020 2015
RENEWABLES TARGET BY TYPE Unit: MW
43 23 109 2025* 2020 2015 48 36 22 2025* 2020 2015
with target to increase renewables by 150MW 2015-20
potential of up to 26GW
BANPU’S POWER ASSETS IN LAOS
HONGSA (40%) 1,878 MW Note: * According to National Sustainable Energy Strategy Report 2014, (1) Equity basis Source: Laos’ Renewable Energy Development Strategy (REDS) 2011, Ministry of Energy and Mines 2015
36 17 9 2020 2015 2025*
Solar Wind Biomass Waste
Operational coal-fired
55
RENEWABLES TARGET BY TYPE Unit: GW
15 6 2 2015 2030 2020
Source: National Energy Policy, IRENA Renewable Energy Capacity Statistics 2016, Indonesia Energy Projection towards 2050 (2014)
13 4 1 2020 2030 2015
Biomass Geothermal
total energy mix by 2025
and biomass
accounts for only 3% of its 29GW geothermal energy potential (equivalent to about 40% of world’s total geothermal reserves)
development, the government provides Geothermal Fund Facility (GFF) to geothermal mining license holders to support exploration activities
56
0.8 2030 2 2020 2015 <0.1
RENEWABLES TARGET BY TYPE Unit: GW
5 0.2 2020 2030 1 2015
Source: ADB, National Plan for Power Development 2011-20
0.5 2030 2020 2015 2 <0.01
Biomass Wind Solar
57
RENEWABLES TARGET BY TYPE Unit: GW Note: * Government’s target Source: CEA, Frost & Sullivan Analysis
Biomass Solar Wind
32 27 2015 127 2020 2030* 20 4 2020 2015 2030* 254 8 5 2030* 2015 2020
n.a.
58
RENEWABLES TARGET BY TYPE Unit: GW
Wind Solar
8 4 2020 2015 2 2020 0.2 2015
Source: AER
59
2Q15 1Q16 2Q16
30% 34% 32% 283
Indonesia Coal 2Q15 1Q16 2Q16 Indominco
30% 25% 32% 163 174 164
2Q15 1Q16 2Q16
41% 36% 25% 72
Trubaindo
114 93
2Q15 1Q16 2Q16 Jorong
42% 48% 33% 13 16 9
52% 2Q15 1Q16 2Q16
12 26% 17% 28%
Kitadin
18 13 396 331
2Q15 1Q16 2Q16 Bharinto
27 34 35% 29%
52% 2Q151Q162Q16 Tandung Mayang
0.4 16%
42% 42 1 46 35%
US$M
60 NPAT IMPACT 2Q2016 (US$m) APPROXIMATE FX EXPOSURE (US$m) NPAT 5% SENSITIVITY 3Q2016 (US$m) +3 +0.1
+3
NET AUD IDR THB & OTHERBanpu: THB bond and
+4 +70
AUD IDR THB & OTHER+16 +0.2
+19
NET AUD IDR THB & OTHERNET LIABILITY NET ASSET
+Aug
Assuming 5% depreciation of local currencies against USD
CURRENCY EXPOSURE ITMG: IDR asset and liabilities CEY: USD asset Net
61
GEARING RATIOS
DEBT FX STRUCTURE
Note: 1 Net debt to book value of shareholders' equity 2 Net debt to enterprise value (enterprise value = net debt + market capitalization as at 30 June 2016)
USD Fixed 44% USD Float 25% AUD Fixed 2% AUD Float 7% THB Fixed 16% THB Float 6% Total gross debt: US$3.62 billion As of 30 June 2016
1.18 1.40 1.44 Net debt / Equity1 (x) 54% 58% 59% Net market gearing2 (%) Net debt / EBITDA (x) 4.4 5.9
2014 2015 2Q16 2014 2015
62
Note: all ownership 100% unless otherwise shown. *BIC = Banpu Investment China
9 11 22 26
1 3 4 12 5 1 2 6 3 3 1 25 25 18 3 21 35 23 28
Jorong
29 55 43 79 37 31 50 49
65 71 50 33
50% 40%
Power & New energy
40% 45% 70% Gaohe Hebi BLCP HONGSA BIC* Zouping
6 5 6 5
Zhengding
4 9 10 3
Luannan
3 8 9 3
& holding companies 65% Indominco Trubaindo Kitadin AACI OVERHEAD
Unit: US$M
100%
34 7 40 34
Consolidated NOT consolidated
13 21 23 11
Unit: AUD Mil
All figures are 100% basis except for Centennial which is equity basis
105 115 113 99
Bharinto
3Q15 4Q15 1Q16 2Q16 3Q15 4Q15 1Q16 2Q16 3Q15 4Q15 1Q16 2Q16 3Q15 4Q15 1Q16 2Q16 3Q15 4Q15 1Q16 2Q16 3Q15 4Q15 1Q16 2Q16 3Q15 4Q15 1Q16 2Q16 3Q15 4Q15 1Q16 2Q16 3Q15 4Q15 1Q16 2Q16 3Q15 4Q15 1Q16 2Q16 3Q15 4Q15 1Q16 2Q16 3Q15 4Q15 1Q16 2Q16 3Q15 4Q15 1Q16 2Q16 3Q15 4Q15 1Q16 2Q16 3Q15 4Q15 1Q16 2Q16 3Q15 4Q15 1Q16 2Q16 3Q15 4Q15 1Q16 2Q16 3Q15 4Q15 1Q16 2Q16
63
Note: all ownership 100% unless otherwise shown.
2502 2562 2122 220 3
85 225 226 187 & holding companies 2,727 2,893 3,241 3,212 AUSTRALIA COAL INDONESIA COAL CHINA COAL MONGOLIA COAL THAILAND POWER LAOS POWER CHINA POWER
Gaohe Hebi HONGSA BLCP BIC*
100% 65% 45% 40% 100% 50% 40% 100% 730 739 709 761
323 315 275 269
Unit: AUD Mil
Unit: US$M
Consolidated NOT consolidated Net debt Net cash
3Q15 4Q15 1Q16 2Q16 3Q15 4Q15 1Q16 2Q16 3Q15 4Q15 1Q16 2Q16 3Q15 4Q15 1Q16 2Q16 3Q15 4Q15 Q15 1Q16 3Q15 4Q15 1Q16 2Q16 3Q15 4Q15 1Q16 2Q16 3Q15 4Q15 1Q16 2Q16 3Q15 4Q15 1Q16 2Q16
Unit: USD million Sales revenues – Power (BIC) Cost of sales Gross profit* GPM Sales revenues – Coal Total sales revenues* Gross profit - Coal Gross profit – Power (BIC) GPM – Power (BIC) GPM - Coal
YoY%
21%
Note: * Including other businesses
QoQ%
49 (374) 179 32% 1Q16 552 497 151 24 49% 30% 34 (420) 182 30% 2Q15 602 561 167 11 33% 30%
33 (330) 140 30% 2Q16 469 429 124 13 41% 29%
64
65
Unit: USD million Gross profit GPM SG&A Royalty Other income EBIT EBITDA EBIT - Coal EBIT - Power Income from associates EBITDA - Coal EBITDA - Power Mining property
EBITDA - Gas 182 30% (82) (62) 7 56 104 2Q15 34 22 19 78 (8) 26
30% (69) (44) 9 58 99 2Q16 20 38 26 57 (4) 40 2 11 71 179 32% (67) (52) 8 71 113 1Q16 (7) 31 40 42
QoQ%
n.m.
76%
5%
YoY%
57% n.m.
66
Note: * Income from non-core assets and other non-operating expenses
Unit: USD million EBIT Interest expenses Financial expenses Minorities Non-recurring items* Income tax (non - core business) Net profit before FX Income tax (core business) Net profit before extra items FX translations Net Profit EPS (US$/share)
YoY% n.m. n.m. 13% Deferred tax income (expenses)
QoQ%
n.m.
Gain (Loss) on Derivatives Transactions 62 2Q16 (33) (2) (5) (2)
(11) 11 3 8 0.002 10 (10) 64 2Q15 (30) (2) (8) 2 (3) (18) (13) 10 17 (2) (0.001) (2) (17) 78 1Q16 (31) (2) (9) (5) (6) (17) 19 15 9 (15) (7) (5) (0.002)
67 Unit: USD million
Cost of sales Gross profit GPM Royalty SG&A EBIT Sales revenue Sales volume (Mt) Other income Interest expenses Financial expenses Gain (loss) on exchange rate Net profit Gain (loss) on derivative Other expenses
YoY% 1%
47%
n.m. QoQ% 5% 19%
n.m. Deferred tax income 2Q15 (123.7) 38.9 24% (11.1) (26.8) 5.5 3.1 162.6 4.5 (6.5) (1.0) 2.0 (8.6) (8.7)
(100.6) 39.3 28% (8.8) (24.6) 8.1 3.0 139.9 2.2 (6.6) (0.8) 0.2 (4.0) (6.4)
1Q16 (122.1) 37.4 23% (10.3) (20.7) 8.8 3.4 159.4 2.5 (6.3) (0.8) (1.0) (2.1) (3.7)
68
Note: 1. Bar width is indicative of the equity production contributions to Centennial
Normal production Bolt-up/commissioning
1.8 1.4 1.0 1.4 1.4 1.2 1.4 1.5 2.5 1.6 2.2 1.1 2.1 1.6 2.2 1.6 3.0 3.2 2.5 2.8 3.1 0.0 0.5 1.0 1.5 2.0 2.5 3.0 3.5 4.0 4.5 5.0 1Q15 2Q15 3Q15 4Q15 1Q16 2Q16e 3Q16e 4Q16e 4.3
Total equity ROM (Mt)
WESTERN NORTHERN
LW relocation
2015 2016e LW move Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
Mandalong (100%) Springvale (50%)
3 wks 6 wks
Awaiting Approvals
3 wks ACTUAL 2 wks 3 wks 8 wks
3.5 3.6
PLANNED (INDICATIVE ONLY)