[PPT] - The Long Island Hispanic PopulationMapping Nativity and PowerPoint Presentation

SLIDE 1

The Long Island Hispanic Population—Mapping Nativity and Voter-Eligibility

Center for Urban Research

Steve Romalewski, Director, CUNY Mapping Service Lee Hachadoorian, Spatial Analyst

SLIDE 2

Center for Urban Research City University of New York

Background

Horace Hagedorn Foundation sought a better

understanding of the demographics of Hispanics on Long Island

Improve grantmaking Assist voter mobilization

Previous work by Rob Paral allocating large-

area population to smaller geographical units

SLIDE 3

Center for Urban Research City University of New York

Background (cont.)

Long Island’s largest sources of legal

Hispanic immigration are (a/o 2005)

El Salvador Dominican Republic Colombia Ecuador Perú Guatemala

Source: Dept of Homeland Security Profiles on Legal Permanent Residents

SLIDE 4

Center for Urban Research City University of New York

Data Challenges

Small-area data is now eight years old (US Census

2000)

American Community Survey provides data from

2006 for ~100,000 person units called Public Use Microdata Areas

Statistical variation in PUMA-level ACS data makes it

unreliable for narrowly defined subpopulations (e.g. specific racial/ethnic categories)

PUMAs do not correlate to geographies of interest

such as legislative districts

SLIDE 5

Center for Urban Research City University of New York

Conflicting Geographies

SLIDE 6

Center for Urban Research City University of New York

Census Tables of Interest

Source Year Table Number Table Name Smallest Geography SF1 2000 P11 Hispanic or Latino Block SF1 2000 PCT11 Hispanic or Latino by Specific Origin Tract SF3 2000 PCT63H Place of Birth by Citizenship Status (Hispanic or Latino) Tract ACS 2005/06 B/C03001 Hispanic or Latino Origin by Specific Origin PUMA ACS 2005/06 B05003I Sex by Age by Citizenship Status (Hispanic or Latino) PUMA ACS 2005/06 B06004I Place of Birth by Race (Hispanic or Latino) PUMA

SLIDE 7

Center for Urban Research City University of New York

Voter Eligibility at the Tract Level

Under 18 18 and Over 30% 70% 60% 40% Citizen 18% 42% Non- Citizen 12% 28% Age Citizenship 40% 60% 70% 30% Non- Citizen Citizen 18 and Over Under 18 Age Citizenship

SLIDE 8

Center for Urban Research City University of New York

Dealing with Statistical Anomalies

2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007

North Hempstead Pop Est 4201 ACS Total Pop 4204 ACS Total Pop 4201 Hisp Pop 4204 Hisp Pop

SLIDE 9

Center for Urban Research City University of New York

Allocating Population to Census Tracts

Assume 2005/06 follows 2000 patterns within

each PUMA

Thus, if the number of foreign-born Hispanics

in the PUMA grows by 50%, every tract within it also grows by 50%

10%

1000 1500 100 150

SLIDE 10

Center for Urban Research City University of New York

Allocating Population to Census Blocks

Legislative boundaries cross Census Tracts Assume foreign/native-born pattern follows

pattern of total Hispanic population within each Tract

Not a bad assumption because many Census

Blocks have zero population (parks, transportation rights-of-way)

SLIDE 11

Center for Urban Research City University of New York

Aggregate to Legislative Geography

Legislative Geographies

New York State Assembly Districts New York State Senate Districts Nassau and Suffolk County Legislative

Districts

SLIDE 12

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S M I T H T O W N I S L I P H U N T I N G T O N B R O O K H A V E N B A B Y L O N O Y S T E R B A Y NORTH HEMPSTEAD

LONG BEACH

H E M P S T E A D

G L E N C O V E

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Great South Bay Northport Bay Long Island Sound Atlantic Ocean East Bay South Oyster Bay

Heckscher State Park Bethpage State Park

Jones Beach State Park

Connetquot River State Park

Sunken Meadow State Park Caumsett State Park Robert Moses State Park

Woodsburgh

Woodmere Woodbury

Williston Park

West Hempstead

Westbury Wantagh Valley Stream Upper Brookville

University Gardens

Uniondale

Thomaston

Syosset

Stewart Manor South Valley Stream South Hempstead South Floral Park Searingtown

Seaford

Sea Cliff Sands Point Salisbury

Saddle Rock Roslyn Heights

Roslyn Harbor

Roslyn Estates Roslyn

Roosevelt Rockville Centre

Port Washington North

Port Washington

Point Lookout Plandome Manor Plandome Heights Plandome

Plainview

Plainedge

Oyster Bay Cove

Oyster Bay

Old Westbury Old Brookville Old Bethpage Oceanside North Wantagh

North Valley Stream

North Merrick North Massapequa North Hills North Bellmore

New Hyde Park

New Cassel Muttontown

Munsey Park

Mineola Mill Neck Merrick

Matinecock

Massapequa

Manorhaven Manhasset Hills Manhasset Malverne Park Oaks Malverne

Lynbrook Long Beach

L

c

u s t V a l l e y

Lido Beach Levittown Lawrence Laurel Hollow Lattingtown

Lakeview Lake Success

Kings Point

Kensington

Jericho

Island Park

Hicksville

Hewlett Neck Hewlett Harbor Hewlett Bay Park

Hewlett Herricks

Hempstead

Harbor Isle Harbor Hills Greenvale Great Neck Estates

Great Neck

Glenwood Landing

Glen Head Glen Cove

Garden City South Garden City Park

Garden City Freeport Franklin Square Flower Hill

Floral Park Farmingdale

Elmont

East Williston East Rockaway East Norwich

East Meadow

East Massapequa

East Hills East Garden City

East Atlantic Beach

Cove Neck

Centre Island Cedarhurst

Carle Place Brookville Bethpage

Bellmore

Bellerose Terrace Bellerose

Bayville

Bay Park Baxter Estates Barnum Island

Baldwin Harbor Baldwin

Atlantic Beach Albertson

Wyandanch

Wheatley Heights

West Sayville West Islip West Hills West Bay Shore West Babylon

Village of the Branch

Terryville Stony Brook South Huntington Smithtown Setauket- East Setauket Selden Sayville

Saltaire

St. James Ronkonkoma Port Jefferson Station Port Jefferson

Poquott Patchogue

Old Field

Ocean Beach

Oakdale Northport

North Patchogue

North Lindenhurst North Great River

North Bay Shore North Babylon North Amityville

Nissequogue

Nesconset Mount Sinai

Miller Place

Melville Lloyd Harbor Lindenhurst

Lake Ronkonkoma

Lake Grove Kings Park Islip Terrace Islip Islandia Huntington Station

Huntington Bay

Huntington Holtsville Holbrook

Head

f the

Harbor

Hauppauge Halesite Greenlawn Great River

Gilgo- Oak Beach- Captree

Fort Salonga

Fire Island

Farmingville Elwood

Eatons Neck

East Northport East Islip East Farmingdale Dix Hills Deer Park Coram Copiague Commack Cold Spring Harbor Central Islip

Centerport

Centereach

Brightwaters

Brentwood Bohemia Blue Point

Belle Terre

Baywood

Bay Shore Bayport Babylon

Asharoken

State parkways Local main roads

!

LIRR stations LIRR Nassau-Suffolk border Town/City boundaries College campuses Major parks/open space NYS facilities Federal facilities

Reference Map: Nassau and western Suffolk Counties

Cartography by the Center for Urban Research, City University of New York, 2007

4 2 Miles

´

SLIDE 13

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SUNRISE E XWY LIRR MAIN LINE SUN R I S E H W Y M O NT A U K B R ANCH

SOUTHOLD S O U T H A M P T O N R I V E R H E A D I S L I P E A S T H A M P T O N B R O O K H A V E N

Medford R d 4 t h Av M iddl e C

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Great South Bay Napeague Bay Shinnecock Bay Block Island Sound Long Island Sound Atlantic Ocean Great Peconic Bay Little Peconic Bay

Wildwood State Park

Hither Hills State Park

Montauk Point State Park

Yaphank

West Sayville West Hampton Dunes Westhampton Beach

Westhampton

Watermill

Wainscott

Wading River Tuckahoe

Terryville

Stony Brook

Springs Southold

Southampton Sound Beach

Shoreham

Shirley

Shinnecock Hills Shelter Island Heights

Shelter Island

Setauket- East Setauket

Selden Sayville

St. James Sag Harbor Sagaponack

Ronkonkoma Rocky Point Riverside Riverhead Ridge

Remsenburg- Speonk

Quogue

Quioque Port Jefferson Station

Port Jefferson

Poquott

Peconic

Patchogue

Orient

Old Field

Oakdale

Noyack Northwest Harbor Northville North Sea

North Patchogue North Haven North Great River

North Bellport

Northampton

New Suffolk Nesconset Napeague

Mount Sinai

Moriches

Montauk Miller Place Middle Island Medford Mattituck Mastic Beach

Mastic

Manorville Laurel

Lake Ronkonkoma Lake Grove

Jamesport Holtsville

Holbrook

Head

f the

Harbor

Hampton Bays

Greenport West Greenport Great River Gordon Heights

Flanders

Fishers Island Fire Island Farmingville

East Shoreham East Quogue

Eastport

East Patchogue

East Moriches

East Marion

East Hampton North East Hampton Dering Harbor

Cutchogue Coram

Center Moriches Centereach

Calverton

Brookhaven

Bridgehampton

Bohemia

Blue Point Bellport Belle Terre

Bayport

Baiting Hollow

Aquebogue

Amagansett

State parkways Local main roads

!

LIRR stations LIRR Nassau-Suffolk border Town/City boundaries College campuses Major parks/open space NYS facilities Federal facilities

Reference Map: eastern Suffolk County

Cartography by the Center for Urban Research, City University of New York, 2007

7 3.5 Miles

´

SLIDE 14

1 3 5 4 2 8 7 9 6

Islip Brookhaven Southampton Hempstead Oyster Bay Huntington Southold Babylon Riverhead East Hampton Smithtown North Hempstead Shelter Island Glen Cove Long Beach

NYS Senate District

Foreign Born Hispanic Population

6,380 - 12,000 persons 12,860 18,514 20,181 - 28,000 > 28,000

Foreign Born Hispanics by New Y

rk State Senate District (2005-06 E

stimate)

Analysis and cartography by the Center for Urban Research, City University of New York, 2007

Senate District Total Hispanics Native Born Foreign Born 1 31,249 18,390 12,860 2 18,276 11,896 6,380 3 61,997 36,229 25,767 4 50,008 29,653 20,355 5 24,548 13,353 11,195 6 42,361 20,047 22,313 7 36,789 16,608 20,181 8 39,705 18,975 20,730 9 39,647 21,133 18,514

SLIDE 15

1 3 5 4 2 8 7 9 6

Islip Brookhaven Southampton Hempstead Oyster Bay Huntington Southold Babylon Riverhead East Hampton Smithtown North Hempstead Shelter Island Glen Cove Long Beach

NYS Senate District

Hispanic Citizens 18 and Over

8,555 - 12,000 persons 12,001 - 16,000 16,001 - 22,000 22,001 - 28,000 > 28,000

Hispanics E ligible to Vote by New York State Senate District (2005-06 E stimate)

Analysis and cartography by the Center for Urban Research, City University of New York, 2007

Senate District Total Hispanics Eligible Voters 1 31,249 11,646 2 18,276 8,950 3 61,997 26,658 4 50,008 22,516 5 24,548 8,555 6 42,361 15,613 7 36,789 15,176 8 39,705 15,546 9 39,647 19,970

SLIDE 16

2 1 3 5 8 7 9 4 10 13 15 6 16 19 11 20 12 21 17 14 18

Islip Brookhaven Southampton Hempstead Oyster Bay Huntington Southold Babylon Riverhead East Hampton Smithtown North Hempstead Shelter Island Glen Cove Long Beach

NYS Assembly District

Foreign Born Hispanic Population

1,194 - 3,000 persons 3,001 - 6,000 6,001 - 9,000 9,001 - 12,000 12,001 - 30,071

Foreign Born Hispanics by New Y

rk State

Assembly District (2005-06 E stimate)

Analysis and cartography by the Center for Urban Research, City University of New York, 2007

Assembly District Total Hispanics Native Born Foreign Born 1 9,534 6,730 2,804 2 17,191 9,326 7,866 3 18,212 11,152 7,061 4 11,427 6,509 4,918 5 9,671 7,271 2,400 6 63,776 33,706 30,071 7 5,484 4,289 1,194 8 10,060 7,263 2,798 9 7,343 4,946 2,398 10 14,785 8,030 6,755 11 22,243 11,664 10,579 12 7,729 4,801 2,928 13 9,722 4,402 5,319 14 20,788 10,975 9,813 15 16,778 8,030 8,747 16 8,592 4,016 4,576 17 10,430 5,280 5,150 18 34,425 13,126 21,299 19 13,320 7,202 6,118 20 12,797 6,831 5,966 21 20,272 10,736 9,536

SLIDE 17

2 1 3 5 8 7 9 4 10 13 15 6 16 19 11 20 12 21 17 14 18

Islip Brookhaven Southampton Hempstead Oyster Bay Huntington Southold Babylon Riverhead East Hampton Smithtown North Hempstead Shelter Island Glen Cove Long Beach

NYS Assembly District

Hispanic Citizens 18 and Over

< 3,000 persons 3,001 - 6,000 6,001 - 9,000 9,001 - 12,000 25,711

Hispanics E ligible to Vote by New York State Assembly District (2005-06 E stimate)

Analysis and cartography by the Center for Urban Research, City University of New York, 2007

Assembly District Total Hispanics Eligible Voters 1 9,534 4,146 2 17,191 5,653 3 18,212 7,758 4 11,427 4,953 5 9,671 5,354 6 63,776 25,711 7 5,484 3,364 8 10,060 5,353 9 7,343 3,416 10 14,785 5,209 11 22,243 9,236 12 7,729 4,292 13 9,722 3,451 14 20,788 10,166 15 16,778 6,020 16 8,592 3,801 17 10,430 4,897 18 34,425 9,823 19 13,320 5,751 20 12,797 6,463 21 20,272 9,813

SLIDE 18

2 1 7 3 6 11 5 8 19 18 4 13 7 14 18 16 16 10 9 12 17 2 4 11 15 8 10 5 9 6 1 3 14 17 12 15 13 Islip Brookhaven Southampton Hempstead Oyster Bay Huntington Southold Babylon Riverhead East Hampton Smithtown North Hempstead Shelter Island Glen Cove Long Beach

CountyLegislativeDistricts

Foreign Born Hispanic Population

620 - 2,000 persons 2,001 - 4,000 4,001 - 6,000 6,001 - 10,000 10,001 - 21,065

Foreign Born Hispanics by County Legislative District (2005-06 E stimate)

Analysis and cartography by the Center for Urban Research, City University of New York, 2007

NOTE: District numbers are unique within a county only. Each county numbers districts beginning with District 1.

Nassau County Legislative District Total Hispanics Native Born Foreign Born Suffolk County Legislative District Total Hispanics Native Born Foreign Born 1 13,931 5,921 8,010 1 6,094 3,915 2,179 2 24,266 7,725 16,541 2 10,594 4,664 5,930 3 14,270 7,568 6,702 3 11,204 8,212 2,993 4 7,632 4,386 3,246 4 7,752 4,287 3,466 5 13,229 6,252 6,977 5 6,585 3,883 2,702 6 10,521 5,441 5,080 6 5,046 3,768 1,278 7 6,588 3,188 3,399 7 11,453 6,389 5,063 8 6,958 3,918 3,040 8 5,058 4,206 852 9 7,346 3,257 4,089 9 43,218 22,152 21,065 10 3,499 1,791 1,708 10 11,692 7,756 3,936 11 5,104 2,365 2,740 11 17,285 9,833 7,453 12 2,182 1,562 620 12 3,912 2,927 985 13 7,403 4,097 3,305 13 2,878 2,226 652 14 5,201 3,026 2,175 14 7,424 4,871 2,553 15 6,259 4,039 2,220 15 16,907 8,330 8,577 16 1,824 1,149 675 16 4,871 3,166 1,705 17 6,377 3,951 2,426 17 9,271 5,541 3,730 18 6,361 2,966 3,395 18 6,372 3,625 2,748 19 7,386 3,542 3,844

SLIDE 19

2 1 7 3 6 11 5 8 19 18 4 13 7 14 18 16 16 10 9 12 17 2 4 11 15 8 10 5 9 6 1 3 14 17 12 15 13 Islip Brookhaven Southampton Hempstead Oyster Bay Huntington Southold Babylon Riverhead East Hampton Smithtown North Hempstead Shelter Island Glen Cove Long Beach

CountyLegislativeDistricts

Hispanic Citizens 18 and Over

749 - 2,000 persons 2,001 - 4,000 4,001 - 6,000 6,001 - 10,000 17,160

Hispanics E ligible to Vote by County Legislative District (2005-06 E stimate)

Analysis and cartography by the Center for Urban Research, City University of New York, 2007

NOTE: District numbers are unique within a county only. Each county numbers districts beginning with District 1.

Nassau County Legislative District Total Hispanics Eligible Voters Suffolk County Legislative District Total Hispanics Eligible Voters 1 13,931 4,348 1 6,094 2,250 2 24,266 6,201 2 10,594 2,740 3 14,270 6,926 3 11,204 5,358 4 7,632 4,034 4 7,752 3,141 5 13,229 5,239 5 6,585 3,013 6 10,521 5,238 6 5,046 2,600 7 6,588 3,071 7 11,453 4,424 8 6,958 3,581 8 5,058 3,081 9 7,346 3,271 9 43,218 17,160 10 3,499 1,644 10 11,692 5,485 11 5,104 2,274 11 17,285 7,279 12 2,182 1,562 12 3,912 2,212 13 7,403 3,551 13 2,878 1,794 14 5,201 2,689 14 7,424 4,230 15 6,259 3,077 15 16,907 6,298 16 1,824 749 16 4,871 2,226 17 6,377 2,215 17 9,271 3,756 18 6,361 2,520 18 6,372 2,150 19 7,386 2,911

SLIDE 20

Dix Hills Melville Islip Commack Smithtown Bohemia Hauppauge Brentwood Holbrook Hicksville Levittown Sayville Holtsville Lloyd Harbor Fort Salonga Huntington Centereach Coram Selden Elwood Glen Cove Ronkonkoma West Islip Old Westbury Syosset Deer Park Central Islip Plainview Merrick Kings Park West Babylon Freeport Jericho Muttontown Bay Shore West Hills Woodbury Elmont Bayport Oceanside East Meadow East Islip

St. James

Garden City Wantagh Brookville East Northport Oakdale Great River Bethpage Farmingville Wyandanch Terryville Nesconset Sands Point Copiague Lattingtown Hempstead Lindenhurst Babylon Kings Point Huntington Station Islandia Valley Stream Woodmere Mineola Inwood Lynbrook Salisbury Long Beach Lido Beach

Foreign Born Hispanic Population

3 - 180 persons 181 - 420 421 - 750 751 - 1,320 1,321 - 4,253

Analysis and cartography by the Center for Urban Research, City University of New York, 2007

Foreign Born Hispanics by Census Tract in Nassau County and Western Suffolk County (2005-06 E stimate)

Major villages labelled by name

SLIDE 21

Dix Hills Melville Islip Commack Smithtown Bohemia Hauppauge Brentwood Holbrook Hicksville Levittown Sayville Holtsville Lloyd Harbor Fort Salonga Huntington Centereach Coram Selden Elwood Glen Cove Ronkonkoma West Islip Old Westbury Syosset Deer Park Central Islip Plainview Merrick Kings Park West Babylon Freeport Jericho Muttontown Bay Shore West Hills Woodbury Elmont Bayport Oceanside East Meadow East Islip

St. James

Garden City Wantagh Brookville East Northport Oakdale Great River Bethpage Farmingville Wyandanch Terryville Nesconset Sands Point Copiague Lattingtown Hempstead Lindenhurst Babylon Kings Point Huntington Station Islandia Valley Stream Woodmere Mineola Inwood Lynbrook Salisbury Long Beach Lido Beach

Hispanic Citizens 18 and Over

8 - 180 persons 181 - 420 421 - 750 751 - 1,320 1,321 - 1,858

Analysis and cartography by the Center for Urban Research, City University of New York, 2007

Hispanics E ligible to Vote by Census Tract in Nassau County and Western Suffolk County (2005-06 E stimate)

Major villages labelled by name

SLIDE 22

Calverton Manorville Ridge Montauk Coram Shirley Yaphank Riverhead Flanders Watermill North Sea Medford Southold Springs Mattituck Noyack Bohemia Rocky Point Northville East Quogue Sayville Ronkonkoma Tuckahoe Laurel

Foreign Born Hispanic Population

3 - 180 181 - 420 421 - 750 751 - 1,320 1,321 - 4,253

Analysis and cartography by the Center for Urban Research, City University of New York, 2007

Foreign Born Hispanics by Census Tract in E astern Suffolk County (2005-06 E stimate)

Major villages labelled by name

SLIDE 23

Calverton Manorville Ridge Montauk Coram Shirley Yaphank Riverhead Flanders Watermill North Sea Medford Southold Springs Mattituck Noyack Bohemia Rocky Point Northville East Quogue Sayville Ronkonkoma Tuckahoe Laurel

Hispanic Citizens 18 and Over

8 - 180 persons 181 - 420 421 - 750 751 - 1,320 1,321 - 1,858

Analysis and cartography by the Center for Urban Research, City University of New York, 2007

Hispanics E ligible to Vote by Census Tract in E astern Suffolk County (2005-06 E stimate)

Major villages labelled by name