The leading diversified fuel producer in Appalachia CONSOL begins - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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The leading diversified fuel producer in Appalachia CONSOL begins - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

October 2010 Investor Presentation The leading diversified fuel producer in Appalachia CONSOL begins pad drilling with its new Patterson Apex Walking Rig Cautionary Language This presentation contains state ments, estimates and projections


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October 2010 Investor Presentation

CONSOL begins pad drilling with its new Patterson Apex Walking Rig

The leading diversified fuel producer in Appalachia

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The unproved reserve data contained in this presentation is based on a summary review of the title to coalbed methane and

  • ther gas rights we hold, as well as a summary review of the title

to the coal from which many of our rights derive. As is customary in the gas industry, prior to the commencement of gas drilling operations on our properties, we conduct a thorough title examination and perform curative work with respect to significant defects. We are typically responsible for curing any title defects at our expense. This curative work may include the acquisition of additional property rights in order to perfect our

  • wnership for development and production of the gas estate.

This presentation contains state ments, estimates and projections which are forward-looking statements (as defined in Section 21E of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934). These statements, which are described in detail in

  • ur

annual report form 10-K filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission, involve risks and uncertainties that co uld cause actual results to differ materially from projected results. Accordingly, investors should not place undue reliance on forward-looking statements as a prediction of actual results. The forward-looking statements include estimates

  • f unproved

reserves, projections and estimates concerning the timing and rates of return

  • f future projects, and our future production, revenues, income and capital
  • spending. The forward-looking statements in this presentation speak only as
  • f the date of this presentation; we disclaim any obligation to update these

statements unless required by the securities laws, and we caution you not to rely on them unduly. This presentation does not constitute an offer to sell any securities of CONSOL Energy Inc. The United States Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) permits oil and gas companies, in their filings with the SEC, to disclose only proved reserves that a company has demonstrated by actual production

  • r conclusive

formation tests to be economically and legally producible under existing economic and

  • perating

conditions. We use certain terms in this presentation, such as “unproved reserves and/ or unproved resources” that the SEC's guidelines strictly prohibit us from including in filings with the SEC. We also caution you that the SEC views such “unproved reserves and/ or unproved resources” estimates as inherently unreliable and these estimates may be misleading to investors unless the investor is an expert in the gas industry. In this presentation, the term “unproved reserves and/ or unproved resources” refers to gas that we believe is economically recoverable, based

  • n available data.

Cautionary Language

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CONSOL Energy: Strength in Diversity

  • Coal
  • Low-vol coal
  • High-vol coal
  • Thermal coal
  • Gas

CONSOL believes that it can create meaningful shareholder value by responsibly managing this unique portfolio.

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Sewickley Coal Seam – 900 feet Pittsburgh Coal Seam – 1,000 feet Freeport Coal Seam – 1,650 feet Upper Devonian Sands – 1,750 - 5,500 feet M arcellus Shale – 7,000+ feet

CONSOL Energy’s Value Proposition

CONSOL has the largest concentration

  • f Appalachian energy assets.

Oriskany Tight Sands, Utica and Trenton Black River Shales – 8,000+ feet

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Sewickley Coal Seam - CBM – 900 feet Pittsburgh Coal Seam - CBM – 1,000 feet Freeport Coal Seam - CBM – 1,650 feet Surface Surface

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Common Characteristics of CONSOL ’s Businesses

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CONSOL ’s #1 performance metric is safety.

  • Emphasis on safety
  • World Class assets
  • Strategic location
  • Good pricing
  • Low costs
  • High margins

Bailey M ine Overland Belt

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CONSOL Energy: 2010 Strategy

  • Investing $5 Billion to grow the

gas division of CONSOL

  • Acquired Dominion Appalachian E&P

assets for $3.475 billion

  • Purchased remaining shares of CNX

Gas for $967 million

  • Expect to invest $500 million of capex

for development and production

CONSOL believes that its shareholders will reap substantial value from these transactions.

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CONSOL believes that its ability to largely self-fund its growth in gas production is a competitive advantage.

  • CONSOL is spending $600 million in capex to maintain our leading coal

position

  • CONSOL has spent $5.5 billion upgrading its mines in the past 7 years
  • With higher pricing, the re-tooled mines will now generate significant levels
  • f cash for re-investment
  • In the short term, this cash will help to fund significant growth in gas

production

  • In the longer term, we will balance capital needs of coal and gas based on

economic returns.

CONSOL Energy: 2010 Investing Strategy

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CONSOL Coal’s Expanding M argins

  • In Q2, booked 300,000 tons
  • f high-vol coal for Asia in

2H 2010 at $76 per ton

  • In Q2, booked 200,000 tons
  • f thermal coal for Europe

in 2H 2010 at $61 per ton

  • CONSOL has 28 million tons
  • f un-priced thermal coal

for 2011 and 42 million tons for 2012

CONSOL ’s expects to receive much higher prices for its un-priced thermal coal in 2011 and 2012.

Photo courtesy of Allegheny Energy

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CONSOL: Coal

Premium Prices - Low Costs = Industry Leading M argins

9 Quarter Ended June 30, 2010

Low-Vol High-Vol Thermal

Total Coal Sales (millions of tons) 1.0 0.7 14.2 Average Realized Price Per Ton – Company Produced $151.34 $75.52 $53.97 Total Cost Per Ton, before DD&A $59.71 $36.51 $41.44 DD&A Per Ton $4.53 $4.37 $4.87 Total Cost Per Ton – Company Produced $64.24 $40.88 $46.31 Average Margin Per Ton, before DD&A $91.63 $39.01 $12.53 Sales (millions of tons) times Average Margin Per Ton, before DD&A ($ MM)

$92 $27 $178

  • CNX will sell 2.6 mm tons of low-vol coal during 2H10 at $164.70 per ton
  • CNX expects to sell 1.2-1.5 mm tons of high-vol during 2H10 at approx. $73 per ton
  • CNX expects to sell 29.4 mm tons of thermal coal during 2H10 near 2Q avg. realized

price of $54 per ton

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CONSOL: Coal’s Potential Growth

CONSOL ’s Bailey Prep Plant could expand to serve the BM X M ine

  • 5 M M tons/ year of

low-cost NAPP coal

  • Potential M arkets:
  • Asian mills
  • European generators
  • Brazilian mills
  • Domestic generators

CONSOL can expand production of its premium product if world markets demand it.

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CONSOL ’s Proposed BM X M ine Could Open in 2013/ 14

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CONSOL: M anaging the Coal Portfolio

  • Amonate, Elk Creek, and

Itmann properties

  • 5 M M tons/ year of low-

vol, medium-vol, and high-vol

  • Potential EBITDA of

$350 M M , assuming $150 per ton sales price

CONSOL is assessing options, including joint-venturing,

  • utright sale, and possible sole development.

Potential to M onetize CAPP M et Reserves in Southern West Virginia

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1,570 1,400 742 730 720 652 585 584 500 492 350 343 280 250 250 250 229 170 147 120 108 88

200 400 600 800 1,000 1,200 1,400 1,600 1,800 CHK RRC Pro Forma CNX TLM NFG East STO ATLS EQT D Chief XCO XTO / XOM APC CNX UPL EOG COG SW N Antero CRZO CLR

CONSOL has a Leading Acreage Position and …

. . . Not All M arcellus Acres Are Equal

  • 98% of the acres are HBP (held by production)
  • Have an average NRI (net revenue interest) of 89%
  • Have essentially no drilling commitments

Source: As calculated by CONSOL Energy based on public filings.

CONSOL can drill for economics, not to hold leases.

Net Acres (000’s)

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750 CNX

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CONSOL has Three M arcellus Shale Operating Areas

CONSOL has 750,000 Net Acres in M arcellus Shale.

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Former Dominion M arcellus Acreage Legacy CONSOL Energy M arcellus Acreage

Central Pa. Ops

P A VA OH M D WV

SW Pa. Ops WV Ops

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CONSOL is long FT Through 2013

CONSOL has +400 M M cf per day of unused take-away capacity.

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Former Dominion M arcellus Acreage Legacy CONSOL Energy M arcellus Acreage

P A VA OH M D WV

TETCO TETCO DOM INION DOM INION DOM INION DOM INION COL UM BIA COL UM BIA

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50 100 150 200 250 300 350 400 2010 2015

CONSOL Energy: Gas Growth

CONSOL expects to produce 350 Bcf by 2015.

Marcellus Other

142 Annualized Bcf 350 Bcf

15

170 Bcf

2011 2012 2013 2014

# M arcellus Wells Drilled

22 63 131 165 170 170

Average M arcellus Rigs

2 5 8 10 10 10

Annual wells / rig 11 13 16 17 17 17

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Illustrative M arcellus Well Economics

After-Tax IRR At Various Henry Hub Prices M argin Analysis

CONSOL expects a 22% After-Tax IRR at $4.50 / M M BTU.

(1) Assumes 3,000 ft. laterals (2) Difference represents basis premium and gas quality characteristics (3) Includes production loss (shrink) of 3.5%

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($M M , except as noted)

Gross EUR (Bcfe)

(1)

4.3 NRI 87.5% Net EUR (Bcfe) 3.7 Drilling Cost

(1)

$1.9 Completion Cost

(1)

1.3 Total D&C $3.2 Gathering 0.4 Land & Title 0.1 Total $3.7

M argin Analysis

($ / M cfe, except as noted)

Henry Hub Cash Price ($ / M M BTU) $5.00 Realized Price ($ / M cfe)

(2)

5.67 Lease Operating Expense $1.26 Production Taxes 0.28 Gross M argin $4.13 Total D&C,G,L Cost ($ / M cfe)

(3)

$1.02 ATAX IRR 29.5% Henry Hub Price Required for 20% ATAX IRR $4.27

  • 2.0%

4.0% 6.0% 8.0% 10.0% 12.0% 14.0% 16.0% 18.0% 20.0% 22.0% 24.0% 26.0% 28.0% 30.0% $3.00 $3.50 $4.00 $4.50 $5.00

Internal Rate of Return %

Henry Hub Cash Price ($ / MMBTU) Well ATAX IRR Comparison - Type Curve Analysis

High Case Base Case

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Five Wells Drilled in 1H Appear to be Very Good

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CONSOL is achieving results much better than the type curve would suggest.

All in Greene County, Pa.:

  • EURs (p-50 case) range from 5.5 Bcf to 9.9 Bcf
  • Laterals average 2,200 feet
  • D&C Costs average $ 4.2 million
  • Projected after-tax IRRs range from 44% to 70%
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16.2 38.2 18.1 41.1 1.9 2.9 38.2 16.2

Proved Reserves (Tcfe) Total Unproved Reserves and Potential Resource Base (Tcfe)

1.9 2.9

Note: Total Unproved Reserves and Potential Resource Base calculated using mid-point of CONSOL Energy estimates.

CONSOL ’s Gas Reserve Potential Has Doubled

Pre-Acquisition Post-Acquisition Pre-Acquisition Post-Acquisition Pre-Acquisition Post-Acquisition

Proved Reserves Total Unproved Reserves and Potential Resource Base Total Resource Potential

CONSOL has extraordinary current and long-term opportunities.

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CONSOL Energy: Summary

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CONSOL Energy – America’s Energy Starts Here.

  • CONSOL has the asset and customer base that makes it the leading

diversified fuel producer in the Northeast.

  • CONSOL Coal Ops’ industry leading assets, margins and cash flows

will allow the Gas business to reach a critical mass and become self funding.

  • CONSOL Gas Ops’ advantaged acreage position and lease terms will

allow positive IRRs even in a $4 natural gas market.

  • CONSOL will manage this outstanding asset portfolio to optimize

returns to our shareholders.

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October 2010 Investor Presentation

CONSOL begins pad drilling with its new Patterson Apex Walking Rig

The leading diversified fuel producer in Appalachia