- THE HOLDING STRATEGY INTRODUCTION Who we are : Students - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

the holding strategy introduction who we are students
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- THE HOLDING STRATEGY INTRODUCTION Who we are : Students - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

HACKATHON CHALLENGE - THE HOLDING STRATEGY INTRODUCTION Who we are : Students from HEC-Lige (BE). Master in Banking and Asset Management. Multi-cultural team. Winners of the Risk & Regulatory Hackathon ; organized by


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HACKATHON CHALLENGE

  • « THE HOLDING

STRATEGY »

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INTRODUCTION

Who we are :  Students from HEC-Liège (BE). Master in Banking and Asset Management. Multi-cultural team.  Winners of the Risk & Regulatory Hackathon ; organized by Reply and PRMIA International competition against Universities from :  Amsterdam (NL)  Frankfurt (GE)  Liège (BE)  London (UK)  Roma (IT) Goal :  Offering solutions to face bankrupt in several banks, each of them having different issues

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BANCA SAC - ITALY

  • L&R decreasing on the Balance Sheet
  • L&R increasing on the RWAs

Change in the credit quality

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BANCA SAC - ITALY

After Crash → NPLs increased to 15% of loans

  • utstandings, from 5% before crash:
  • RWAs for credit risk → increases
  • CET1 ratio → decreases due to the

impairment loss SOLUTION: Securitization Change in the credit quality

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BANCA SAC - ITALY

SOLUTION: Securitization

  • Divest the burden of € M 525 in order to reach the CET1 ratio regulatory minimum;
  • Securitize € M 600 of loans by building 3 tranches:

€ M 300 transferred in Lux Bank Weight: 1250% Weight: 50% € M 75 kept by the originator → € M 210 sold to the market at book value → € M 180 transferred in Lux Bank

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BANCA SAC - ITALY

After Securitization

Assumption:

  • Costs and fees of securitization did not have a strong impact on the income statement and to

shareholders’ perspective.

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SG BANK GERMANY

 Issue :

Due to fraud, the SG BANK GERMANY investment portfolio has been revalued down by € 150 million

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UK BANK: LIQUIDITY PROBLEM

Issue: 308,88 M€ withdrawn from investment funds ⇒ LCR not compliant anymore Solution: LT loan of 308,88M € from the German bank ⇒ LCR compliant (Leverage ratio still > 3%)

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SPS BANK UK : COMMERCIAL PROPERTY

Issue:

  • housing prices have fallen

by 5%

  • 10% of highly levered

clients lent to are effectively insolvent

  • another 20% of clients

have breached their Loan- to-Value covenants

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SPS BANK UK : COMMERCIAL PROPERTY

Step 1: Bank seizes the houses and sells them at a discount Step 2: Bank makes provisions to be prepared for a future default

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SPS BANK UK : COMMERCIAL PROPERTY

Step 3 (Solution): Transfer of the required capital from the Bank Luxembourg to the Bank UK: UK Bank issues new shares that are bought by the Bank Luxembourg

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SPS BANK UK : COMMERCIAL PROPERTY

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THE BREXIT TRADE

Issue: Short Position by selling £50 million of premium of OTC European puts.

Strike Price

Settlement date 28th of October 2016

06/02/16

GBP/EUR

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THE BREXIT TRADE

Our analysis:

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THE BREXIT TRADE: MONTECARLO

Distribution of liabilitiy HFT intraday

Probabity Frequency

Certainty =

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THE BREXIT TRADE: SOLUTION

For the unrealized loss: “Holding Strategy”, in order to be compliant with the Regulatory Framework For the Future Delta Hedging the position by selling futures on GBP

Not taking into consideration Gamma (Put deep

  • ut-of the-money)
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Conclusion

LIQUIDITY MARKET CREDIT QUALITY LACK OF CAPITAL

… And thanks to...