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THE GROWING RENEWABLE ENERGY IN LEBANON & the potential for - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

Aug 02, 2023 338 likes •737 views

THE GROWING RENEWABLE ENERGY IN LEBANON & the potential for energy storage By Joseph Al Assad, PhD. Advisor to the Minister of Energy & Water - Associate Professor at Holy Spirit University of Kaslik (USEK) & Rani Al Achkar, LCEC

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THE GROWING RENEWABLE ENERGY IN LEBANON

& the potential for energy storage

By Joseph Al Assad, PhD. Advisor to the Minister of Energy & Water - Associate Professor at Holy Spirit University

  • f Kaslik (USEK)

& Rani Al Achkar, LCEC Director of Engineering & Planning

ATA INSIGHTS WEBINAR May 30, 2019

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SLIDE 2
  • 1. A decade of Political Commitment!
  • 2. The wheels are turning!
  • 3. Updating The Conventional Generation Fleet
  • 4. The Need For Storage?
  • 5. The Potential For Storage?

2

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  • 1. A decade of political commitment!

3

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SLIDE 4

Solar Water Heaters

+++

4

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SLIDE 5

5

2018 30% Commitment

PM Saad Hariri

2019 IRENA Renewable Energy Outlook

REmap + Renewable Readiness Assessment

+++

MEW Updated Policy Paper for the Electricity Sector

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SLIDE 6
  • 2. The wheels are turning!

6

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SLIDE 7

7

Vectors from https://www.freepik.com/macrovector

3 Power Purchase Agreements (PPAs) signed Installed Capacity 226 MW in Total Expected Commercial Operation Date (COD): Feb 2021 28 proposals shortlisted & under evaluation, 12 PPAs to be signed end of 2019 Installed Capacity 180 MWp in total (10-15 MWp each) Expected Commercial Operation Date (COD): Q1 2021

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Vectors from https://www.freepik.com/macrovector

Call for Expressions of Interest (EOIs): 42 EOIs received Request for Proposals (RFP) is under finalization 4 proposals to be selected Installed Capacity 200 – 400 MW Round 2 to be launched end of 2019 24 proposals to be selected Installed Capacity 360 MWp in total (10-15 MW each)

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9

Vectors from https://www.freepik.com/macrovector

Call for Expressions of Interest (EOIs): 75 EOIs received Request for Proposals (RFP) is under preparation 6 proposals to be selected Total Installed Capacity 300 MWp – 210MW/210MWh Call for Expressions of Interest (EOIs): 25 EOIs received +

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  • 3. Updating The Conventional

Generation Fleet

10

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2,449 3,990 4,359 4,344 4,784 5,363 4,763 4,953 5,145 5,145 5,505 5,695 3,669 3,476 3,581 3,688 3,799 3,913 4,030 4,151 4,275 4,404 4,536 4,672

  • 1,000

2,000 3,000 4,000 5,000 6,000 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 Total Installed Capacity (MW) Peak Demand (MW)

11

Source: Updated Policy Paper for the Electricity Sector – Ministry

  • f Energy and Water – March 2019
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12

2,449 3,990 4,359 4,344 4,784 5,363 4,763 4,953 5,145 5,145 5,505 5,695 3,669 3,476 3,581 3,688 3,799 3,913 4,030 4,151 4,275 4,404 4,536 4,672

  • 1,000

2,000 3,000 4,000 5,000 6,000 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 Total Installed Capacity (MW) Peak Demand (MW)

Source: Updated Policy Paper for the Electricity Sector – Ministry

  • f Energy and Water – March 2019
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13

CCGT 35% Steam Turbines 28% Power Barges 16% Internal Combustion Engines 9% OCGT 5% Hydro 4% Imports 3% Landfil Gas 0%

EFFECTIVE CAPACITY 2018

As per Updated Policy Paper for the Electricity Sector – Ministry of Energy and Water – March 2019

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14

Unit Name Unit type Effective Capacity 2018 (MW) Cost of Production (USD/MWh) Zouk 1 Steam Turbines 440 $14.75 Jieh 1 Steam Turbines 180 $19.39 Zouk 2 Internal Combustion Engines 157 $10.83 Jieh 2 Internal Combustion Engines 63 $11.19 Zahrani CCGT 420 $13.62 Deir Ammar CCGT 430 $14.96 Baalbeck OCGT 57 $20.26 Tyr OCGT 56 $21.44 Richmaya-Safa Hydro 3 $3.66 Naameh Landfil Gas 7 $1.00 Power Barge Zouk Power Barges 195 $13.95 Power Barge Jieh Power Barges 195 $14.03 Litani Hydro 47 $3.97 Nahr Ibrahim Hydro 17 $2.65 Bared Hydro 6 $2.65 Kadisha Hydro 15 $2.65 Hrayche Steam Turbines 46 $20.13 Import from Syria Imports 69 $15.35

Source: Updated Policy Paper for the Electricity Sector – Ministry

  • f Energy and Water – March 2019
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15

Hrayché Exit 70 MW

2020

1450 MW TG Start Selaata 1 Start Zahrani 2 180 MW Solar PV

2021

220 MW Wind Jiyeh Exit (343 MW) LNG through FSRUs Deir Ammar 2 (360 MW OCGT) Deir Ammar 2 (550 MW CCGT) Selaata 1 (360 MW OCGT) Zouk Exit 607 MW 370 MW TG Exit 300 MW Solar PV + 210 MWh Storage Zahrani 2 (360 MW OCGT)

2022 2023 2024 2025

  • TG: Temporary Generation
  • CCGT: Combined Cycle Gas Turbine
  • OCGT: Open Cycle Gas Turbine

Zahrani 2 (550 MW CCGT) Selaata 1 (550 MW CCGT) Syria Exit 150 MW Exit 1450 MW New Jyeh (360 MW OCGT) New Zouk (360 MW OCGT) New Zouk (550 MW CCGT) Wind Power 400 MW Hrayché (300 MW Thermal)

Source: Updated Policy Paper for the Electricity Sector – Ministry

  • f Energy and Water – March 2019
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  • 4. The Need For Storage?

16

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17

Wind energy grid interconnection code for Lebanon, UNDP-CEDRO, Beirut, 2017.

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4782 1000 2000 3000 4000 5000 6000 Conventional 1,000 2,000 3,000 4,000 5,000 6,000 Biogas Hydro Wind Solar PV CSP 18

As per the IRENA Renewable Energy Outlook - Draft REmap Chapter – presented in the IRENA Validation Workshop, Beirut on 8 May 2019

30%

RE share in the Electricity Demand by 2030

1500 2700 1000 2000 3000 4000 5000 6000 Wind PV

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  • 5. The Potential For Storage?

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20

2,449 3,990 4,359 4,344 4,784 5,363 4,763 4,953 5,145 5,145 5,505 5,695 3,669 3,476 3,581 3,688 3,799 3,913 4,030 4,151 4,275 4,404 4,536 4,672

  • 1,000

2,000 3,000 4,000 5,000 6,000 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 Total Installed Capacity (MW) Peak Demand (MW)

Source: Updated Policy Paper for the Electricity Sector – Ministry

  • f Energy and Water – March 2019
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500 1000 1500 2000 2500 3000 3500 4000 4500

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24

January February March April May June July August September October November December

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500 1000 1500 2000 2500 3000 3500 4000 4500

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24

August November

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1554 1550 1574 1423 1469 1256 1053 1066 1160 1528 1596 1708

200 400 600 800 1000 1200 1400 1600 1800 January February March April May June July August September October November December

Average=1,411 MW

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500 1000 1500 2000 2500 3000 3500 4000 4500 5000

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24

Conventional January February March April May June July August September October November December

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500 1000 1500 2000 2500 3000 3500 4000 4500 5000

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24

Conventional August

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500 1000 1500 2000 2500 3000 3500 4000 4500 5000

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24

Adjusted Generation August

+4,499MWh

  • 3,902MWh
  • 550 MW
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1,900 2,400 2,900 3,400 3,900

NOVEMBER 2030

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0.00 1,000.00 2,000.00 3,000.00 4,000.00 5,000.00 6,000.00 7,000.00 8,000.00 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 HR2 ZH1 DA1 DA2 ZH2 Sa1 ZK-ICE J-ICE PV 2700 MW Wind 1500 MW ZK2 Sa1 SA-2 Demand

MAY 2030

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0.00 1,000.00 2,000.00 3,000.00 4,000.00 5,000.00 6,000.00 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 HR2 DA1 DA2 ZH2 Sa1 ZK-ICE J-ICE Hydro VRE Demand

MAY 2030

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0.00 1,000.00 2,000.00 3,000.00 4,000.00 5,000.00 6,000.00 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 Hydro Conventional VRE Demand

MAY 2030

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0.00 1,000.00 2,000.00 3,000.00 4,000.00 5,000.00 6,000.00 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 Hydro Conventional Adjusted VRE Storage Demand

MAY 2030

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August 2030

0.00 1,000.00 2,000.00 3,000.00 4,000.00 5,000.00 6,000.00 7,000.00 8,000.00 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 Hydro 2030 HR2 ZH1 DA1 DA2 ZH2 Sa1 ZK-ICE J-ICE PV 2700MW Wind 1500MW ZK2 Sa1 SA-2 Demand

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0.00 1,000.00 2,000.00 3,000.00 4,000.00 5,000.00 6,000.00 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 Hydro Conventional VRE Demand

August 2030

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0.00 1,000.00 2,000.00 3,000.00 4,000.00 5,000.00 6,000.00 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 Hydro Conventional Adjusted VRE Storage Demand

August 2030

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100 200 300 400 500 600 700 800

0:01:46 0:21:46 0:41:46 1:01:46 1:21:46 1:41:46 2:01:46 2:21:46 2:41:46 3:01:46 3:21:46 3:41:46 4:01:46 4:21:46 4:41:46 5:01:46 5:21:46 5:41:46 6:01:46 6:21:46 6:41:46 7:01:46 7:21:46 7:41:46 8:01:46 8:21:46 8:41:46 9:01:46 9:21:46 9:41:46 10:01:46 10:21:46 10:41:46 11:01:46 11:21:46 11:41:46 12:01:46 12:21:46 12:41:46 13:01:46 13:21:46 13:41:46 14:01:46 14:21:46 14:41:46 15:01:46 15:21:46 15:41:46 16:01:46 16:21:46 16:41:46 17:01:46 17:21:46 17:41:46 18:01:46 18:21:46 18:41:46 19:01:46 19:21:46 19:41:46 20:01:46 20:21:46 20:41:46 21:01:46 21:21:46 21:41:46 22:01:46 22:21:46 22:41:46 23:01:46 23:21:46 23:41:46

24/02/2019

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100 200 300 400 500 600 700 800 0:01:46 0:19:46 0:37:46 0:55:46 1:13:46 1:31:46 1:49:46 2:07:46 2:25:46 2:43:46 3:01:46 3:19:46 3:37:46 3:55:46 4:13:46 4:31:46 4:49:46 5:07:46 5:25:46 5:43:46 6:01:46 6:19:46 6:37:46 6:55:46 7:13:46 7:31:46 7:49:46 8:07:46 8:25:46 8:43:46 9:01:46 9:19:46 9:37:46 9:55:46 10:13:46 10:31:46 10:49:46 11:07:46 11:25:46 11:43:46 12:01:46 12:19:46 12:37:46 12:55:46 13:13:46 13:31:46 13:49:46 14:07:46 14:25:46 14:43:46 15:01:46 15:19:46 15:37:46 15:55:46 16:13:46 16:31:46 16:49:46 17:07:46 17:25:46 17:43:46 18:01:46 18:19:46 18:37:46 18:55:46 19:13:46 19:31:46 19:49:46 20:07:46 20:25:46 20:43:46 21:01:46 21:19:46 21:37:46 21:55:46 22:13:46 22:31:46 22:49:46 23:07:46 23:25:46 23:43:46

23/02/2019

576 MW 153 MW

  • 423 MW in 8 mins
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In Conclusion:

There is a big potential for energy storage in Lebanon:

  • For frequency regulation
  • For load shifting
  • For PP output regulation

It has a very positive impact stabilizing VRE But also it can help the needed investment for new PP

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SLIDE 38

Stay tuned!

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Thank You!

Joseph Al Assad, PhD. Advisor to the Minister of Energy & Water - Associate Professor at Holy Spirit University of Kaslik (USEK) Joseph.al.assad@gmail.com & Rani Al Achkar, LCEC Director of Engineering & Planning Rani.alachkar@lcec.org.lb

https://www.linkedin.com/in/joseph-al-assad-36351a49 https://lb.linkedin.com/in/alachkarani @AssadJoseph alachkarani @LCECTweets @USEKOfficial