THE GEORGE WASHINGTON BATTLEGROUND POLL A national survey of 1,000 - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

January 12-16, 2014/ N=1,000 Registered “likely” voters / ±3.1% M.O.E. THE GEORGE WASHINGTON BATTLEGROUND POLL A national survey of 1,000 Registered “Likely” Voters

January 12-16, 2014/ N=1,000 Registered “likely” voters / ±3.1% M.O.E. Do you feel things in the country are going in the right direction, or do you feel things have gotten off on the wrong track? 67% 24% 10% Right direction Unsure Wrong track Q1

October 27-31, 2013/ N=1,000 Registered “likely” voters / ±3.1% M.O.E. Do you feel things in the country are going in the right direction, or do you feel things have gotten off on the wrong track? 73% 75% 72% 67% 64% 63% 62% 62% 61% 67% 60% 59% 59% 59% 59% 57% 57% 57% 56% 56% 55% 55% 54% 54% 54% 52% 51% 39% 38% 41% 40% 40% 39% 38% 37% 38% 37% 36% 35% 34% 33% 34% 32% 32% 31% 32% 31% 24% 29% 28% 28% Mar- Jun- Aug- Oct- Mar- Oct- Feb- Sep- Jul- Dec- Apr- Aug- Sep- Oct- May- Sep- Nov- Feb- May- Aug- Sep- 9/27 10/1 11/5 12/6 10/3 1/16 04 04 04 04 05 05 06 06 09 09 10 10 10 10 11 11 11 12 12 12 12 /12 8/12 /12 /12 1/13 /14 Right Direction 38% 40% 40% 41% 39% 28% 32% 31% 38% 34% 36% 28% 31% 29% 32% 19% 18% 35% 33% 32% 37% 38% 37% 39% 34% 19% 24% 57% 55% 54% 52% 54% 67% 60% 62% 51% 56% 55% 62% 63% 64% 59% 72% 75% 59% 59% 61% 57% 56% 57% 54% 59% 73% 67% Wrong Track Unsure 7% 7% 9% 7% 11% 9% 9% 10% 7% 9% 9% 8% 6% 8% 7% 6% 6% 7% 6% 7% 8% 10% Q1

January 12-16, 2014/ N=1,000 Registered “likely” voters / ±3.1% M.O.E. In thinking about the past few months and leaders in Washington solving problems, do you think that things have gotten better, gotten worse, stayed the same over the past few months? 54% 32% 12% 2% Gotten better Gotten worse Stayed the same Unsure/Refused Q2

January 12-16, 2014/ N=1,000 Registered “likely” voters / ±3.1% M.O.E. If the election for Congress were being held today, and you had to make a choice, would you be voting for the Republican candidate or the Democratic candidate, in your Congressional district? 43% 41% 16% Republican Undecided Democratic Q3

October 27-31, 2013/ N=1,000 Registered “likely” voters / ±3.1% M.O.E. If the election for Congress were being held today, and you had to make a choice, would you be voting for, the Republican candidate or the Democratic candidate, in your Congressional district? 47% 47% 46% 46% 46% 45% 45% 44% 44% 44% 43% 47% 46% 44% 46% 45% 45% 43% 42% 41% 41% 42% 16% 13% 13% 15% 13% 10% 11% 9% 8% 8% 7% 11/9/11 2/22/12 5/3/12 8/8/12 9/20/12 9/27/12 10/18/12 11/5/12 12/6/12 10/31/13 1/16/14 Republican 43% 45% 46% 45% 45% 44% 46% 47% 42% 41% 43% 13% 8% 11% 13% 9% 10% 8% 7% 13% 15% 16% Undecided 44% 47% 44% 42% 47% 46% 46% 46% 45% 44% 41% Democratic Q3

January 12-16, 2014/ N=1,000 Registered “likely” voters / ±3.1% M.O.E. Do you think your Member of Congress has performed their job well enough to deserve re-election, or do you think it's time to give a new person a chance? 54% 29% 17% Deserves re-election Undecided New person a chance Q4

January 12-16, 2014/ N=1,000 Registered “likely” voters / ±3.1% M.O.E. Does Your Member of Congress Deserve Re-election Deserves Re- Unsure / Depends New Person a election on Opponent Chance Total 29% 17% 54% GOP Control 26% 19% 55% DEM Control 34% 13% 56%

January 12-16, 2014/ N=1,000 Registered “likely” voters / ±3.1% M.O.E. How would you rate the job Barack Obama has been doing as President? Do you approve or disapprove of the job he is doing? 54% 41% 5% Approve Unsure Disapprove Q5

October 27-31, 2013/ N=1,000 Registered “likely” voters / ±3.1% M.O.E. How would you rate the job Barack Obama has been doing as President? Do you approve or disapprove of the job he is doing? 54% 51% 53% 52% 52% 50% 50% 52% 50% 49% 49% 48% 49% 49% 49% 48% 49% 48% 48% 48% 47% 45% 45% 45% 46% 44% 45% 41% 5% 4% 4% 5% 5% 3% 2% 3% 2% 5% 3% 2% 3% 2% 10/20/10 5/12/11 9/1/11 11/9/11 2/22/12 5/3/12 8/8/12 9/20/12 9/27/12 10/18/12 11/5/12 12/6/12 10/31/13 1/16/14 Approve 46% 52% 45% 44% 53% 48% 48% 50% 49% 49% 49% 50% 45% 41% 4% 4% 5% 5% 3% 5% 2% 3% 2% 2% 2% 3% 3% 5% Unsure 51% 45% 50% 52% 45% 48% 49% 48% 49% 48% 49% 47% 52% 54% Disapprove Q5

January 12-16, 2014/ N=1,000 Registered “likely” voters / ±3.1% M.O.E. Whether you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling his job as President, what is your impression of Barack Obama as a person? Do you approve or disapprove of him? 61% 29% 10% Approve Unsure Disapprove Q6

January 12-16, 2014/ N=1,000 Registered “likely” voters / ±3.1% M.O.E. I am going to read you several issues. For each one, please tell me if you approve or disapprove of the job that President Obama is doing on this issue. Here is the first one: The economy 40% 3% 57% Solving problems 43% 3% 55% Working with Congress 40% 3% 56% The federal budget and spending 33% 4% 63% Jobs 43% 3% 54% Taxes 41% 6% 53% Approve Unsure Disapprove Q7-12

January 12-16, 2014/ N=1,000 Registered “likely” voters / ±3.1% M.O.E. How would you rate the job Congress is doing? Do you approve or disapprove of the job they are doing? 87% 81% 4% 4% 14% 9% Approve Unsure Disapprove 10/31/2013 1/16/2014 Q13

January 12-16, 2014/ N=1,000 Registered “likely” voters / ±3.1% M.O.E. How would you rate the job your Member of Congress is doing? Do you approve or disapprove of the job they are doing? 50% 47% 44% 39% 11% 9% Approve Unsure Disapprove 10/31/2013 1/16/2014 Q14

January 12-16, 2014/ N=1,000 Registered “likely” voters / ±3.1% M.O.E. Your Member Job Approval Approve Disapprove Strongly Total 47% 44% 28% GOP Control 42% 47% DEM Control 50% 42%

January 12-16, 2014/ N=1,000 Registered “likely” voters / ±3.1% M.O.E. As you may already know, in December Congress passed and the President signed a law to fund the federal government for two years. Have you seen, read or heard anything about this federal budget deal? 51% 47% 2% Yes Unsure No Q21

January 12-16, 2014/ N=1,000 Registered “likely” voters / ±3.1% M.O.E. Thinking about what you have seen, read or heard about this budget deal, has it made you more likely or less likely to vote for your Member of Congress? (If “Yes” in Q21, Asked of N=479, or 47.4% of Sample) 42% 36% 12% 10% More likely Unsure No difference Less likely Q22

January 12-16, 2014/ N=1,000 Registered “likely” voters / ±3.1% M.O.E. And, based on what you know, do you think this deal was more of a step in the right direction or giving up on key principles? (If “Yes” in Q21, Asked of N=479, or 47.4% of Sample) 49% 42% 1% 7% Step in the right Giving up on key Other Unsure/Refused direction principles Q23

January 12-16, 2014/ N=1,000 Registered “likely” voters / ±3.1% M.O.E. In general, do you favor or oppose the Affordable Care Act, which is also called Obamacare? 56% 53% 43% 41% 4% 3% Favor Unsure Oppose 1/31/2013 1/16/20142 Q24

January 12-16, 2014/ N=1,000 Registered “likely” voters / ±3.1% M.O.E. Do you think that the Affordable Care Act, also called Obamacare, went too far, did not go far enough, or was about right? 49% Too far 49% 23% Not far enough 23% 21% Was about right 20% Combo/Other 1% None 2% Unsure/Refused 6% 1/16/2014 1/16/20142 Q25

January 12-16, 2014/ N=1,000 Registered “likely” voters / ±3.1% M.O.E. Do you think that the national economy has gotten better, worse, or stayed the same over the past four years? 42% 35% 23% 1% Gotten better Gotten worse Stayed the same Unsure/Refused Q26

January 12-16, 2014/ N=1,000 Registered “likely” voters / ±3.1% M.O.E. Do you think that your personal economic situation has gotten better, worse, or stayed the same over the past four years? Gotten better 22% Gotten worse 36% Stayed the same 40% Combo/Other 1% Unsure/Refused 1% Q27

January 12-16, 2014/ N=1,000 Registered “likely” voters / ±3.1% M.O.E. How big of a problem would you say that income inequality is? Would you say it is a big problem, somewhat of a problem, not much of a problem, or not a problem at all? Big problem 49% Somewhat of a problem 30% Not much of a problem 8% Not a problem at all 9% Unsure/Refused 4% Q28

January 12-16, 2014/ N=1,000 Registered “likely” voters / ±3.1% M.O.E. What do you think would be the best way to make sure that everyone can move up economically? Would you say it is reducing the gap between the wealthiest Americans and the rest of the country or cutting taxes and removing unnecessary regulations? Closing the gap 43% Cutting taxes/removing regulations 45% Combo/Other 4% 3% None Unsure/Refused 5% Q29

January 12-16, 2014/ N=1,000 Registered “likely” voters / ±3.1% M.O.E. What is the likelihood that you will actually watch the speech live from the floor of the House of Representatives? Are you extremely likely, very likely, somewhat likely, or not very likely at all to watch President Obama’s speech? Extremely Likely 23% Very Likely 24% Somewhat Likely 18% Not at all Likely 33% Unsure/Refuse 1% Q30