The$Davis$Philosophy Projections:$Residence$vs.$Actual$Enrollment - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

The$Davis$Philosophy Projections:$Residence$vs.$Actual$Enrollment • Facilities$should$be$located$where$the$students$live • Reasoning: • Reduced$District$transportation$cost • Increased$$ability$to$conduct$long$term$facility$planning • Increased$access$for$walking$students • Increased$ability$to$identify$future$population$trends • Attendance$boundary$adjustments$are$based$upon$student$location • Programs$locations$can$be$better$aligned$to$student$population$$$ • Actual$school$enrollments$do$not$necessary$reflect$area$demographics • There$is$a$disconnect$of$true$demographic$trends$and$where$students$attend$school • Impossible$to$predict$future$students$school$of$choice • School$enrollment$is$influenced$by$many$nonDspatial$variables • Curriculum$or$special$programs • IntraDdistrict$transfers/open$enrollment • District$policy • Capacity$relative$to$other$schools$(overflow) • Etc.… 2

Student$Capture$Rate$Analysis Comparing$Estimated$City$School$Age$Population$to$Resident$D.U.S.D.$Students Only$the$portion$of$South$Monrovia$Island$within$the$D.U.S.D.$boundaries$is$included$in$the$study 14

Student$Capture$Rate$Analysis Comparing$Estimated$City$School$Age$Population$to$Resident$D.U.S.D.$Students 1D Estimated$school$age$population$is$from$ESRI$Business$Analyst$Online The$estimated$school$age$population$is$based$on$residence$regardless$of$where$they$attend$school 2$– Enrolled$in$D.U.S.D.$excludes$students$residing$outside$of$the$district$boundaries Only$the$portion$of$South$Monrovia$Island$within$the$D.U.S.D.$boundaries$is$included$in$the$study 13

Forecast$Factors$D Mobility Measures the migration of students in and out of the district. Including move ins, move outs, new students from infill housing, drop outs, private school movement, etc.… Areas$with$a$mobility$$above$ 1.000$are$experiencing$a$ positive$$migration$pattern 6

10 DistrictDwide$Projection$Chart

Student$Capture$Rate$Analysis Comparing$Total$D.U.S.D.$Enrollment$and$Capture$Rate$to$Area$Districts DUARTE 71.8% The$estimated$enrollment$is$based$on$enrolled$students$regardless$of$where$they$reside 16

TK-6 Students by School of Enrollment Non-Contiguous Areas Maxwell ES Andres Duarte ES School of Attendance Andres Duarte ES - 14 Beardless ES - 12 Maxwell ES - 16 Royal Oakls ES -5 Valley View ES - 27 Includes SDC Students Andres Valley Duarte ES View ES Andres Duarte ES Royal Oaks ES Beardslee ES Valley View ES Maxwell ES E.S. Attendance Areas ± 0 0.04 0.08 Miles

TK-6 Students by Beardslee ES School of Enrollment Non-Contiguous Areas Maxwell ES Valley View ES South School of Attendance Andres Duarte ES - 4 Beardless ES - 5 Maxwell ES - 17 Royal Oakls ES -3 Valley View ES - 43 Includes SDC Students Andres Valley Duarte ES View ES Andres Duarte ES Royal Oaks ES Beardslee ES Valley View ES Maxwell ES E.S. Attendance Areas ± 0 0.03 0.06 Miles

TK-6 Students by School of Enrollment Non-Contiguous Areas Valley View ES North School of Attendance Andres Duarte ES - 3 Beardless ES - 2 Maxwell ES - 1 Royal Oakls ES - 12 Valley View ES - 10 Includes SDC Students Royal Valley Oaks ES View ES Andres Duarte ES Royal Oaks ES Beardslee ES Valley View ES Maxwell ES E.S. Attendance Areas ± 0 0.025 0.05 Miles Andres Duarte ES

VALLEY ¡VIEW ¡PROFILE O.D. AD BD MX RO VV Total BUS TK 2 3 2 3 4 5 19 4 K 6 3 1 11 6 24 51 6 1 7 4 2 15 7 26 61 10 2 3 4 2 16 10 28 63 16 3 3 6 3 11 5 18 46 8 4 2 6 1 9 7 25 50 4 5 6 4 0 11 8 29 58 5 6 2 4 1 14 3 22 46 9 Total 31 34 12 90 50 177 394 62

Valley View ES ¹ º Royal Oaks ES ¹ º Andres Duarte ES ¹ º Maxwell ES Beardslee ES º ¹ º ¹ Andres Duarte ES Royal Oaks ES Beardslee ES Valley View ES Maxwell ES ± 0 0.25 0.5 Miles

Valley View ES ¹ º Royal Oaks ES ¹ º Andres Duarte ES º ¹ Maxwell ES Beardslee ES º ¹ º ¹ ANDRES DUARTE ES ROYAL OAKS ES BEARDSLEE ES VALLEY VIEW ES MAXWELL ES Current Boundaries ± 0 0.25 0.5 Miles

SCHOOL& 2015+16&TK+8& 2018+19&TK+8& 2019+20&TK+8& & CURRENT& PROPOSED& CURRENT& PROPOSED& CURRENT& PROPOSED& AD& 482& 452& 472& 443& 471& 441& BD& 461& 461& 452& 452& 450& 450& MX& 482& 570& 472& 558& 471& 556& RO& 662& 651& 648& 638& 646& 636& VV& 391& 344& 383& 337& 382& 336& TOTAL& 2,478& 2,478& 2,427& 2,427& 2,419& 2,419& !

BUSSING ¡IMPLICATIONS • Our ¡current ¡bus ¡costs ¡= ¡$63,000/yr ($350/day) • SPED ¡Routes ¡costs ¡= ¡$350,000/year.

NEXT ¡STEPS • Determine ¡when ¡boundary ¡changes, ¡if ¡any, ¡will ¡go ¡ into ¡effect. • Determine ¡procedures ¡for ¡intra-­‑district ¡transfers. • Determine ¡if, ¡and ¡for ¡how ¡long, ¡bussing ¡students ¡ to ¡and ¡from ¡school ¡will ¡continue. • Send ¡a ¡letter ¡to ¡all ¡families ¡informing ¡them ¡of ¡the ¡ plan ¡and ¡its ¡implications ¡and ¡the ¡Board ¡meeting ¡ that ¡the ¡decision ¡will ¡be ¡determined.