The$Davis$Philosophy Projections:$Residence$vs.$Actual$Enrollment - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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The$Davis$Philosophy

Projections:$Residence$vs.$Actual$Enrollment

• Facilities$should$be$located$where$the$students$live
• Reasoning:
• Reduced$District$transportation$cost
• Increased$$ability$to$conduct$long$term$facility$planning
• Increased$access$for$walking$students
• Increased$ability$to$identify$future$population$trends
• Attendance$boundary$adjustments$are$based$upon$student$location
• Programs$locations$can$be$better$aligned$to$student$population$$$
• Actual$school$enrollments$do$not$necessary$reflect$area$demographics
• There$is$a$disconnect$of$true$demographic$trends$and$where$students$attend$school
• Impossible$to$predict$future$students$school$of$choice
• School$enrollment$is$influenced$by$many$nonDspatial$variables
• Curriculum$or$special$programs
• IntraDdistrict$transfers/open$enrollment
• District$policy
• Capacity$relative$to$other$schools$(overflow)
• Etc.…

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Student$Capture$Rate$Analysis

Comparing$Estimated$City$School$Age$Population$to$Resident$D.U.S.D.$Students

Only$the$portion$of$South$Monrovia$Island$within$the$D.U.S.D.$boundaries$is$included$in$the$study

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Student$Capture$Rate$Analysis

Comparing$Estimated$City$School$Age$Population$to$Resident$D.U.S.D.$Students

1D Estimated$school$age$population$is$from$ESRI$Business$Analyst$Online The$estimated$school$age$population$is$based$on$residence$regardless$of$where$they$attend$school 2$– Enrolled$in$D.U.S.D.$excludes$students$residing$outside$of$the$district$boundaries Only$the$portion$of$South$Monrovia$Island$within$the$D.U.S.D.$boundaries$is$included$in$the$study

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Forecast$Factors$D Mobility

Measures the migration of students in and out of the district. Including move ins, move outs, new students from infill housing, drop outs, private school movement, etc.…

Areas$with$a$mobility$$above$ 1.000$are$experiencing$a$ positive$$migration$pattern

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DistrictDwide$Projection$Chart

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Student$Capture$Rate$Analysis

Comparing$Total$D.U.S.D.$Enrollment$and$Capture$Rate$to$Area$Districts

The$estimated$enrollment$is$based$on$enrolled$students$regardless$of$where$they$reside DUARTE 71.8%

Andres Duarte ES Maxwell ES Valley View ES

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TK-6 Students by School of Enrollment Non-Contiguous Areas Andres Duarte ES

Andres Duarte ES Beardslee ES Maxwell ES Valley View ES

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TK-6 Students by School of Enrollment Non-Contiguous Areas Valley View ES South

Andres Duarte ES Royal Oaks ES Valley View ES

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TK-6 Students by School of Enrollment Non-Contiguous Areas Valley View ES North

VALLEY ¡VIEW ¡PROFILE

O.D. AD BD MX RO VV Total BUS TK 2 3 2 3 4 5 19 4 K 6 3 1 11 6 24 51 6 1 7 4 2 15 7 26 61 10 2 3 4 2 16 10 28 63 16 3 3 6 3 11 5 18 46 8 4 2 6 1 9 7 25 50 4 5 6 4 11 8 29 58 5 6 2 4 1 14 3 22 46 9 Total 31 34 12 90 50 177 394 62

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Andres Duarte ES Beardslee ES Maxwell ES Royal Oaks ES Valley View ES

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Miles

Andres Duarte ES Beardslee ES Maxwell ES Royal Oaks ES Valley View ES

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Andres Duarte ES Beardslee ES Maxwell ES Royal Oaks ES Valley View ES

±

Miles

ANDRES DUARTE ES BEARDSLEE ES MAXWELL ES ROYAL OAKS ES VALLEY VIEW ES Current Boundaries

! SCHOOL& 2015+16&TK+8& 2018+19&TK+8& 2019+20&TK+8& & CURRENT& PROPOSED& CURRENT& PROPOSED& CURRENT& PROPOSED& AD& 482& 452& 472& 443& 471& 441& BD& 461& 461& 452& 452& 450& 450& MX& 482& 570& 472& 558& 471& 556& RO& 662& 651& 648& 638& 646& 636& VV& 391& 344& 383& 337& 382& 336& TOTAL& 2,478& 2,478& 2,427& 2,427& 2,419& 2,419&

BUSSING ¡IMPLICATIONS

• Our ¡current ¡bus ¡costs ¡= ¡$63,000/yr

($350/day)

• SPED ¡Routes ¡costs ¡= ¡$350,000/year.

NEXT ¡STEPS

• Determine ¡when ¡boundary ¡changes, ¡if ¡any, ¡will ¡go ¡

into ¡effect.

• Determine ¡procedures ¡for ¡intra-­‑district ¡transfers.
• Determine ¡if, ¡and ¡for ¡how ¡long, ¡bussing ¡students ¡

to ¡and ¡from ¡school ¡will ¡continue.

• Send ¡a ¡letter ¡to ¡all ¡families ¡informing ¡them ¡of ¡the ¡

plan ¡and ¡its ¡implications ¡and ¡the ¡Board ¡meeting ¡ that ¡the ¡decision ¡will ¡be ¡determined.