The Contribution of OR in the UK Equipment Capability Audit Colin - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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The Contribution of OR in the UK Equipment Capability Audit Colin - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

Oct 17, 2023 184 likes •468 views

The Contribution of OR in the UK Equipment Capability Audit Colin Irwin Directorate of the Equipment Plan UK Ministry of Defence RIGHT KIT, RIGHT KIT, RIGHT PRICE, RIGHT PRICE, RIGHT TIME

slide-1
SLIDE 1

Equipment Capability Customer Equipment Capability Customer

  • RIGHT KIT,

RIGHT KIT, RIGHT PRICE, RIGHT PRICE, RIGHT TIME RIGHT TIME

  • The Contribution of OR

in the UK Equipment Capability Audit

Colin Irwin Directorate of the Equipment Plan UK Ministry of Defence

slide-2
SLIDE 2

Equipment Capability Customer Equipment Capability Customer

  • RIGHT KIT,

RIGHT KIT, RIGHT PRICE, RIGHT PRICE, RIGHT TIME RIGHT TIME

  • Presentation Structure

The Equipment Capability Customer The Capability Audit process

Capability Framework Capability Goals Concurrency Analysis Output

Contribution of OR

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SLIDE 3

Equipment Capability Customer Equipment Capability Customer

  • RIGHT KIT,

RIGHT KIT, RIGHT PRICE, RIGHT PRICE, RIGHT TIME RIGHT TIME

  • CM(PA)

CM(PA) Precision Precision Attack Attack CM(BM) CM(BM) Battlespace Battlespace Manoeuvre Manoeuvre CM(IS) CM(IS) Information Information Superiority Superiority

Deputy Chief of Defence Staff Deputy Chief of Defence Staff (Equipment Capability) (Equipment Capability)

Director Director General of General of Equipment Equipment DGE DGE Director Director General of General of Research & Research & Technology Technology DG(R&T) DG(R&T)

The Equipment Capability Customer (ECC)

Capability Managers Capability Managers

Joint Capability Board Members Joint Capability Board Members Joint Capability Board Members

slide-4
SLIDE 4

Equipment Capability Customer Equipment Capability Customer

  • RIGHT KIT,

RIGHT KIT, RIGHT PRICE, RIGHT PRICE, RIGHT TIME RIGHT TIME

  • ISTAR (Information,

Surveillance, Target Acquisition and Reconnaissance)

  • CCII (Command,

Control and Information Infrastructure)

  • Ground Manoeuvre
  • CBRN
  • Special Projects
  • Theatre Airspace
  • Above Water

Environment

  • Under Water

Environment

  • Deep Target

Attack CM Battlespace Manoeuvre CM Information Superiority CM Precision Attack

DCDS(EC)

  • Air & Littoral Manoeuvre
  • Expeditionary and Logistic

Support

The Equipment Capability Customer (ECC)

slide-5
SLIDE 5

Equipment Capability Customer Equipment Capability Customer

  • RIGHT KIT,

RIGHT KIT, RIGHT PRICE, RIGHT PRICE, RIGHT TIME RIGHT TIME

  • DCDS(EC)

DG(R&T) DGE

Director Analysis Experimentation & Simulation (DAES) Director Concepts & Technology (DCT) Director Equipment Plan (DEP) Director Capability & Resource Scrutiny (DCRS)

The Equipment Capability Customer (ECC)

slide-6
SLIDE 6

Equipment Capability Customer Equipment Capability Customer

  • RIGHT KIT,

RIGHT KIT, RIGHT PRICE, RIGHT PRICE, RIGHT TIME RIGHT TIME

  • DCDS(EC)

DG(R&T) DGE

Director Analysis Experimentation & Simulation (DAES) Director Concepts & Technology (DCT) Director Equipment Plan (DEP) Director Capability & Resource Scrutiny (DCRS)

The Equipment Capability Customer (ECC)

slide-7
SLIDE 7

Equipment Capability Customer Equipment Capability Customer

  • RIGHT KIT,

RIGHT KIT, RIGHT PRICE, RIGHT PRICE, RIGHT TIME RIGHT TIME

  • The Capability Audit

The ECC’s process for assessing the expected collective operational capabilities of UK forces employing the equipment being procured or continued in service under the current and projected Equipment Plan.

slide-8
SLIDE 8

Equipment Capability Customer Equipment Capability Customer

  • RIGHT KIT,

RIGHT KIT, RIGHT PRICE, RIGHT PRICE, RIGHT TIME RIGHT TIME

  • The Capability Audit

Designed to:

Determine whether the current plan will

enable the UK Armed Forces to fulfil the tasks required of them by policy;

Hence to inform decisions on any required

changes to the plan.

slide-9
SLIDE 9

Equipment Capability Customer Equipment Capability Customer

  • RIGHT KIT,

RIGHT KIT, RIGHT PRICE, RIGHT PRICE, RIGHT TIME RIGHT TIME

  • Should identify surpluses in capability

as well as shortfalls. Should be quantitative rather than qualitative. Measures the expected output of the current plan.

The Capability Audit

slide-10
SLIDE 10

Equipment Capability Customer Equipment Capability Customer

  • RIGHT KIT,

RIGHT KIT, RIGHT PRICE, RIGHT PRICE, RIGHT TIME RIGHT TIME

  • Capability Framework

Has three dimensions; capability, operation type and timeframe:

A taxonomy of capability that:

Focuses on effects not means That is expressed purely in capability terms

not confused with platforms, doctrinal concepts or operation types

Covers all capability areas

The operation type dimension is captured through

a representative set of endorsed planning scenarios

These scenarios are replicated for different

timeframes

slide-11
SLIDE 11

Equipment Capability Customer Equipment Capability Customer

  • RIGHT KIT,

RIGHT KIT, RIGHT PRICE, RIGHT PRICE, RIGHT TIME RIGHT TIME

  • Capability Framework

Has three dimensions; capability, operation type and timeframe:

A taxonomy of capability that:

Focuses on effects not means That is expressed purely in capability terms

not confused with platforms, doctrinal concepts or operation types

Covers all capability areas

The operation type dimension is captured through

a representative set of endorsed planning scenarios

These scenarios are replicated for different

timeframes

slide-12
SLIDE 12

Equipment Capability Customer Equipment Capability Customer

  • RIGHT KIT,

RIGHT KIT, RIGHT PRICE, RIGHT PRICE, RIGHT TIME RIGHT TIME

  • Capability:

The ECC Capability Taxonomy Top Level Equipment Capabilities

C4 Force Readiness Strategic Mobility Intra-Theatre Mobility Intelligence, Surveillance and Reconnaissance Information Operations Control & Denial of the Above Water Battlespace Control & Denial of the Under Water Battlespace Control & Denial of Theatre Airspace Control & Denial of the Land Battlespace Deep Attack CBRN Defence Counter Terrorism Logistic Support

slide-13
SLIDE 13

Equipment Capability Customer Equipment Capability Customer

  • RIGHT KIT,

RIGHT KIT, RIGHT PRICE, RIGHT PRICE, RIGHT TIME RIGHT TIME

  • Operation Type:

Scenarios

Set of scenarios provide operational context for the Audit

Coverage of policy priorities Test military capabilities

Mandated core set for all areas Additional scenarios used where necessary

slide-14
SLIDE 14

Equipment Capability Customer Equipment Capability Customer

  • RIGHT KIT,

RIGHT KIT, RIGHT PRICE, RIGHT PRICE, RIGHT TIME RIGHT TIME

  • Timeframes

The basic requirement is for audit of

  • ne near-term timeframe and one ten

years subsequent to it. Additional timeframes can be audited by DECs if they consider that these would provide important additional information.

slide-15
SLIDE 15

Equipment Capability Customer Equipment Capability Customer

  • RIGHT KIT,

RIGHT KIT, RIGHT PRICE, RIGHT PRICE, RIGHT TIME RIGHT TIME

  • Capability Goals

Goal: the effect the capability is intended to achieve. MoE: how we measure the effect it is achieving. Benchmark: how much it needs to achieve.

slide-16
SLIDE 16

Equipment Capability Customer Equipment Capability Customer

  • RIGHT KIT,

RIGHT KIT, RIGHT PRICE, RIGHT PRICE, RIGHT TIME RIGHT TIME

  • Capability Audit

For each combination of capability, scenario and timeframe:

Set a benchmark for the required level Map all of the contributing systems to build an

assessment of the forecast achieved level

Compare the two values to determine whether

there is a shortfall, sufficiency or affluence

If a shortfall, assess risk and possible mitigation If sufficiency or affluence assess scope for savings

slide-17
SLIDE 17

Equipment Capability Customer Equipment Capability Customer

  • RIGHT KIT,

RIGHT KIT, RIGHT PRICE, RIGHT PRICE, RIGHT TIME RIGHT TIME

  • Capability Score colour system

Capability delivered exceeds goal by 25% Capability goal met and exceeded by up to 25% Capability shortfall of up to 25% Capability shortfall of more than 25% Not Assessed

slide-18
SLIDE 18

Equipment Capability Customer Equipment Capability Customer

  • RIGHT KIT,

RIGHT KIT, RIGHT PRICE, RIGHT PRICE, RIGHT TIME RIGHT TIME

  • Capability Score objectivity system

A Assessment achieved by means of subjective judgement only B Assessment achieved by means of subjective judgement informed by objective evidence C Assessment achieved by means of judgmental interpretation of existing objective evidence D Assessment drawn directly from objective evidence

slide-19
SLIDE 19

Equipment Capability Customer Equipment Capability Customer

  • RIGHT KIT,

RIGHT KIT, RIGHT PRICE, RIGHT PRICE, RIGHT TIME RIGHT TIME

  • Concurrency Analysis

Capability Goals test our capability within a specific operational context. Concurrency Analysis tests whether there would be sufficient numbers of equipments available to meet the capability requirements

  • f a number of concurrent operations.
slide-20
SLIDE 20

Equipment Capability Customer Equipment Capability Customer

  • RIGHT KIT,

RIGHT KIT, RIGHT PRICE, RIGHT PRICE, RIGHT TIME RIGHT TIME

  • Concurrency Analysis

Concurrency sets are derived from current policy, as laid out in Defence Strategic Guidance. DIDO generates demand streams of

  • perations over time

AENEAS assesses ability to meet demands

slide-21
SLIDE 21

Equipment Capability Customer Equipment Capability Customer

  • RIGHT KIT,

RIGHT KIT, RIGHT PRICE, RIGHT PRICE, RIGHT TIME RIGHT TIME

  • Specimen Output

Scenario 1 Scenario 2 Scenario 3 Peace Level 1 Level 2 Year X Year Y Year X Year Y Year X Year Y Year X Year Y Sub-area C B C B C B C B Sub-area D A D A D A D A Sub-area C A C A C A C A Sub-area D A D A D A D A Sub- area Sub-area D A D A D A D A Sub-area D A D A D A Sub-area D B D A D A A A Sub-area A A A Top level Capability Area Sub- area Sub-area D B D B D B D D

slide-22
SLIDE 22

Equipment Capability Customer Equipment Capability Customer

  • RIGHT KIT,

RIGHT KIT, RIGHT PRICE, RIGHT PRICE, RIGHT TIME RIGHT TIME

  • OR in the Capability Audit

High Level OR develops and assesses the scenario campaigns. Lower level OR can assess whether particular benchmarks can be achieved. Concurrency Analysis assesses our ability to meet the demands of concurrent operations.

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SLIDE 23

Equipment Capability Customer Equipment Capability Customer

  • RIGHT KIT,

RIGHT KIT, RIGHT PRICE, RIGHT PRICE, RIGHT TIME RIGHT TIME

  • OR in the Capability Audit

The Capability Audit is a structured,

  • bjective, scientifically-based approach

to aiding senior decision-makers faced with a complex real-world problem.

slide-24
SLIDE 24

Equipment Capability Customer Equipment Capability Customer

  • RIGHT KIT,

RIGHT KIT, RIGHT PRICE, RIGHT PRICE, RIGHT TIME RIGHT TIME

  • The Capability Audit is OR

The Capability Audit is a structured,

  • bjective, scientifically-based approach

to aiding senior decision-makers faced with a complex real-world problem.

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SLIDE 25

Equipment Capability Customer Equipment Capability Customer

  • RIGHT KIT,

RIGHT KIT, RIGHT PRICE, RIGHT PRICE, RIGHT TIME RIGHT TIME

  • Questions?
slide-26
SLIDE 26

Equipment Capability Customer Equipment Capability Customer

  • RIGHT KIT,

RIGHT KIT, RIGHT PRICE, RIGHT PRICE, RIGHT TIME RIGHT TIME

  • Contact Details:

Colin Irwin Directorate of the Equipment Plan, UK Ministry of Defence, Main Building Whitehall London SW1A 2HB Email: EC DEP-OA1 colin.irwin692@mod.uk Tel: 0207 218 1645 Desk: MB02-D-14

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SLIDE 27

Equipment Capability Customer Equipment Capability Customer

  • RIGHT KIT,

RIGHT KIT, RIGHT PRICE, RIGHT PRICE, RIGHT TIME RIGHT TIME