THE AMERICAN HEALTH CARE PARADOX Friday, October 24 th Blue Cross - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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THE AMERICAN HEALTH CARE PARADOX Friday, October 24 th Blue Cross - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

THE AMERICAN HEALTH CARE PARADOX Friday, October 24 th Blue Cross Blue Shield Foundation of Massachusetts LAUREN A. TAYLOR, MPH Co-Author, The American Health Care Paradox Presidential Scholar, Harvard Divinity School 1 Outline for Today 1.


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THE AMERICAN HEALTH CARE PARADOX

Friday, October 24th Blue Cross Blue Shield Foundation of Massachusetts

LAUREN A. TAYLOR, MPH Co-Author, The American Health Care Paradox Presidential Scholar, Harvard Divinity School

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Outline for Today

  • 1. Define the US health care paradox
  • 2. Present some data on international health

spending patterns

  • 3. Present some new data on domestic health

spending patterns

  • 4. Discuss challenges in financing health

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Then there’s the problem of rising cost. We spend one and a half times more per person on health care than any other country, but we aren’t any healthier for it.

President Obama Joint Session of Congress September 9, 2009

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2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 18 20

Health Expenditures as a %

  • f GDP, 2009*

*Turkey is missing data for 2009

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US HEALTH RANKINGS

Maternal Mortality Life Expectancy Low Birth Weight

#136 Hungary Finland #42 Guam #169 Croatia Rank: 25th among OECD countries Rank: 26th among OECD countries Rank: 28th among OECD countries Iran Turks and Caicos

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Particularly perplexing when we imagine HEALTHCARE = HEALTH

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What Determines Health?

Healthcare Genetics Social, Environmental, Behavioral Factors

20% 20% 60%

McGinnis et al, 2002

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High cost conditions

Evidence suggests that social, behavioral and environmental factors are responsible for… 70% of colon cancer cases 70% of stroke cases 80% of heart disease cases 90% of adult-onset diabetes cases

TAHCP, 2013

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employment programs supportive housing & rent subsidies nutritional support & family assistance

  • ther social

services that exclude health benefits

Social Services

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2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 18 20

Health Expenditures as a %

  • f GDP, 2009*

*Turkey is missing data for 2009

Percent of GDP 10

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0.00 5.00 10.00 15.00 20.00 25.00 30.00 35.00 40.00

Total Expenditures as a % GDP, 2009*

Social Service Expenditure, %GDP Health Expenditure, %GDP *Switzerland and Turkey are missing data for 2009

Percent of GDP 11

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0.00 0.50 1.00 1.50 2.00 2.50

Ratio of Social to Health Expenditures, 2009*

*Switzerland and Turkey are missing data for 2009

Ratio of Social to Health Spending 12

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METHOD: Multivariable regression using OECD pooled data from 1995-2007 on 29 countries and 5 health outcomes. FINDING: The ratio of social to health spending was significantly associated with better health outcomes: less infant mortality, premature death, fewer low birth weight infants, and longer life expectancy. NOTE: This remained true even when the US was excluded from the analysis.

DOES IT MATTER?

Bradley et al, 2011

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Inadequate attention to and investment in services that address the broader determinants of health is the unnamed culprit behind why the United States spends so much

  • n health care but continues to lag

behind in health outcomes.

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Can the same be said within US?

State spending in 2009 Mean %GSP Range MA Health service spending 18.2% 13.0% - 26.6% 19.25% Social service spending 11.0% 7.8% - 15.5% 12.86%

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Ratio of social-to-health care spending*

*Medicare and Medicaid spending

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LOWEST QUIINTILE MEDIAN QUINTILE HIGHEST QUINTILE

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Ratio social-to-health spending Percent of population that is obese

LOWEST QUIINTILE MEDIAN QUINTILE HIGHEST QUINTILE HIGHEST QUIINTILE MEDIAN QUINTILE LOWEST QUINTILE

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Post neonatal mortality rate per 100,000 live births Ratio social-to-health spending

LOWEST QUIINTILE MEDIAN QUINTILE HIGHEST QUINTILE HIGHEST QUIINTILE MEDIAN QUINTILE LOWEST QUINTILE

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Affordable Care Act (2010)

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Healthcare Patient Individual Health Population Health Education Housing Built Environment Nutrition

The Promise of Population Health

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ACO Measures & Incentives

Getting Timely Care, Appointment s and Information How Well Your Doctors Communicate Patients Rating of Doctor Access to Specialists Health Promotion and Education Shared Decision Making Risk Standardized, All Condition Readmissions ASC Admissions, COPD or Asthma ASC Admissions, Heart Failure Percent of PCPs who Qualified for EHR Incentive Medication Reconciliatio n Falls; Screening for Fall Risk Influenza Immunization Pneumonicoc al Vaccination Adult Weight Screening and Follow- up Tobacco Use Assessment and Cessation

Proportion of Adults Who Had Blood Pressure Screened in Last 2 years

Homoglobin A1c Control Low Density Lipoprotein Blood Pressure Percent of beneficiaries whose BP < 140/90

Percent of beneficiaries with IVD with complete lipid profile and LDL control < 100mg/dl

Percent of beneficiaries with IVD who use Aspirin or

  • ther

antithrombotic

Beta blocker therapy for LVSD Depression Screening Colorectal Cancer Screening Mammograp hy Screening Tobacco Non- Use Aspirin Use

Percent of Beneficiaries with diabetes whose HIbA1c in poor control

Drug therapy for lowering LOL Cholesterol

ACE Inhibitor for ARB Therapy for Patients with CAD and Diabetes

Health Status/Functi

  • nal Status

Getting Timely Care, Appts and Information How Well Your Doctors Communicate Patients Rating of Doctor Access to Specialists Health Promotion and Education Shared Decision Making Risk Standardized, All Condition Readmissions ASC Admissions, COPD or Asthma ASC Admissions, Heart Failure Percent of PCPs who Qualified for EHR Incentive Medication Reconcilia- tion Falls; Screening for Fall Risk Influenza Immunization Pneumon- icocal Vaccination Adult Weight Screening and Follow- up Tobacco Use Assessment and Cessation

Proportion of Adults Who Had Blood Pressure Screened in Last 2 years

Homoglobin A1c Control Low Density Lipoprotein Blood Pressure Percent of beneficiaries whose BP < 140/90

Percent of beneficiaries with IVD with complete lipid profile and LDL control < 100mg/dl

Percent of beneficiaries with IVD who use Aspirin or

  • ther

antithrombotic

Beta blocker therapy for LVSD Depression Screening Colorectal Cancer Screening Mammog Screening Tobacco Non- Use Aspirin Use

Percent of Beneficiaries with diabetes whose HIbA1c in poor control

Drug therapy for lowering LOL Cholesterol

ACE Inhibitor for ARB Therapy for Patients with CAD and Diabetes

Health Status + Functional Status

$ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $

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What Happened to This Model?

Healthcare Genetics Social, Environmental, Behavioral Factors

20% 20% 60%

Initial Vision of What ACO Would Be Responsible For

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What Happened to This Model?

Healthcare Genetics Social, Environmental, Behavioral Factors

20% 20% 60%

What We Paid ACOs to Be Responsible For But Who Is Accountable for This?

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Looking Forward

What do we mean by health? Who needs to be at the table, on the board, in the meeting? How are we going to systematically share resources to get the job done?

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Thank you!

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