Terrorism and the Changing Character of Contemporary Warfare - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
Trends in International Terrorism and the Changing Character of Contemporary Warfare Timothy D. Hoyt Professor of Strategy and Policy U.S. Naval War College The views expressed in this presentation are those of the author alone, and not the
Timothy D. Hoyt Professor of Strategy and Policy U.S. Naval War College
The views expressed in this presentation are those of the author alone, and not the US Naval War College, the US Navy,
The views expressed in this presentation are those of the author alone, and not the US Naval War College, the US Navy,
firearms
The views expressed in this presentation are those of the author alone, and not the US Naval War College, the US Navy,
terrorism?
partners?
The views expressed in this presentation are those of the author alone, and not the US Naval War College, the US Navy,
The views expressed in this presentation are those of the author alone, and not the US Naval War College, the US Navy,
practice political terror and repression.
form of internal or international conflict. The major victims of terrorism are states with intense sectarian, ideological, ethnic, or social conflicts. The majority of victims are civilians in those countries.
Nigeria, and Pakistan. In each country, internal conflicts with the regime
The views expressed in this presentation are those of the author alone, and not the US Naval War College, the US Navy,
Syria, and Yemen, but also present in Afghanistan and Pakistan)
integration of Muslim populations within European political communities
Sunni religious communities.
extremism emerging in other faiths, ethnic groups, and communities from similar causes and perceptions, as well as population pressures.
The views expressed in this presentation are those of the author alone, and not the US Naval War College, the US Navy,
world.
650% - from 77 to 577. ISIS was responsible for roughly half of them. 21 of 34 members of the Organization for Economic Co-Operation and Development (OECD) suffered terrorist attacks in 2015
2001
in pairs; and there has been no evidence of a formal connection with or training from Al Qaeda or ISIS (although there may have been radicalization through social media)
domestic ultra-right wing terrorism than from jihadists
The views expressed in this presentation are those of the author alone, and not the US Naval War College, the US Navy,
campaign against them after 9/11
month in 2007.
increased Al Qaeda franchising and revitalization of Taliban
collapse of Libya, rise and fall of Boko Haram and ISIS
it is becoming geographically more widespread. Afghanistan is a prominent exception – terrorism deaths were up almost 30% in 2015, and battlefield deaths were up 34%.
The views expressed in this presentation are those of the author alone, and not the US Naval War College, the US Navy,
The views expressed in this presentation are those of the author alone, and not the US Naval War College, the US Navy,
and effective
The views expressed in this presentation are those of the author alone, and not the US Naval War College, the US Navy,
The views expressed in this presentation are those of the author alone, and not the US Naval War College, the US Navy,
tribes did not trust the (Shi’a and Allawi – dominated) local regimes.
Moscow, Riyadh – and the US was unwilling to commit major ground units.
coast – leaving ISIS a free hand in the east.
joined as well, as did former Ba’athists and Saddam loyalists.
The views expressed in this presentation are those of the author alone, and not the US Naval War College, the US Navy,
The views expressed in this presentation are those of the author alone, and not the US Naval War College, the US Navy,
revenue, and territory
cooperate fully in any coalition effort
ideology and adherents all over the globe
allegiance to ISIS grew from 13 in 2014 to 28 in 2015 to 43 in 2016.
distance, so the terrorist threat will not disappear even if the “Islamic state” collapses.
The views expressed in this presentation are those of the author alone, and not the US Naval War College, the US Navy,
The views expressed in this presentation are those of the author alone, and not the US Naval War College, the US Navy,
The views expressed in this presentation are those of the author alone, and not the US Naval War College, the US Navy,
The views expressed in this presentation are those of the author alone, and not the US Naval War College, the US Navy,
The views expressed in this presentation are those of the author alone, and not the US Naval War College, the US Navy,
installations and other economic infrastructure. Mosul (a major Iraqi city) is taken in June 2014 by just 1000 fighters when the defenders flee. Al- Baghdadi declares himself the caliph – an important symbolic position that has not been filled since the collapse of the Ottoman empire in 1924. August 2014 ISIS begins enslaving Yazidi minorities on the Syrian border, as well as publicly committing a series of atrocities against Shi’a, Western prisoners, and others.
portions of both Iraq and Syria.
volunteers for manpower. By late 2015 estimates suggested between 25,000 and 40,000 volunteers had served with ISIS.
The views expressed in this presentation are those of the author alone, and not the US Naval War College, the US Navy,
The views expressed in this presentation are those of the author alone, and not the US Naval War College, the US Navy,
The views expressed in this presentation are those of the author alone, and not the US Naval War College, the US Navy,
The views expressed in this presentation are those of the author alone, and not the US Naval War College, the US Navy,
The views expressed in this presentation are those of the author alone, and not the US Naval War College, the US Navy,
The views expressed in this presentation are those of the author alone, and not the US Naval War College, the US Navy,