ASEAN PROJECT ON DISASTER RISK REDUCTION BY INTEGRATING CLIMATE CHANGE PROJECTION INTO FLOOD AND LANDSLIDE RISK ASSESSMENT Training Workshop and Inception Seminar, Bangkok, 3-8 th Feb 2019 Taunggyi Landslide Risk Assessment; Pilot River Basin Methodology and Action Plan
2 ASEAN PROJECT ON DISASTER RISK REDUCTION BY INTEGRATING CLIMATE CHANGE PROJECTION INTO FLOOD AND LANDSLIDE RISK ASSESSMENT
3 President Office National Disaster Management Committee Ministry of Social Welfare Department of meteorology Relief and Resettlement and hydrology (DMH) Region/ State Government Department of Disaster Office Management DDM District/Township General Administration Department Region/ State DDM office Quarter/ Village General Administration Department District/Township DDM office Public ASEAN PROJECT ON DISASTER RISK REDUCTION BY INTEGRATING CLIMATE CHANGE PROJECTION INTO FLOOD AND LANDSLIDE RISK ASSESSMENT
6 Introduction (Taunggyi) • Taunggyi, capital and largest city of Shan State, is hilly region • Elevation of 4,590 ft above sea level • Houses are located on hill tops and neighboring sloping ground, which consists of a shallow soil overburden. In most cases underlying bedrock formations are dolomite or limestone in nature and thickness of overburden is limited to few meters only. ASEAN PROJECT ON DISASTER RISK REDUCTION BY INTEGRATING CLIMATE CHANGE PROJECTION INTO FLOOD AND LANDSLIDE RISK ASSESSMENT
7 Disasters’ profile History and trend, damages Shan State Date occurences Affected Casualties Remark household , people 2016- 4 2 household, 4 3 dead Nouth - 3 2017 people South -1 2017- 14 20 household, 6 dead Nouth - 7 2018 47 people 3 Injuries South -7 2018- 5 4 household, 19 3 dead Nouth - 5 2019 people ASEAN PROJECT ON DISASTER RISK REDUCTION BY INTEGRATING CLIMATE CHANGE PROJECTION INTO FLOOD AND LANDSLIDE RISK ASSESSMENT
8 Disasters’ profile History and trend, damages of Taunggyi Date occurence Affected Casualties Remark household , people 29.8.16 Taunggyi Township, 1 household, 2 1 dead Yaeayekwin Quarter people Southern Shan State 3.8.2017 Taunggyi Township Area 1 household, 1 (7)Kyaungkhisu Quarter people 27.7.2017 Taunggyi Township Area 1 household, 4 (5)Kyaungkhisu Quarter people ASEAN PROJECT ON DISASTER RISK REDUCTION BY INTEGRATING CLIMATE CHANGE PROJECTION INTO FLOOD AND LANDSLIDE RISK ASSESSMENT
9 Disaster risk management system and challenges • Taunggyi is the sheltered city for migrated people from rural area due to economy, conflict • Houses are built on slope area ASEAN PROJECT ON DISASTER RISK REDUCTION BY INTEGRATING CLIMATE CHANGE PROJECTION INTO FLOOD AND LANDSLIDE RISK ASSESSMENT
10 Disaster risk management system and challenges ASEAN PROJECT ON DISASTER RISK REDUCTION BY INTEGRATING CLIMATE CHANGE PROJECTION INTO FLOOD AND LANDSLIDE RISK ASSESSMENT
11 Disaster risk management system and challenges Small scale mining ASEAN PROJECT ON DISASTER RISK REDUCTION BY INTEGRATING CLIMATE CHANGE PROJECTION INTO FLOOD AND LANDSLIDE RISK ASSESSMENT
12 The objectives of RBP for Landslide Risk Assessment To do landslide risk assessment for Taunggyi To produce guideline based on the Landslide risk assessment To produce disaster management action plan based on the guideline To give the awareness of landslides to local people ASEAN PROJECT ON DISASTER RISK REDUCTION BY INTEGRATING CLIMATE CHANGE PROJECTION INTO FLOOD AND LANDSLIDE RISK ASSESSMENT
13 Methodology for disaster risk assessment and mapping • Hazard asssessment use statistic landslide susceptibility method • Vulnerability and capacity assessment will be conducted using analytical hierarchy process (AHP). • Climate change factor will be derived from NASA Global Climate Model (GCM), downscaled to river basin scale ASEAN PROJECT ON DISASTER RISK REDUCTION BY INTEGRATING CLIMATE CHANGE PROJECTION INTO FLOOD AND LANDSLIDE RISK ASSESSMENT
14 Activity plan 1. Risk Assessment Oct-2019 1. Hazard Assessment April/May-2019 2. Exposure Assessment July-2019 3. Vulnerability and capacity Assessment Aug- 2019 2. Guideline (Local languages) Feb- 2020 1. Hazard Assessment Guideline 2. Exposure Assessment Guideline 3. Vulnerability and capacity Assessment Guideline 3. Action Plan May- 2020 ASEAN PROJECT ON DISASTER RISK REDUCTION BY INTEGRATING CLIMATE CHANGE PROJECTION INTO FLOOD AND LANDSLIDE RISK ASSESSMENT
15 Expected outputs/outcomes 1. Risk Map 1. Hazard map 2. Exposure map 3. Vulnerability and capacity report 2. Guideline (Local languages) 1. Hazard Assessment Guideline 2. Exposure Assessment Guideline 3. Vulnerability and capacity Assessment Guideline 3. Action Plan ASEAN PROJECT ON DISASTER RISK REDUCTION BY INTEGRATING CLIMATE CHANGE PROJECTION INTO FLOOD AND LANDSLIDE RISK ASSESSMENT
16 Expectations • Training for disaster risk assessment • Training for climate change modeling • To do workshop to local people for knowledge sharing ASEAN PROJECT ON DISASTER RISK REDUCTION BY INTEGRATING CLIMATE CHANGE PROJECTION INTO FLOOD AND LANDSLIDE RISK ASSESSMENT
17 THANK YOU ASEAN PROJECT ON DISASTER RISK REDUCTION BY INTEGRATING CLIMATE CHANGE PROJECTION INTO FLOOD AND LANDSLIDE RISK ASSESSMENT
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