T RENDS R EPORT & C OMMUNITY V ALUES Future of Quabbin Regional - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

T RENDS R EPORT & C OMMUNITY V ALUES Future of Quabbin Regional School District Presentation to: Quabbin Regional School Committee Wednesday, January 11, 2017

Agenda • About the Center & Project Team • Trends Report • Preliminary Community Values • Center Principles • Questions & Discussion • Next Steps How do we provide schools with the solid foundation needed to provide a quality education?

About the Project • Funded by Community Compact grant • Three major tasks: • Trends Report • Community Conversations • Alternatives Analysis • Tonight’s meeting – tasks 1 and 2

Overview • Quabbin communities are not alone: • Area has strong history of agriculture. Today includes mix of farms and commuters • Globalization and Great Recession impacted communities across the US • Many MA districts facing enrollment declines • All districts grappling with increased costs • However, need to understand unique local fact pattern to develop and consider options

TRENDS REPORT • Study Area Demographic and Economic Characteristics • District Enrollment and Performance • District Budget and Facilities • Town Financial Capacity

Demographic & Economic Characteristics

Historic Population Change

Recent Population Change (1980-2010) Population by Town (1980-2010) New Year Barre Hardwick Hubbardston Oakham Total Braintree 1980 4,102 2,272 1,797 671 994 9,836 1990 4,546 2,385 2,797 881 1,503 12,112 2000 5,113 2,622 3,909 927 1,673 14,244 2010 5,398 2,990 4,382 999 1,902 15,671 % Change 32% 32% 144% 49% 91% 59% 1980-2010 Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Decennial Census

Youth Pop has been Declining…

Birth Rate and Migration

Economic Indicators Number of Businesses and Employees by Town (2004 and 2014) # of businesses # of employees 2004 2014 Change 2004 2014 Change Barre 113 107 -6 1,070 968 -103 Hardwick 48 36 -12 347 452 105 Hubbardston 66 54 -12 401 262 -139 New Braintree 16 19 3 43 60 17 Oakham 25 29 4 91 72 -19 Total 268 245 -23 1,952 1,813 -139 Source: US. Census, Zip Code Business Patterns Residents in Labor Force by Town (1990-2015) Change 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 (1990-2015) Barre 2,328 2,390 2,676 2,794 2,901 2,922 26% Hardwick 1,166 1,172 1,330 1,336 1,600 1,649 41% Hubbardston 1,515 1,667 2,238 2,443 2,441 2,488 64% New Braintree 463 450 542 644 550 551 19% Oakham 784 840 956 1,078 1,080 1,102 41% Source: Massachusetts Department of Labor.

Economic Indicators Local cost of living is 21% below state average.

Population Is Projected to Decline

District Enrollment and Performance

Enrollment Trends Note: Enrollment numbers are as of October 1 st of prior calendar year.

School Attendance Numbers of School-Attending Residents in Study Area (2000-2016) Change % 2000 2005 2010 2016 2000- Change 2016 In-District Public Schools 2,784 2,896 2,498 1,992 - 792 - 28% Voc/Tech Regional Schools 93 94 115 152 59 63% Charter Schools NA NA NA 27 NA NA Out-of-District Public Schools 150* 58* 77* 65 - 85 - 57% Home Schooled NA NA NA 74 NA NA Private and Parochial Schools 80* 187* 173* 68 - 12 - 15% Collaboratives 1 16 9 16 15 1 , 500% All non-district 324 355 374 402 78 24% Total School-Attending Residents 3,108 3,251 2,872 2,394 - 714 - 23% Source: Massachusetts Department of Elementary and Secondary Education. *Note: Charter and Homeschooled students were enumerated separately by DESE beginning in 2011. Prior to this, these students were included in counts of students attending Private and Out-of-District schools. Counts are as of October of the prior calendar year.

School Choice Note: Enrollment numbers are as of October 1 st of prior calendar year.

Special Populations Special Needs Populations versus State Average (2012-2016) 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 State (2016) Total Enrollment 953,429 2,717 2,589 2,486 2,462 2,395 Economic disadvantage -- -- -- 19% 23% 27% Students with disabilities 15% 15% 17% 17% 19% 17% English language learners -- -- -- -- -- 9% First language not English -- -- -- -- 1.0% 19% Source: Massachusetts Department of Elementary and Secondary Education Two percentage point difference translates into 49 more students with IEPs in QRSD above the state average. Note: Enrollment numbers are as of October 1 st of prior calendar year.

School Performance State Ratings of QRSD Schools Ruggles Hardwick Hubbardston Oakham High Middle Year Lane Elementary Center Center School School Level 2 2 2 1 2 2 2014 Percentile 33 44 66 73 62 52 Level 2 2 2 2 2 2 2015 Percentile 36 39 64 70 53 49 Level 2 2 2 2 2 2 2016 Percentile 41 35 63 65 41 45 Source: Massachusetts Department of Elementary and Secondary Education. Distribution of Massachusetts Schools by Accountability Rating (2016) Rating Level 1 Level 2 Level 3 Level 4 Level 5 Total # of schools 525 794 265 33 4 1,621 % evaluated 32.4% 49.0% 16.3% 2.0% 0.2% Source: Massachusetts Department of Elementary and Secondary Education.. Note: New Braintree Elementary (along with 232 other schools) were not rated due to insufficient data

MCAS Performance ELA Science/Tech Math

District Budget and Facilities

Per Pupil Spending Per Pupil Spending (2013-2015) QRSD State 2013 2014 2015 2013 2014 2015 FTE Pupils In-district 2,559 2,481 2,445 918,545 917,204 913,268 Out-of-district 137 140 159 63,163 65,266 69,736 All pupils 2,696 2,621 2,604 981,708 982,469 983,004 Expenditures Per in-district pupil $12,380 $12,800 $13,330 $13,509 $13,997 $14,440 Per out-of-dist pupil $24,623 $24,983 $23,625 $21,500 $21,839 $21,532 Per pupil $13,003 $13,452 $13,957 $14,023 $14,518 $14,943 Massachusetts Department of Elementary and Secondary Education

Per Pupil Spending

Per Pupil Spending Per Pupil Spending by Type (2015) Difference Expenditure Types QRSD State Amount Percent Administration $531 $582 $51 9.5% Instr Leadership $976 $729 -$ 247 - 25.3% Teachers $5,620 $4,740 -$ 880 - 15.7% Other Teaching Svcs $1,176 $1,066 -$ 110 - 9.4% Prof Devt $428 $197 $231 116.9% Instr Matl/Equip/Tech $432 $469 $37 8.6% Guid, Counsel, Test $442 $359 -$ 83 - 18.7% Pupil Services $1,430 $1,643 $212 14.8% Op and Maintenance $1,144 $1,312 $168 14.6% Benefits and fixed chgs $2,003 $2,490 -$ 488 - 19.6% Massachusetts Department of Elementary and Secondary Education

Spending > State Average • Administration: $51 more per pupil (approx. $125,000). However, includes reduced salary for superintendent. • Professional devt: more than double state average ($428 as compared to $197 per student). Approx. $565,000 higher than if at the state average. • Info tech – more than double state average ($489 as compared to $228 per student). Approx. $643,000 higher than if at the state average. • Heating (+$151) and custodial (+$80)

Spending < State Average • Employee benefits and fixed charges - 19.6% (-$-488 per student) below state average. Translates into approximately $1.2 million in less spending than on average across the state. • Food Services – Approx. $305,000 below average. • Utility Services – Other utilities (not heat) approx. $103,000 below average. • Building Maintenance – Approximately 35% less per pupil on building maintenance. (*may be because towns cover improvements > $5,000.

Spending < State Average • Instructional leadership - 25% below (-$-247 per student) state average. • Textbooks, materials, and supplies – $114 per student less than the state average. In 2015, was at state average, but reduced in 2016. • Guidance, counseling, and testing - 18.7% less (-$82 per pupil) than state average.

Per Pupil Spending Per Pupil Spending on Teachers (2013-2015) QRSD State 2015 Difference Expenditure Types 2013 2014 2015 2013 2014 2015 Amt Pct Teachers $4,692 $4,660 $4,740 $5,291 $5,441 $5,620 -$880 -15.7% Teachers, Class $4,517 $4,513 $4,457 $4,730 $4,833 $5,011 -$554 -11.1% Teachers, Specials $174 $147 $284 $561 $608 $609 -$326 -53.4% Student/teacher 14.2 :1 14.4 :1 14.7 :1 13.5 :1 13.6 :1 13.3 :1 1.4:1 10.8% Teacher avg salary 68,603 69,815 72,643 71,983 73,847 74,703 -2,060 -2.8% - Student:teacher ratio is above state average, - Overall total teacher spending is 15.7% below state average, but cost of living is 21% below average. - Average teacher salary is close to state average.

School Facilities

School Facilities Facility Size and Age Enrollment Year Re- Class- SF Name Built novated rooms 10/2009 10/2016 478 368 1953 1988 30 Ruggles Lane (Barre) 72,470 269 194 1992 N / A 15 Hardwick Elementary 44,125 434 316 1954 1990 22 Hubbardston Center 64,740 76 108 1997 N / A 9 New Braintree Grade 27,750 291 149 1976 1990 21 Oakham Center 46,000 494 424 N / A 1997 36 Quabbin Middle School 39,361 970 689 1997 N / A 60 Quabbin High School 77,289 3,012 2,248 TOTAL 371,735