SLIDE 1
JISEA Annual Meeting 2019 Grundy CSIRO
JISEA Annual Meeting 2019 Grundy CSIRO
Sustainable prosperity is possible, but not predestined. Australia - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
Sustainable prosperity is possible, but not predestined. Australia - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
Sustainable prosperity is possible, but not predestined. Australia is free to choose. JISEA Annual Meeting 2019 Grundy CSIRO JISEA Annual Meeting 2019 Grundy CSIRO IMPLICATIONS OF EXTREME EVENTS FOR FARM PROFITABILITY
SLIDE 2
SLIDE 3
JISEA Annual Meeting 2019 Grundy CSIRO
AUSTRALIAN AVERAGE ANNUAL TEMPERATURE FOR 1910 TO 2100 RELATIVE TO PRE-INDUSTRIAL (1850-1900 AVG) CONDITIONS IMPLICATIONS OF EXTREME EVENTS FOR FARM PROFITABILITY (INDEX 2017=100)
80 100 120 140 160 180 200 220 240 2017 2027 2037 2047 2057 * Compared to pre-industrial temperatures
SLIDE 4
JISEA Annual Meeting 2019 Grundy CSIRO
The greatest opportunity for boosting farm yield lies in the hastening of yield gap closing (Fischer et al. 2014)
SLIDE 5
Insect control Modified
- ils
Improved photosynthesis Capturing Heterosis Nitrogen fixing crops
breakthrough traits? and genetic tools and targeted flexibility?
SHO safflower Field-based phenomics ML/AI Biopredicton Crop genomics Large-scale data tools
JISEA Annual Meeting 2019 Grundy CSIRO
SLIDE 6
JISEA Annual Meeting 2019 Grundy CSIRO
Homi Kharas, Bookings Institute, 2017
Below the red line = an extra $97 million for Australian canola growers
- 0.3
- 0.2
- 0.1
0.1 0.2 0.3 CAP1
- 0.4
- 0.3
- 0.2
- 0.1
0.1 0.2 CAP2
Resemblance: D7 Manhattan distance
Country
Taiwan Auz Unknown Vietnam
SLIDE 7
JISEA Annual Meeting 2019 Grundy CSIRO
7 Soil carbon Acidification Water Nutrients Air Energy Pest and disease Financing and insurance . . .
SLIDE 8
JISEA Annual Meeting 2019 Grundy CSIRO
SLIDE 9
Machine Usage (Ha) Ha
Number of Herbicide Applications per Paddock per Year
What the farm can tell me
Return Per Aggregation ($ per Ha) $
JISEA Annual Meeting 2019 Grundy CSIRO
Modelled Canola Yield 400mm Rain Modelled Canola Yield 450mm Rain Difference between Modelled Yields 450 - 400mm Rain
Canola Yield Vs Rainfall (Statistical Modelling)
Predicting Future Yields
Yield (T/Ha) Scenario Yield Differences (T/Ha)
SLIDE 10
JISEA Annual Meeting 2019 Grundy CSIRO
This can add up to a ‘knowledge and capacity’ revolution Unprecedented knowledge of the status of the farm – and new capacity to do something about it
SLIDE 11
Agriculture & Food Mike Grundy t +61 7 3214 2245 e mike.grundy@csiro.au w www.csiro.au