sustai nable di vi dend grow th
play

SUSTAI NABLE DI VI DEND & GROW TH November 2018 Cardinal - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

SUSTAI NABLE DI VI DEND & GROW TH November 2018 Cardinal Profile Shares Outstanding TSX: CJ Basic (1) 116.0 MM Diluted (excluding debentures) 119.6 MM 2018 Annual Dividend ($/ share) $0.42 2018 Average Production Guidance (boe/ d)


  1. SUSTAI NABLE DI VI DEND & GROW TH November 2018

  2. Cardinal Profile Shares Outstanding TSX: CJ Basic (1) 116.0 MM Diluted (excluding debentures) 119.6 MM 2018 Annual Dividend ($/ share) $0.42 2018 Average Production Guidance (boe/ d) 21,000-21,500 Light oil & NGL’s ( bbls/ d) 9 ,7 7 5 ( 4 6 % ) WCS medium quality oil (bbls/ d) 8,700 (41% ) Natural gas (boe/ d) 2,775 (13% ) Annual Decline Rate + / - 10% Reserves ( Mm boe) ( 2 ) ( 3 ) Proved and Developed Producing (“PDP”) 71.0 Total Proved (“1P”) 78.8 Total Proved Plus Probable (“2P”) 104.7 RLI 2P (years) 13.7 Net Bank Debt ( 1 ) ± $ 2 0 0 MM Bank line $325 MM Tax Pools $ 1 .5 B (1) As at September 30, 2018 (2) As at December 31, 2017 (Company interest reserves) 2 (3) See Advisory

  3. 2019 Objectives Mandate:  Maintain dividend  Reduce operating costs  Maintain base production with 2-3% growth  Reduce debt 3

  4. Op Cost Reduction Initiatives W ainw right:  Oil blending facility opportunities  Independent power generation House Mountain:  Independent power generation Mitsue:  Oil blending facility opportunities  Cogen power generation  Electrical charges make up $4-$5/ boe of our operating costs. 4

  5. Decline Rates Source: Scotiabank, Statsbook, May 2018 5

  6. Growth in 2019 Focus Areas for Growth in 2019:  Bantry  Midale  Grande Prairie 6

  7. Bantry  Large land base focused on Mannville medium conventional oil development  Current area production 4,700 boe/ d  Owned and operated infrastructure  Recently acquired 58 net sections via farmin with identified drilling inventory Cardinal lands Farmin lands 7

  8. Bantry Economics Glauc Econom ics ( 1) Ellerslie Econom ics ( 1) Capex (MM$) 1.8 Capex (MM$) 1.2 IP 365 (boe/ d) 130 IP 365 (boe/ d) 135 EUR (m boe) 160 EUR (m boe) 155 Payout (years) 0.5 Payout (years) 1.2 ROR (% ) 88% ROR (% ) > 400% NPV BT10 (MM$) 3.1 NPV BT10 (MM$) 1.9 (1) Based on WCS C$60/ bbl and AECO $1.50/ mcf 8

  9. Midale = Opportunity (1) Underdeveloped relative to Weyburn analogue  Inefficient and insufficient injection  Low well density  Lower recovery Weyburn Midale Estimated OOIP (1) 1300 7 6 1 Current CO2 Inj. Rate ~ 110 ~ 1 7 (1) (mmcf/ d) Well Density (acres/ well) 20 3 4 Current Recovery ~ 38% ~ 2 1 % Factor (1) (1) See advisory 9

  10. Inefficient & Insufficient Injection 1 0

  11. Midale Development Weyburn Midale Existing Midale CO2 phases Midale 2 0 1 8 -2 0 1 9 Q1 Future Developm ent ( > 2 0 0 potential locations) CO2 enhancement initiatives CO2 Development Areas   3 conversions to CO2 injection Enhance existing phases (2018-2021)   3 new Hz CO2 injectors Expand existing and develop new phases (2019+ )  4 new production wells Peripheral areas (unit and non unit)  Test horizontal multifrac (2019)  Offsetting competitor activity  Expand multifrac development (2020+ ) 1 1

  12. Grande Prairie  9 well Hz program (2017-2018)  Average well performance above expectation  Additional drilling 2018  EOR (water flood) to be implemented in 2019  Further development drilling in 2020 2017/2018 New Drills  Dunvegan Bar sand - ~ 1350m TVD  High quality light oil (~ 75% liquids) 1 2

  13. Inventory - Potential Light Oil  Midale  GP – Dunvegan GP Mitsue  Wainwright – Forestburg Viking House  Mitsue – Gilwood infills Mtn  House Mtn – Swan Hills infills Wainwright  Bantry – Arcs Medium – Heavy  Bantry – Glauc, Ellerslie  Wainwright – Waseca, Rex Bantry  Mitsue - Mannville 1 3

  14. ARO A recent liability program proposed by the Alberta Energy Regulator would require companies to spend 4% of deemed inactive liability per year to satisfy the new requirements.  Estimated Cardinal required spend for 2019: $5 million  Estimated Cardinal actual spend for 2019: $5-7 million Spend more when oil prices are high, spend required amounts when oil prices are lower. * Area Based Closure (ABC) program announced by AER on July 18, 2018 1 4

  15. Debt Reduction Current: Net Bank Debt $213 million Convertible Debentures $50 million Estim ated 2 0 1 8 Exit: Net Bank Debt $205 million Convertible Debentures $50 million 1 5

  16. Debt Adjusted Free Cash Flow Source: Scotiabank, Statsbook, May 2018 1 6

  17. Cash Flow Growth - Peers Source: Scotiabank, Statsbook, May 2018 1 7

  18. Corporate Information Corporate Headquarters Cardinal Energy Ltd. 600, 400 – 3 rd Avenue S.W. Calgary, AB T2P 4H2 Bankers CIBC World Markets Inc. ATB Financial RBC Dominion Securities Inc. Scotia Capital Inc. National Bank of Canada Auditors KPMG LLP Legal Burnet Duckworth & Palmer LLP Reserves GLJ Petroleum Consultants Contacts Scott Ratushny E scottr@cardinalenergy.ca T 403.216.2706 Laurence Broos E laurenceb@cardinalenergy.ca T 403.727.2021 1 8

Download Presentation
Download Policy: The content available on the website is offered to you 'AS IS' for your personal information and use only. It cannot be commercialized, licensed, or distributed on other websites without prior consent from the author. To download a presentation, simply click this link. If you encounter any difficulties during the download process, it's possible that the publisher has removed the file from their server.

Recommend


More recommend