Study Overview a Watson & Associates Economists Ltd., in - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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Study Overview a Watson & Associates Economists Ltd., in - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

City of Oshawa Ward Boundary Review Council Workshop on the Preliminary Options May 25, 2017 ,.J Watson f':6 &. Associates tCO"IOMIHS LTD Study Overview a Watson & Associates Economists Ltd., in association with Dr. Robert J.


slide-1
SLIDE 1

City of Oshawa Ward Boundary Review

Council Workshop

  • n the Preliminary Options

May 25, 2017

,.­JWatson

f':6 &. Associates

tCO"IOMIHS LTD

slide-2
SLIDE 2

Study Overview

a Watson & Associates Economists Ltd., in

association with Dr. Robert J. Williams, was retained to conduct the Review in August 2016

a Multi­phase assignment which began in the fall of

2016, with anticipated completion in June 2017

a Project included two rounds of public consultation

­ Round 1 (December­January) and Round 2 (May)

.-JWatson

W &.. Associates

LC.ONO'>\t~TS LTO

slide-3
SLIDE 3

Study Overview (Cont'd)

a What is a Ward Boundary Review?

  • A task designed to develop units of representation that

reflect the distribution of the inhabitants of a municipality for electoral purposes

a The Review is premised on the legitimate democratic

expectation that municipal representation in Oshawa will be:

  • Effective
  • Equitable
  • An accurate reflection of the contemporary distribution
  • f communities and people across the City

~ Watson

V &.Associates

2

tCONOMl~TS l TO

slide-4
SLIDE 4

Context

a Since 2006 ­ last time the City had a

ward­based system ­ Oshawa has seen a 15o/o increase in population; large share of growth in North Oshawa

a Over the 2017 to 2026 period,

Oshawa's population is expected to increase by 1

Oo/o; 171,400 in 2017 to

188,900 in 2026

a Important that the ward boundary

structure reflects the changing nature

  • f the City

~ Watson

'II' &. Associates

3

(CONOll'\IHS LTD

slide-5
SLIDE 5

Why a Ward Boundary Review Now?

a Two factors:

  • 1. Request by Durham Regional Council

(Municipal Act, s. 218) to permit a reduction in the number of Oshawa Regional Councillors from 7 to 5

  • 2. Direction by Council to City staff to return to

the election of all members of Council in wards, following the results of a question placed on the 2014 municipal electio~ ballot (Municipal Act, s. 222)

~ Watson

~

&.. Associates LCONO

....tl~TS l TO

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SLIDE 6

Key Study Objectives

a Review the existing Council composition and develop recommendations for an optimal configuration a Identify plausible ward boundary options that take into account the results of the consultation process and Council composition arrangements a Prepare reports that will set out alternative ward boundaries to ensure effective and equitable electoral arrangements, based on the principles identified

~ Watson

'IV

&.Associates

5

t(Ot,,OM!'iTS l TD

slide-7
SLIDE 7

Study Process

Phase 1

  • Data Collection and Rese@rch
  • Technical Analysis on

Population 'Frends and Growth

  • lntervlaws,wJth Mayor, and

Members ofCouncil

  • Public Consultation (Round 1)
  • Progress Report

Phase 2

  • Development of

Pcrellmlnary G>ptlons

  • Report on P.rellmlnary Options
  • Pul>llc Consultation (Round 2)

Phase 3

  • F­Jnallze Options
  • Final Recommendations Report
  • Presentation of

Options to Council

  • AdoRtlon ahd Implementation

through By­law

We are here

~ Watson

1B' &. Associates

6

tCONOMJ'\'t'\ L TO

slide-8
SLIDE 8

Considerations for Council Composition in Oshawa

a The number of Regional and City Councillors in Oshawa is fixed at five (5) a Any ward model adopted will need to have regard for some variant of a five­ward system of representation for the Regional and City Councillors · a Where the model can vary is with respect to the number of City Councillors ­ currently three (3) but perhaps some other number is more

  • ptimal?

~ Watson

V

g, Associates

7

((ONOMI.STS lH>

slide-9
SLIDE 9

Potential Models of Municipal Representation for Oshawa

a Option 1 ­ A five-ward model to elect Regional and City Councillors that can be used to elect five City Councillors, ten City Councillors (two per ward) or !1Q City Councillors a Option 2 ­ A ten-ward model in which ten City Councillors are elected in ten wards that would be used

in conjunction with one of the five­ward models to elect five Regional and City Councillors

a Option 3 ­ A mixed-ward model in which three City Councillors are elected in three wards that would be used in conjunction with one of the five­ward models to elect five Regional and City Councillors

.IJWatson

,;:ff &. Associates 8

CCONO._ll~T .. l TO

slide-10
SLIDE 10

Models of Representation and Preliminary Ward Options

Options for Municipal Representation

in Oshawa

Option 1 Option 3

Watson

  • a. Associates

9

City Ward Options

tCONOM 1ST'; L TO

slide-11
SLIDE 11

Five-Ward Model

a One possible approach to elect five Regional

and City Councillors in Oshawa is in a five­ward system and elect:

  • Five (5) City Councillors (one in each ward); or
  • No (0) City Councillors; or
  • Ten (10) City Councillors (two per ward)

10

slide-12
SLIDE 12

Five-Ward Model (Cont'd)

  • Eas
  • Strengths.

No change in Council salary budget No need to modify CouncH chambers

  • Strengthens local accountability by having

more City Councillors

!Provides representation te aft parts ofthe City

  • n both Regional and City Council

to understand Reduces Council salary budget by eliminating three City Councillors (a net reduction offive Councillors) Simplifies representation with a single representative·in each ward Strengthens representation by having more Councillors overall Increases accountability: decisions must lile made by a minimum ofnine officials fDrovides representation to all parts ofthe City

  • n both R ional and Ci Council

11

Weaknesses

  • Large wards more diversified
  • Large wards may decrease pool ofpotential

candidates

  • Large scale ofwards may hamper access to

Councillors

  • Weakens representation by having fewer

Councillors overall

  • Weakens accountability: decisions can be made

by a minimum offour officials

  • Large increase in Councillor workloacl; full­time

Councillors and possibly additional staff support required

  • Probably decreases the pool of potential

candidates significantly

  • Increases Council salar:y budget by adding seven

City Gounallors (a net increase offive Councillors)

  • Requires modification to Cour:icil chambers
  • watson
  • &. Associates

CCONOMI\T<, LTC,

slide-13
SLIDE 13

Five-Ward Model Options

Ward Options

1JWatson

W &.Associates

tCONOMr<.TS l TO

12

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SLIDE 14

Ward Option 5-A

LekeOnlllrio

1 2

­­===::iKm

  • Proposed Ward 1 includes rural Oshawa, Taunton as well as

emerging urban growth areas in Kedron and Columbus.

  • Proposed Ward 2 extends from Winchester Road to Rossland Road

west of Ritson Road and includes the communities of Windfields, Samac, Northwood, Northglen and Centennial.

  • Extending east of Ritson Road from Taunton Road to Bond Street

East/King Street East, Proposed Ward 3 includes the communities of Pinecrest and Eastdale.

  • Proposed Ward 4 covers the area south of Rossland Road to

Highway 401 west of Ritson Road and includes Downtown Oshawa and large portions of the Central and O'Neill neighbourhoods, as well as Vanier and McLaughlin.

  • South Oshawa is represented by Proposed Ward 5 which extends

south from Highway 401 , Ritson Road and Bond Street East/King Street East and includes the communities of Lakeview, Farewell and Donevan.

  • Design achieves reasonable population parity in 2017 which

improves to a more favourable population balance by ward by 2026.

  • 2017
  • - -
  • 2026
  • Ward

·Population Variance Population Variance - Ward 1 21 ,170

0.62 34,550 0.91 Ward2 33,530 0.98

38,290 1.01

Ward 3 37,420 1.09 I

37,055 0.98 Ward4

41 ,070

1.20 41,715

1.10 ,___

jWard 5

38,220 1.11 , 37,290 0.99

Total

  • 171,410

188,~00

,ward Average

34,282

I

37,780

~ Watson

G" 3.Assoclates

13

tCONOMl<;T<; LTP

slide-15
SLIDE 15

14

t.ske Ontario

2

  • -=::::iKm

Ward Option 5-B

  • Rural Oshawa, the community of Taunton and emerging urban

growth areas in Kedron and Columbus are represented under Proposed Ward 1 which is bound by Highway 407, Ritson Road and Taunton Road to the south.

  • Proposed Ward 2 extends from Highway 407 to Rossland Road west
  • f Ritson Road and Wilson Road and includes the communities of

Windfields, Northwood, Samac, Northglen and Centennial.

  • Proposed Ward 3 extends south of Rossi

and Road, west of Wilson Road, and north of King Street, Park Road and Highway 401 and includes the McLaughlin, O'Neill and Vanier communities.

  • Extending south of Taunton Road to Highway 401 /Bloor Street East,

east of Wilson Road, Proposed Ward 4 includes the communities of Pinecrest, Eastdale and Donevan.

  • Proposed Ward 5 is bound to the north by Highway 401, Park Road,

King Street, Wilson Road and Bloor Street East. It includes the Central community and the communities south of Highway 401.

  • Design achieves reasonable population parity in 2017 which

improves to a more favourable population balance by ward by 2026.

2017

2026

Ward Population Variance Population Variance Ward 1 21,170 0.62 34,550 0.91 Ward2 39,160

  • 1.14

43,825 1.16 Ward3 36,730

1.07

36,180 0.96 Ward4

38,960 1.14

37,955

1.00 Ward5

35,390 1.03

36,390

0.96

Total

171,410 188,900 Ward Average 34,282 37,780

~ Watson

9

&. Associates tCONOMIST<, I. TO

slide-16
SLIDE 16

Ward Option 5-C

15

lake Ontario 2

  • Design reflects five east­west oriented wards.
  • Proposed Ward 1 includes rural Oshawa and the communities of

Windfields, Northwood and Samac as well as emerging growth areas in Kedron and Columbus.

  • Proposed Ward 2 is bound by Taunton Road, Harmony Road and

Conlin Road to the north and Rossland Road to the south and includes the communities of Northglen, Centennial and Pinecrest.

  • The communities of

McLaughlin, O'Neill and Eastdale are captured in Ward 3 which is bound by Rossland Road to the north and King Street and Bond Street to the south.

  • Proposed Ward 4 extends from King Street and Bond Street to the

north to Highway 401 and Bloor Street East in the south and includes the communities of Vanier, Central and Donevan.

  • Bound by Highway 401 and Bloor Street East to the north and Lake

Ontario to the south, Proposed Ward 5 covers the communities of Stevenson, Lakeview, Farewell and Beaton.

  • While the design achieves reasonable population parity in Proposed

Wards 1 through 4, the population in Ward 5 is below the optimal range.

2017 2026

Ward Population Variance Population Variance Ward 1 30,490 0.89 47,010 1.24 Ward2 44,300 1.29 45,195 1.20 Ward3 39,740 1.16 39,710 1.05 Ward4 Ward5 35,695 1.04 36,090 0.96 21,185 0.62 20,895 0.55 Total 171,410 188,900 Ward Average 34,282 37,780

Watson

  • 8. Associates

LCONOMISTS LT!)

slide-17
SLIDE 17
  • Ward Option 5-D

Lake Ontario

2

  • Represents a north­south "strip­ward" design where all proposed

wards include a cross­section of urban and rural areas of the City.

  • The design utilizes major north­south markers as ward boundaries

including Park Road, Oshawa Creek, Simcoe Street, Ritson Road and Harmony Road.

  • While this design achieves reasonable population parity in 2017, the

population balance is less favourable by 2026.

2017 2026

Ward Population Variance Population Variance

Ward 1 27,690 0.81 26,385

0.70

Ward2 32,625 0.95 35,430 0.94 Ward3

32,165 0.94

35.425 0.94 Ward4

46,350 1.35 52,510

1.39 Ward5

32,580

0.95

39,150 1.04

­

  • Total

171,410 188,900

Ward Average

34,282 37,780

·­-

16

slide-18
SLIDE 18
  • 2017

2026

Population Variance Population Variance Ward 34,550 0.91

21 ,170

0.62 Ward 1

,ward 2

38,290

1.01

33,530 0.98

39,785

1.16

39,095

1.03

Ward3

1.16 40,485

1.07 39,655

Ward4

37,270

1.09

36,480

Ward5

  • .971

188,900 Total 171,410

Ward Average

34,282 37,780

Watson

&.Associates

I CON0/111\T~ l TD

Ward Option 5-E

Lake Onlarlo

1 2

17

  • Rural Oshawa, the community of

Taunton and emerging urban growth areas in Kedron and Columbus are represented under Proposed Ward 1 which is bound by Highway 407. Ritson Road and Taunton Road to the south.

  • Proposed Ward 2 extends from Highway 407 to Rossland Road west
  • f Ritson Road and includes the communities of Windfields,

Northwood, Samac, Northglen and a majority of Centennial.

  • Proposed Ward 3 extends from Taunton Road to Olive Avenue east
  • f Ritson Road and Wilson Road and includes the communities of

Pinecrest, Eastdale and the northern portion of Donevan.

  • The communities of McLaughlin and O'Neill, northern areas of Vanier

and Central as well as Downtown Oshawa are included in Proposed Ward 4 which extends north­south from Rossland Road to Gibb Street/Olive Avenue west of Wilson Road.

  • Proposed Ward 5 extends south from Gibb Street and Olive Avenue.
  • Design achieves reasonable population parity in 2017 which

improves to a more favourable population balance by ward by 2026.

slide-19
SLIDE 19

Ten-Ward Model

a The ten­ward model assumes that the number of

City Councillors is increased from three to ten and that each one is elected in a separate ward

a Recognizing that there is a need to also elect

five Regional and City Councillors under this arrangement, a separate five­ward "Regional" model must be designed within a ten­ward Option ­ ideally Regional wards would be comprised of two City wards

~ Watson

W &. Associates

CCONOMl~TS LTD

18

slide-20
SLIDE 20

Ten-Ward Model (Cont'd)

Arrangement

Strengths

  • Strengthens local

accountability by having more City Councillors

  • Provides representation

to all parts of the City on both Regional and City Council

  • Wards can be more

closely identified with existing neighbourhoods

  • Easy to understand

Weaknesses

  • Increase in Council

salary and support budget

Watson

&.Associates

[(ONOMISTS LTD

19

slide-21
SLIDE 21

·Ten-Ward Model Options

City Ward Options

IJWatson

W &. Associates

20

CCON0/\11',T', LTD

slide-22
SLIDE 22

Lake Ontario

1 2

21

Km

Ward Option 10-A

  • Based on splitting each ward in Option 5­A into two parts along

significant internal boundaries.

  • Proposed Ward 1 includes rural Oshawa as well as emerging urban

growth areas in Kedron and Columbus; Proposed Ward 2 includes Taunton.

  • Proposed Ward 3 includes communities of Northwood, Northglen and
  • Centennial. Proposed Ward 4 includes the communities of Windfields

and Samac as well as the UOIT/Durham College cluster.

  • Proposed Wards 7 and 8 separate communities of Pinecrest and

Eastdale into separate wards.

  • Proposed Wards 5 and 6 separate communities of Vanier and

McLaughlin into different wards and adds portions of Central and O'Neill. Downtown Oshawa is divided at Bond Street.

  • Proposed Wards 9 and 10 are based on Donevan and South Oshawa

respectively.

  • Design achieves reasonable population parity in 2017 which improves to

a more favourable population balance by ward by 2026; Proposed Ward 1 is a significant exception.

2017 2026 Wa~

Population t-- Variance J Population

~ rlance

j

Ward 1

~

1,605

0.09 11 ,240 _ . _ 0.59 I Ward 2

t

­ 19,570 L­­­ 1.14 23,315 1.23~ Ward 3

L

16.~75

  • .~7.J.

16,395 0.87 j ,Ward 4

I

16,650 0.98 21,890

1.16

'.Ward 5 I- 20

:090]

1.17 1 !Ward 6 _ ~ 7,330

­I ___

1.01

~

:=~ ·­­

~ ·~

Ward 7

22,615 1.~~ -i 22,300 1.18

Ward 8 , 18,455

1.08 19,415 1.03 I lward9 1­ 19,330 1----

1.13}

18,500

  • .gaj

L

1 Ward 10

18,890 1.10

0 18,790

0.991

  • ----==-----

J

Total 171,41~

]

__ -•-

188,900 Ward A!!!!_ _ _!?,141

I

Watson

&. Associates

! CONOMISTSLTO

slide-23
SLIDE 23
  • -- ------

_____

_

2017

I

2026

l

Variance Population f Variance 1,605 ! 0.09 ;

11 ,240

0.59 Population Ward

Ward 1

  • ---I-

:!!_ard 2

i 19,570 1.14 I 23,315 1.23

jWard 3

11.1 _ s_

  • ...______

1.oo-+___ ~ _ .1s~ --

1~

waro4 22.oos ;

1.28

21.eso 1.1s 1

1

1­1

w

­_

a _

rd

_5 _---....J.~---

2

  • 1.-

6- 70

  • <l,_____ 1.26

! ard 6

I

15,060 0.88 I Ward 7

­­­,­­ 23,525

1.37

W~rd 8

1

15,435 0.90

l

1

Ward 9

I

14,205 r------Q.8

3

___.,_____

Ward10 I 21,185 1.24 Total 171,410

1

20,560 ;----

1~

15,620 0.83 22,665 I 1.20 15,290

15,500 I

0.81

0.82

20,895 1

1.11 188,900 Ward Avera · 17,141 18,890

Watson

&. Associates

1_

.,

Ward Option 10-B

  • Based on splitting each ward in Option 5­B into two parts along significant

internal boundaries.

  • Proposed Ward 1 includes rural Oshawa as well as emerging urban growth

areas in Kedron and Columbus; Proposed Ward 2 includes Taunton.

  • Proposed Ward 3 includes the communities of Northwood, Windfields and

Samac as well as the UOIT/Durham College cluster. Proposed Ward 4 encompasses the Northglen and Centennial communities.

  • The Pinecrest community forms most of Proposed Ward 7 as does

Donevan in Proposed Ward 8. The Eastdale community is split along Adelaide.

  • Proposed Wards 9 and 10 are based on Central and South Oshawa,

respectively, with Downtown Oshawa in Proposed Ward 9.

  • Design achieves reasonable population parity in 2017 which improves to a

more favourable population balance by ward by 2026; Proposed Ward 1 is a significant exception.

  • Lake Ontario

1 2

­­=::::::iKm

22

(CONOMl'if<\ l TO

slide-24
SLIDE 24

2017 2026

Population ! Variance

!Ward 1

I

9,660

0.56 14,650

0.78

Population !

Variance Ward

25,460

1.49 26,870 1.42

fwa~2

7940 0.46 19 540 1.03 ·ward 3 i rWard 4

17,270

1.01 17 . ~ 315 ­=·­­­­­0.92 1 rward 5 14,465 0.84 L 13,835 0.73 1

1 1

1W~­

s­L__22,410­L_

­1 ­

_31L

____22.020

~ Ward 7

I

17,925 l 1.05 18,260

­­~

7

ward 8 18,660 !____ 1 ~ +­

19,695 1.04

1

Ward 9 20.490 i 1.20 I

19,660 1.04

Ward 10 17.130

1.00 17,055

0.90

Total 171,410

  • '----+---------

188 _ ,9~ ~-----~

Ward Avera

17,141 18,890

Ward Option 10-C

Lake Ontario

1 2

23

Km

  • The configuration includes five wards north of Rossland Road and five

wards south of Rossland Road.

  • The northern ward includes rural Oshawa and the City's newer urban areas

west of Ritson Road .and north of Conlin Road. Proposed Ward 3 includes the emerging urban growth area in Kedron and the area of the Taunton community east of Harmony Road.

  • Proposed Ward 2 includes the Northwood, Northglen and Samac
  • communities. Proposed Wards 4 and 5 include the communities of

Centennial and Pinecrest, respectively.

  • Proposed Wards 6, 7, 8 and 9 converge at Ritson Road and Bond

Street/King Street.

  • Proposed Ward 1

O is based in South Oshawa except for the area northeast

  • f

Wentworth Street and Ritson Road.

  • While population parity is less than favourable in 2017, the design achieves

a more optimal population balance by ward by 2026.

"'

A

slide-25
SLIDE 25

Ward Option 10-D

Lake Ontario

1 2

­­===iK

  • The configuration includes four wards north of Rossland Road and six

wards south of Rossland Road.

  • The proposed northern ward includes rural Oshawa, a portion of

Taunton, as well as emerging urban growth areas in Kedron and Columbus. The remainder of Taunton and Pinecrest is located in Proposed Ward 4.

  • Proposed Ward 2 includes Windfields, Northwood and the Samac

community west of Ritson Road including the UOIT/Durham College

  • cluster. Proposed Ward 3 primarily includes Northglen, as well as the

portion of Centennial west of Ritson Road.

  • Proposed Wards 5, 6, 8 and 9 converge at Simcoe Street and King Street

while Proposed Ward 7 includes the Eastdale and Donavan communities.

  • Proposed Ward 10 includes South Oshawa, south of Highway 401.
  • Design achieves reasonable population parity in 2017 which improves to a

more favourable population balance by ward by 2026.

2017

Ward Population Variance

Ward 1 12,620 i 0.74 ! !Ward 2

:­i­­-

1.00

I

17,150 ± . !Ward 3 16,380

"" 0.96 f

rd 4

I

28,6408

1.67 1

r

ilrdS

15,815 0.92 Ward6 16,940 0.99

  • Ward 7

17,155 1.00 !Ward 8 13,815 0.81 + lward 9

I

14,005 0.82 I Ward 10 18,890 1.10 ,. Total 171,410

Ward Avera

17,141 2026

Population , Variance

  • 26,690 I

1.41 22,165 . 1.17

·-

16,12~ 0.85 27,225 I 14,895 17,175 , 17,315 I 13.480 I

15,040

18,790 188

.!_

9 _ 00 18,890 1.44 0.79 0.91 0.92 0.71

·-

0.80 0.99

Watson

&. Associates

tCONO.\\l~T~ tTD

24

slide-26
SLIDE 26

Mixed-Ward Model

a If there is no wish to change the composition of Council from the present three City Councillors, Oshawa City Council would be reduced from ten to eight Councillors

a That determination would require two separate

  • r somehow inter­connected ward

configurations, one to elect the five Regional and City Councillors and the other to elect the three City Councillors ·

~Watson

~

&.. Associates

25

!.CONOMt~H t TD

slide-27
SLIDE 27

Mixed­Ward Model (Cont'd)

Council Arrangement Strengths Weaknesses

  • Reduces Council salary

and support budget

  • Makes distinction

between two types of Councillors

  • Two sets of

wards needed

  • r a blend of

wards into two configurations

  • Potential confusion for

electors by having two sets

  • f ward alignments
  • Weakens local

accountability by having fewer City Councillors and larger City wards ~ Watson

9 a.Associates

26

(COt,.OMISTS L'TO

slide-28
SLIDE 28

Mixed-Ward Model Options

City Ward Options

Watson ·

&.. Associates l(ONO,.\IST~ l TO

27

slide-29
SLIDE 29

Ward Option-3-A

Lake Ontario

1 2 Km

  • Divides Oshawa into three wards (north, central and south) using

east­west boundaries along Taunton Road and King Street/Bond Street, respectively.

  • The northern ward includes rural Oshawa and the City's newer urban

areas.

  • The urban core, including Downtown Oshawa, is split between the

central and south wards.

  • Achieves balanced population parity by ward by 2026 but is less

favourable in 2017.

I

Ward

I Population

2017

Variance Population

2026

Variance

Ward 1

Ward2 Ward 3

38,320 76,210 56,880 I

0.67 1.33 1.00

56,715 75,200 56,980

0.90

1.19

0.90 Total

171,410 188,895

Ward Average

57,135 . 62,965

I

Watson

&. Associates t(ONOMl!iTS LTO

28

slide-30
SLIDE 30

Ward Option 3-B

  • South Oshawa represented by a ward which uses

Adelaide Avenue as its northern boundary with Downtown Oshawa entirely within the ward.

  • The area north ofAdelaide

Avenue split into two wards utilizing Wilson Road North, Taunton Road, Ritson Road North and Highway 407 as a boundary.

  • Design achieves reasonable population parity in 2016 and more

favourable population parity by 2026. 2017 2026

­

Ward Ward 1

Ward2 Ward 3

Population

44,695 55,005

71,710

Variance 0.78 0.96

1.26 Population

57,_ 215 59,220

72,465

Variance 0.91

­

0.94

1.15

Total

Ward Average

171,410 57,135

188,900 62,965

i

I.aka Ontario

1 2

29

Km

Watson

&. Associates

£.C.ONO.M1~r!i t TO

slide-31
SLIDE 31

Ward Option 3-C

Lake Ontario

1 2

30

Km

  • The northern ward includes rural Oshawa and the City's newer urban

areas north of Taunton Road.

  • The area south ofTaunton Road divided into two wards using Ritson

Road and Highway 401 as a boundary.

  • The southwest ward extends from Taunton Road to Highway 401

west of Ritson Road and includes Downtown Oshawa.

  • The southeast ward includes all neighbourhoods south of Highway

401, as well as neighbourhoods east of Ritson Road and south of

Taunton Road, including Pinecrest, Eastdale and Donevan.

  • While population parity is less than favourable in 2017. the design

achieves optimal population balance by ward by 2026. 2017

2026 Ward Population Variance Population Variance

Ward 1

38,320

­

0.67

56,715

0.90

Ward2

57,450

1.01

57,840

0.92 Ward 3

75,640

1.32

74,345

1.18

Total 171,410 188,900

Ward Average 57,135 62,965

Watson

  • 4. Associates

(t::ONOMISTS LTD

slide-32
SLIDE 32

Guiding Principles

a Effective representation ­ Evaluate the capacity of each ward to

give residents an effective voice in decision­making

a Protection of communities of interest and neighbourhoods -

Draw ward boundary lines around recognized settlement areas, traditional neighbourhoods, and community groupings

a Representation by population ­ Ensure that every Councillor

generally represents an equal number of constituents while allowing for some variation

a Representation of current and future population trends ­ Look

at future changes in population to keep wards as balanced as possible

a Physical features as natural boundaries ­ Use logical physical

and natural features as ward boundaries while keeping wards as compact as possible

~ Watson

g,

&. Associates

31

1CONOMIHS t TO

slide-33
SLIDE 33

Public Input and Participation

a Through Round 2 of Public Consultation, we

asked for public input on the following:

  • Council Composition ­ Should the number of

Oshawa City Councillors be changed for the 2018 municipal election?

a

If No, why not?

a

If

Yes, why?

  • Design of Ward Boundaries ­ What are your

preferences on the various ward arrangements and preliminary options presented? What do you like and why?

~ Watson

  • &. Associates

tCONOMIH~ l TD

32

slide-34
SLIDE 34

What We Learned from Public Consultation

a With respect to the number of City Councillors for the 2018 municipal election:

  • Strong preference for five City Councillors

elected in a five­ward model

  • Some interest in a ten­ward model to elect ten

City Councillors

  • Limited interested in continuing with three City

Councillors under a mixed­ward model

~ Watson

"I &. Associates

33

[ C ON O .'\\I ~ H

LT 0

slide-35
SLIDE 35

What We Learned from Public Consultation (Cont'd)

a Why strong preference for five City Councillors under a five­ward model?

  • It is simple and it is relatively clear who to contact on

either Regional or City matters

  • It represents an equitable balance between

. community representation and effective size of City Council

  • Councillors can effectively manage Regional and City

matters with 5 + 5

  • It is the least disruptive approach
  • Balances City­only and Regional perspectives on the

Council

d ~J~~n

CCONOMl~T<, LTO

34

slide-36
SLIDE 36

What We Learned from Public Consultation (Cont'd)

  • Why some interest in ten City Councillors under

a ten­ward model?

  • Allows for more accountable representation and

provides more diverse views during debates

  • It brings proper representation in each area of

Oshawa

  • Smaller wards provide better representation of

neighbourhoods

  • Easy to implement, most equitable distribution of

residents

~ Watson

ff# &.Associates

((ONO,._\lc;Tc; LTO

35

slide-37
SLIDE 37

What We Learned from Public Consultation (Cont'd)

a Why no change? (i.e. 3 City Councillors).

  • Overlapping boundaries should create conditions

where Councillors are forced to work across boundaries rather than being "territorial"

  • Avoids notion that there is a "senior" (Regional)

Councillor and a "junior" (City) Councillor in each ward competing with each other

  • More Councillors means higher costs
  • It is the simplest and most reasonable solution

~ Watson

W &. Associates

(COr..OMl'\T<, LTO

36

slide-38
SLIDE 38

What We Learned from Public Consultation (Cont'd)

a With respect to the preliminary ward options and preferences:

  • Of those respondents preferring a five­ward model -

Options 5A and SE were viewed most favourably

  • Of those respondents preferring a ten­ward model -

Option 1 OA was viewed most favourably

l'lWatson

  • &. Associates

37

CC O t,; 0 /\11 ~ T S L T 0

slide-39
SLIDE 39

Public Input and Participation

a Conclusions from Public Consultation:

  • Strong preference for five Regional and City

Councillors and five City Councillors elected in a single five­ward system (one Councillor and Regional Councillor and one City Councillor per ward)

  • Under this model, preliminary ward Options SA and

SE viewed most favourably

a The findings from the public consultation are

generally consistent with the Consultant Team's professional evaluation of the models and preliminary options presented

"1/d Watson

Jdl' a.Associates

38

tCONOMIST<, lTO

slide-40
SLIDE 40

Next Step

a Finalize options and prepare Final Recommendations Report which will be presented to Council for implementation on June 15, 2017

~ Watson

  • &. Associates

39

  • CCONOMISTS. l H1