City of Oshawa Ward Boundary Review
Council Workshop
- n the Preliminary Options
May 25, 2017
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Study Overview a Watson & Associates Economists Ltd., in - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
City of Oshawa Ward Boundary Review Council Workshop on the Preliminary Options May 25, 2017 ,.J Watson f':6 &. Associates tCO"IOMIHS LTD Study Overview a Watson & Associates Economists Ltd., in association with Dr. Robert J.
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Phase 1
Population 'Frends and Growth
Members ofCouncil
Phase 2
Pcrellmlnary G>ptlons
Phase 3
Options to Council
through Bylaw
We are here
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Options for Municipal Representation
in Oshawa
Option 1 Option 3
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City Ward Options
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No change in Council salary budget No need to modify CouncH chambers
more City Councillors
!Provides representation te aft parts ofthe City
to understand Reduces Council salary budget by eliminating three City Councillors (a net reduction offive Councillors) Simplifies representation with a single representative·in each ward Strengthens representation by having more Councillors overall Increases accountability: decisions must lile made by a minimum ofnine officials fDrovides representation to all parts ofthe City
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Weaknesses
candidates
Councillors
Councillors overall
by a minimum offour officials
Councillors and possibly additional staff support required
candidates significantly
City Gounallors (a net increase offive Councillors)
CCONOMI\T<, LTC,
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LekeOnlllrio
1 2
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emerging urban growth areas in Kedron and Columbus.
west of Ritson Road and includes the communities of Windfields, Samac, Northwood, Northglen and Centennial.
East/King Street East, Proposed Ward 3 includes the communities of Pinecrest and Eastdale.
Highway 401 west of Ritson Road and includes Downtown Oshawa and large portions of the Central and O'Neill neighbourhoods, as well as Vanier and McLaughlin.
south from Highway 401 , Ritson Road and Bond Street East/King Street East and includes the communities of Lakeview, Farewell and Donevan.
improves to a more favourable population balance by ward by 2026.
·Population Variance Population Variance - Ward 1 21 ,170
0.62 34,550 0.91 Ward2 33,530 0.98
38,290 1.01
Ward 3 37,420 1.09 I
37,055 0.98 Ward4
41 ,070
1.20 41,715
1.10 ,___
jWard 5
38,220 1.11 , 37,290 0.99
Total
188,~00
,ward Average
34,282
I
37,780
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tCONOMl<;T<; LTP
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t.ske Ontario
2
growth areas in Kedron and Columbus are represented under Proposed Ward 1 which is bound by Highway 407, Ritson Road and Taunton Road to the south.
Windfields, Northwood, Samac, Northglen and Centennial.
and Road, west of Wilson Road, and north of King Street, Park Road and Highway 401 and includes the McLaughlin, O'Neill and Vanier communities.
east of Wilson Road, Proposed Ward 4 includes the communities of Pinecrest, Eastdale and Donevan.
King Street, Wilson Road and Bloor Street East. It includes the Central community and the communities south of Highway 401.
improves to a more favourable population balance by ward by 2026.
2017
2026
Ward Population Variance Population Variance Ward 1 21,170 0.62 34,550 0.91 Ward2 39,160
43,825 1.16 Ward3 36,730
1.07
36,180 0.96 Ward4
38,960 1.14
37,955
1.00 Ward5
35,390 1.03
36,390
0.96
Total
171,410 188,900 Ward Average 34,282 37,780
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lake Ontario 2
Windfields, Northwood and Samac as well as emerging growth areas in Kedron and Columbus.
Conlin Road to the north and Rossland Road to the south and includes the communities of Northglen, Centennial and Pinecrest.
McLaughlin, O'Neill and Eastdale are captured in Ward 3 which is bound by Rossland Road to the north and King Street and Bond Street to the south.
north to Highway 401 and Bloor Street East in the south and includes the communities of Vanier, Central and Donevan.
Ontario to the south, Proposed Ward 5 covers the communities of Stevenson, Lakeview, Farewell and Beaton.
Wards 1 through 4, the population in Ward 5 is below the optimal range.
2017 2026
Ward Population Variance Population Variance Ward 1 30,490 0.89 47,010 1.24 Ward2 44,300 1.29 45,195 1.20 Ward3 39,740 1.16 39,710 1.05 Ward4 Ward5 35,695 1.04 36,090 0.96 21,185 0.62 20,895 0.55 Total 171,410 188,900 Ward Average 34,282 37,780
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Lake Ontario
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wards include a crosssection of urban and rural areas of the City.
including Park Road, Oshawa Creek, Simcoe Street, Ritson Road and Harmony Road.
population balance is less favourable by 2026.
2017 2026
Ward Population Variance Population Variance
Ward 1 27,690 0.81 26,385
0.70
Ward2 32,625 0.95 35,430 0.94 Ward3
32,165 0.94
35.425 0.94 Ward4
46,350 1.35 52,510
1.39 Ward5
32,580
0.95
39,150 1.04
171,410 188,900
Ward Average
34,282 37,780
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2026
Population Variance Population Variance Ward 34,550 0.91
21 ,170
0.62 Ward 1
,ward 2
38,290
1.01
33,530 0.98
39,785
1.16
39,095
1.03
Ward3
1.16 40,485
1.07 39,655
Ward4
37,270
1.09
36,480
Ward5
188,900 Total 171,410
Ward Average
34,282 37,780
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Lake Onlarlo
1 2
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Taunton and emerging urban growth areas in Kedron and Columbus are represented under Proposed Ward 1 which is bound by Highway 407. Ritson Road and Taunton Road to the south.
Northwood, Samac, Northglen and a majority of Centennial.
Pinecrest, Eastdale and the northern portion of Donevan.
and Central as well as Downtown Oshawa are included in Proposed Ward 4 which extends northsouth from Rossland Road to Gibb Street/Olive Avenue west of Wilson Road.
improves to a more favourable population balance by ward by 2026.
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Arrangement
Strengths
accountability by having more City Councillors
to all parts of the City on both Regional and City Council
closely identified with existing neighbourhoods
Weaknesses
salary and support budget
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significant internal boundaries.
growth areas in Kedron and Columbus; Proposed Ward 2 includes Taunton.
and Samac as well as the UOIT/Durham College cluster.
Eastdale into separate wards.
McLaughlin into different wards and adds portions of Central and O'Neill. Downtown Oshawa is divided at Bond Street.
respectively.
a more favourable population balance by ward by 2026; Proposed Ward 1 is a significant exception.
2017 2026 Wa~
Population t-- Variance J Population
~ rlance
j
Ward 1
~
1,605
0.09 11 ,240 _ . _ 0.59 I Ward 2
t
19,570 L 1.14 23,315 1.23~ Ward 3
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16.~75
16,395 0.87 j ,Ward 4
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16,650 0.98 21,890
1.16
'.Ward 5 I- 20
:090]
1.17 1 !Ward 6 _ ~ 7,330
I ___
1.01
~
:=~ ·
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Ward 7
22,615 1.~~ -i 22,300 1.18
Ward 8 , 18,455
1.08 19,415 1.03 I lward9 1 19,330 1----
1.13}
18,500
1 Ward 10
18,890 1.10
0 18,7900.991
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Total 171,41~
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__ -•-
188,900 Ward A!!!!_ _ _!?,141
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2017
I
2026
l
Variance Population f Variance 1,605 ! 0.09 ;
11 ,240
0.59 Population Ward
Ward 1
:!!_ard 2
i 19,570 1.14 I 23,315 1.23
jWard 3
11.1 _ s_
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waro4 22.oos ;
1.28
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15,060 0.88 I Ward 7
, 23,525
1.37
W~rd 8
1
15,435 0.90
l
1
Ward 9
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14,205 r------Q.8
3
Ward10 I 21,185 1.24 Total 171,410
20,560 ;----
1~
15,620 0.83 22,665 I 1.20 15,290
15,500 I
0.81
0.82
20,895 1
1.11 188,900 Ward Avera · 17,141 18,890
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internal boundaries.
areas in Kedron and Columbus; Proposed Ward 2 includes Taunton.
Samac as well as the UOIT/Durham College cluster. Proposed Ward 4 encompasses the Northglen and Centennial communities.
Donevan in Proposed Ward 8. The Eastdale community is split along Adelaide.
respectively, with Downtown Oshawa in Proposed Ward 9.
more favourable population balance by ward by 2026; Proposed Ward 1 is a significant exception.
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2017 2026
Population ! Variance
!Ward 1
I
9,660
0.56 14,650
0.78
Population !
Variance Ward
25,460
1.49 26,870 1.42
fwa~2
7940 0.46 19 540 1.03 ·ward 3 i rWard 4
17,270
1.01 17 . ~ 315 =·0.92 1 rward 5 14,465 0.84 L 13,835 0.73 1
1 1
1W~
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____22.020
~ Ward 7
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17,925 l 1.05 18,260
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7
ward 8 18,660 !____ 1 ~ +
19,695 1.04
1
Ward 9 20.490 i 1.20 I
19,660 1.04
Ward 10 17.130
1.00 17,055
0.90
Total 171,410
188 _ ,9~ ~-----~
Ward Avera
17,141 18,890
Lake Ontario
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wards south of Rossland Road.
west of Ritson Road .and north of Conlin Road. Proposed Ward 3 includes the emerging urban growth area in Kedron and the area of the Taunton community east of Harmony Road.
Centennial and Pinecrest, respectively.
Street/King Street.
O is based in South Oshawa except for the area northeast
Wentworth Street and Ritson Road.
a more optimal population balance by ward by 2026.
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Lake Ontario
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wards south of Rossland Road.
Taunton, as well as emerging urban growth areas in Kedron and Columbus. The remainder of Taunton and Pinecrest is located in Proposed Ward 4.
community west of Ritson Road including the UOIT/Durham College
portion of Centennial west of Ritson Road.
while Proposed Ward 7 includes the Eastdale and Donavan communities.
more favourable population balance by ward by 2026.
2017
Ward Population Variance
Ward 1 12,620 i 0.74 ! !Ward 2
:i-
1.00
17,150 ± . !Ward 3 16,380
"" 0.96 f
rd 4
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28,6408
1.67 1
ilrdS
15,815 0.92 Ward6 16,940 0.99
17,155 1.00 !Ward 8 13,815 0.81 + lward 9
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14,005 0.82 I Ward 10 18,890 1.10 ,. Total 171,410
Ward Avera
17,141 2026
Population , Variance
1.41 22,165 . 1.17
·-
16,12~ 0.85 27,225 I 14,895 17,175 , 17,315 I 13.480 I
15,040
18,790 188
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9 _ 00 18,890 1.44 0.79 0.91 0.92 0.71
·-
0.80 0.99
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Council Arrangement Strengths Weaknesses
and support budget
between two types of Councillors
wards needed
wards into two configurations
electors by having two sets
accountability by having fewer City Councillors and larger City wards ~ Watson
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Lake Ontario
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eastwest boundaries along Taunton Road and King Street/Bond Street, respectively.
areas.
central and south wards.
favourable in 2017.
I
Ward
I Population
2017
Variance Population
2026
Variance
Ward 1
Ward2 Ward 3
38,320 76,210 56,880 I
0.67 1.33 1.00
56,715 75,200 56,980
0.90
1.19
0.90 Total
171,410 188,895
Ward Average
57,135 . 62,965
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Adelaide Avenue as its northern boundary with Downtown Oshawa entirely within the ward.
Avenue split into two wards utilizing Wilson Road North, Taunton Road, Ritson Road North and Highway 407 as a boundary.
favourable population parity by 2026. 2017 2026
Ward Ward 1
Ward2 Ward 3
Population
44,695 55,005
71,710
Variance 0.78 0.96
1.26 Population
57,_ 215 59,220
72,465
Variance 0.91
0.94
1.15
Total
Ward Average
171,410 57,135
188,900 62,965
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Lake Ontario
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areas north of Taunton Road.
Road and Highway 401 as a boundary.
west of Ritson Road and includes Downtown Oshawa.
401, as well as neighbourhoods east of Ritson Road and south of
Taunton Road, including Pinecrest, Eastdale and Donevan.
achieves optimal population balance by ward by 2026. 2017
2026 Ward Population Variance Population Variance
Ward 1
38,320
0.67
56,715
0.90
Ward2
57,450
1.01
57,840
0.92 Ward 3
75,640
1.32
74,345
1.18
Total 171,410 188,900
Ward Average 57,135 62,965
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(t::ONOMISTS LTD
a Effective representation Evaluate the capacity of each ward to
give residents an effective voice in decisionmaking
Draw ward boundary lines around recognized settlement areas, traditional neighbourhoods, and community groupings
generally represents an equal number of constituents while allowing for some variation
a Representation of current and future population trends Look
at future changes in population to keep wards as balanced as possible
a Physical features as natural boundaries Use logical physical
and natural features as ward boundaries while keeping wards as compact as possible
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