JANUARY-DECEMBER 2019
Strong profitability and cash flow in 2019
JARI ROSENDAL, PRESIDENT AND CEO PETRI CASTRÉN, CFO FEBRUARY 11, 2020
Strong profitability and cash flow in 2019 JANUARY-DECEMBER 2019 - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
JARI ROSENDAL, PRESIDENT AND CEO PETRI CASTRN, CFO FEBRUARY 11, 2020 Strong profitability and cash flow in 2019 JANUARY-DECEMBER 2019 Selected highlights in 2019 Good global demand in 2019 although shale market softened towards the end
JANUARY-DECEMBER 2019
JARI ROSENDAL, PRESIDENT AND CEO PETRI CASTRÉN, CFO FEBRUARY 11, 2020
Selected highlights in 2019
market softened towards the end of the year and some softness was visible in Pulp & Paper
financials, strong profitability improvement in 2019 with operative EBITDA margin reaching 15.4%
EBITDA from Q1 2020 onwards:
customer and employee satisfaction
FEBRUARY 11, 2020 Q4 2019 RESULTS 2Financial highlights of 2019
Focus on value over volume
higher profitability despite some loss of volume
water treatment Operative EBITDA +27% to margin of 15.4%
plant start-up costs Earnings per share +24% to EUR 0.72
Strong cash flow from operating activities Dividend proposed to be increased by 6% following strong cash flow
FEBRUARY 11, 2020 Q4 2019 RESULTS 3EUR million (except ratios)
Q4 2019 Q4 2018 Δ% FY 2019 FY 2018 Δ% Revenue 657.7 661.8
3% Operative EBITDA 90.1 84.5 7% 410.0 323.1 27%
13.7% 12.8%
12.5%
42.4 44.8
224.0 173.8 29%
6.4% 6.8%
6.7%
8.6 26.5
116.5 95.2 22% EPS diluted, EUR 0.05 0.17
0.72 0.58 24% Cash flow from
142.5 88.2 62% 386.2 210.2 84% Dividend per share, proposal by the BoD, EUR** 0.56 0.53 6%
**Board of Director’s proposal to the AGM 2020 *CEOR, chemical enhanced oil recovery
Pulp & Paper – profitability improved in 2019
Market environment
term growth drivers solid Organic growth -3% in Q4; -2% in 2019
market prices (mainly trading product) impacted
Operative EBITDA margin 13.6% in Q4, 14.3% in 2019
combined with cost savings resulting in improved profitability
China
+14.1 million in 2019
FEBRUARY 11, 2020 Q4 2019 RESULTS 4OPERATIVE EBITDA AND OPERATIVE EBITDA-% EUR million REVENUE AND ORGANIC REVENUE GROWTH (Y-ON-Y) EUR million
372 369 363 373 369 376 385 390 381 373 383 386 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 2017 2018 2019
0% +1% +2% +5% +5% +6% +7% +4%
46.0 47.8 48.5 55.4 42.7 45.4 52.3 51.2 50.7 53.7 61.3 52.6 12.4% 13.0% 13.4% 14.9% 11.6% 12.1% 13.6% 13.1% 13.3% 14.4% 16.0% 13.6% Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1* Q2* Q3* Q4* 2017 2018 2019
+0%
Industry & Water – profitability improved clearly in 2019
Market environment
Organic growth -1% in Q4, +4% in 2019
revenue growth in 2019 Operative EBITDA margin 13.8% in Q4, 16.9% in 2019
management with turnaround in water treatment in North America and Oil & Gas-business
plant start-up costs in the Netherlands
+20.2 million in 2019
FEBRUARY 11, 2020 Q4 2019 RESULTS 522.9 29.3 36.0 25.3 26.6 34.8 36.7 33.3 45.0 52.4 56.8 37.5 9.6% 11.8% 13.9% 9.6% 10.9%12.8%12.9%12.3% 16.8%18.1%18.5% 13.8% Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1* Q2* Q3* Q4* 2017 2018 2019
OPERATIVE EBITDA AND OPERATIVE EBITDA-% EUR million
238 248 259 264 245 272 284 271 267 290 307 272 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 2017 2018 2019
+9% +15% +20% +14%
REVENUE AND ORGANIC REVENUE GROWTH (Y-ON-Y) EUR million
+11% +11% +2% +6% +6% +5% +4%
Oil & Gas – slight revenue growth in Q4 despite market softness
FEBRUARY 11, 2020 Q4 2019 RESULTS 638 45 57 57 46 56 73 66 62 77 87 66 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 2017 2018 2019
REVENUE DEVELOPMENT EUR million
Market environment
end de-stocking; market expectation is that shale market will recover towards the summer
demand in 2019, solid demand expected to continue in 2020 Q4 slight revenue growth, strong revenue growth in 2019
seasonally lower Capacity investments
growth in CEOR**
commercial operation in 2021
*Oilfield services: Canadian Oil Sands and CEOR **CEOR, chemical enhanced oil recovery
We invest in core products globally
FEBRUARY 11, 2020 Q4 2019 RESULTS 7PRODUCTS
◼ 25% Bleaching and pulping ◼ 20% Polymers ◼ 20% Other: e.g. defoamers, dispersants, and biocides ◼ 20% Coagulants ◼ 15% Sizing* and strength
Revenue EUR 2,659 million (2019)
*Sizing = Resistance against water absorption
Sweden
integration of acquisitions (Akzo Nobel and China AKD wax)
KEY INVESTMENT FOCUS ON CORE PRODUCT GROUPS SINCE 2016
Note: Revenue by product rounded to the nearest 5%.
Our strategic focus areas
FEBRUARY 11, 2020 8CUSTOMER EXCELLENCE Customer intimacy and ability to capture value Optimized service levels PRODUCT & SERVICE EXCELLENCE Best suited products in terms of performance, resource efficiency and cost Complemented with service and application knowledge OPERATIONAL EXCELLENCE Safe, sustainable and efficient production, operations and processes Reliable deliveries Efficient sourcing MARGIN EXCELLENCE Improvement of profitability across all products and regions Optimized output from the assets
Q4 2019 RESULTSKemira’s strengths: Delivery accuracy Service level Ease of doing business
CUSTOMER SATISFACTION
* Promoter customers (very loyal) – Detractor customers (unhappy), Scale: 0-19 Satisfactory, 20-39 Good, 40+ Excellent. 1,024 customer interviews in 2018 ** New rolling process implemented in 2019
NET PROMOTER SCORE*
28 30 33 36**
2016 2017 2018 2019 1 2 3
Strong results in employee engagement and safety climate
FEBRUARY 11, 2020 Q4 2019 RESULTS 10EMPLOYEE SURVEY RESULTS
EMPLOYEE ENGAGEMENT
6 PTS ABOVE MANUFACTURING INDUSTRY BENCHMARK
SAFETY CLIMATE
THE HIGHEST SCORE IN THE SURVEY
*Total recordable injury frequency per million working hours
Strong engagement Good culture Efficient employee communications
TRIF*
(2018: 3.5)
Updated climate change target introduced
2030 climate change target introduced
greenhouse gas emissions by 2030 (baseline year 2018, 0.93 Mt)
– Kemira Scope 1 absolute emissions 2018: 0.15 Mt – Kemira Scope 2 absolute emissions 2018: 0.78 Mt
carbon footprint of purchased goods and services (scope 3 emissions)
improve their water, energy and raw material efficiency
Agreement Long-term ambition
1 and scope 2 emissions
FEBRUARY 11, 2020 Q4 2019 RESULTS 1175/100
TOP 1%
B
TOP QUARTILE
Key operative focus areas in 2020
1. Continue active price management and improve capacity utilization 2. Continue to improve customer satisfaction scores (NPS) 3. Modify product & service offering to cater better profitable growth 4. Improve operational excellence and reduce complexity 5. Realize benefits of added capacity in China, the Netherlands and the U.S. 6. Construction of polymer capacity in the U.S. and South Korea 7. Prudent cost-control in all areas
FEBRUARY 11, 2020 Q4 2019 RESULTS 12PETRI CASTRÉN, CFO FEBRUARY 11, 2019
FEBRUARY 11, 2020 Q4 2019 RESULTS 13Favorable price/cost trend continued
FEBRUARY 11, 2020 Q4 2019 RESULTS 1484.5
Q4 2018 Sales volumes Sales prices Variable costs Fixed costs Currency impact Other Q4 2019 Adoption of IFRS 16 standard "Pre IFRS 16 comparison"
+13.8 +14.4
OPERATIVE EBITDA BRIDGE EUR million
662
+1% 0% 658
Q4 2018 Sales volumes Sales prices Currency impact Acquisitions & Divestments Q4 2019
+2%
REVENUE AND ORGANIC GROWTH (Y-ON-Y) EUR million
Operative EBITDA margin 13.7%
costs do not include operating lease expenses in 2019, corresponding to a positive EBITDA impact of EUR +9.2 million in Q4 and EUR +34.3 million in 2019
80.9
90.1
Q4/2019
SALES PRICE VS VARIABLE COST TREND (ROLLING 12-MONTH CHANGE Y-O-Y) SALES PRICES AND VARIABLE COSTS (CHANGE Y-O-Y)
9 5
11 4 8 24 28 32 28
3 11 23 47 42 37 34 23 19 14
16 13 13 26 36 38 29 11
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 2016 2017 2018 2019 Net impact on EBITDA (sales prices-variable costs) Sales prices Variable costs
FEBRUARY 11, 2020 Q4 2019 RESULTS 15Net impact of sales price & variable costs continued to be positive
* 12-month rolling change vs previous year in EUR million
EUR million EUR million
60 120 180 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 Brent oil, USD Sales prices* Variable costs*
Items affecting comparability
related to an existing, old litigation concerning an alleged infringement of competition law in 1994-2000
increased by ca. 8 MEUR due to clean-up of a Finnish manufacturing site closed in 2013
Paper during 2019 due to
Items affecting comparability, EUR million Q4 2019 Q4 2018 FY 2019 FY 2018 Within EBITDA
Pulp & Paper
1.8
Industry & Water 0.3
Within depreciation, amortization and impairment 0.0
Pulp & Paper 0.0 0.0 0.0
Industry & Water 0.0
Total items affecting comparability in EBIT
Strong cash flow in 2019
FEBRUARY 11, 2020 Q4 2019 RESULTS 17ALL KEY FIGURES IN EUR MILLION
271 205 210 386 2016 2017 2018 2019
CASH FLOW FROM OPERATIONS CAPITAL EXPENDITURE EXCL. ACQUISITIONS
capital of EUR 15 million to Group in Q1 2019
changes in net working capital
to polymer expansion in the Netherlands and the U.S., new AKD manufacturing site in China and chlorate expansion in the U.S. CAPEX GUIDANCE 2020
expected to be approximately EUR 200 million, including:
– New capacity expansion in Oil & Gas polymers in the U.S. – Smaller capex projects in several locations
60 59 53 65 58 65 53 39 95 66 44 98
2016 2017 2018 2019
Expansion Improvement Maintenance
150 190 201 213
ROCE improving clearly, adoption of IFRS 16 increased reported net debt
9.9% 9.7% 9.8% 11.2% 2016 2017 2018 2019 634 694 741 811 Dec 31 2016 Dec 31 2017 Dec 31 2018 Dec 31 2019
FEBRUARY 11, 2020 Q4 2019 RESULTS 18NET DEBT (EUR million) AND LEVERAGE RATIO* OPERATIVE RETURN ON CAPITAL EMPLOYED
2.3 2.2 2.1
Group’s ROCE once up and running
below 75%
IFRS 16 according to which operating leases (EUR 134 million) are part of debt
– Excluding IFRS 16 impact, net debt would have been EUR 677 million and leverage ratio 1.7
– Average cost of net debt excluding leases is 1.9% and duration is 26 months
* Leverage ratio = Net debt / last 12 months operative EBITDA
2.0
Dividend proposed to be increased to EUR 0.56 per share
and competitive dividend
profitability and cash flow in 2019
dividend of EUR 0.56 per share, totaling EUR 85 million. The dividend is proposed to be paid in two tranches in 2020, in April and in November.
listing of shares in 1994
0.53 0.53 0.53 0.53 0.53 0.53 0.53 0.53 0.56*
5.8% 4.5% 4.4% 5.4% 4.9% 4.4% 4.6% 5.4% 4.2%
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
Q4 2019 RESULTS 19◼ Dividend per share Dividend yield
FEBRUARY 11, 2020Kemira’s dividend yield calculated using the share price at year-end
*Board of Director’s proposal to the AGM 2020
EUR 2.5 billion
2018
EUR 2.6 billion 12.5% 62% EUR 2.7 billion
Outlook for 2020
FEBRUARY 11, 2020 Q4 2019 RESULTS 20EUR million 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
Operative EBITDA 253 287 303 311 323 410 increase
Operative EBITDA figures for 2014-2018 are ”pre IFRS-16”.
“Kemira expects its operative EBITDA (2019: EUR 410.0 million) to increase from the prior year.”
OUTLOOK FOR 2020
2019
14-16%
point
points
Revenue Operative EBITDA-% Gearing
Below 60%
2017
12.5% 59%
Financial targets
Above-the- market growth 15-17% Below 75%
15.4% 66%
PRE IFRS 16
Previously Kemira referred to these three targets as mid-to-long term financial targets, but will refer to them only as financial targets going forward.
FINANCIAL TARGETS*
SEGMENT SPLIT PRODUCTS
FEBRUARY 11, 2020 Q4 2019 RESULTS 23GEOGRAPHIES
Kemira in brief
2019: REVENUE EUR 2,659 MILLION, OPERATIVE EBITDA EUR 410 MILLION, OPERATIVE EBITDA MARGIN 15.4%, OPERATIVE ROCE 11.2%
◼ 25% Bleaching and pulping ◼ 20% Polymers ◼ 20% Other: e.g. defoamers, dispersants, and biocides ◼ 20% Coagulants ◼ 15% Sizing and strength
Revenue by geographies and product category represent FY 2019.
40% AMERICAS 1.USA 2.Canada 3.Brazil 50% EMEA 1.Finland 2.Sweden 3.Germany 10% APAC 1.China 2.South Korea 3.Thailand
◼ 57%
Pulp & Paper
◼ 43%
Industry & Water
CUSTOMERS Several thousand customers TOP 10 customers are ~25% of revenue TOP 50 customers are ~50% of revenue EXAMPLES OF LARGEST CUSTOMERS
Municipalities, e.g. Frankfurt, Berlin, New York, Paris, Shanghai, Singapore #1 in water treatment in NA and Europe #2 in friction reduction in North American shale oil & gas #2 globally
Note: Revenue by industry, product and geography rounded to the nearest 5%
1,417 1,457 1,477 1,520 1,523 171 195 198 192 218 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
REVENUE BY PRODUCT CATEGORY
Q4 2019 RESULTS 24REVENUE BY CUSTOMER TYPE AND MARKET GROWTH
Pulp & Paper – strong business with solid track record
MARKET ENVIRONMENT REVENUE BY GEOGRAPHIES AND MARKET GROWTH BY REGION CUSTOMER EXAMPLES
◼ 50% EMEA ◼ 35% Americas ◼ 15% APAC ◼ 40% Bleaching & pulping ◼ 25% Sizing & strength ◼ 20%
Defoamers, dispersants, biocides and
chemicals
◼ 10% Polymers ◼ 5% Other ◼ 40% Pulp ◼ 20% Printing & writing papers ◼ 40% Board & tissue
2-3% 1-2% Market growth 2-3% 0-1% 1% Market growth
Nouryon (pulp) #3 Solenis (paper)* #1 Kemira (pulp and paper) m.s. ~16% #2 Ecolab (paper) #4
Note: Revenue by industry, product and geography rounded to the nearest 5%
FEBRUARY 11, 2020* Solenis-BASF combined entity
Kurita (paper) #5 REVENUE AND OPERATIVE EBITDA
EUR million
REVENUE BY PRODUCT CATEGORY
Q4 2019 RESULTS 25REVENUE BY APPLICATION TYPE AND MARKET GROWTH
Industry & Water – strong positions in chosen categories
REVENUE BY GEOGRAPHIES AND MARKET GROWTH BY REGION
◼ 40% Coagulants ◼ 40% Polymers ◼ 20% Other products such as defoamers and biocides
2-3% 5-6% 2-3%
◼ 45% EMEA ◼ 50% Americas ◼ 5% APAC ◼ 65% Water treatment ◼ 10% Other ◼ 25% Oil & Gas
5-6% 3-4% 3-4%
WATER TREATMENT
Amsterdam Barcelona Frankfurt Berlin Oslo Paris Stockholm Los Angeles Montreal New York City Toronto Melbourne Shanghai Singapore
OIL & GAS
Note: Revenue by industry, product and geography rounded to the nearest 5%
Market growth Market growth
CUSTOMER EXAMPLES
FEBRUARY 11, 2020REVENUE AND OPERATIVE EBITDA
EUR million
MARKET ENVIRONMENT
Market share ~30% in coagulants and ~20% in polymers Main competitors in coagulants:
Market share ~25% in polymers used in shale
Main peers in polymers (also in water treatment):
MUNICIPAL (40%), customer examples INDUSTRIAL (60%), customer examples
Municipal Industrial
956 906 1,009 1,073 1,136 116 107 114 131 192 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
2015-2016 figures are pro forma; combination of Municipal & Industrial and Oil & Mining segments * Solenis-BASF combined entity
VARIABLE COST SPLIT 2019 EUR 1.5 billion TOP 12 RAW MATERIALS BY SPEND
1. Sodium hydroxide (caustic soda)* 2. Acrylonitrile (OD) 3. Petroleum solvents (OD) 4. Aluminium Hydrate 5. Colloidal silica dispersion* 6. Acrylic Acid (OD) 7. Amines (OD) 8. Alpha olefin (OD) 9. Sodium chloride (salt)
Top 12 account for 52% of Kemira’s raw material spend OD = Oil & gas derivative * Mainly trading materials
Q4 2019 RESULTS 26EXPOSURE TO OIL RELATED RAW MATERIALS
Kemira’s variable cost split and top raw materials
◼ 35%
Oil & gas related
◼ 65%
Not oil related
◼ 70%
Raw materials
◼ 15%
Electricity & energy
◼ 15%
Logistics
FEBRUARY 11, 2020Figures rounded to the nearest 5%
Key figures
FEBRUARY 11, 2020 Q4 2019 RESULTS 27EUR million Q4 2019 Q3 2019 Q2 2019 Q1 2019 Q4 2018 2019 2018 Revenue 657.7 689.8 663.6 647.8 661.8 2,658.8 2,592.8 Operative EBITDA 90.1 118.1 106.1 95.6 84.5 410.0 323.1 margin 13.7% 17.1% 16.0% 14.8% 12.8% 15.4% 12.5% Operative EBIT 42.4 71.1 60.3 50.1 44.8 224.0 173.8 margin 6.4% 10.3% 9.1% 7.7% 6.8% 8.4% 6.7% Net profit 8.6 43.3 35.2 29.3 26.5 116.5 95.2 Earnings per share, diluted, EUR 0.05 0.27 0.22 0.18 0.17 0.72 0.58 Cash flow from operations 142.5 121.3 57.2 65.2 88.2 386.2 210.2 Capex excl. acquisitions 81.4 51.5 39.9 28.3 53.2 201.1 150.4 Net debt 811 866 921 842 741 811 741 NWC ratio (rolling 12 m) 10.7% 11.1% 10.9% 10.6% 10.2% 10.7% 10.2% Operative ROCE (rolling 12 m) 11.2% 11.5% 10.8% 10.3% 9.8% 11.2% 9.8% Personnel at period-end 5,062 5,036 5,067 4,973 4,915 5,062 4,915
Cash flow
EUR million Q4 2019 Q4 2018 2019 2018 Net profit for the period 9 27 116 95 Total adjustments 81 59 302 220 Change in net working capital 83 17 45
Finance expenses
Income taxes paid
Net cash generated from operating activities 142 88 386 210 Purchases of subsidiaries and business acquisitions, net
Capital expenditure excl. acquisition
Proceeds from sale of assets 1 8 7 Change in long-term loan receivables 5 5 Cash flow after investing activities 60
190 29
Currencies
Currency exchange rates had around EUR +53 million impact on revenue and EUR +17 million impact on the operative EBITDA in 2019 compared to 2018. Guidance: 10% change in our main foreign currencies would approximately have EUR 15 million impact on operative EBITDA on an annualized basis.
FEBRUARY 11, 2020 Q4 2019 RESULTS 29◼ 41% EUR ◼ 7% Others KEMIRA REVENUE DISTRIBUTION 2019 KEMIRA COST DISTRIBUTION 2019 ◼ 2% SEK ◼ 4% CNY ◼ 4% CAD ◼ 38% USD ◼ 6% Others ◼ 6% CNY ◼ 5% CAD ◼ 6% SEK ◼ 31% USD ◼ 41% EUR ◼ 2% BRL ◼ 2% GBP ◼ 3% GBP ◼ 2% PLN
Pulp & Paper
FEBRUARY 11, 2020 Q4 2019 RESULTS 30KEY FINANCIALS EUR million Q4 2019 Q3 2019 Q2 2019 Q1 2019 Q4 2018 2019 2018 Revenue 385.9 382.9 373.4 380.8 390.4 1,522.9 1,520.2 Operative EBITDA 52.6 61.3 53.7 50.7 51.2 218.3 191.7 margin 13.6% 16.0% 14.4% 13.3% 13.1% 14.3% 12.6% Operative EBIT 22.5 32.1 24.0 20.6 24.1 99.2 91.6 margin 5.8% 8.4% 6.4% 5.4% 6.2% 6.5% 6.0% Operative ROCE*, % 7.7% 7.9% 7.6% 7.7% 7.8% 7.7% 7.8% Capital expenditure (excl. M&A) 43.6 25.4 23.3 17.3 28.8 109.7 85.1 Cash flow after investing activities 33.5 44.6 36.2 25.1
139.4 29.9
*12-month rolling average
KEY FINANCIALS
Industry & Water
EUR million Q4 2019 Q3 2019 Q2 2019 Q1 2019 Q4 2018 2019 2018 Revenue 271.8 306.9 290.2 267.0 271.5 1,135.9 1,072.6 Operative EBITDA 37.5 56.8 52.4 45.0 33.3 191.7 131.5 margin 13.8% 18.5% 18.1% 16.8% 12.3% 16.9% 12.3% Operative EBIT 19.9 39.0 36.3 29.5 20.8 124.7 82.2 margin 7.3% 12.7% 12.5% 11.0% 7.7% 11.0% 7.7% Operative ROCE*, % 17.6% 18.4% 16.9% 15.4% 13.6% 17.6% 13.6% Capital expenditure (excl. M&A) 37.8 26.0 16.5 11.0 24.4 91.4 65.3 Cash flow after investing activities 57.3 37.9 5.7 27.8 23.8 128.7 52.5
*12-month rolling average
FY 2019
Revenue split by country
FEBRUARY 11, 2020 Q4 2019 RESULTS 32USA 27% Canada 7% Brazil 2% Uruguay 2% Other Americas 2% Finland 15% Sweden 5% Germany 4% Poland 2% UK 4% Spain 2% Other APAC 6% China 4% Russia 2% Netherlands 2% France 2% Italy 2% Other EMEA 9% Norway 1%
Important information about financial figures
Kemira provides certain financial performance measures (alternative performance measures)
growth*, EBITDA, operative EBITDA, cash flow after investing activities, and gearing followed by capital markets and Kemira management, provide useful information of its comparable business performance and financial position. Selected alternative performance measures are also used as performance criteria in remuneration. Kemira’s alternative performance measures should not be viewed in isolation to the equivalent IFRS measures and alternative performance measures should be read in conjunction with the most directly comparable IFRS measures. Definitions of the alternative performance measures can be found in the Definitions of the key figures in this report, as well as at www.kemira.com > Investors > Financial information. All the figures in this interim report have been individually rounded and consequently the sum
* Revenue growth in local currencies, excluding acquisitions and divestments