Stress Testing Executive Officer San Diego LAFCO LAFCOs Oversight - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

Stress Testing

LAFCOs’ Oversight of Local Agencies and Municipal Services in Changing Times

CALAFCO Annual Conference October 30, 2019 | Sacramento

Session Speakers

Keene Simonds

Executive Officer San Diego LAFCO

Kate Gordon

Director State Office of Planning and Research

Ellen Hanak

Center Director on Water Policy Public Policy Institute of California

Bill Connelly

Supervisor and Commissioner County of Butte and Butte LAFCO

L

Session Overview

Intended Takeaways…

Climate + Local Government + Jurisdictional Setting = YOU Three Distinct Perspectives … From the Governor’s Office … On California’s Water Grid … On the Ground in Butte County LAFCOs’ Role as Gatekeepers to Jurisdictional Changes … Rethinking Efficient, Effective and Orderly Growth What Say You…

Stress Testing:

LAFCOs’ Oversight of Local Agencies in Changing Times

California Leadership for Local Climate Adaptation & Resiliency

Kate Gordon

Director of the Governor’s Office of Planning & Research Senior Advisor to the Governor on Climate

AMBITION

• 100% Clean

Electricity by 2045

• Carbon Neutrality

by 2045

TO ACTION

19/20 FY State Budget

• Ongoing

commitments to High Speed Rail, AHSC, transit

• $235 million for

wildfire protection & recovery

• $200 million for infill

housing EO N-19-19

Ex Executiv ecutive Or e Order der N-19 19-19 19

 Leverage the state’s investment portfolio to

advance CA’s climate leadership, protect taxpayers, and support the creation of high-road jobs.

 Leverage the state’s transportation spending to

reverse the trend of increased fuel consumption, lower VMT, and reduce GhGs associated with the transportation sector.

 Leverage the state’s existing owned and leased

assets to minimize the state’s carbon footprint.

 Accelerate progress toward the state’s goal of 5

million ZEVs by 2030

Needed to achieve GHG targets per Scoping Plan Needed to achieve 2030 SB 375 Targets

9

CA Extremes and Contrasts

Statewide Impacts

BY 2100

• Every City and County in CA

required to have a General Plan

• Long-term vision for future

growth and development

• 2017 Update, first inclusion of

climate adaptation

• Suite of tools
• Data Mapping Tool
• Cal-Adapt
• Adaptation Planning Guide
• Available online:

http://opr.ca.gov/planning/genera l-plan/guidelines.html

SB 379: Local Planning Requirements

12

Managing California’s Water in a Changing Climate: Implications for Local Government

Ellen Hanak

Supported by the annual sponsors of the PPIC Water Policy Center

CALAFCO Conference -- October 30, 2019

California water management must adapt to change

14

▪ Changing climate ▪ Population growth ▪ Mandated groundwater sustainability ▪ Technology, regulations ▪ State, federal, local relationships

Paso Robles. Source: DWR

Climate pressures have broad impacts on California’s water management…

15

Warming temperatures Shrinking snowpack Shorter wet seasons Increasing Volatility Rising seas More volatile precipitation Shorter wet seasons

…and will require innovative, integrated portfolio of solutions

16

▪

Warming, volatility makes it harder to store water, manage floods, protect ecosystems

▪

Aging water grid is based on

• utdated hydrology

▪

Increasing extremes affect supply and demand patterns

Oroville Spillway Damage in 2017. Source: DWR

Modernize the water grid

17

Source: Priorities for California’s Water, PPIC

Prepare for changing supply and demand

18

▪ Emphasize regional portfolios ▪ Make it easier to trade water ▪ Connect water and land use

planning

▪ Recharge suitability ▪ Flood risk ▪ Supply resilience

San Joaquin Valley urban spheres of influence

Source: Water and the Future of the San Joaquin Valley, PPIC

Provide safe and affordable drinking water

19

Source: Priorities for California’s Water, PPIC

Four principles for managing water in changing climate

20

▪

Flexibility to manage increased volatility and build resilience

▪

Incentives to implement smarter, more flexible management

▪

Alignment across agencies to make it easier to trade water, recharge aquifers, and restore ecosystems

▪

Multiple-benefit approaches to broaden cooperation and leverage more sources of funding

Collaboration is essential for lasting solutions

21

Source: Lori Pottinger

About these slides

These slides were created to accompany a presentation. They do not include full documentation of sources, data samples, methods, and interpretations. To avoid misinterpretations, please contact: Ellen Hanak (hanak@ppic.org, 415-291-4433) Thank you for your interest in this work.

Stress Testing: LAFCO’s Oversight of Local Agencies in Changing Times

Bill Connelly Butte County Supervisor LAFCO Commissioner CALAFCO Conference October 30, 2019 Sacramento

Stress…What Stress?

Flooding

Fire

Fire Power Shut-Offs Dam Failure

Is Anyone Safe Anymore ? Any Where?

What Can a Poor LAFCo Do?

• Prior to the Oroville Dam Crisis and the Camp

Fire, LAFCO had little to no role to play in emergency preparedness.

• We provided occasional mapping data and

shared contacts when specifically requested.

• Made observations in MSR’s

The Three Years That Changed Everything!

What We Thought was A Whole New Level of Disaster!

Butte County has had many bad fires with significant losses of Property and personal injury. In 2017/18 the drought brought three of the most recent fires: Ponderosa (4,066 ac, 54 structures) Wall (6,033 ac, 101 structures) HUMBOLDT (23,344 ac, 254 structures)

but only a few short months took us from…

too little rain…

to way too much rain!

February 2017

Infrastructure Fails!

Get Out Now!

180,000 Evacuated

Crisis Averted…cost of repairs now exceeding $1B

Then the Most Destructive Fire In CA History: Camp mp Fir ire

• 153,336 acres
• 55,000 people evacuated
• 85 fatalities
• 18,000 structures destroyed
• $16 Billion Damages
• Town of Paradise gone

What didn’t make the news..

Impacts Far and Wide

In Burn Scar Out of Burn Scar

Town of Paradise City of Chico Butte County City of Biggs Paradise Irrigation District City of Gridley Kimshew Cemetery District City of Oroville Paradise Cemetery District CSA 21 - Oak Ridge Sewer CSA 4 - Sierra Del Oro Drainage CSA 98 - Oro Montes Drainage CSA 141 - Mountain Oaks Sewer Paradise Park and Recreation District Butte County Mosquito Vector Control District Buzztail Community Services District Community of Magalia Community of Paradise pines Community of Concow Community of Yankee Hill

Direct Impacts

90% loss of population 85% loss of residential structures Millions in lost property tax valuation Near total destruction of water system, electrical grid, communications, cable, internet Voting process disrupted Hospital – Medical Services destroyed

In-Direct Impacts Out of Burn Scar

• Housing Crisis
• Traffic Congestion
• Population Increases
• Infrastructure Burdens (sewer)
• Emergency Services Taxed
• Medical Facilities Over Used
• Social Services Taxed
• Homelessness
• Crime
• Lost Property Tax Revenue

When will it stop?

• Persistent Drought creates year round fire threat…
• Forest health is constant concern…
• Too little snow reserves leads to drought…
• Too much rain causes flooding…
• Groundwater is taxed…
• Aging infrastructure can’t keep

up with new paradigms! Lions, tigers and bears OH MY!

A new paradigm and new role.

LAFCO as PREDICTOR MSR’s are not just about what “IS” anymore, they must evolve into what “COULD BE”? We will need to focus on improved:

– DATA and MAPPING – TRAININGS – COMMUNICATIONS – HAZARD MITIGATION PLANNING (AB 2238 (Aguiar-Curry) – Local

hazard management.

– EMERGENCY PREPAREDNESS AND ASSISTANCE – SHELTERING

LAFCO as CONDUIT

• One big issue for most agencies is not knowing

all the resources available out there to help.

• Create a collaborative relationship with the

County Office of Emergency Management (OEM) to identify players and

• pportunities

not currently identified.

• Maintain accessible data and maps and have it

ready and available in an emergency.

DATA and MAPPING

• Provide an updated list of special district contacts.
• Provide map layers of special districts to the County to better

identify stakeholders.

• Provide description of district services.

COMMUNICATIONS

• Biggest component of effective emergency response

at a regional level is timely/accurate communication.

• Too often, very quick, false or misleading

information is presented on social media that gets

• ut in front of "official" communications.
• The LAFCO website or social media account could

help?

Hazard Mitigation Planning

• Get involved in your Local Hazard Mitigation Plan process. This may also

allow for some limited funding to update maps or contact protocols.

• Help you local special districts understand their role in the process.
• Local agencies eligible for FEMA reimbursement related to natural hazard

damages.

Emergency Assistance Can be Identified in MSR’s

Consider the resources available to your special districts and how they can help during an emergency response. Special districts often have trained personnel and suitable equipment that could be loaned to the emergency response effort . (portable lighting, generators, traffic control devices, etc) District personnel often have their own safety training and equipment for their district. (lighting, protective gear, radios, etc) They could provide manpower and vehicles to such secondary efforts such as manning road closures, assisting in evacuations, and in some circumstances, debris removal, and drainage repairs. (dump trucks, back hoes, excavators, trucks with emergency lights)

Sheltering

• Many local agencies have large facilities/buildings that could be

used to support staging, evacuation and sheltering efforts.

• POST DISASTER RECOVERY
• Special districts that provide back bone

services such as sewers, water, and electrical services, must be an integral part of recovery efforts.

It’s Up to You?

• Our previous “limited role” will now evolve.
• LAFCO knowledge and neutrality is often more valuable than LAFCO

authority.

• LAFCo can be the level head

as fact checker without an emotional attachment to the crisis

LAFCO LAFCO

Municipal Services Subject to LAFCO

(excludes special legislation powers)

Stress Testing:

LAFCOs’ Oversight of Local Agencies in Changing Times

All Service Functions – Directly or Indirectly – Are Affected by Climate…

Bonus Slide…