Session Speakers Keene Simonds Stress Testing Executive Officer San Diego LAFCO LAFCOs’ Oversight of Local Agencies and Kate Gordon Director Municipal Services in Changing Times State Office of Planning and Research Ellen Hanak Center Director on Water Policy Public Policy Institute of California Bill Connelly CALAFCO Annual Conference Supervisor and Commissioner County of Butte and Butte LAFCO October 30, 2019 | Sacramento L
Stress Testing: LAFCOs’ Oversight of Local Agencies in Changing Times Intended Takeaways… Climate + Local Government + Jurisdictional Setting = YOU Session Overview Three Distinct Perspectives … From the Governor’s Office … On California’s Water Grid … On the Ground in Butte County LAFCOs’ Role as Gatekeepers to Jurisdictional Changes … Rethinking Efficient, Effective and Orderly Growth What Say You…
California Leadership for Local Climate Adaptation & Resiliency Kate Gordon Director of the Governor’s Office of Planning & Research Senior Advisor to the Governor on Climate
AMBITION • 100% Clean Electricity by 2045 • Carbon Neutrality by 2045
19/20 FY State Budget TO ACTION • Ongoing commitments to High Speed Rail, AHSC, transit • $235 million for wildfire protection & recovery • $200 million for infill housing EO N-19-19
Ex Executiv ecutive Or e Order der N-19 19-19 19 Leverage the state’s investment portfolio to advance CA’s climate leadership, protect taxpayers, and support the creation of high-road jobs. Leverage the state’s transportation spending to reverse the trend of increased fuel consumption, lower VMT, and reduce GhGs associated with the transportation sector. Leverage the state’s existing owned and leased assets to minimize the state’s carbon footprint. Accelerate progress toward the state’s goal of 5 million ZEVs by 2030
Needed to achieve 2030 SB 375 Targets Needed to achieve GHG targets per Scoping Plan
9 CA Extremes and Contrasts
Statewide Impacts BY 2100
SB 379: Local Planning Requirements • Every City and County in CA required to have a General Plan • Long-term vision for future growth and development • 2017 Update, first inclusion of climate adaptation • Suite of tools • Data Mapping Tool • Cal-Adapt • Adaptation Planning Guide • Available online: http://opr.ca.gov/planning/genera l-plan/guidelines.html
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Managing California’s Water in a Changing Climate: Implications for Local Government CALAFCO Conference -- October 30, 2019 Ellen Hanak Supported by the annual sponsors of the PPIC Water Policy Center
California water management must adapt to change ▪ Changing climate ▪ Population growth ▪ Mandated groundwater sustainability ▪ Technology, regulations ▪ State, federal, local relationships Paso Robles. Source: DWR 14
Climate pressures have broad impacts on California’s water management… Warming Shrinking Shorter wet temperatures snowpack seasons Shorter wet seasons More volatile Rising Increasing precipitation seas Volatility 15
…and will require innovative, integrated portfolio of solutions ▪ Warming, volatility makes it harder to store water, manage floods, protect ecosystems ▪ Aging water grid is based on outdated hydrology ▪ Increasing extremes affect supply and demand patterns Oroville Spillway Damage in 2017. Source: DWR 16
Modernize the water grid Source: Priorities for California’s Water, PPIC 17
Prepare for changing supply and demand San Joaquin Valley urban spheres of influence ▪ Emphasize regional portfolios ▪ Make it easier to trade water ▪ Connect water and land use planning ▪ Recharge suitability ▪ Flood risk ▪ Supply resilience Source: Water and the Future of the San Joaquin Valley, PPIC 18
Provide safe and affordable drinking water Source: Priorities for California’s Water, PPIC 19
Four principles for managing water in changing climate ▪ Flexibility to manage increased volatility and build resilience ▪ Incentives to implement smarter, more flexible management ▪ Alignment across agencies to make it easier to trade water, recharge aquifers, and restore ecosystems ▪ Multiple-benefit approaches to broaden cooperation and leverage more sources of funding 20
Collaboration is essential for lasting solutions Source: Lori Pottinger 21
About these slides These slides were created to accompany a presentation. They do not include full documentation of sources, data samples, methods, and interpretations. To avoid misinterpretations, please contact: Ellen Hanak (hanak@ppic.org, 415-291-4433) Thank you for your interest in this work.
Stress Testing: LAFCO’s Oversight of Local Agencies in Changing Times Bill Connelly Butte County Supervisor LAFCO Commissioner CALAFCO Conference October 30, 2019 Sacramento
Stress…What Stress ? Flooding Fire Fire Power Shut-Offs Dam Failure
Is Anyone Safe Anymore ? Any Where?
What Can a Poor LAFCo Do? • Prior to the Oroville Dam Crisis and the Camp Fire, LAFCO had little to no role to play in emergency preparedness. • We provided occasional mapping data and shared contacts when specifically requested. • Made observations in MSR’s
The Three Years That Changed Everything!
What We Thought was A Whole New Level of Disaster! Butte County has had many bad fires with significant losses of Property and personal injury. In 2017/18 the drought brought three of the most recent fires: Ponderosa (4,066 ac, 54 structures) Wall (6,033 ac, 101 structures) HUMBOLDT (23,344 ac, 254 structures) but only a few short months took us from…
too little rain…
to way too much rain! February 2017
Infrastructure Fails!
Get Out Now! 180,000 Evacuated
Crisis Averted…cost of repairs now exceeding $1B
Then the Most Destructive Fire In CA History: Camp mp Fir ire • 153,336 acres • 55,000 people evacuated • 85 fatalities • 18,000 structures destroyed • $16 Billion Damages • Town of Paradise gone
What didn’t make the news..
Impacts Far and Wide In Burn Scar Out of Burn Scar Town of Paradise City of Chico Butte County City of Biggs Paradise Irrigation District City of Gridley Kimshew Cemetery District City of Oroville Paradise Cemetery District CSA 21 - Oak Ridge Sewer CSA 4 - Sierra Del Oro Drainage CSA 98 - Oro Montes Drainage CSA 141 - Mountain Oaks Sewer Paradise Park and Recreation District Butte County Mosquito Vector Control District Buzztail Community Services District Community of Magalia Community of Paradise pines Community of Concow Community of Yankee Hill
Direct Impacts 90% loss of population 85% loss of residential structures Millions in lost property tax valuation Near total destruction of water system, electrical grid, communications, cable, internet Voting process disrupted Hospital – Medical Services destroyed
In-Direct Impacts Out of Burn Scar • Housing Crisis • Traffic Congestion • Population Increases • Infrastructure Burdens (sewer) • Emergency Services Taxed • Medical Facilities Over Used • Social Services Taxed • Homelessness • Crime • Lost Property Tax Revenue
When will it stop? • Persistent Drought creates year round fire threat… • Forest health is constant concern… • Too little snow reserves leads to drought… • Too much rain causes flooding… • Groundwater is taxed… • Aging infrastructure can’t keep up with new paradigms! Lions, tigers and bears OH MY!
A new paradigm and new role. LAFCO as PREDICTOR MSR’s are not just about what “ IS ” anymore, they must evolve into what “ COULD BE ”? We will need to focus on improved: – DATA and MAPPING – TRAININGS – COMMUNICATIONS – HAZARD MITIGATION PLANNING (AB 2238 (Aguiar-Curry) – Local hazard management. – EMERGENCY PREPAREDNESS AND ASSISTANCE – SHELTERING
LAFCO as CONDUIT • One big issue for most agencies is not knowing all the resources available out there to help. • Create a collaborative relationship with the County Office of Emergency Management (OEM) to identify players and opportunities not currently identified. • Maintain accessible data and maps and have it ready and available in an emergency.
DATA and MAPPING • Provide an updated list of special district contacts. • Provide map layers of special districts to the County to better identify stakeholders. • Provide description of district services.
COMMUNICATIONS • Biggest component of effective emergency response at a regional level is timely/accurate communication. • Too often, very quick, false or misleading information is presented on social media that gets out in front of "official" communications. • The LAFCO website or social media account could help?
Hazard Mitigation Planning • Get involved in your Local Hazard Mitigation Plan process. This may also allow for some limited funding to update maps or contact protocols. • Help you local special districts understand their role in the process. • Local agencies eligible for FEMA reimbursement related to natural hazard damages.
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