Kemira – progressing our strategy for profitable growth
Capital Markets Day
September 21, 2017
strategy for profitable growth Kemira Capital Markets Day 2017 - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
September 21, 2017 Capital Markets Day Kemira progressing our strategy for profitable growth Kemira Capital Markets Day 2017 Program (UK time): 11.00 Registration & breakfast 11.30 President & CEO: Jari Rosendal Pulp & Paper: Kim
Capital Markets Day
September 21, 2017
11.00 Registration & breakfast 11.30 President & CEO: Jari Rosendal Pulp & Paper: Kim Poulsen Industry & Water: Antti Salminen 12.45 Lunch 13.20 Oil & Gas: Pedro Materan Sourcing: Thierry Blomet CFO: Petri Castrén 14.35 Coffee break 14.50 Breakout sessions with the management (three groups) 16.05 Cocktails 17.00 End Program (UK time):
Jari Rosendal President and CEO Petri Castrén CFO Kim Poulsen President, Pulp & Paper Antti Salminen President, Industry & Water Thierry Blomet SVP, Sourcing Pedro Materan SVP, Oil & Gas
September 21, 2017 Capital Markets Day 2
Jari Rosendal
President and CEO with Kemira since 2014 Key prior positions:
– Member of the Executive Board – Executive Vice President, President of Americas Region – President, Non‐ferrous Solutions Business Area – President, Minerals Processing Division
– Member of the Board of Directors
– Member of the Board of Directors
Petri Castrén
CFO with Kemira since 2013 Key prior positions:
– Head of Corporate Finance (Group Treasurer) – Head of Corporate Development
– Head of Mergers & Acquisitions – Various finance and business development management roles
September 21, 2017 Capital Markets Day 3
Kim Poulsen
President, Segment Pulp & Paper with Kemira since 2015 Key prior positions:
– Paper Asia, EVP and Group Executive Team Member – Head of APAC, EVP and Group Executive Team Member – Senior Vice President, Plywood business
– Owner and Senior Partner
– President and CEO
– Several management roles
Antti Salminen
President, Segment Industry & Water with Kemira since 2011 Key prior positions:
– Executive Vice President, Supply Chain Management
– Director, New Equipment Business, Asia Pacific – Vice President, Delivery Process
– Managing Consultant
September 21, 2017 Capital Markets Day 4
Pedro Materan
SVP, Global Oil & Gas, Industry & Water with Kemira since 2006 Key prior positions:
– SVP, RBU Oil & Mining, Americas – Global Business Development and Global Sales Manager, Oil and Gas
– Global Marketing Manager for Oilfield – Sales Manager, Americas for Phosphine Chemicals (Oil, Mining and Textiles) – Regional Technical Sales Manager for Water Treatment – Sales Rep for Water Soluble Polymers
Thierry Blomet
SVP, Sourcing with Kemira since 2013 Key prior positions:
– Director, Raw Material Purchasing EMEA – Director, Indirect Purchasing EMEA – Business Director – Industrial Finishes Europe
– Business Director – Coatings for mass production industry
September 21, 2017 Capital Markets Day 5
Capital Markets Day
Jari Rosendal, President and CEO September 21, 2017
GEOGRAPHIES SEGMENT SPLIT PRODUCTS
FY2016: Revenue EUR 2,363 billion, Operative EBITDA EUR 302.5 million, margin 12.8%
25% Bleaching
and pulping
20%
Polymers
20% Other:
e.g. defoamers, dispersants, and biocides
20%
Coagulants
15% Sizing
and strength
Revenue by product category rounded to the nearest 5%
38%
AMERICAS 1.USA 2.Canada 3.Brazil
52%
EUROPE 1.Finland 2.Sweden 3.Germany
10%
APAC 1.China 2.Indonesia 3.South Korea
62%
Pulp & Paper
38%
Industry & Water
CUSTOMERS 8,000 Sold-to customers 16,000 Ship-to customers Examples of largest customers
September 21, 2017 Capital Markets Day 7
#1 in water treatment in NA and Europe #1 in shale in NA #1 globally London New York City Frankfurt Paris Shanghai Singapore Municipalities, e.g.
September 21, 2017 Capital Markets Day 8
ORGANIC GROWTH
ACQUISITIONS
Very selective approach
EFFICIENCY
and utilization optimization
excellence
with new structure
OPERATING COST DISCIPLINE
Prudent cost culture
Above-the-market growth and operative EBITDA of 14-16%
Expansion of pulp chemicals, Oulu (FI)
September 21, 2017 Capital Markets Day 9
Acquisition Opening / expansion of site Operational efficiencies
Opening of Tarragona coagulant site (ES) Acquisition BASF AKD emulsion business Opening of EMEA service center Expansion of dry and emulsion polyacrylamide (US) Opening of Nanjing (CN) site Closure of Longview (US) AkzoNobel’s paper chemicals acquisition Acquisition of Soto Industries (US) Closure of Soave (IT) Start-up of Ortigueira (BR) sodium chlorate site and announcement of Joutseno (FI) expansion Acquisition
Services (US) Botlek (NL) modernization BOOST operational excellence program launch Bradford (UK) expansion San Giorgio (IT) expansion Closures of Ottawa (CA) and Zaramillo (ES)
Closure of site
Q4 16 Transportation agreement with Odyssey Q1 17 Odyssey go-live in North America Two segment structure
Q2 17 Q3 16 Q1 14 Q3 14 Q4 14 Q1 15 Q2 15 Q3 15 Q4 15 Q1 16 Q2 16 Q2 14
11.3%
2013 operative EBITDA
12.8%
2016 operative EBITDA Q3 17 Start-up of Joutseno (FI) chlorate expansion
Revenue
2229 2137 2373 2363 2420 2013 2014 2015 2016 LTM
Operative EBITDA and
September 21, 2017 Capital Markets Day 10
EUR million EUR million
252 253 287 303 297
11.3% 11.8% 12.1% 12.8% 12.3%
2013 2014 2015 2016 LTM
Between 2014-2016, Oil & Mining revenue and operative EBITDA dropped EUR 70 million and EUR 30 million respectively
LTM = Last Twelve Months ending June 2017
Long-term drivers for growth, including:
and urbanization leads to higher usage of water, energy, tissue, and board
usage of strength chemicals
more with less
Challenges
demand
2017 2022
Market growth by business areas: Pulp & Paper 1%, Water treatment 2-3%, Oil & Gas 5-6% p.a.
September 21, 2017 Capital Markets Day 11
2-3% 3-4%
CAGR 2017-2022 ~20 ~23 +3%
2-3%
Management estimation based on various sources
Americas EMEA APAC Relevant target market (EUR billion)
growing market
EBITDA turned to positive after 2014
– New greenfield manufacturing site in Nanjing, China in 2014 and acquisition of AkzoNobel’s paper chemicals in 2015 have helped to improve profitability – We are market leader in Pulp & Paper with ~10% market share – Industry & Water continue to grow, albeit from small base
September 21, 2017 Capital Markets Day 12 * H1 2017 annualized
2011 2013 2015 H1 2017* 2011 2013 2015 H1 2017* Operative EBITDA Revenue
We innovate for the future through customer collaboration, partnerships and open innovation. We use digitalization to improve our own performance as well as the services offered to customers. 250 R&D experts create new innovations in R&D centers in Finland, China and US. 348 patent families Over 1,200 patents
25% Bleaching
and pulping
20%
Polymers
20% Other:
e.g. defoamers, dispersants, and biocides
20%
Coagulants
15% Sizing
and strength
Products EUR 2.4bn
Sales from new products (launched within the last 5 years)
Best selling new products in 2016
tolerant friction reducer
Stabilizing additives for CEOR polymers
Strength for tissue
September 21, 2017 Capital Markets Day 14
5% 7% 8% 8% 9% 50 100 150 200 250 300 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
2,300
products
63
manufacturing sites
13,000
suppliers
200
warehouse locations
16,000
ship-to- customers
250,000
year
BOOST is about improving competitiveness through efficiency Majority of savings will result from logistics
around EUR 170 million on road transportation
Odyssey expected to yield significant savings of road transportation cost
North America in April and Europe to follow
Distribution center Kemira Supplier Customer Kem Connect Customer Service
2015 2016 2017 LTM Acquisition synergies Group Pulp & Paper BOOST -
excellence Industry & Water Industry & Water Industry & Water Volatility Mid- to long-term target
September 21, 2017 Capital Markets Day 16
12.3% Operative EBITDA margin 14-16%
New bleaching chemical capacity (Joutseno, Finland) Optimization
majority of savings in logistics Oil sands Chemical Enhanced Oil Recovery
12.1%
Efficiencies from new two segment structure
12.8%
Estimated end of 2017 run-rate 100% 100% 75% Low 25% Low Low Full run-rate by EO 2017 EO 2017 2018 1-2 yrs 2-3 yrs 2-5 yrs 3-5 yrs
AkzoNobel’s paper chemicals business Advanced Water Treatment Market and raw material related volatility
LTM = Last Twelve Months ending June 2017
to report that everyone is safe
short-term by consequences of flooding
– Our assets were not damaged – Customer operations not materially impacted
normalization of supply chain
– Availability of raw materials partially limited – Disruptions in logistics
September 21, 2017 Capital Markets Day 17
Primary business / company (primary region) Board and paper chemicals / Soto (Canada) Q3/2013 Polymer manufacturer / 3F (global) Q4/2013 Board and paper chemicals / BASF AKD (Europe) Q2/2014 Board and paper chemicals / Akzo Nobel (global) Q2/2015 Board and paper chemicals / Soto (US) Q3/2015 Oil field services / Polymer Services (US) Q4/2015
Acquisition criteria
closing
competencies
September 21, 2017 Capital Markets Day 18
– New chlorate plant in Brazil 2016 – New chlorate line in Finland in 2017 – Capacity additions related to AkzoNobel acquisition – Polymer capacity additions
– Good maintenance capex control – Prudent strategic prioritization of investments – Optional investments / M&A in profitable growth areas – Net working capital optimization
September 21, 2017 Capital Markets Day 19
GROUP’S MID- TO LONG-TERM TARGETS
Dividend policy: stable and competitive dividend
Capital Markets Day
Kim Poulsen, President, Pulp & Paper September 21, 2017
REVENUE BY PRODUCT CATEGORY REVENUE BY CUSTOMER TYPE AND MARKET GROWTH REVENUE AND OPERATIVE EBITDA
September 21, 2017 Capital Markets Day 22 Note: Revenue by industry, product and geography rounded to the nearest 5%
MARKET ENVIRONMENT REVENUE BY GEOGRAPHIES AND MARKET GROWTH BY REGION CUSTOMER EXAMPLES
1047 1068 1170 1417 1457 109 130 137 171 195 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
35%
Americas
50%
EMEA
15%
APAC
35%
Bleaching & pulping
25%
Sizing & strength
20%
Defoamers, dispersants, biocides and other process chemicals
10%
Polymers
10%
Other
40%
Pulp
20%
Printing & writing papers
40%
Board & tissue
2-3% 1-2% Market growth 2-3% 0-1% 0-1% Market growth
AkzoNobel (pulp) #4 BASF (paper) #2 Solenis (paper) #3 Kemira (pulp and paper) #1 Ecolab (paper) #5
2016 CMD
interviewed by video
relationship with Kemira
– Kemira’s international footprint matches UPM’s locations – Comprehensive product portfolio is attractive – Further potential for Kemira to increase share
– Request for more collaboration to find new innovations and efficiencies
2017 CMD
from 2016 to 2017 visible on video
September 21, 2017 Capital Markets Day 23
September 21, 2017 Capital Markets Day 24
Above-the-market growth and operative EBITDA 14-16%
Improve customer experience Maximize capacity utilization Manage fixed costs Invest in growth and R&D
15/16 survey items improved since 2015
below 2016 level
Reduce complexity Enhance performance culture
Growth of board and paper production by region 2015-2030
2030
BIGGEST PRODUCERS ARE: China, USA, Japan, Germany, India, Sweden, Korea, Canada, Finland, Brazil BIGGEST GROWTH AREAS ARE: China, India, Indonesia, Brazil, Russia, Vietnam
North America 2015: 82 mt 2030: 75 mt Latin America 2015: 21 mt 2030: 31 mt
2015: 85 mt 2030: 78 mt
2015: 18 mt 2030: 26 mt China 2015: 106 mt 2030: 139 mt Africa 2015: 4 mt 2030: 6 mt Oceania 2015: 4 mt 2030: 4 mt Japan 2015: 26 mt 2030: 21 mt Rest of Asia 2015: 55 mt 2030: 82 mt
TOTAL BOARD & PAPER PRODUCTION: 2015: 402 million tons 2030: 461 million tons CAGR%: around 1 % / annum
Source: Pöyry
REGION MARKET POSITION GROWTH TREND GROWTH STRATEGY
EMEA North America APAC South America #1 #2/3 #1 #3 Exceptional customer experience Transformation from paper to board Continue to grow with major players (TCM) and assess future investments Assess future bleaching investments
TCM = Total Chemistry Management
in May 2015
– Target initially EUR 15 million – Run-rate ahead of plan, close to EUR 20 million
especially in APAC
– 4 of 6 sites acquired were in APAC
China executed well and ramping up according to plan
September 21, 2017 Capital Markets Day 27
Hallam – Australia Pasuruan – Indonesia Wellgrow – Thailand Gunsan – Korea Nanjing – China Yanzhou – China Acquired site Kemira site
Pulp & Paper relevant chemicals market 2017
EUR million
will be bigger than Europe and North America combined by 2020
production growth in APAC
share in APAC
– Revenue doubled to around EUR 200 million in 3 years
potential for profitable growth
share
2000 4000 6000 South America APAC North America EMEA
September 21, 2017 Capital Markets Day 28
0-1%
2-3% 2-3% CAGR 2017- 2022
Source: Pöyry, management estimation
increasing demand for board and tissue
– Food and liquid packaging board is growing particularly fast in Asia – Pulp is produced close to wood sources and then shipped to board, paper, and tissue mills – Growth in board = 1 new pulp mill per year
expected in Northern Europe creating
the market
projects expected in South America
September 21, 2017 Capital Markets Day 29
Confirmed new capacity / debottlenecking 2016-2020 Possible new mills 2020-2022
Kemira bleaching chemicals revenue growth
utilized, hence the need for additional capacity
EUR 50 million investment
start-up was ahead of schedule in early September 2017
H2 2018
– Part of the production will be shipped to APAC to support the growth in the region
2014 2015 2016 2017 H1 ann.
September 21, 2017 Capital Markets Day 30
+7% +10% +5% +3% +6%
CAGR
Capital Markets Day
Antti Salminen, President, Industry & Water September 21, 2017
business
and efficiency opportunities
in selected areas
MARKET POSITION
220 227 231 228 238 248 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2
REVENUE BY PRODUCT CATEGORY REVENUE BY APPLICATION TYPE AND MARKET GROWTH
Note: Revenue by industry, product and geography rounded to the nearest 5%
REVENUE AND ORGANIC GROWTH (Y-O-Y)
EUR million
Capital Markets Day 33
REVENUE BY GEOGRAPHIES AND MARKET GROWTH BY REGION CUSTOMER EXAMPLES 45%
Coagulants
35%
Polymers
20%
Other products such as defoamers and biocides 2-3% 5-6% 2-3% Market growth
September 21, 2017
40%
Americas
55%
EMEA
5%
APAC
70%
Water treatment
15%
Other
15%
Oil & Gas
5-6% 3-4% 3-4% Market growth
Municipal (40%),
customer examples Amsterdam Barcelona Frankfurt London Oslo Paris Stockholm Los Angeles Montreal New York City Toronto Melbourne Shanghai Singapore
Industrial (60%),
customer examples
Market share in water treatment in Europe and North America Market share in polymers used for friction reduction in US shale fracking
>30% 30%
0% +6% +9%
2016 2017
REVENUE
EUR million 956 906 447 485 2015 2016 H1 2016 H1 2017 116 107 54 52 12.2% 11.8% 12.2% 10.8% 2015 2016 H1 2016 H1 2017
turmoil in shale industry
– Growth +9%, driven by Oil & Gas – Volume growth in water treatment +2%
material prices
– Selected applications within Oil & Gas, such as CEOR and oil sands, as well as shale fracking – Advanced Water Treatment (AWT) – Water treatment in APAC
Capital Markets Day 34
+9%
OPERATIVE EBITDA AND OPERATIVE EBITDA MARGIN
EUR million
September 21, 2017
segment
– Full geographical reach in all regions – Global polymer expert network – Water treatment expertise for O&G and Mining
innovations
– On Group-level cost savings EUR 15-20 million
Capital Markets Day 35
Oil & Mining Municipal & Industrial 70%
Water treatment
15%
Oil & Gas
Industry & Water
15%
Other applications
September 21, 2017
REVENUE IN GROWTH INITIATIVES
EUR million
24 28 20 40 60 80 2015 2016 Water Treatment Oil & Gas
– +2% in water treatment – Around +50% in Oil & Gas
Capital Markets Day 36
BUSINESS AREA REGION GROWTH INITIATIVES IN 2015-2017
WATER TREATMENT EMEA Desalination BioGas Sludge dewatering Middle East and Africa NA Odor control Sludge dewatering APAC Deep sludge dewatering OIL & GAS GLOBAL CEOR Oil sands in Canada
+65%
September 21, 2017
Capital Markets Day 37
Continuous ideas inflow
Projects under evaluation
Enhanced Oil Recovery
Projects under development and early commercialization Projected 10-yr NPV
8 2 3 12 1
EUR 650 million
AWT = Advanced Water Treatment
Oil sands Shale oil & gas Solid liquid separation (incl. AWT)
Sludge dewatering, nutrients recovery, mining processes
Desalination, re-use & disinfection
(incl. AWT)
2 3 12 1
September 21, 2017
# of projects
EUR 110 million, 12% of Industry & Water revenue from innovation in 2016
Dewatering Today Smart Dewatering Tomorrow
ADVANCED WATER TREATMENT CASE EXAMPLE
Disposal Cost KemConnect Service Fee Disposal Cost Customer Net Savings Chemical Cost
Capital Markets Day
Pedro Materan, SVP, Oil & Gas September 21, 2017
in polymers
Customers
Designed to extract more
September 21, 2017 Capital Markets Day 41
DESIGNED TO EXTRACT MORE
A unique combination
and application knowledge that improves process efficiency and yield in
Revenue in EUR million (LTM)
Global commercial team
Revenue in Americas
On upstream and in water related applications
LTM = Last Twelve Months ending June 2017
KEMIRA OIL & GAS REVENUE
selective market diversification assuring growth
– Process efficiencies: polymers that reduce energy consumption by 60% in shale oil fields – Cost reduction: higher concentrated liquids that make offshore oil recovery more cost effective (CEOR) – Addressing environmental regulations: tailing treatment in oil sands
expansion
September 21, 2017 Capital Markets Day 42
25%
Other
50%
Shale fracking
25%
Oil sands and Chemical Enhanced Oil Recovery
Revenue EUR 152 m
(LTM) 50 100 150 200 2013 2014 2015 2016 LTM
+47%
in H1/17 Oil price
Figures rounded to closest 5%
LTM = Last Twelve Months ending June 2017
New global organization concentrating on extraction areas
September 21, 2017 Capital Markets Day 43
Oil & Gas revenue Upstream Reaching Midstream Producing Downstream Transporting Downstream Processing 90% 90% 10% Area Oilfield Chemicals Oilfield Services MARKET POTENTIAL (AVAILABLE) Around €1.5bn Around €1bn APPLICATIONS Drilling Cementing Shale Oil sands Production CEOR CUSTOMERS Service companies Operators VALUE PROPOSITION Manufacturing + Innovation Solutions GROWTH (KEMIRA’S) Moderate Strong
KEMIRA
that reduce energy needed during hydraulic fracturing
Shale Market
EUR and growing at double digit today
product based on cost/performance
September 21, 2017 Capital Markets Day 44
KEMIRA Competitor A Competitor B Competitor C Others
Market shares in polymers used for fracking
#1 market position with over 30% market share
KEMIRA
needs, incorporating chemistry, equipment and services
Substantial long-term growth potential within existing CEOR projects and through new projects Chemical Enhanced Oil Recovery market
which EUR 500 million accessible to Kemira
5% driven by decline of production from existing fields
September 21, 2017 Capital Markets Day 45
KEMIRA
Companies operating in oil sands market (examples) Oil sands market
EUR 400 million
but developed projects are considered as sunken costs
September 21, 2017 Capital Markets Day 46
OIL & GAS REVENUE GROWTH EUR million
Strategic priorities
momentum
– Introduction of new products – Field trials in new key applications
September 21, 2017 Capital Markets Day 47
75%
Americas
25%
EMEA
57 83
H1 2016 H1 2017 +47%
New business – EUR 30 million
Niche position in niche market
September 21, 2017 Capital Markets Day 48
Diversification – EUR 152 million (LTM)
Growing in shale,
Bigger and better
Strong player in three core areas (shale, oil sands, CEOR), including service capabilities
2017 Phase II 2022 Phase III 2009 Phase I
Oil & Mining Industry & Water: Global Oil and Gas
LTM = Last Twelve Months ending June 2017
Capital Markets Day
Thierry Blomet, SVP, Sourcing September 21, 2017
September 21, 2017 Capital Markets Day 50
VARIABLE COST SPLIT 2016 EUR 1.3 billion EXPOSURE TO OIL RELATED RAW MATERIALS TOP 10 RAW MATERIALS BY SPEND
methyl acrylate) (OR)
10.Sodium chloride Top 10 account for almost 50%
30%
Oil related
70%
Not oil related
65%
Raw materials
15%
Electricity & energy
20%
Logistics
Single source dependency
% of total raw material spend
5 10 15 20 25 30 35 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Payment term
Days
5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
September 21, 2017 Capital Markets Day 51
REDUCE RISK IMPROVE WORKING CAPITAL Improved
by 15 days Improved
Raw material availability Price dynamics
September 21, 2017 Capital Markets Day 52
Long cycles of oversupply
producers’ investments and industry demand Our solution:
spot is critical
contracts are key to competitiveness
Supply disruptions are typical in chemical industry
September 21, 2017 Capital Markets Day 53
10% 30% 50% 70% 90%
Jan-16 Mar-16 May-16 Jul-16 Sep-16 Nov-16 Jan-17 Mar-17 May-17 Jul-17
WTI Crude Oil Jet Kero 55 US Propylene US Ethylene Acrylonitrile Acrylic Acid
Change (y-o-y) in key feedstock and raw material prices in the US
September 21, 2017 Capital Markets Day 54
Around 30% of raw material spend is connected to volatile vertically integrated petrochemical value chain Most feedstock are globally traded commodities significantly influenced by FX and cross-region trading arbitrage Our solution:
modeling
management
Key oil related raw materials Key feedstock
WTI +68% Propylene +33% Acrylonitrile +18%
Reduce single source dependency Increase preferred vendors spend Drive supplier relationship strategically Single source exposure < 5% of total raw material spend Preferred vendors share > 65% of total indirect spend Supplier initiatives > EUR 5 million savings Sourcing fixed cost < 0.3% of Kemira revenue Digitalize and automate to increase efficiency
Capital Markets Day
Petri Castrén, CFO September 21, 2017
PULP & PAPER
11.5% 11.8% 11.7% 12.1% 13.4% 13.0%
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 LTM
MUNICIPAL & INDUSTRIAL INDUSTRY & WATER
September 21, 2017 Capital Markets Day 57
Mid-to long-term target Target 14-16%
10.4% 10.4% 12.3% 12.2% 11.8% 11.1%
2012* 2013* 2014* 2015* 2016 LTM Target 14-16% Mid-to long-term target
9.3% 10.4% 12.1% 13.7% 14.9%
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
OIL & MINING
12.6% 10.5% 12.7% 9.6% 5.9%
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 LTM = Last Twelve Months ending June 2017
* Figures are sum of M&I and O&M segments
VARIABLE COST VS SALES PRICE TREND
September 21, 2017 Capital Markets Day 58
50 100 150 200 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 Brent oil, USD Sales prices* Variable costs*
*) 12-month rolling change vs previous year in EUR million
and variable costs compared to 2015 was zero
– Net impact of sales prices and variable costs on EBITDA was around EUR -36 million – This is being mitigated by price increases
coming quarters
Sales prices and variable costs on EBITDA level (change y-o-y)
9 5
16
10 20 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 2016 2017 Net impact on EBITDA (sales prices-variable costs) Sales prices Variable costs
September 21, 2017 Capital Markets Day 59
134 139 146 182 213 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
Recent largest value creating investments
line in Finland
CAPEX guidance and return criteria
– Includes capacity expansion in Oil & Gas
– Flexibility maintained for selected major expansion projects
areas with sufficient financial returns Capital expenditure excluding acquisitions
EUR million
September 21, 2017 Capital Markets Day 60
Expansion Improvement Maintenance
Around EUR 200m
2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 EIB NIB Bilaterals Bonds Undrawn RCF Others
Net debt / operative EBITDA and Gearing Gross debt maturity profile, end of Q2 2017
EUR million
September 21, 2017 Capital Markets Day 61
127 80 110 150 205 200 42% 41% 42% 54% 54% 61% 69%
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 H1 2016 H1 2017 1.9x 2.1x 2.1x 2.2x 1.8x 2.6x 2.3x
532m 758m 456m 486m 634m 642m 690m 400 249m 297m (r12m) 252m 253m 303m 287m 298m Net debt Operative EBITDA
GROUP
Dividend policy: stable and competitive dividend
Group’s mid- and long-term financial targets
GROUP
Dividend policy: stable and competitive dividend
What has changed since 2016 CMD
leaner and more agile
Group’s mid- and long-term financial targets
EUR million Q2 2017 Q2 2016 Δ% H1 2017 H1 2016 Δ% Revenue 617.2 587.8 +5 1,227.3 1,170.5 +5 Operative EBITDA 77.1 78.9
146.1 151.7
margin 12.5% 13.4%
13.0%
43.6 46.6
78.6 87.5
margin 7.1% 7.9%
7.5%
0.12 0.17
0.24 0.33
Cash flow from operations 28.6 57.0
40.8 83.2
Capex excl. acquisitions 45.2 43.3 +4 82.1 74.7 +10 Net debt 758 690 +10 758 690 +10 Gearing, % at period-end 69 61
61
227 214 +6 227 214 +6 Personnel at period-end 4,849 4,873 4,849 4,873
September 21, 2017 Capital Markets Day 65
EUR million Q2 2017 Q2 2016 Δ% H1 2017 H1 2016 Δ% 2016 2015 Δ% Revenue 368.9 361.1 +2 741.1 723.5 +2 1,457.3 1,417.3 +3 Operative EBITDA 47.8 49.3
93.8 97.2
195.3 171.0 +14 margin 13.0% 13.7%
13.4%
12.1%
25.7 28.9
49.6 57.1
111.6 96.8 +15 margin 7.0% 8.0%
7.9%
6.8%
35.2 25.8 +37 65.0 40.6 +60 125.1 240.1
Cash flow after investing activities 8.9 59.3
58.6
Capital Markets Day 66
EUR million Q2 2017 Q2 2016 Δ% H1 2017 H1 2016 Δ% 2016 2015* Δ% Revenue 248.3 226.7 +10 486.1 447.0 +9 906.0 955.8
Operative EBITDA 29.3 29.6
52.3 54.5
107.2 116.3
margin 11.8% 13.1%
12.2%
12.2%
17.9 17.7 +1 29.0 30.4
58.5 66.3
margin 7.2% 7.8%
6.8%
6.9%
10.0 17.6
17.1 32.3
85.5 64.9 32 Cash flow after investing activities 3.3 5.1
12.5 6.5 +90 35.6 48.9
September 21, 2017 Capital Markets Day 67 * Sum of Oil & Mining and Municipal & Industrial segments.
FY 2016
September 21, 2017 Capital Markets Day 68
AMERICAS APAC EMEA USA 27% Canada 5% Brazil 3% Uruguay 2% Other Americas 1% Finland 14% Germany 6% Sweden 6% Poland 3% UK 3% Spain 2% Other APAC 6% Indonesia 1% China 3% Other EMEA 8% Norway 2% Russia 2% Netherlands 2% France 2% Italy 2%
KEMIRA REVENUE DISTRIBUTION 2016 KEMIRA COST DISTRIBUTION 2016
September 21, 2017 Capital Markets Day 69
EBITDA in Q2 2017 and around +5 million in H1 2017.
EUR 10 million impact on operative EBITDA on an annualized basis
EUR 44% USD 35% CAD 4% BRL 3% CNY 3% Others 11% EUR 41% USD 31% CAD 4% SEK 8% CNY 4% Others 12%
EUR million (except ratios) 2012* 2013 2014 2015 2016 Revenue 2,240.9 2,229.1 2,136.7 2,373.1 2,363.3 Operative EBITDA 249.4 251.9 252.9 287.3 302.5
11.1% 11.3% 11.8% 12.1% 12.8% Operative EBIT 155.5 164.2 158.3 163.1 170.1
6.9% 7.4% 7.4% 6.9% 7.2% Cash flow from operations 176.3 200.3 74.2 247.6 270.6 Capital expenditure, excluding acq. 134.1 133.5 140.6 181.7 212.6 Gearing at period-end 42% 41% 42% 54% 54% Inventories 182 170 197 207 217 Personnel at period-end 4,857 4,453 4,248 4,685 4,818
September 21, 2017 Capital Markets Day 70 * Restated figures reflect the change of IAS 19, Employee Benefits
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 Earnings per share, EUR 0.12
0.59 0.47 0.60 Cash flow from operating activities per share, EUR 1.16 1.32 0.49 1.63 1.78 Equity per share, EUR 8.20 7.32 7.57 7.76 7.68 Dividend per share, EUR 0.53 0.53 0.53 0.53 0.53 Share price, EUR, end of period 11.81 12.16 9.89 10.88 12.13 Market capitalization, EUR million 1,796 1,849 1,504 1,654 1,848 Number of shares, million (excl. treasury shares) 152.0 152.0 152.1 152.1 152.4 P/E ratio 98.4
23.3 20.2 P/CF ratio 10.2 9.2 16.7 6.7 6.8 P/B ratio 1.4 1.7 1.3 1.4 1.6 Dividend yield, % 4.5 4.4 5.4 4.9 4.4
September 21, 2017 Capital Markets Day 71
EUR million 2016 2015 Revenue 2,363.3 2,373.1 Other operating income 5.1 7.1 Operating expenses
Depreciations, amortizations and impairments
Operating profit 147.0 132.6 Finance costs (net)
Share of profit or loss of associates 0.1 0.3 Profit before tax 128.0 102.1 Income taxes
Net profit for the period 97.9 77.2 Equity owners of the parent 91.8 71.0 Non-controlling interests 6.1 6.2 Earnings per share for net profit attributabe to the equity owners of the parent company (EUR per share) 0.60 0.47
September 21, 2017 Capital Markets Day 72
EUR million 2016 2015 Goodwill* 522 518 Other intangible assets 116 135 Property, plant and equipment 916 815 Shares and other investments 268 357 Inventories* 217 207 Receivables 409 411 Cash and cash equivalents 173 152 Total assets 2,621 2,595 Equity 1 183 1 193 Interest-bearing liabilities 807 794 Interest-free liabilities 631 608 Total equity and liabilities 2,621 2,595
September 21, 2017 Capital Markets Day 73 * Key audit matter
EUR million 2016 2015 Net profit for the period 98 77 Total adjustments 187 189 Change in net working capital 29 21 Finance expenses
Income taxes paid
Net cash generated from operating activities 271 248 Purchases of subsidiaries and business acquisitions 2
Capital expenditure
Proceeds from sale of assets 37 3 Change in long-term loan receivables 1 Cash flow after investing activities 98
September 21, 2017 Capital Markets Day 74
improved nicely 2011-2016
target of 14-16% operative EBITDA
around 8% of 2016 revenue
– BOOST expected to improve inventories, revenue growth impacting NWC to other direction
expenses
– Underlying tax rate 22-25%
EUR million 2016 2015
Operative EBITDA 303 287 Reported EBITDA 284 264
Change in NWC 29 21 Finance expenses
Taxes paid
Other items 1 2
Cash flow from operations 271 248
September 21, 2017 Capital Markets Day 75
a stable and competitive dividend
since listing of shares in 1994
– Average dividend yield in relevant indices
0.53 0.53 0.53 0.53 0.53 0.53 5.8% 4.5% 4.4% 5.4% 4.9% 4.4% 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
September 21, 2017 Capital Markets Day 76
Dividend per share Dividend yield
Kemira’s dividend yield calculated using the share price at year-end
Operating expenses in 2016 EUR 1.9 billion
reorganization is purely addressing fixed costs
– Savings target EUR 15-20 million – Run-rate by end of 2017
logistic costs
– Savings target EUR 20-30 million – Run-rate in 1-2 years – In addition, inventory reduction target of EUR 50 million
September 21, 2017 Capital Markets Day 77
10%
Electricity and energy
30%
Fixed costs
45%
Raw materials
15%
Logistics
September 21, 2017 Capital Markets Day 78
Value chain part covered by Kemira RAW MATERIALS INTERMEDIATES PRODUCTS APPLICATIONS CUSTOMER IDUSTRIES CUSTOMERS Electricity Sodium chloride (salt) Crude tall oil Cationic monomer Acrylonitrile Acrylic acid Olefins Fatty acids Maleic anhydride Sulfur Tall oil rosin AKD Wax Isomerized olefins Acrylamide Sodium chlorate Hydrogen peroxide Polymers Defoamers Coagulants Biocides Sizing Strength Additives Surface additives Colorants Sulfuric acid Pulping Bleaching Retention Wet-end process control WQQM Sizing Strength Surface treatment Coloring Pulp Packaging and board Printing and writing Tissue All the major global paper and pulp producers Main competitors: BASF, Akzo Nobel, Solenis, Ecolab, SNF
September 21, 2017 Capital Markets Day 79
RAW MATERIALS INTERMEDIATES PRODUCTS APPLICATIONS SALES CHANNEL CUSTOMERS Acrylonitrile Acrylic acid Sulfuric acid Hydrochloric acid Aluminium hydrate Iron ore Pickling liquor Copperas Various monomers Acrylamide Polymers (EPAM, DPAM) Al Coagulants Fe Coagulants Dispersants & antiscalants Biocides Emulsifiers Defoamers Formulations Raw water & waste water treatment Sludge treatment Friction reduction Enhanced oil recovery Tailings treatment Mining processes Direct sales Distributor/reseller Service companies Municipalities Private operators Industrial customers Pumpers Oil & Gas operators Service companies Mine operators Cationic monomer Main competitors: Coagulants: mainly local small companies, Feralco, USALCO Polymers: SNF, Solvay, Ecolab, Solenis, BASF Value chain part covered by Kemira
Shareholders on August 31, 2017
% of shares
18.2%
16.7%
Company 3.4%
Comp. 2.3%
1.9% Total number of shares 155,342,557 Foreign ownership of shares 24.5% Total number of shareholders 35,595
Kemira Board of Directors
September 21, 2017 Capital Markets Day 80
Jari Paasikivi, Chairman Member since 2012 Oras Invest Oy, CEO Kerttu Tuomas Vice Chairman Member since 2010 Wolfgang Büchele Member in 2009- 2012 and since 2014 Kaisa Hietala Member since 2016 Timo Lappalainen Member since 2014 Shirley Cunningham Member since 2017
September 21, 2017 Capital Markets Day 81
Jukka Hakkila, Chief Legal Officer, acts as secretary of Management Board and Board of Directors
Pulp & Paper Kim Poulsen Operational Excellence Esa-Matti Puputti Human Resources Eeva Salonen Industry & Water Antti Salminen CFO Petri Castrén CTO Heidi Fagerholm President and CEO Jari Rosendal
US rig count (quarterly avg) and oil price
(WTI)
10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80
200 400 600 800 1000 1200 1400 1600
Q1/15 Q3/15 Q1/16 Q3/16 Q1/17
Frac stages in North America
(source: IHS Markit)
100 200 300 400 500 600 700 800 900
2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022
September 21, 2017 Capital Markets Day 82
Rig count
Outlook
Oil price
September 21, 2017 Capital Markets Day 83
CORPORATE RESPONSIBILITY UPDATE 1/2
Focus area Issue, KPI, target value Comments Status
Sustainable products & solutions INNOVATION SALES Share of innovation revenue
10% by the end of 2017 KPI reported quarterly During Q2/2017 several new products or solutions were commercialized and Kemira expects to achieve the 10% target during 2017. Responsibility in our supply chain SUPPLIER MANAGEMENT Number of onsite sustainability audits for highest risk suppliers
(with lowest sustainability assessment score1)
5 suppliers audited every year during 2016-2020, average KPI reported annually All earlier low-scored suppliers improved their performance in re-assessments, and no new high risk raw material suppliers were
refused to take EcoVadis assessments this year due to lack of resources or company
2017. Responsible manufacturing CLIMATE CHANGE Carbon index Kemira Carbon Index ≤ 80 by end
KPI reported annually Sourcing of low carbon energy continued according to plan. As part of the E3 Plus program, four Energy Review site visits were performed during Q2 2017. The performed energy reviews cover more than 90% of Kemira’s total energy consumption.
5% 7% 8% 8% 9% 9% 10% 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 Q2 Target 2017 4 4 25 2016 2017 Q2 Target 2020 100 88 91 92 86 80 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 Target 2020 Behind target In progress Achieved Behind target In progress Achieved Behind target In progress Achieved
Focus area Issue, KPI, target value Comments Status
Responsibility towards the employees OCCUPATIONAL HEALTH AND SAFETY Number of Total Recordable Injury Frequency (TRIF) (per million hours,
Kemira + contractor, year-to-date1)
Achieve zero injuries (TRIF 2.0 by end of 2020) KPI reported quarterly Behaviour Based Safety (BBS) program pilots moving ahead as planned, and next 10 sites implementation starts in Q3 (YTD: 4). To improve our contractor safety we have launched Contractor Safety Program which is looking contractor safety from contracting to materialization of the contracted work. EMPLOYEE ENGAGEMENT Employee engagement index based
The index at or above the external industry norm Participation rate in Voices@Kemira 75 % or above KPI reported biennially We aim to confirm the next Voices@Kemira survey by Q4 2017. LEADERSHIP DEVELOPMENT Leadership development activities provided, average Two (2) leadership development activities per people manager position during 2016-20202 KPI reported annually High level of activity continued, with 191 leadership development activities provided during Q2 2017 (target: 75 per quarter).
September 21, 2017 Capital Markets Day 84
CORPORATE RESPONSIBILITY UPDATE 2/2
Behind target In progress Achieved Behind target In progress Achieved Behind target In progress Achieved 70% 58% 67% 84% 75% 85% 2011 2013 2015 Engagement Participation 8.5 7.1 5.8 7.2 3.4 3.8 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 Q2 494 685 1500 2016 2017 Q2 Target 2020
1 The TRIF reporting has been changed to a year-to-date figure instead of 12 month rolling average that was previously used. 2 The cumulative amount of leadership development required to reach two (2) leadership development activities per people manager position during 2016-2020 equals 1500 leadership activities (when number of people manager
positions is 650-850). Development activities include job rotations, coaching and mentoring, and development programs.