Statkraft Investor Update August 2016 Disclaimer This - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
Statkraft Investor Update August 2016 Disclaimer This - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
Statkraft Investor Update August 2016 Disclaimer This presentation has been prepared by, and the information contained herein (unless otherwise indicated) has been provided by Statkraft AS (the "Company"). By attending the meeting or
Disclaimer
This presentation has been prepared by, and the information contained herein (unless otherwise indicated) has been provided by Statkraft AS (the "Company"). By attending the meeting or otherwise viewing this presentation you agree to be bound by the following conditions. This document and the information therein are being furnished to you solely for your information and may not be reproduced, redistributed or passed on, in whole or in part, to any other person. This document does not constitute or form part of and should not be construed as, an offer to sell or issue or the solicitation of an offer to buy or acquire securities of the Company or any of its subsidiaries in any jurisdiction or an inducement to enter into investment activity. No part of this document, nor the fact of its distribution or reception, should form the basis of, or be relied on in connection with, any contract or commitment or investment decision whatsoever. This document is not a prospectus and does not comply with rules or regulations regarding investor information, and has not been approved by or filed with any stock exchange or regulatory authority. Amongst others, this document does not disclose risks and other significant issues related to an investment in any securities. Investors should only subscribe for any transferable securities on the basis of information in a relevant prospectus and term sheet, and not on the basis of any information provided herein. The information contained in this document has not been independently verified and no representation or warranty, express or implied, is made as to, and no reliance should be placed on, the fairness, accuracy, completeness or correctness of the information or opinions contained herein. None of the Company, or any of its affiliates, advisers or representatives shall have any liability whatsoever (in negligence or otherwise) for any loss howsoever arising from any use of this document or its contents or otherwise arising in connection with this document. The information contained in this document is provided as at the date of this document and is subject to change without notice. This document may not be distributed or delivered to any person or in any jurisdiction where such distribution is unlawful or restricted. This document may not be delivered in the United States or to any person or entity in the United States. 2
Agenda
3
Statkraft overview Strategy and investment
ambition
Funding and liquidity Summary Appendix
Industry-leading Northern-European hydropower producer with international growth opportunities
4
Peru 296 MW Chile 143 MW Turkey 122 MW Nepal 23 MW Philippines 146 MW Brazil 149 MW Panama 7 MW Zambia 5 MW Norway 12 916 MW Sweden 1 587 MW UK 243 MW (+ projects) Laos 50 MW Germany 2 692 MW India 91 MW Albania
100 %
- wned by the
Norwegian state
A- / Baa1
from S&P and Moody’s Installed capacity
18 471 MW
1
Power production
56.3 TWh
2
99% renewable
energy
SN POWER/ AGUA IMARA STATKRAFT
1 Statkraft’s direct and indirect ownership in power plants. Excl. 794 MW of district heating capacity. 2 Actual production 2015.
Key credit strengths
Strong market position
- A low-cost and flexible generator of renewable
electricity
Stable cash flow
- Long-term industrial contracts stabilize cash
flow
Balance sheet flexibility
- Investment program adapted to financial capacity
Owned by the Norwegian state (AAA/Aaa)
- Historically strong support from owner
5
Statkraft has upheld EBITDA despite a decline in European power prices
6 0,00 10,00 20,00 30,00 40,00 50,00 60,00 70,00
Nordics Germany Quarterly average electricity prices
2011 Source: Prices from Nordpool Spot, Nasdaq OMX and EEX as of 11 August 2016 EUR/MWh 1H 2016
6,9
2015
10,9
2014
12,8
2013
13,5
2012
12,2
2011
11,8
0,7 0,7 6,7 12,1 10,2 1,1 0,9 11,3 0,9 12,4 0,3 10,9 2013 2015 2017 2019 2021
Underlying EBITDA incl. share of profit from equity accounted investments
Bn NOK
Agenda
7
Statkraft overview Strategy and investment
ambition
Funding and liquidity Summary Appendix
Strategy
8
Market Operations
Value adding position in European Market Operations
Hydropower in Emerging Markets
Attractive platform to build a sustainable competitive position in Emerging markets
Wind Power
Utility scale onshore wind power business
District Heating
Stable cash flow from district heating in Norway and Sweden
European Flexible Generation
Northern European hydro generation player with unique asset base and
- ptimization skills
1 2 3 5 4
European Flexible Generation: Unique asset base and
- ptimization skills
9
1
Production assets with low marginal cost, high
flexibility, great longevity and almost zero carbon emissions
Unique optimizations skills leading to a premium
price capture through an integrated business model
Statkraft's first priority is to operate, maintain and develop the long term economic value of the existing asset base Increasing need for re-investments
Statkraft has a unique cost position
10
10 20 30 40 50 60 Statkraft cash cost hydro 2015 Cash cost gas Cash cost coal Cash cost nuclear EUR/MWh
1 Annual Report 2015: Production cost 81 NOK/MWh. Incl. property tax and depreciations, excl. sales costs, overhead, net financial items and tax. Based on normal
production from power plants under own management in Norway, Sweden, Germany and the UK.
2 Cash costs for coal and gas: Estimates for modern plants. 3 Estimates for nuclear plants in UK / Finland is around 21 EUR/MWh. Same in Sweden but nuclear tax adds another 7 – 8.5 EUR/MWh. Nuclear tax expected to decline.
Average Nordic price 2016: 25.08 EUR/MWh
(Spot and forward)
2 3 1
1
2
Statkraft’s cash cost: 6.36 EUR/MWh Full cost incl. depreciation: 9.04 EUR/MWh1
5 000 10 000 15 000 20 000 25 000 30 000 2016 2018 2020 2022 2024
GWh Statutory priced lease agreements Statkraft's share of leasing agreements Long-term market contracts
~ 18.5 - 20 TWh sold on long-term
contracts with power-intensive Nordic industry
Corresponding to ~ 40% of Statkraft’s
annual mean power production for Nordic hydropower
11
Long-term contracts stabilize earnings
1
Market Operations: Value creation through a market
- riented and adaptable organization
12
Service-focused business model to exploit new
- pportunities in a transforming European energy
market
- Market access
- Solar PV
- Venture capital
Strategic position and strategic priorities Solid contributions from DAMP and Trading & Origination
50 100 150 200 2015 2014 2013 2012 2011 2010 2009 2008
Strengthen activities in Europe and in selected emerging markets
- South America
- India
2
Net profit adjusted for tax. Opex related to DAMP not included MEUR
Established positions in several promising
emerging markets
- Long-term economic growth
- Rising energy demand
- Increased demand for renewables
Hydropower in Emerging Markets: To build a sustainable and profitable position
13
Considering broadening technology scope and leveraging competences in wind power and solar
India Brazil Chile Peru Statkraft SN Power Turkey Albania
3
Contracted share of production 2016 2020 2025
Peru 80% 43 % 26% Brazil 98 % 98 % 98 % Chile 46 % 50 % 21% India
- Nepal
100 % 100 %
- Turkey
100 % * * * Feed-in tariffs are available in Turkey 1 year at the time in the first 10 operational years for an asset
Wind power: Utility scale business model in Europe
Major player in the Nordic wind power market with 769 MW in operation 142 MW in operation with financial partner in the UK Solid track record in delivering projects on cost and time Operation & Maintenance for Sheringham Shoal wind farm (317 MW) Onshore Offshore
Sheringham Shoal Dudgeon Dogger Bank
- No new investments into offshore
- Focus to secure value of existing assets
Successfully complete1000 MW Fosen project in Norway and 36 MW Andershaw in UK
14 Triton Knoll MW figures are gross numbers (100 percent) * Ownership share in Sweden is 90,1% in Södra and 60% in SCA. **Ownership share in UK is 51% in Alltwalis and Berry Burn and 40,8% in Baillie.
4
14
Existing Under construction Planned
15
District Heating: Continue to strengthen profitability through efficient operations
17 facilities in Norway and Sweden with an annual production of ~1.1 TWh Limited capex going forward Increased profitability through optimization of existing portfolio
5
Investment ambition 2016 - 2020
16
14 10 9 4
Full flexibillity
37 billion
Maintenance and reinvestments Reserved Decided investments
Investment ambition 2016 – 2020 subject to financial capacity: NOK 37 bn Committed to maintain current ratings
Norway 45 % Europe ex Norway 18 % Emerging markets 37 %
Allocation of investments 2016-2020
Ambition
Hydropower 70 % Offshore WP 16 % Onshore WP 11 % Trading & Origination 1 % District Heating 2 %
17
Technology allocation Geographical allocation
Norway 72 % Nordic outside Norway 7 % Europe
- utside Nordic
11 % Outside Europe 10 %
EBITDA + share of profits
Norway 77 % Nordic outside Norway 10 % Europe
- utside Nordic
5 % Outside Europe 8 %
Power generation (71 TWh)
Predominantly Nordic hydropower but increased diversification
Solid base in the Nordic region
Estimated annual contribution after committed capex in 2020
18
Measures to strengthen financial solidity
1.
Reduced investments
- Annual investment level reduced from NOK ~12bn to NOK ~7,5bn
- No new investments in offshore wind
- International hydropower projects postponed
2.
Performance improvement program launched
- ~ 800 MNOK in reduced OPEX by 2018
3.
Divestments
- Sale of small-scale hydropower in 2015 with booked EV NOK ~1.9bn
- Assessment of offshore wind assets is ongoing
4.
Dividend for the accounting year 2015:
- 0 dividend
19
1 2 3 4
Agenda
20
Statkraft overview Strategy and investment
ambition
Funding and liquidity Summary Appendix
Strong credit ratings
21
A- / Negative Baa1 / Stable
Maintaining current ratings with S&P and Moody’s Strong support from owner CAPEX adapted to financial capacity Rating impact assessment completed prior to new investment decisions
Liquidity position
NOK 11bn [1.2] Revolving Credit Facility (5+1+1
year) signed 22 June 2016 with 12 core banks
- Matures 2021
- Extension option until 2023
NOK 1bn [0.11] in committed credit line renewed
- n a yearly basis
EMTN Programme EUR 6bn
- EUR 1.9 bn available under current Programme
No commercial papers outstanding
Available liquidity and target
1 Liquidity capacity defined as cash and cash equivalents, plus committed revolving credit facilities, plus projected receipts for the next six months.
Liquidity and market access
500 1 000 1 500 2 000 2 500 5 000 10 000 15 000 20 000 25 000 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 Q2 2016 EUR million NOK million
Revolving Credit Facility Credit Line Cash and Cash equivalents
Liquidity capacity target1: >1.5x projected
payments over next six months
22
Balanced debt maturity and mixed funding sources
Debt maturity profile 30.06.2016 Distribution of funding sources
23
200 400 600 800 1 000 2 000 4 000 6 000 8 000 10 000 2016 2018 2020 2022 2024 >2026 EUR million NOK million Other funding sources EUR bonds
Agenda
24
Statkraft overview Strategy and investment
ambition
Funding and liquidity Summary Appendix
Summary
A competitive generator of low-cost electricity
- Dominated by flexible hydro power with large reservoir capacity
Strong position in the Nordics Consolidation and targeted growth for the next two years
- European renewable energy production
- Hydropower outside Europe
Balanced investment plan to maintain credit strength Proven support from Norwegian government through its 100% ownership
25
100 %
- wned by the
Norwegian state
A- / Baa1
from S&P and Moody’s Installed capacity
18 471 MW
Power production
56.3 TWh 99% renewable
energy
www.statkraft.com
THANK YOU
Contact information for Investor Relations:
Thomas Geiran: Phone: +47 905 79 979 E-mail: Thomas.Geiran@statkraft.com Yngve Frøshaug: Phone: +47 900 23 021 E-mail: Yngve.Froshaug@statkraft.com
26
Agenda
27
Statkraft overview Strategy and investment
ambition
Funding and liquidity Summary Appendix
- Financial update
- Corporate responsibility
- Other
Agenda
28
Statkraft overview Strategy and investment
ambition
Funding and liquidity Summary Appendix
- Financial update
- Corporate responsibility
- Other
Key figures
29 0,1 6,7
6,9
1H 2015 1H 2016
6,3
6,2 0,3
EBITDA up by 9 % compared to 1H 2015
- Increased contribution from European Flexible Generation with higher
production
- New production capacity from International Hydropower
1H 2016
0,5
1H 2015
1,6
Net profit EBITDA
Net profit down
- Impairments of German assets in 1H 2016
- Higher taxes due to increased production
- Positive currency effects
Equity acc. investments EBITDA
YTD 2016
NOK million NOK million
Net operating revenues
Net operating revenues1 up by
NOK 705 million (+ 7%)
Major effects:
- Net generation up NOK 1483 million
due to higher Nordic production in Q1, high Nordic power prices in Q2 and new capacity in International hydropower
- Net Customers is down following low
profitability from market access activities and origination
NOK million
1Adjusted for unrealised changes in value on energy contracts and adjusted significant items
Transmission costs
- 8
11 200
Other operating revenues Net operating revenues 6m 2016 Share of profit/loss in equity accounted investments
- 127
+88 Customers Sales and trading
- 889
Generation +48 Others +110 Net operating revenues 6m 2015
10 495
+1 483 Sales revenues less energy purchase
30
YTD 2016
Underlying1 EBITDA 6m 2015 6m 2016
Net profit breakdown
31
1 589 2 229 1 804 1 453 112 704 490 6 915 6 323
Tax
2 529
Net financial items Impairments/ adjusted significant items Depreciation Unrealised changes in energy contracts 6m 2016
- Adj. EBITDA
Operating expenses
- ex. dep.
Net operating revenues 6m 2015
- Adj. EBITDA
6m 2016 Net profit
1Adjusted for unrealised changes in value on energy contracts and adjusted significant items
NOK million
Booked net profit affected by impairments, somewhat offset by positive currency effects Underlying1 EBITDA 6m 2016 Net Profit 6m 2016 Underlying EBITDA ∆ +9% vs. 6m/15
Segment financials EBITDA including share of profit/loss from
equity accounted investments
32
1 Adjusted for unrealised changes in value on energy contracts and adjusted significant items
NOK million Underlying1 EBITDA
- 306
1 291 140 86
- 74
971
- 95
1 161 158 10 701
- 27
Other activities/ Group items Industrial
- wnership
District heating Wind power International hydropower Market
- perations
European flexible generation 5 019 4 215 1H 2015 1H 2016
Capital expenditure1
NOK 3.4 billion
Distribution of CAPEX in the quarter:
- 70% expansion investments
- 3% investments in shareholdings
- 27% maintenance investments
New hydropower capacity under
construction in Norway and Albania
Wind power developments in Norway
and UK
Maintenance primarily within
hydropower in the Nordic region
33
European Flexible Generation 29% International Hydropower 23% Industrial Ownership 9% Wind Power 35% Other2 4%
1 Exclusive loans to associates 2 Including District heating, Market operations and Other activities
YTD 2016
9 056 7 360
+1 719
- 4 039
+791
- 167
4 000 8 000 12 000 Cash reserves 01.01 From
- perations
Investment activities Changes in debt Share issue to minorities, currency effects Cash reserves 30.06 NOK million
Cash flow
34
YTD 2016
Agenda
35
Statkraft overview Strategy and investment
ambition
Funding and liquidity Summary Appendix
- Financial update
- Corporate responsibility
- Other
Environmental
36
Climate change mitigation, adaptation and preparedness
- Contribute to a more climate
friendly and sustainable energy system
- Maintain a low climate
footprint Bio diversity
- Take an active role to
conserve biodiversity and facilitate ecological resilience in our areas of impact Water management
- Responsible and
sustainable water management practice
Social and governance
37
Business ethics
- Prevent corruption and
unethical practices in all business activities Safety and safeguarding of people
- Prevent harm or injuries to
people related to business activities through a systematic approach and a value-based safety culture Human rights
- Act in accordance with UN
Guiding Principles on Business and Human Rights
Agenda
38
Statkraft overview Strategy and investment
ambition
Funding and liquidity Summary Appendix
- Financial update
- Corporate responsibility
- Other
Funding overview
39
Norwegian bond and Commercial Paper market Euro bond market Swedish bond market Sterling and Swiss Franc bond markets
considered
Funding need Funding sources
Funding centralized on group level Flexibility through diversification of funding sources and maintaining sufficient back-stop facilities Funding need going forward determined by cash flow
from operations and capex
NOK 4.3 bn [0.5] debt maturities in Q4 2016
Funding strategy
Covenants
Loan documentation
Limited to 7.5% of total Group assets and
applies to RCF
Change of ownership/Change of control Financial indebtedness in material subsidiaries
Limited number of covenants No financial covenants Included in both EMTN and RCF documentation Applies if state ownership goes below 50%:
- RCF: minority owner must also exceed 40%
- EMTN: different owner, person or group of persons, controls
at least 50% and down-sale must be followed by rating downgrade
40