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Statkraft Investor Update July 2014 Disclaimer This presentation - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

Statkraft Investor Update July 2014 Disclaimer This presentation has been prepared by, and the information contained herein (unless otherwise indicated) has been provided by Statkraft AS (the "Company"). By attending the meeting or


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Statkraft

Investor Update July 2014

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Disclaimer

This presentation has been prepared by, and the information contained herein (unless otherwise indicated) has been provided by Statkraft AS (the "Company"). By attending the meeting or otherwise viewing this presentation you agree to be bound by the following conditions. This document and the information therein are being furnished to you solely for your information and may not be reproduced, redistributed or passed on, in whole or in part, to any other person. This document does not constitute or form part of and should not be construed as, an offer to sell or issue or the solicitation of an offer to buy or acquire securities of the Company or any of its subsidiaries in any jurisdiction or an inducement to enter into investment activity. No part of this document, nor the fact of its distribution or reception, should form the basis of, or be relied on in connection with, any contract or commitment or investment decision whatsoever. This document is not a prospectus and does not comply with rules or regulations regarding investor information, and has not been approved by or filed with any stock exchange or regulatory authority. Amongst others, this document does not disclose risks and other significant issues related to an investment in any securities. Investors should only subscribe for any transferable securities on the basis of information in a relevant prospectus and term sheet, and not on the basis of any information provided herein. The information contained in this document has not been independently verified and no representation or warranty, express or implied, is made as to, and no reliance should be placed on, the fairness, accuracy, completeness or correctness of the information or opinions contained herein. None of the Company, or any of its affiliates, advisers or representatives shall have any liability whatsoever (in negligence or otherwise) for any loss howsoever arising from any use of this document or its contents or otherwise arising in connection with this document. The information contained in this document is provided as at the date of this document and is subject to change without notice. This document may not be distributed or delivered to any person or in any jurisdiction where such distribution is unlawful or restricted. This document may not be delivered in the United States or to any person or entity in the United States. 2

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1.

Agenda

2. 3. 4. 5.

Statkraft overview Strategy and market dynamics Financial update Funding and liquidity Summary Appendix

3

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Statkraft at a glance

4

NOK 47.5 47.5 bn UNDERLYING GROSS REVENUES 2013 NOK 12.4 bn UNDERLYING EBITDA 2013 55.9 TWh

POWER GENERATION 2013

95 95 %

HYDRO POWER

16.0 GW

INSTALLED CAPACITY 2013

100%

OWNED BY THE KINGDOM OF NORWAY

A-/Baa1

(stable outlooks)

S&P / MOODY’S CREDIT RATINGS

Gas power Wind power Distribution grid District heating Hydropower

NO NO

  • No. 1 power generator

(~35%)

SWE

  • No. 4 power generator

(~5%)

UK UK

Wind power initiatives

GER

OUTSIDE EUROPE Integration of hydropower Flexible power generation

SE EUROPE

Hydropower development EU EUROPE PE Trading activities

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Key credit strengths

 Strong market position

  • A low-cost and flexible generator of renewable electricity

 Stable cash flow

  • Long-term industrial contracts stabilize cash flow

 Capex flexibility

  • Adjust investment program to financial capacity

 Owned by the Norwegian state (AAA/Aaa)

  • Historically strong support from owner
  • No substantial changes in the State’s owner strategy in White paper published in June

2014

5

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2.

Agenda

1. 3. 4. 5.

6

Statkraft overview Strategy and market dynamics Financial update Funding and liquidity Summary Appendix

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A changing energy landscape

 Flat energy demand in Europe and

more production from new renewables

 Growing concerns in Europe about

affordability and security of supply

 Traditional “utility business model”

challenged by a transformed value chain

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 Attractive support schemes driven by

European transformation to renewable energy

 New business opportunities closer to

end users and through integration of intermittent renewable capacity

 Strong growth in emerging markets

Market challenges Market opportunities

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District Heating

Strategic focus areas

European Flexible Generation Wind Power Hydropower in Emerging Markets Market Operations

  • Maintain and develop low cost, flexible hydropower
  • Build integrated operations in South East Europe, South America and

South Asia

  • Onshore wind in Norway, Sweden and UK
  • Become lead operator in offshore wind power in UK
  • Stabilize cash flow through power contracts
  • Develop Trading and Origination in selected global markets
  • Become amongst the most profitable district heating companies in

Norway and Sweden

8

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European Flexible Generation

 Low-cost European hydropower production

  • Total cash cost in 2013: 7.2 EUR/MWh
  • Full cost incl. depreciation: 10.2 EUR/MWh1

 Peak supplier with high degree of flexibility

  • 80% of installed capacity within highly flexible

hydropower

  • Europe’s largest reservoir capacity (~40 TWh)

 Unique information base and power market

modelling

  • Production optimised relative to power prices and

water inflows

  • Water can be stored for up to three years in some

reservoirs

1 Annual Report 2013: 80 NOK/MWh. Incl. property tax and depreciations, excl. sales costs, overhead, net financial items and tax.

Based on normal production from power plants under own management in Norway, Sweden, Germany and the UK.

Blåsjø, one of Europe’s largest hydropower reservoirs, with multi-year energy storage capacity (7.8 TWh)

9

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 Current transmission capacity between Nordic

and Europe of 4000 MW

 Planned capacity increase of 3870 MW before

2020 and another 3450 MW before 2025

Nordic-European power market integration

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Power transmission cables (MW) Planned expansions

Source: Statnett

 Price effect NO2-DE + NO2-UK: 3-5 EUR/MWh*  Increased possibility to utilize our flexible assets

* Statnett estimate with the two cables, compared to a scenario with no new cables from Norway.

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 A major player on Europe’s power

exchanges

 Special expertise within physical and

financial power trading

 Active in all energy-related commodities  Market access for small renewable

producers

 Expanding power trading activities in

Europe, as well as in Brazil and India

 Strategy for long-term contracts

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Market Operations

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Long-term contracts stabilize earnings

 ~ 20 TWh sold on long-term contracts

with power-intensive Nordic industry

 Corresponding to ~ 40% of Statkraft’s

annual mean power production for Nordic hydropower

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10 000 20 000 30 000 2014 2016 2018 2020 2022 2024

GWh Statutory priced lease agreements Statkraft's share of leasing agreements Long-term market contracts

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International Hydropower has been reorganized and strengthened

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Statkraft SN Power

Statkraft has increased

  • wnership and fully

integrated activities in South America and South Asia (from 60 % to 67 %) Statkraft has reduced

  • wnership to activities in less

developed markets in South East Asia, Africa and Central America (from 60 % to 50 %)

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Alltwalis Stamåsen Mörttjärnberget Björkhöjden Ögonfägnaden Hitra Smøla

Onshore and offshore wind power in the Nordics and UK

 In operation/under construction

  • Norway: 244 MW
  • Sweden: 525 MW
  • UK: 460 MW

 Licensed/under development

  • Onshore: Norway 735 MW

Sweden 290 MW UK ~ 50 MW

  • Offshore: Dudgeon 402 MW

(Statkraft 30%) Dogger Bank 4800 MW (Statkraft 25%)

Em Tollarpabjär Dudgeon Sheringham Shoal Dogger Bank Berry Burn Baillie Kjøllefjord

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Norway 43 % Europe ex Norway 19 % Emerging markets 38 %

Allocation of investments 2014-2018

Hydropower 64 % Offshore WP 9 % Onshore WP 18 % Trading &

  • rigination

3 % District heating 3 % Innovation 3 %

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 Investment ambition 2014-2018: NOK 61 billion, of which 51% is committed  Subject to financial capacity and maintaining current ratings

Technology allocation Geographical allocation

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 Increased diversification, but still dominated by Norwegian hydropower

Solid base in the Nordic region

Estimated annual contribution after committed capex (2018)

Norway 67 % Nordic outside Norway 14 % Europe

  • utside Nordic

11 % Outside Europe 8 %

EBITDA

Norway 72 % Nordic outside Norway 10 % Europe

  • utside Nordic

13 % Outside Europe 5 %

Power generation (72 TWh)

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Construction activities

Completed in 2013 On-going projects in 2014 European Flexible Generation

4 small-scale hydro, Norway (12 MW)

Knapsack II, Germany (430 MW)

Nedre Røssåga 1 and 2, Norway (+100 MW)

Kjensvatn, Norway (11 MW)

Brokke Nord/Sør, Norway (24 MW)

Eiriksdal/Makkoren, Norway (56 MW)

10 small-scale hydro, Norway (25 MW)

Wind Power

Baillie, UK (53 MW)

Stamåsen, Sweden (60 MW)

Tollarpabjär, Sweden (3 MW)

Mörttjärnberget, Sweden (85 MW) Compl. Q2

Ögonfägnaden, Sweden (99 MW)

Björkhöjden, Sweden (270 MW)

Berry Burn, UK (67 MW) Compl. Q2

International Hydropower

 Binga, Philippines (126 MW)  Kargi, Turkey (102 MW)  Cetin, Turkey (517 MW)  Devoll, Albania (243 MW)  Cheves, Peru (171 MW)  Bajo Frio, Panama (58 MW)

District Heating

 Ås, Norway (24 MW)  Kungsbacka, Sweden (12 MW)  Sandefjord, Norway (23 MW)

17 Capacity for total project, incl. partners’ share

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Strengthening of financial solidity

 Measures in 2013

  • Divested all E.ON shares (NOK 8.5 bn)
  • Other asset divestment (NOK 1.2 bn)
  • Transferred leased hydropower plants from Statkraft SF to Statkraft AS (NOK 3.4 bn)

 Planned measures in 2014

  • Divestment of Finnish hydropower
  • Reduce ownership in UK onshore wind

NOK ~5 billion

  • Reduce ownership in UK offshore wind
  • No dividend payment for 2013

 Discussions with owner about investment possibilities and financing

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3.

Agenda

2. 1. 4. 5.

19

Statkraft overview Strategy and market dynamics Financial update Funding and liquidity Summary Appendix

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 Compared with 2012 improved revenues are mainly due to higher prices (Nordic +22%)  EBITDA increased by 10%  Weakened NOK against EUR brings net profit down

  • Currency impacts are mainly unrealised with limited cash flow effect
  • The effects are more than offset by currency translation effects in equity

Solid underlying results in 2013

NOK million FY 2013 FY 20122 FY 2011 Net revenues1

20 545 19 207 18 120

EBITDA1

12 444 11 347 10 851

Net profit/loss

208 4 551 40

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1Adjusted for unrealised changes in value on energy contracts and significant non-recurring items 2All 2012 figures converted after implementation of IFRS 11 as of 2013

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10 851 11 347 12 444

  • 2 000

4 000 6 000 8 000 10 000 12 000 14 000

FY 2011 FY 2012 FY 2013

Steady increase in EBITDA

1Adjusted for unrealised changes in value on energy contracts and significant non-recurring items 2Not recalculated after implementation of IFRS 11 in 2013

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∆ 2013/2012 + 10%

Underlying EBITDA1

Nordic system price EUR/MWh 47.2 31.3 38.1 Total production TWh 51.5 60.0 55.9

2

 Increase 2012-2013 primarily due to price

effects

  • Nordic system price: 38.1 EUR/MWh + 22%
  • German spot price: 37.8 EUR/MWh - 12%

 Total power production down 7%

  • Hydropower production
  • 8%
  • Wind power production + 77%
  • Gas-fired power production - 28%

 New wind farms and transferred leased

power plants improves production capacity

 Slight increase in long-term contracts  Moderate increase in operating costs

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Net profit breakdown 2013

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1 101 125 3 288 1 338 208 12 444 11 347

  • 2 303

Net financial items

  • 9 403
  • 2 189

Revenues 2012 Adj. EBITDA Unrealised changes in energy contracts 2013 Adj. EBITDA Operating expenses

  • ex. dep.
  • 241

2013 Net profit Tax Share of profit from associates and JVs Impairments/ non- recurring items Depre- ciation

  • 2 855

Underlying EBITDA ∆ +10% vs. 2012 Booked net profit effected by negative unrealised currency effects amounting to NOK -9 934 million. In 2012 positive currency effects were NOK 3 815 million. Underlying1 EBITDA 2012 –> 2013 Underlying1 EBITDA 2013 –> Net Profit 2013

1Adjusted for unrealised changes in value on energy contracts and significant non-recurring items

NOK million

  • 11 592

Net interest and

  • ther financial items

Currency impact

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Capital expenditure1 in 2013

NOK 9 324 million

 A large number of projects under

construction in current investment program

 78% of FY capex was expansion  NOK 2 670 million invested in Q4

  • 81% expansion

 In addition leased power plants at a

value of NOK 4 billion were transferred from Statkraft SF as contribution in kind (no cash effect)

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Nordic Hydro- power 20% Internat. Hydro- Power 30% Ind. Owner- ship 10% Wind Power 27% Other2 13%

Norwegian share

  • approx. 42%

1 Exclusive loans to associates 2 Including District heating, Small-scale hydropower and Continental energy and trading

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Cash flow 2013

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5 440 7 685

+9 135 +1 051

  • 2 080
  • 9 123

+9 670

  • 3 849
  • 3 094

+535 4 000 8 000 12 000 16 000 Cash reserves 01.01 From

  • perations

Dividend from associates Change in short and long term items Investment activities Sale of non- current financial assets Changes in debt Dividend/ group contribution paid Share issue to minorities, currency effects Cash reserves 31.12 NOK million

Cash flow 2013

 Sale of non-current assets mainly regards E.ON SE shares (NOK 8.515 million) and Sheringham Shoal transmission

grid (NOK 957 million)

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 Production 2 TWh below Q1 2013  Nordic prices down 28% measured in EUR/MWh  Strong contribution from market activities and wind power  Positive currency effects counterbalanced in equity – negative effects in 2013

Solid Q1 results in a challenging market

NOK million Q1 2014 Q1 2013 FY 2013 Net revenues1

5 954 6 112 20 545

EBITDA1

3 836 4 180 12 444

Net profit/loss

2 800 443 208

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1Adjusted for unrealised changes in value on energy contracts and significant non-recurring items

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Net profit breakdown Q1

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563 56 2 800 3 836 4 180 657

  • 1 525

Net financial items Tax Share of profit from associates and JVs Impairments/ non- recurring items Depre- ciation

  • 740

Unrealised changes in energy contracts

  • 47

Q1 2014 Adj. EBITDA Operating expenses

  • ex. dep.
  • 186

Revenues

  • 158

Q1 2013 Adj. EBITDA Q1 2014 Net profit

Underlying EBITDA ∆ -8% vs. Q1/13 Booked net profit affected by positive currency effects amounting to NOK 1 043

  • million. In Q1 2013 negative currency effects were NOK -1 006 million.

Underlying1 EBITDA Q1 2013 –> Q1 2014 Underlying1 EBITDA Q1 2014 –> Net Profit Q1 2014

1Adjusted for unrealised changes in value on energy contracts and significant non-recurring items

NOK million

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Cash flow Q1

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7 685 9 596

+2 335 +121 +924

  • 1 842

+387 +17

  • 31

4 000 8 000 12 000 Cash reserves 01.01 From

  • perations

Dividend from associates Change in short and long term items Investment activities Changes in debt Dividend/ group contribution paid Share issue to minorities, currency effects Cash reserves 31.03 NOK million

Cash flow year-to-date

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4.

Agenda

2. 1. 3. 5.

28

Statkraft overview Strategy and market dynamics Financial update Funding and liquidity Summary Appendix

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Strong credit ratings

 Rating target: maintain current ratings  Flexible CAPEX-plans  Divestments completed and further divestments considered  Rating impact assessment completed prior to new investment decisions  Historically strong support from owner  Discussions with owner about investment possibilities and financing

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A- / Stable Baa1 / Stable

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46% 26% 28%

Equity and liabilities

Interest-free liabilities Interest-bearing liabilities Equity 66% 10% 5% 19%

Assets

Current assets Other non- current assets Associates and JVs Property, plant and equipment

Balance sheet and debt overview

Balance sheet per 31.03.2014 Debt currency distribution

NOK 158bn NOK 158bn

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2 000 4 000 6 000 8 000 2014 2016 2018 2020 2022 >2024 NOK million

Balanced debt maturity and mixed funding sources

Debt maturity profile 31.03.2014 Distribution of funding sources

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Liquidity position

 NOK 12bn Revolving Credit Facility (5+1+1 year)

signed 19 January 2011

  • Second extension agreed in 2013
  • 14 counterparties

 NOK 1bn in committed credit line renewed on a

yearly basis

 EMTN Programme EUR 6bn

  • EUR 2.6bn available under current Programme

 No commercial paper outstanding

Available liquidity and target

1 Liquidity capacity defined as cash and cash equivalents, plus committed

revolving credit facilities, plus projected receipts for the next six months

Liquidity and market access

5 000 10 000 15 000 20 000 25 000 30 000 2010 2011 2012 2013 Q1 2014 NOK million

Cash and Cash equivalents Credit Line Revolving Credit Facility

 Liquidity capacity target1: >1.5x projected

payments over next six months

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FUNDING STRATEGY

Funding overview

 Norwegian bond and Commercial Paper market  Euro bond market  Swedish bond market  Sterling and Swiss Franc bond markets

considered

Funding need Funding sources

 Funding centralized on group level  Flexibility through diversification of funding sources and maintaining sufficient back-stop facilities  Funding need going forward determined by cash flow

from operations and capex

 NOK 3.5 bn debt maturities in H2 2014  Zero dividend in 2014

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5.

Agenda

2. 1. 3. 4.

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Statkraft overview Strategy and market dynamics Financial update Funding and liquidity Summary Appendix

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Summary

 A competitive generator of low-cost electricity

  • Dominated by flexible hydro power with large reservoir capacity

 Strong position in the Nordics  Flexible plans for growth

  • European renewable energy production
  • Hydropower outside Europe

 Balanced investment plan to maintain credit strength  Proven support from Norwegian government through its

100% ownership

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Agenda

2. 1. 3. 4.

Statkraft overview Strategy and market dynamics Financial update Funding and liquidity Summary Appendix

5.

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Statement of Comprehensive Income

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Statement of Financial Position

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Statement of Cash Flow

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