Statkraft Investor Update July 2014 Disclaimer This presentation - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
Statkraft Investor Update July 2014 Disclaimer This presentation - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
Statkraft Investor Update July 2014 Disclaimer This presentation has been prepared by, and the information contained herein (unless otherwise indicated) has been provided by Statkraft AS (the "Company"). By attending the meeting or
Disclaimer
This presentation has been prepared by, and the information contained herein (unless otherwise indicated) has been provided by Statkraft AS (the "Company"). By attending the meeting or otherwise viewing this presentation you agree to be bound by the following conditions. This document and the information therein are being furnished to you solely for your information and may not be reproduced, redistributed or passed on, in whole or in part, to any other person. This document does not constitute or form part of and should not be construed as, an offer to sell or issue or the solicitation of an offer to buy or acquire securities of the Company or any of its subsidiaries in any jurisdiction or an inducement to enter into investment activity. No part of this document, nor the fact of its distribution or reception, should form the basis of, or be relied on in connection with, any contract or commitment or investment decision whatsoever. This document is not a prospectus and does not comply with rules or regulations regarding investor information, and has not been approved by or filed with any stock exchange or regulatory authority. Amongst others, this document does not disclose risks and other significant issues related to an investment in any securities. Investors should only subscribe for any transferable securities on the basis of information in a relevant prospectus and term sheet, and not on the basis of any information provided herein. The information contained in this document has not been independently verified and no representation or warranty, express or implied, is made as to, and no reliance should be placed on, the fairness, accuracy, completeness or correctness of the information or opinions contained herein. None of the Company, or any of its affiliates, advisers or representatives shall have any liability whatsoever (in negligence or otherwise) for any loss howsoever arising from any use of this document or its contents or otherwise arising in connection with this document. The information contained in this document is provided as at the date of this document and is subject to change without notice. This document may not be distributed or delivered to any person or in any jurisdiction where such distribution is unlawful or restricted. This document may not be delivered in the United States or to any person or entity in the United States. 2
1.
Agenda
2. 3. 4. 5.
Statkraft overview Strategy and market dynamics Financial update Funding and liquidity Summary Appendix
3
Statkraft at a glance
4
NOK 47.5 47.5 bn UNDERLYING GROSS REVENUES 2013 NOK 12.4 bn UNDERLYING EBITDA 2013 55.9 TWh
POWER GENERATION 2013
95 95 %
HYDRO POWER
16.0 GW
INSTALLED CAPACITY 2013
100%
OWNED BY THE KINGDOM OF NORWAY
A-/Baa1
(stable outlooks)
S&P / MOODY’S CREDIT RATINGS
Gas power Wind power Distribution grid District heating Hydropower
NO NO
- No. 1 power generator
(~35%)
SWE
- No. 4 power generator
(~5%)
UK UK
Wind power initiatives
GER
OUTSIDE EUROPE Integration of hydropower Flexible power generation
SE EUROPE
Hydropower development EU EUROPE PE Trading activities
Key credit strengths
Strong market position
- A low-cost and flexible generator of renewable electricity
Stable cash flow
- Long-term industrial contracts stabilize cash flow
Capex flexibility
- Adjust investment program to financial capacity
Owned by the Norwegian state (AAA/Aaa)
- Historically strong support from owner
- No substantial changes in the State’s owner strategy in White paper published in June
2014
5
2.
Agenda
1. 3. 4. 5.
6
Statkraft overview Strategy and market dynamics Financial update Funding and liquidity Summary Appendix
A changing energy landscape
Flat energy demand in Europe and
more production from new renewables
Growing concerns in Europe about
affordability and security of supply
Traditional “utility business model”
challenged by a transformed value chain
7
Attractive support schemes driven by
European transformation to renewable energy
New business opportunities closer to
end users and through integration of intermittent renewable capacity
Strong growth in emerging markets
Market challenges Market opportunities
District Heating
Strategic focus areas
European Flexible Generation Wind Power Hydropower in Emerging Markets Market Operations
- Maintain and develop low cost, flexible hydropower
- Build integrated operations in South East Europe, South America and
South Asia
- Onshore wind in Norway, Sweden and UK
- Become lead operator in offshore wind power in UK
- Stabilize cash flow through power contracts
- Develop Trading and Origination in selected global markets
- Become amongst the most profitable district heating companies in
Norway and Sweden
8
European Flexible Generation
Low-cost European hydropower production
- Total cash cost in 2013: 7.2 EUR/MWh
- Full cost incl. depreciation: 10.2 EUR/MWh1
Peak supplier with high degree of flexibility
- 80% of installed capacity within highly flexible
hydropower
- Europe’s largest reservoir capacity (~40 TWh)
Unique information base and power market
modelling
- Production optimised relative to power prices and
water inflows
- Water can be stored for up to three years in some
reservoirs
1 Annual Report 2013: 80 NOK/MWh. Incl. property tax and depreciations, excl. sales costs, overhead, net financial items and tax.
Based on normal production from power plants under own management in Norway, Sweden, Germany and the UK.
Blåsjø, one of Europe’s largest hydropower reservoirs, with multi-year energy storage capacity (7.8 TWh)
9
Current transmission capacity between Nordic
and Europe of 4000 MW
Planned capacity increase of 3870 MW before
2020 and another 3450 MW before 2025
Nordic-European power market integration
10
Power transmission cables (MW) Planned expansions
Source: Statnett
Price effect NO2-DE + NO2-UK: 3-5 EUR/MWh* Increased possibility to utilize our flexible assets
* Statnett estimate with the two cables, compared to a scenario with no new cables from Norway.
A major player on Europe’s power
exchanges
Special expertise within physical and
financial power trading
Active in all energy-related commodities Market access for small renewable
producers
Expanding power trading activities in
Europe, as well as in Brazil and India
Strategy for long-term contracts
11
Market Operations
Long-term contracts stabilize earnings
~ 20 TWh sold on long-term contracts
with power-intensive Nordic industry
Corresponding to ~ 40% of Statkraft’s
annual mean power production for Nordic hydropower
12
10 000 20 000 30 000 2014 2016 2018 2020 2022 2024
GWh Statutory priced lease agreements Statkraft's share of leasing agreements Long-term market contracts
International Hydropower has been reorganized and strengthened
13
Statkraft SN Power
Statkraft has increased
- wnership and fully
integrated activities in South America and South Asia (from 60 % to 67 %) Statkraft has reduced
- wnership to activities in less
developed markets in South East Asia, Africa and Central America (from 60 % to 50 %)
Alltwalis Stamåsen Mörttjärnberget Björkhöjden Ögonfägnaden Hitra Smøla
Onshore and offshore wind power in the Nordics and UK
In operation/under construction
- Norway: 244 MW
- Sweden: 525 MW
- UK: 460 MW
Licensed/under development
- Onshore: Norway 735 MW
Sweden 290 MW UK ~ 50 MW
- Offshore: Dudgeon 402 MW
(Statkraft 30%) Dogger Bank 4800 MW (Statkraft 25%)
Em Tollarpabjär Dudgeon Sheringham Shoal Dogger Bank Berry Burn Baillie Kjøllefjord
14
Norway 43 % Europe ex Norway 19 % Emerging markets 38 %
Allocation of investments 2014-2018
Hydropower 64 % Offshore WP 9 % Onshore WP 18 % Trading &
- rigination
3 % District heating 3 % Innovation 3 %
15
Investment ambition 2014-2018: NOK 61 billion, of which 51% is committed Subject to financial capacity and maintaining current ratings
Technology allocation Geographical allocation
Increased diversification, but still dominated by Norwegian hydropower
Solid base in the Nordic region
Estimated annual contribution after committed capex (2018)
Norway 67 % Nordic outside Norway 14 % Europe
- utside Nordic
11 % Outside Europe 8 %
EBITDA
Norway 72 % Nordic outside Norway 10 % Europe
- utside Nordic
13 % Outside Europe 5 %
Power generation (72 TWh)
16
Construction activities
Completed in 2013 On-going projects in 2014 European Flexible Generation
4 small-scale hydro, Norway (12 MW)
Knapsack II, Germany (430 MW)
Nedre Røssåga 1 and 2, Norway (+100 MW)
Kjensvatn, Norway (11 MW)
Brokke Nord/Sør, Norway (24 MW)
Eiriksdal/Makkoren, Norway (56 MW)
10 small-scale hydro, Norway (25 MW)
Wind Power
Baillie, UK (53 MW)
Stamåsen, Sweden (60 MW)
Tollarpabjär, Sweden (3 MW)
Mörttjärnberget, Sweden (85 MW) Compl. Q2
Ögonfägnaden, Sweden (99 MW)
Björkhöjden, Sweden (270 MW)
Berry Burn, UK (67 MW) Compl. Q2
International Hydropower
Binga, Philippines (126 MW) Kargi, Turkey (102 MW) Cetin, Turkey (517 MW) Devoll, Albania (243 MW) Cheves, Peru (171 MW) Bajo Frio, Panama (58 MW)
District Heating
Ås, Norway (24 MW) Kungsbacka, Sweden (12 MW) Sandefjord, Norway (23 MW)
17 Capacity for total project, incl. partners’ share
Strengthening of financial solidity
Measures in 2013
- Divested all E.ON shares (NOK 8.5 bn)
- Other asset divestment (NOK 1.2 bn)
- Transferred leased hydropower plants from Statkraft SF to Statkraft AS (NOK 3.4 bn)
Planned measures in 2014
- Divestment of Finnish hydropower
- Reduce ownership in UK onshore wind
NOK ~5 billion
- Reduce ownership in UK offshore wind
- No dividend payment for 2013
Discussions with owner about investment possibilities and financing
18
3.
Agenda
2. 1. 4. 5.
19
Statkraft overview Strategy and market dynamics Financial update Funding and liquidity Summary Appendix
Compared with 2012 improved revenues are mainly due to higher prices (Nordic +22%) EBITDA increased by 10% Weakened NOK against EUR brings net profit down
- Currency impacts are mainly unrealised with limited cash flow effect
- The effects are more than offset by currency translation effects in equity
Solid underlying results in 2013
NOK million FY 2013 FY 20122 FY 2011 Net revenues1
20 545 19 207 18 120
EBITDA1
12 444 11 347 10 851
Net profit/loss
208 4 551 40
20
1Adjusted for unrealised changes in value on energy contracts and significant non-recurring items 2All 2012 figures converted after implementation of IFRS 11 as of 2013
10 851 11 347 12 444
- 2 000
4 000 6 000 8 000 10 000 12 000 14 000
FY 2011 FY 2012 FY 2013
Steady increase in EBITDA
1Adjusted for unrealised changes in value on energy contracts and significant non-recurring items 2Not recalculated after implementation of IFRS 11 in 2013
21
∆ 2013/2012 + 10%
Underlying EBITDA1
Nordic system price EUR/MWh 47.2 31.3 38.1 Total production TWh 51.5 60.0 55.9
2
Increase 2012-2013 primarily due to price
effects
- Nordic system price: 38.1 EUR/MWh + 22%
- German spot price: 37.8 EUR/MWh - 12%
Total power production down 7%
- Hydropower production
- 8%
- Wind power production + 77%
- Gas-fired power production - 28%
New wind farms and transferred leased
power plants improves production capacity
Slight increase in long-term contracts Moderate increase in operating costs
Net profit breakdown 2013
22
1 101 125 3 288 1 338 208 12 444 11 347
- 2 303
Net financial items
- 9 403
- 2 189
Revenues 2012 Adj. EBITDA Unrealised changes in energy contracts 2013 Adj. EBITDA Operating expenses
- ex. dep.
- 241
2013 Net profit Tax Share of profit from associates and JVs Impairments/ non- recurring items Depre- ciation
- 2 855
Underlying EBITDA ∆ +10% vs. 2012 Booked net profit effected by negative unrealised currency effects amounting to NOK -9 934 million. In 2012 positive currency effects were NOK 3 815 million. Underlying1 EBITDA 2012 –> 2013 Underlying1 EBITDA 2013 –> Net Profit 2013
1Adjusted for unrealised changes in value on energy contracts and significant non-recurring items
NOK million
- 11 592
Net interest and
- ther financial items
Currency impact
Capital expenditure1 in 2013
NOK 9 324 million
A large number of projects under
construction in current investment program
78% of FY capex was expansion NOK 2 670 million invested in Q4
- 81% expansion
In addition leased power plants at a
value of NOK 4 billion were transferred from Statkraft SF as contribution in kind (no cash effect)
23
Nordic Hydro- power 20% Internat. Hydro- Power 30% Ind. Owner- ship 10% Wind Power 27% Other2 13%
Norwegian share
- approx. 42%
1 Exclusive loans to associates 2 Including District heating, Small-scale hydropower and Continental energy and trading
Cash flow 2013
24
5 440 7 685
+9 135 +1 051
- 2 080
- 9 123
+9 670
- 3 849
- 3 094
+535 4 000 8 000 12 000 16 000 Cash reserves 01.01 From
- perations
Dividend from associates Change in short and long term items Investment activities Sale of non- current financial assets Changes in debt Dividend/ group contribution paid Share issue to minorities, currency effects Cash reserves 31.12 NOK million
Cash flow 2013
Sale of non-current assets mainly regards E.ON SE shares (NOK 8.515 million) and Sheringham Shoal transmission
grid (NOK 957 million)
Production 2 TWh below Q1 2013 Nordic prices down 28% measured in EUR/MWh Strong contribution from market activities and wind power Positive currency effects counterbalanced in equity – negative effects in 2013
Solid Q1 results in a challenging market
NOK million Q1 2014 Q1 2013 FY 2013 Net revenues1
5 954 6 112 20 545
EBITDA1
3 836 4 180 12 444
Net profit/loss
2 800 443 208
25
1Adjusted for unrealised changes in value on energy contracts and significant non-recurring items
Net profit breakdown Q1
26
563 56 2 800 3 836 4 180 657
- 1 525
Net financial items Tax Share of profit from associates and JVs Impairments/ non- recurring items Depre- ciation
- 740
Unrealised changes in energy contracts
- 47
Q1 2014 Adj. EBITDA Operating expenses
- ex. dep.
- 186
Revenues
- 158
Q1 2013 Adj. EBITDA Q1 2014 Net profit
Underlying EBITDA ∆ -8% vs. Q1/13 Booked net profit affected by positive currency effects amounting to NOK 1 043
- million. In Q1 2013 negative currency effects were NOK -1 006 million.
Underlying1 EBITDA Q1 2013 –> Q1 2014 Underlying1 EBITDA Q1 2014 –> Net Profit Q1 2014
1Adjusted for unrealised changes in value on energy contracts and significant non-recurring items
NOK million
Cash flow Q1
27
7 685 9 596
+2 335 +121 +924
- 1 842
+387 +17
- 31
4 000 8 000 12 000 Cash reserves 01.01 From
- perations
Dividend from associates Change in short and long term items Investment activities Changes in debt Dividend/ group contribution paid Share issue to minorities, currency effects Cash reserves 31.03 NOK million
Cash flow year-to-date
4.
Agenda
2. 1. 3. 5.
28
Statkraft overview Strategy and market dynamics Financial update Funding and liquidity Summary Appendix
Strong credit ratings
Rating target: maintain current ratings Flexible CAPEX-plans Divestments completed and further divestments considered Rating impact assessment completed prior to new investment decisions Historically strong support from owner Discussions with owner about investment possibilities and financing
29
A- / Stable Baa1 / Stable
46% 26% 28%
Equity and liabilities
Interest-free liabilities Interest-bearing liabilities Equity 66% 10% 5% 19%
Assets
Current assets Other non- current assets Associates and JVs Property, plant and equipment
Balance sheet and debt overview
Balance sheet per 31.03.2014 Debt currency distribution
NOK 158bn NOK 158bn
30
2 000 4 000 6 000 8 000 2014 2016 2018 2020 2022 >2024 NOK million
Balanced debt maturity and mixed funding sources
Debt maturity profile 31.03.2014 Distribution of funding sources
31
Liquidity position
NOK 12bn Revolving Credit Facility (5+1+1 year)
signed 19 January 2011
- Second extension agreed in 2013
- 14 counterparties
NOK 1bn in committed credit line renewed on a
yearly basis
EMTN Programme EUR 6bn
- EUR 2.6bn available under current Programme
No commercial paper outstanding
Available liquidity and target
1 Liquidity capacity defined as cash and cash equivalents, plus committed
revolving credit facilities, plus projected receipts for the next six months
Liquidity and market access
5 000 10 000 15 000 20 000 25 000 30 000 2010 2011 2012 2013 Q1 2014 NOK million
Cash and Cash equivalents Credit Line Revolving Credit Facility
Liquidity capacity target1: >1.5x projected
payments over next six months
32
FUNDING STRATEGY
Funding overview
Norwegian bond and Commercial Paper market Euro bond market Swedish bond market Sterling and Swiss Franc bond markets
considered
Funding need Funding sources
Funding centralized on group level Flexibility through diversification of funding sources and maintaining sufficient back-stop facilities Funding need going forward determined by cash flow
from operations and capex
NOK 3.5 bn debt maturities in H2 2014 Zero dividend in 2014
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5.
Agenda
2. 1. 3. 4.
34
Statkraft overview Strategy and market dynamics Financial update Funding and liquidity Summary Appendix
Summary
A competitive generator of low-cost electricity
- Dominated by flexible hydro power with large reservoir capacity
Strong position in the Nordics Flexible plans for growth
- European renewable energy production
- Hydropower outside Europe
Balanced investment plan to maintain credit strength Proven support from Norwegian government through its
100% ownership
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Agenda
2. 1. 3. 4.
Statkraft overview Strategy and market dynamics Financial update Funding and liquidity Summary Appendix
5.
36
Statement of Comprehensive Income
37
Statement of Financial Position
38
Statement of Cash Flow
39
page 40
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