SRA Study in Kattegat and Øresund
13/12/2018 1 OSPAR HELCOM TG Ballast
Flemming T. Hansen and Asbjørn Christensen, DTU Aqua Frank Stuer-Lauridsen, LITEHAUZ
SRA Study in Kattegat and resund Flemming T. Hansen and Asbjrn - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
SRA Study in Kattegat and resund Flemming T. Hansen and Asbjrn Christensen, DTU Aqua Frank Stuer-Lauridsen, LITEHAUZ 13/12/2018 OSPAR HELCOM TG Ballast 1 A-4 Exemptions G7 Risk Assessment Country A Same Risk Area Same Risk Area
13/12/2018 1 OSPAR HELCOM TG Ballast
Flemming T. Hansen and Asbjørn Christensen, DTU Aqua Frank Stuer-Lauridsen, LITEHAUZ
13/12/2018 2 OSPAR HELCOM TG Ballast
Country B Country A Country C Same Risk Area
(agent based connectivity)
13/12/2018 3 OSPAR HELCOM TG Ballast
13/12/2018 4 OSPAR HELCOM TG Ballast
and Øresund region. (e.g. Acartia tonsa, Mya arenaria)
bugensis)
EXCLUDED IF… : => Total of 23 species
Survival Temperature Min-Max (C ) Pelagic Larvae Duration Min-Max (days) Time to Maturity Min-Max (months) Spawning Start-End (month) Reproduction Temperature Min-Max (C ) Reproduction Salinity Min-Max (psu) Habitat Depth Max (m)
which year(s) to include?
NAO = North Atlantic Oscillation!
Definition: “…the seasonal average air pressure difference between stations, e.g. Azores and Reykavik”
9
Analysing Natural Dispersal and Connectivity
PHYSICS Ocean currents Ocean temperature Ocean salinity BIOLOGY Larval duration Spawning season Habitat Tolerance temp Tolerance salinity Vertical distribution
13/12/2018 11 OSPAR HELCOM TG Ballast
Dispersal potential Habitat conditions Pressence status Robustness Connectivity: KØ N S W E Ø 1,2,3 1,2,3
1,2,3
= No 1 Low
= Low 2 Medimu + = Registrered = high 3 High ++ = Widely distributed
Connectivty
13/12/2018 12 OSPAR HELCOM TG Ballast
Paramter Unit Value PLD (min) days 14 PLD (max) days 55 Generations per year no.s 1 Spawning start month 7 Spawning end month 8 Habitat Substrate type All Habitat Depth m 20
C
C 33 Salinity Min (Adult) PSU 17 Salinity Max (Adult) PSU 35
C 22.5
C 30 Salinity Min (Larvae) PSU 17 Salinity Max (Larvae) PSU 30 Parameter
Dispersal potential Habitat conditions Pressence status Robustness Connectivity: KØ N S W E Ø Arcuatula senhousia 3 3
13/12/2018 13 OSPAR HELCOM TG Ballast
Single generation dispersal Muliple generation dispersal
13/12/2018 15 OSPAR HELCOM TG Ballast
Paramter Unit Value PLD (min) days 41 PLD (max) days 120 Generations per year no.s 1 Spawning start month 6 Spawning end month 10 Habitat Substrate type All Habitat Depth m 220
C
C 25 Salinity Min (Adult) PSU 18 Salinity Max (Adult) PSU 41
C 17
C 20 Salinity Min (Larvae) PSU 18 Salinity Max (Larvae) PSU 41 Parameter
Asterias amurensis Dispersal potential Habitat conditions Pressence status Robustness Connectivity: KØ N S W E Ø 3 3
13/12/2018 16 OSPAR HELCOM TG Ballast
Parameter
Dispersal potential Habitat conditions Pressence status Robustness Connectivity: KØ N S W E Ø 1 1 1 1
13/12/2018 17 OSPAR HELCOM TG Ballast
Paramter Unit Value PLD (min) days 2 PLD (max) days 0.5 Generations per year no.s 1 Spawning start month 7 Spawning end month 9 Habitat Substrate type Hard Habitat Depth m 10
C
C 25 Salinity Min (Adult) PSU 18 Salinity Max (Adult) PSU 30
C 12
C 26 Salinity Min (Larvae) PSU 14 Salinity Max (Larvae) PSU 32 Parameter
Dispersal potential Habitat conditions Pressence status Robustness Connectivity: KØ N S W E Ø 1 2
13/12/2018 18 OSPAR HELCOM TG Ballast
Paramter Unit Value PLD (min) days 1 PLD (max) days 1 Generations per year no.s 1 Spawning start month 7 Spawning end month 9 Habitat Substrate type Hard Habitat Depth m 20
C
C 25 Salinity Min (Adult) PSU 18 Salinity Max (Adult) PSU 40
C
C 25 Salinity Min (Larvae) PSU 18 Salinity Max (Larvae) PSU 40 Parameter
Bugulina simplex Dispersal potential Habitat conditions Pressence status Robustness Connectivity: KØ N S W E Ø 1 1
13/12/2018 19 OSPAR HELCOM TG Ballast
Paramter Unit Value PLD (min) days 31 PLD (max) days 49 Generations per year no.s 1 Spawning start month 5 Spawning end month 8 Habitat Substrate type Mud, Sand Habitat Depth m 36
C 5
C 30 Salinity Min (Adult) PSU 3 Salinity Max (Adult) PSU 40
C 15
C 25 Salinity Min (Larvae) PSU 20 Salinity Max (Larvae) PSU 40 Parameter
Callinectes sapidus Dispersal potential Habitat conditions Pressence status Robustness Connectivity: KØ N S W E Ø 2 3 + 3
13/12/2018 20 OSPAR HELCOM TG Ballast
Paramter Unit Value PLD (min) days 21 PLD (max) days 28 Generations per year no.s 1 Spawning start month 7 Spawning end month 8 Habitat Substrate type Hard Habitat Depth m 15
C 3
C 35 Salinity Min (Adult) PSU 12 Salinity Max (Adult) PSU 42
C 18
C 26 Salinity Min (Larvae) PSU 10 Salinity Max (Larvae) PSU 42 Parameter
Crassostrea gigas Dispersal potential Habitat conditions Pressence status Robustness Connectivity: KØ N S W E Ø 3 2 ++ 3
13/12/2018 21 OSPAR HELCOM TG Ballast
Paramter Unit Value PLD (min) days 0.5 PLD (max) days 1 Generations per year no.s 1 Spawning start month 7 Spawning end month 9 Habitat Substrate type Hard Habitat Depth m 65
C 2
C 28 Salinity Min (Adult) PSU 18 Salinity Max (Adult) PSU 40
C 14
C 20 Salinity Min (Larvae) PSU 18 Salinity Max (Larvae) PSU 40 Parameter
Didemnum vexillum Dispersal potential Habitat conditions Pressence status Robustness Connectivity: KØ N S W E Ø 3
2
13/12/2018 22 OSPAR HELCOM TG Ballast
Paramter Unit Value PLD (min) days 14 PLD (max) days 21 Generations per year no.s 1 Spawning start month 3 Spawning end month 4 Habitat Substrate type Mud, Sand Habitat Depth m 12
C
C 26 Salinity Min (Adult) PSU 7 Salinity Max (Adult) PSU 32
C 2
C 28 Salinity Min (Larvae) PSU 15 Salinity Max (Larvae) PSU 32 Parameter
Ensis americanus Dispersal potential Habitat conditions Pressence status Robustness Connectivity: KØ N S W E Ø ++ 2 3 3
13/12/2018 23 OSPAR HELCOM TG Ballast
Paramter Unit Value PLD (min) days 30 PLD (max) days 60 Generations per year no.s 0.5 Spawning start month 3 Spawning end month 7 Habitat Substrate type All Habitat Depth m 10
C
C 25 Salinity Min (Adult) PSU Salinity Max (Adult) PSU 30
C 12
C 35 Salinity Min (Larvae) PSU 15 Salinity Max (Larvae) PSU 32 Parameter
Eriocheir sinensis Dispersal potential Habitat conditions Pressence status Robustness Connectivity: KØ N S W E Ø 2 3 + 3
13/12/2018 24 OSPAR HELCOM TG Ballast
Paramter Unit Value PLD (min) days 20 PLD (max) days 25 Generations per year no.s 1 Spawning start month 7 Spawning end month 9 Habitat Substrate type hard Habitat Depth m 10
C
C 30 Salinity Min (Adult) PSU 5 Salinity Max (Adult) PSU 40
C 18
C 26 Salinity Min (Larvae) PSU 10 Salinity Max (Larvae) PSU 30 Parameter
Ficopomatus enigmaticus Dispersal potential Habitat conditions Pressence status Robustness Connectivity: KØ N S W E Ø 2 2 + 2
13/12/2018 25 OSPAR HELCOM TG Ballast
Paramter Unit Value PLD (min) days 16 PLD (max) days 55 Generations per year no.s 1 Spawning start month 5 Spawning end month 9 Habitat Substrate type Sand, Hard Habitat Depth m 40
C 5
C 30 Salinity Min (Adult) PSU 15 Salinity Max (Adult) PSU 33
C 15
C 30 Salinity Min (Larvae) PSU 20 Salinity Max (Larvae) PSU 35 Parameter
Hemigrapsus sanguineus Dispersal potential Habitat conditions Pressence status Robustness Connectivity: KØ N S W E Ø 2 3 + 3
13/12/2018 26 OSPAR HELCOM TG Ballast
Parameter
Hemigrapsus takanoi Dispersal potential Habitat conditions Pressence status Robustness Connectivity: KØ N S W E Ø 1 2 + 1
13/12/2018 27 OSPAR HELCOM TG Ballast
Paramter Unit Value PLD (min) days 5 PLD (max) days 14 Generations per year no.s 2 Spawning start month 6 Spawning end month 10 Habitat Substrate type Hard Habitat Depth m 200
C 5
C 30 Salinity Min (Adult) PSU 28 Salinity Max (Adult) PSU 50
C 12.5
C 20 Salinity Min (Larvae) PSU 25 Salinity Max (Larvae) PSU 50 Parameter Hydroides dianthus Dispersal potential Habitat conditions Pressence status Robustness Connectivity: KØ N S W E Ø 3 2 2
28 OSPAR HELCOM TG Ballast
Paramter Unit Value PLD (min) days 1 PLD (max) days 1.5 Generations per year no.s ? (1) Spawning start month ? (7) Spawning end month ? (8) Habitat Substrate type All Habitat Depth m ? (40)
C
C 30 Salinity Min (Adult) PSU 0.1 Salinity Max (Adult) PSU 35
C ?
C ? Salinity Min (Larvae) PSU ? (0.1) Salinity Max (Larvae) PSU ? (35)
Parameter
Laonome calida Dispersal potential Habitat conditions Pressence status Robustness Connectivity: KØ N S W E Ø
2 1
13/12/2018 29 OSPAR HELCOM TG Ballast
Paramter Unit Value PLD (min) days 28 PLD (max) days 49 Generations per year no.s 1 Spawning start month 9 Spawning end month 11 Habitat Substrate type Mud Habitat Depth m 65
C
C 25 Salinity Min (Adult) PSU 1 Salinity Max (Adult) PSU 32
C 15
C 25 Salinity Min (Larvae) PSU 5 Salinity Max (Larvae) PSU 20 Parameter Marenzelleria viridis Dispersal potential Habitat conditions Pressence status Robustness Connectivity: KØ N S W E Ø ++ 3 3 3
13/12/2018 30 OSPAR HELCOM TG Ballast
Paramter Unit Value PLD (min) days 6 PLD (max) days 14 Generations per year no.s 1 Spawning start month 5 Spawning end month 10 Habitat Substrate type Hard Habitat Depth m 40*
C 5
C 37 Salinity Min (Adult) PSU Salinity Max (Adult) PSU 20
C 13
C 27 Salinity Min (Larvae) PSU 1 Salinity Max (Larvae) PSU 25 Parameter
Mytilopsis leucophaeata Dispersal potential Habitat conditions Pressence status Robustness Connectivity: KØ N S W E Ø 2
2
13/12/2018 31 OSPAR HELCOM TG Ballast
Paramter Unit Value PLD (min) days 14 PLD (max) days 28 Generations per year no.s 3 Spawning start month 6 Spawning end month 9 Habitat Substrate type Sand, Hard Habitat Depth m 40
C
C 31 Salinity Min (Adult) PSU 12 Salinity Max (Adult) PSU 38
C 15
C 25 Salinity Min (Larvae) PSU 10 Salinity Max (Larvae) PSU 38 Parameter
Dispersal potential Habitat conditions Pressence status Robustness Connectivity: KØ N S W E Ø 3 3
13/12/2018 32 OSPAR HELCOM TG Ballast
Paramter Unit Value PLD (min) days 15 PLD (max) days 20 Generations per year no.s 6 Spawning start month 4 Spawning end month 10 Habitat Substrate type All Habitat Depth m 40
C 2
C 26 Salinity Min (Adult) PSU 1 Salinity Max (Adult) PSU 36
C 15
C 27 Salinity Min (Larvae) PSU 1 Salinity Max (Larvae) PSU 34 Parameter
Dispersal potential Habitat conditions Pressence status Robustness Connectivity: KØ N S W E Ø 3 3
13/12/2018 33 OSPAR HELCOM TG Ballast
Dispersal potential Habitat conditions Pressence status Robustness Connectivity: KØ N S W E Ø 3 3
Paramter Unit Value PLD (min) days 14 PLD (max) days 21 Generations per year no.s 2 Spawning start month 5 Spawning end month 10 Habitat Substrate type All Habitat Depth m 30
C
C 30 Salinity Min (Adult) PSU 0.1 Salinity Max (Adult) PSU 32
C 6.4
C 23 Salinity Min (Larvae) PSU 0.1 Salinity Max (Larvae) PSU 27.6 Parameter
13/12/2018 34 OSPAR HELCOM TG Ballast
Paramter Unit Value PLD (min) days 7 PLD (max) days 7 Generations per year no.s 0.5 Spawning start month 5 Spawning end month 10 Habitat Substrate type Mud, Sand Habitat Depth m 15
C 1
C 29 Salinity Min (Adult) PSU 1 Salinity Max (Adult) PSU 15
C 8
C 30 Salinity Min (Larvae) PSU 2 Salinity Max (Larvae) PSU 20 Parameter
Dispersal potential Habitat conditions Pressence status Robustness Connectivity: KØ N S W E Ø 3 2 2
35 OSPAR HELCOM TG Ballast
Paramter Unit Value PLD (min) days 14 PLD (max) days 80 Generations per year no.s 1 Spawning start month 4 Spawning end month 11 Habitat Substrate type All Habitat Depth m 40
C 4
C 27 Salinity Min (Adult) PSU 7 Salinity Max (Adult) PSU 32
C 13
C 26 Salinity Min (Larvae) PSU 15 Salinity Max (Larvae) PSU 30 Parameter
Dispersal potential Habitat conditions Pressence status Robustness Connectivity: KØ N S W E Ø
3 2
13/12/2018 36 OSPAR HELCOM TG Ballast
Paramter Unit Value PLD (min) days 7 PLD (max) days 43 Generations per year no.s 1 Spawning start month 6 Spawning end month 9 Habitat Substrate type Hard Habitat Depth m 37
C
C 35 Salinity Min (Adult) PSU 5 Salinity Max (Adult) PSU 30
C 14
C 27 Salinity Min (Larvae) PSU 5 Salinity Max (Larvae) PSU 30 Parameter Rhithropanopeus harrisii Dispersal potential Habitat conditions Pressence status Robustness Connectivity: KØ N S W E Ø 2 + 3 2
13/12/2018 37 OSPAR HELCOM TG Ballast
13/12/2018 38 OSPAR HELCOM TG Ballast
Robustness Kattegat & Øresund Northern Kattegat Southern Kattegat Western Kattegat Eastern Kattegat Øresund Helcom/Ospar Target species attaches to hull Impact potential Impact type Arcuatula senhousia 3 3
KØ N S W E Ø yes + 2 ecosystem, biodiversity Asterias amurensis 3 3
KØ N S W E Ø yes + 3 ecosystem, biodiversity Austrominius modestus 1 1 1 3 KØ N S W E Ø no ++ 2 ecosystem, biodiversity, infrastr. Bugula neritina 1 2
KØ N S W E Ø no ++ 1 fouling Bugulina simplex 1 1
KØ N S W E Ø no + 1 Callinectes sapidus 2 3 + 3 KØ N S W E Ø yes
Crassostrea gigas 3 2 ++ 3 KØ N S W E Ø yes + 2 ecosystem, biodiversity Didemnum vexillum 1 2
KØ N S W E Ø yes ++ 3 ecosystem, biodiversity Ensis directus 3 3 ++ 2 KØ N S W E Ø yes
Eriocheir sinensis 2 3 + 3 KØ N S W E Ø no + 2 ecosystem, biodiversity Ficopomatus enigmaticus 2 2 + 2 KØ N S W E Ø yes + 2 ecosystem, biodiversity, fouling Hemigrapsus sanguineus 2 3 + 3 KØ N S W E Ø yes + 2 ecosystem, biodiversity Hemigrapsus takanoi 1 2 + 1 KØ N S W E Ø yes + 2 ecosystem, biodiversity Hydroides dianthus 2 2
KØ N S W E Ø yes ++ 2 fouling Laonome calida 2 1
KØ N S W E Ø no ? ? Marenzelleria viridis 3 3 ++ 3 KØ N S W E Ø yes
ecosystem, biodiversity Mytilopsis leucophaeata 2 2
KØ N S W E Ø yes + 3 fouling Mytilus galloprovincialis 3 3
KØ N S W E Ø yes + 2 biodiversity Palaemon macrodactylus 3 3
KØ N S W E Ø yes + 1 Potamocorbula amurensis 3 3
KØ N S W E Ø yes
ecosystem, biodiversity Rangia cuneata 1 1
KØ N S W E Ø yes ? 3 ecosystem, biodiversity, fouling Rapana venosa 3 3
KØ N S W E Ø yes ? 3 ecosystem, biodiversity, fouling Rhithropanopeus harrisii 2 2 + 3 KØ N S W E Ø yes + 2 fouling, fishing gear Pressence status Connectivity SPECIES Dispersal potential Habitat conditions Same-Risk assessment parameters
13/12/2018 39 OSPAR HELCOM TG Ballast
– But already widely distributed – Registered many years ago and not yet invasive – Ballast water not the primary vector
– Not introduced – Newly registered – Ballast water primary or major vector Same (or No) Risk May pose additional RISK Same (or No) Risk
13/12/2018 40 OSPAR HELCOM TG Ballast
Robustness Kattegat & Øresund Northern Kattegat Southern Kattegat Western Kattegat Eastern Kattegat Øresund Helcom/Ospar Target spcies attaches to hull Impact potential Impact type Arcuatula senhousia 3 3
yes + 2 ecosystem, biodiversity Asterias amurensis 3 3
yes + 3 ecosystem, biodiversity Austrominius modestus 1 1
no ++ 2 ecosystem, biodiversity, infrastr. Callinectes sapidus 2 2 + 2 yes
Crassostrea gigas 3 3 ++ 3 yes + 2 ecosystem, biodiversity Ficopomatus enigmaticus 2 2 + 2 yes + 2 ecosystem, biodiversity, fouling Hemigrapsus sanguineus 3 3 + 3 yes + 2 ecosystem, biodiversity Hemigrapsus takanoi 2 2 + 1 yes + 2 ecosystem, biodiversity Hydroides dianthus 2 2
yes ++ 2 fouling Marenzelleria viridis 3 3 ++ 3 yes
ecosystem, biodiversity Mytilus galloprovincialis 3 3
yes + 2 biodiversity Palaemon macrodactylus 3 3
yes + 1 Rapana venosa 3 2
yes ? 3 ecosystem, biodiversity, fouling Rhithropanopeus harrisii 2 3 ? 2 yes + 2 fouling, fishing gear SPECIES Dispersal potential Habitat conditions Pressence status Connectivity Same-Risk assessment parameters
Species that DO NOT pose a risk
Species with high connectivity*
13/12/2018 41 OSPAR HELCOM TG Ballast
= Same Risk may be justified in the whole of Kattegat and Øresund = Same Risk may be limited to parts of Kattegat and Øresund
Robustness Kattegat & Øresund Northern Kattegat Southern Kattegat Western Kattegat Eastern Kattegat Øresund Helcom/Ospar Target species Attaches to hull Impact potential Bugula neritina 1 2
KØ N S W E Ø no ++ 1 Bugulina simplex 1 1
KØ N S W E Ø no + 1 Didemnum vexillum 1 2
KØ N S W E Ø yes ++ 3 Ensis directus 3 3 ++ 2 KØ N S W E Ø yes
Laonome calida 2 1
KØ N S W E Ø no ? ? Mytilopsis leucophaeata 2 2
KØ N S W E Ø yes + 3 Potamocorbula amurensis 3 3
KØ N S W E Ø yes
Rangia cuneata 1 1
KØ N S W E Ø yes ? 3 Rhithropanopeus harrisii 2 2 + 3 KØ N S W E Ø yes + 2 Same Risk rating SPECIES Dispersal potential Habitat conditions Pressence status Connectivity Same-Risk assessment
13/12/2018 42
STRICT The limited SRA delineation based solely on connectivity INCLUSIVE A less limited SRA delineation typically supported by limitations based on traits
Species that MAY pose a risk
13/12/2018 43 OSPAR HELCOM TG Ballast
SRA
Inclusive interpretation Strict interpretation
13/12/2018 44 OSPAR HELCOM TG Ballast
Strict interpretation:
Inclusive interpretation:
13/12/2018 45 OSPAR HELCOM TG Ballast
Inclusive interpretation Strict interpretation
13/12/2018 46 OSPAR HELCOM TG Ballast
Strict interpretation:
Inclusive interpretation:
13/12/2018 47 OSPAR HELCOM TG Ballast
Inlcusive interpretation Strict interpretation
13/12/2018 48 OSPAR HELCOM TG Ballast
STRICT interpretation:
INCLUSIVE interpretation:
freshwater outlet.
13/12/2018 49 OSPAR HELCOM TG Ballast
Inclusive interpretation Strict interpretation
13/12/2018 50 OSPAR HELCOM TG Ballast
Strict interpretation:
Inclusive interpretation:
13/12/2018 51 OSPAR HELCOM TG Ballast
Inclusive interpretation Strict interpretation
13/12/2018 52 OSPAR HELCOM TG Ballast
Strict interpretation:
location at the edge of the expected salinity thresholds for population
Inclusive interpretation:
13/12/2018 53 OSPAR HELCOM TG Ballast
13/12/2018 54 OSPAR HELCOM TG Ballast
Strict interpretation:
Inclusive interpretation:
locally
13/12/2018 55 OSPAR HELCOM TG Ballast
13/12/2018 56 OSPAR HELCOM TG Ballast
13/12/2018 57 OSPAR HELCOM TG Ballast
Jahnke et al. 2018
13/12/2018 58 OSPAR HELCOM TG Ballast